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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 3–4 Leverkusen

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.80 fair 2.86
Draw 3.40 fair 4.27
Away ✓ 2.45 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Leverkusen
12 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 8
2 Corners 3
20 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result Leverkusen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.67
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawLeverkusen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 1–2 8.7% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:10
Leverkusen before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
2.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:8
Mainz all matches all matches Leverkusen

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 2.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 3.33
13.33 Shots 12.17
2.83 Shots on target 5.00
14.17 Shots faced 11.83
6.33 Corners 4.17
3.83 Corners against 6.00
11.33 Fouls 10.50
2.17 Yellow cards 3.17
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.17
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

17% Wins 50%
17% Draws 33%
67% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
33% Both teams scored 83%
0% Clean sheets 17%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 50%
17% Draws 50%
67% Losses 0%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Leverkusen all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 0:4
Leverkusen before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:4
Mainz at home away Leverkusen

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.33 Goals conceded 2.00
1.33 Total goals 4.50
13.33 Shots 7.50
2.00 Shots on target 4.00
13.67 Shots faced 12.50
6.00 Corners 4.00
4.33 Corners against 8.00
10.33 Fouls 10.50
1.00 Yellow cards 4.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
0% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
33% Draws 50%
67% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Leverkusen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Mainz – FC Koln 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.83 2.03
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
04.05.25 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.62 2.30
26.04.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40

Leverkusen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
27.09.25 St Pauli – Leverkusen 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.602.20 1.88 1.98
21.09.25 Leverkusen – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 1.575.004.50 1.44 2.75
12.09.25 Leverkusen – Ein Frankfurt 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.803.20 1.44 2.75
30.08.25 Werder Bremen – Leverkusen 3–3 (1–2) 3.703.801.91 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
11.05.25 Leverkusen – Dortmund 2–4 (1–2) 2.703.902.35 1.50 2.63
04.05.25 Freiburg – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.73 2.10
26.04.25 Leverkusen – Augsburg 2–0 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
24.08.25 Mainz – FC Koln 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.83 2.03
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.62 2.30
19.04.25 Mainz – Wolfsburg 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Mainz – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.20
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85

Leverkusen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 St Pauli – Leverkusen 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.602.20 1.88 1.98
30.08.25 Werder Bremen – Leverkusen 3–3 (1–2) 3.703.801.91 1.57 2.38
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Freiburg – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 St Pauli – Leverkusen 1–1 (0–1) 5.253.801.67 2.03 1.87
05.04.25 Heidenheim – Leverkusen 0–1 (0–0) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
16.03.25 Stuttgart – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.67 2.20
01.03.25 Ein Frankfurt – Leverkusen 1–4 (1–3) 4.753.751.73 1.67 2.20
22.02.25 Holstein Kiel – Leverkusen 0–2 (0–2) 11.006.001.25 1.40 3.00
08.02.25 Wolfsburg – Leverkusen 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.80 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsLeverkusen wins
8matches
3.12goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.25D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
14.01.25D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
23.02.24D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.57 2.38
30.09.23D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
19.02.23D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
27.08.22D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.752.37 1.61 2.30
18.02.22D1 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.72 2.10
25.09.21D1 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.724.004.50 1.61 2.30

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 25 3 +22 18
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 12 4 +8 14
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 8 8 0 13
4 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 12 8 +4 11
6 FC Koln 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
7 Union Berlin 7 3 1 3 11 14 -3 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17 16 +1 9
9 Freiburg 6 2 2 2 9 9 0 8
10 Hamburg 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
11 St Pauli 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
12 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
13 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
14 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 11 13 -2 6
15 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
18 M'gladbach 7 0 3 4 6 15 -9 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 15 0 +15 9
2 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 4 0 +4 9
3 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
4 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
5 Union Berlin 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
6 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
7 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6
8 St Pauli 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
9 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
10 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
11 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 7 8 -1 3
13 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 6 8 -2 3
14 Heidenheim 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
15 Wolfsburg 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
16 M'gladbach 4 0 2 2 4 10 -6 2
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 0 4 -4 0
18 Hoffenheim 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 10 3 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
3 Hoffenheim 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
4 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 6 6 0 7
5 RB Leipzig 4 2 1 1 3 7 -4 7
6 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 0 1 10 8 +2 6
7 Leverkusen 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
8 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
9 Mainz 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
10 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3
11 Wolfsburg 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
12 St Pauli 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
14 Werder Bremen 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
15 Union Berlin 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
16 Hamburg 3 0 2 1 0 5 -5 2
17 M'gladbach 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
18 Heidenheim 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0

Mainz   Leverkusen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 6 0 6 4.2 0.5 6 0 0 25 3 18
2 8 Ein Frankfurt 6 0 6 2.8 2.7 3 0 3 17 16 9
3 14 Augsburg 6 0 6 1.8 2.2 2 0 4 11 13 6
4 7 Union Berlin 7 2 5 1.6 2.0 3 1 3 11 14 10
5 13 Werder Bremen 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 2 1 3 9 14 7
6 5 Leverkusen 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 3 2 1 12 8 11
7 6 FC Koln 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
8 9 Freiburg 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 2 2 9 9 8
9 12 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7
10 4 Stuttgart 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12
11 10 Hamburg 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8
12 11 St Pauli 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 2 1 3 8 9 7
13 15 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
14 17 Heidenheim 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
15 18 M'gladbach 7 4 3 0.9 2.1 0 3 4 6 15 3
16 2 Dortmund 6 4 2 2.0 0.7 4 2 0 12 4 14
17 3 RB Leipzig 6 4 2 1.3 1.3 4 1 1 8 8 13
18 16 Mainz 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 5.0 0.0 3 0 0 15 0 9
2 7 Union Berlin 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 2.3 2.7 1 0 2 7 8 3
4 11 St Pauli 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
5 14 Augsburg 3 0 3 2.0 2.7 1 0 2 6 8 3
6 5 Leverkusen 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
7 6 FC Koln 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
8 9 Freiburg 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 10 Hamburg 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 1 6 3 6
10 12 Hoffenheim 3 1 2 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0
11 13 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
12 17 Heidenheim 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
13 18 M'gladbach 4 2 2 1.0 2.5 0 2 2 4 10 2
14 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
15 3 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
16 15 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
17 4 Stuttgart 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 3 0 0 4 0 9
18 16 Mainz 3 3 0 0.0 1.3 0 0 3 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 3.3 1.0 3 0 0 10 3 9
2 4 Stuttgart 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 3.3 2.7 2 0 1 10 8 6
4 13 Werder Bremen 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
5 14 Augsburg 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3
6 5 Leverkusen 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
7 6 FC Koln 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 1 1 6 6 7
8 7 Union Berlin 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
9 9 Freiburg 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
10 12 Hoffenheim 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
11 15 Wolfsburg 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
12 16 Mainz 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
13 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 3 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 2 1 1 3 7 7
15 10 Hamburg 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 2 1 0 5 2
16 17 Heidenheim 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0
17 18 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
18 11 St Pauli 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40