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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.25 fair 3.25
Draw ✓ 5.00 fair 4.84
Away 1.50 fair 2.06
Under 2.5 ✓ 4.00 fair 3.82
Over 2.5 1.25 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig
18 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
6 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (279 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.39
Expected goals 1.69 – 2.15
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 8.4% 1–1 7.8% 2–2 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.77scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 55:63
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.35scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 73:35
Hoffenheim all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 2.35
2.03 Goals conceded 1.13
3.81 Total goals 3.48
13.42 Shots 16.19
4.87 Shots on target 6.74
17.26 Shots faced 11.23
4.39 Corners 6.10
5.87 Corners against 4.03
10.35 Fouls 10.29
2.65 Yellow cards 1.77
0.90 1st-half goals scored 1.03
0.84 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

35% Wins 61%
19% Draws 16%
45% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
97% Over 1.5 goals 87%
81% Over 2.5 goals 71%
61% Over 3.5 goals 48%
32% Over 4.5 goals 32%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
87% Both teams scored 61%
3% Clean sheets 32%
10% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 42%
26% Draws 42%
35% Losses 16%
90% Over 0.5 goals 77%
65% Over 1.5 goals 48%
16% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
1.27points / match
1.73scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:28
RB Leipzig before this match, away
1.73points / match
2.27scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 34:24
Hoffenheim at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 2.27
1.87 Goals conceded 1.60
3.60 Total goals 3.87
15.60 Shots 13.80
5.53 Shots on target 5.87
14.07 Shots faced 12.47
5.80 Corners 5.20
3.80 Corners against 4.33
10.00 Fouls 10.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.13
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.80
1.07 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 53%
27% Draws 13%
40% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 93%
73% Over 2.5 goals 80%
53% Over 3.5 goals 53%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
87% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 20%
33% Draws 60%
40% Losses 20%
87% Over 0.5 goals 67%
80% Over 1.5 goals 53%
20% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.24 Bochum – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–0) 2.154.002.90 1.44 2.75
20.04.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 4–3 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
30.03.24 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.30 3.50
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75
10.03.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.004.003.30 1.57 2.38
03.03.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 2–1 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38
25.02.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–3 (2–1) 1.505.005.50 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 4–1 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.40 3.00
20.04.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 5.755.251.45 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–3) 4.754.331.65 1.53 2.50
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
15.03.24 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–5 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.62 2.30
09.03.24 RB Leipzig – Darmstadt 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
02.03.24 Bochum – RB Leipzig 1–4 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.53 2.50
24.02.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
17.02.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.36 3.20

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 4–3 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75
03.03.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 2–1 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38
17.02.24 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
11.02.24 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 1–1 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.30
27.01.24 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–1) 1.674.504.33 1.50 2.50
19.12.23 Hoffenheim – Darmstadt 3–3 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.50 2.63
08.12.23 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (2–0) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.63
26.11.23 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 5.755.251.45 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–3) 4.754.331.65 1.53 2.50
15.03.24 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–5 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.62 2.30
02.03.24 Bochum – RB Leipzig 1–4 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.53 2.50
24.02.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.24 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 2–2 (1–1) 4.004.201.75 1.53 2.50
27.01.24 Stuttgart – RB Leipzig 5–2 (2–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.38
19.12.23 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.44 2.75
09.12.23 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.44 2.75
25.11.23 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–0) 3.604.001.91 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
29.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
05.11.22D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–3 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.66 2.20
10.04.22D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–0 (3–0) 1.504.756.00 1.44 2.75
20.11.21D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 4.004.331.75 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 31 25 6 0 77 22 +55 81
2 Bayern Munich 31 22 3 6 89 38 +51 69
3 Stuttgart 31 20 4 7 70 38 +32 64
4 RB Leipzig 31 19 5 7 73 35 +38 62
5 Dortmund 31 16 9 6 59 39 +20 57
6 Ein Frankfurt 31 11 12 8 47 42 +5 45
7 Freiburg 31 11 7 13 43 55 -12 40
8 Augsburg 31 10 9 12 48 52 -4 39
9 Hoffenheim 31 11 6 14 55 63 -8 39
10 Heidenheim 31 9 10 12 44 52 -8 37
11 Werder Bremen 31 10 7 14 41 50 -9 37
12 Wolfsburg 31 9 7 15 37 51 -14 34
13 M'gladbach 31 7 11 13 53 60 -7 32
14 Union Berlin 31 8 6 17 26 50 -24 30
15 Bochum 31 6 12 13 37 62 -25 30
16 Mainz 31 5 13 13 32 49 -17 28
17 FC Koln 31 4 11 16 24 54 -30 23
18 Darmstadt 31 3 8 20 30 73 -43 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 45 10 +35 42
2 Bayern Munich 16 13 1 2 51 12 +39 40
3 Stuttgart 15 11 3 1 43 14 +29 36
4 RB Leipzig 16 11 3 2 39 11 +28 36
5 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 7 1 26 14 +12 28
6 Dortmund 15 8 3 4 28 21 +7 27
7 Augsburg 16 6 6 4 26 25 +1 24
8 Bochum 16 5 8 3 26 24 +2 23
9 Heidenheim 15 6 4 5 25 24 +1 22
10 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 23 23 0 21
11 Freiburg 16 5 6 5 27 29 -2 21
12 Mainz 16 5 5 6 20 18 +2 20
13 M'gladbach 16 5 5 6 26 25 +1 20
14 Union Berlin 15 6 2 7 17 25 -8 20
15 Wolfsburg 15 5 4 6 21 22 -1 19
16 Hoffenheim 15 5 4 6 26 28 -2 19
17 FC Koln 15 3 3 9 12 26 -14 12
18 Darmstadt 16 1 3 12 15 38 -23 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 15 12 3 0 32 12 +20 39
2 Dortmund 16 8 6 2 31 18 +13 30
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 2 4 38 26 +12 29
4 Stuttgart 16 9 1 6 27 24 +3 28
5 RB Leipzig 15 8 2 5 34 24 +10 26
6 Hoffenheim 16 6 2 8 29 35 -6 20
7 Freiburg 15 6 1 8 16 26 -10 19
8 Ein Frankfurt 16 4 5 7 21 28 -7 17
9 Werder Bremen 16 4 4 8 18 27 -9 16
10 Augsburg 15 4 3 8 22 27 -5 15
11 Heidenheim 16 3 6 7 19 28 -9 15
12 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 16 29 -13 15
13 M'gladbach 15 2 6 7 27 35 -8 12
14 FC Koln 16 1 8 7 12 28 -16 11
15 Darmstadt 15 2 5 8 15 35 -20 11
16 Union Berlin 16 2 4 10 9 25 -16 10
17 Mainz 15 0 8 7 12 31 -19 8
18 Bochum 15 1 4 10 11 38 -27 7

Hoffenheim   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 31 5 26 2.9 1.2 22 3 6 89 38 69
2 9 Hoffenheim 31 6 25 1.8 2.0 11 6 14 55 63 39
3 13 M'gladbach 31 7 24 1.7 1.9 7 11 13 53 60 32
4 3 Stuttgart 31 8 23 2.3 1.2 20 4 7 70 38 64
5 1 Leverkusen 31 9 22 2.5 0.7 25 6 0 77 22 81
6 4 RB Leipzig 31 9 22 2.4 1.1 19 5 7 73 35 62
7 7 Freiburg 31 10 21 1.4 1.8 11 7 13 43 55 40
8 8 Augsburg 31 12 19 1.5 1.7 10 9 12 48 52 39
9 15 Bochum 31 12 19 1.2 2.0 6 12 13 37 62 30
10 5 Dortmund 31 13 18 1.9 1.3 16 9 6 59 39 57
11 6 Ein Frankfurt 31 13 18 1.5 1.4 11 12 8 47 42 45
12 11 Werder Bremen 31 13 18 1.3 1.6 10 7 14 41 50 37
13 12 Wolfsburg 31 13 18 1.2 1.6 9 7 15 37 51 34
14 18 Darmstadt 31 13 18 1.0 2.4 3 8 20 30 73 17
15 10 Heidenheim 31 14 17 1.4 1.7 9 10 12 44 52 37
16 14 Union Berlin 31 18 13 0.8 1.6 8 6 17 26 50 30
17 16 Mainz 31 18 13 1.0 1.6 5 13 13 32 49 28
18 17 FC Koln 31 21 10 0.8 1.7 4 11 16 24 54 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 16 3 13 2.8 0.6 13 3 0 45 10 42
2 13 M'gladbach 16 3 13 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 25 20
3 2 Bayern Munich 16 4 12 3.2 0.8 13 1 2 51 12 40
4 3 Stuttgart 15 4 11 2.9 0.9 11 3 1 43 14 36
5 9 Hoffenheim 15 4 11 1.7 1.9 5 4 6 26 28 19
6 4 RB Leipzig 16 6 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 2 39 11 36
7 7 Freiburg 16 6 10 1.7 1.8 5 6 5 27 29 21
8 8 Augsburg 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 6 4 26 25 24
9 11 Werder Bremen 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 23 23 21
10 18 Darmstadt 16 6 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 12 15 38 6
11 5 Dortmund 15 6 9 1.9 1.4 8 3 4 28 21 27
12 10 Heidenheim 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 6 4 5 25 24 22
13 12 Wolfsburg 15 6 9 1.4 1.5 5 4 6 21 22 19
14 15 Bochum 16 7 9 1.6 1.5 5 8 3 26 24 23
15 14 Union Berlin 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 6 2 7 17 25 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 7 7 1 26 14 28
17 17 FC Koln 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 9 12 26 12
18 16 Mainz 16 11 5 1.2 1.1 5 5 6 20 18 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 15 1 14 2.5 1.7 9 2 4 38 26 29
2 9 Hoffenheim 16 2 14 1.8 2.2 6 2 8 29 35 20
3 3 Stuttgart 16 4 12 1.7 1.5 9 1 6 27 24 28
4 4 RB Leipzig 15 3 12 2.3 1.6 8 2 5 34 24 26
5 6 Ein Frankfurt 16 5 11 1.3 1.8 4 5 7 21 28 17
6 7 Freiburg 15 4 11 1.1 1.7 6 1 8 16 26 19
7 13 M'gladbach 15 4 11 1.8 2.3 2 6 7 27 35 12
8 15 Bochum 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 1 4 10 11 38 7
9 1 Leverkusen 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 0 32 12 39
10 5 Dortmund 16 7 9 1.9 1.1 8 6 2 31 18 30
11 8 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.5 1.8 4 3 8 22 27 15
12 12 Wolfsburg 16 7 9 1.0 1.8 4 3 9 16 29 15
13 10 Heidenheim 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 3 6 7 19 28 15
14 11 Werder Bremen 16 8 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 8 18 27 16
15 16 Mainz 15 7 8 0.8 2.1 0 8 7 12 31 8
16 18 Darmstadt 15 7 8 1.0 2.3 2 5 8 15 35 11
17 14 Union Berlin 16 11 5 0.6 1.6 2 4 10 9 25 10
18 17 FC Koln 16 12 4 0.8 1.8 1 8 7 12 28 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51