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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 1–1 Holstein Kiel

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.45 fair 1.68
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 5.04
Away 7.00 fair 4.87
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 3.08
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Holstein Kiel
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (244 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 2.23 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawHolstein Kiel
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 8.6% 2–0 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 45:31
Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
1.41scored / match
2.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 38:67
Mainz all matches all matches Holstein Kiel

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.41
1.15 Goals conceded 2.48
2.81 Total goals 3.89
11.41 Shots 10.74
4.41 Shots on target 4.07
14.30 Shots faced 16.37
4.48 Corners 3.56
5.41 Corners against 6.52
11.93 Fouls 12.11
2.26 Yellow cards 2.30
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.44

How often Full Time

48% Wins 15%
22% Draws 19%
30% Losses 67%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 93%
52% Over 2.5 goals 78%
30% Over 3.5 goals 63%
11% Over 4.5 goals 30%
7% Over 5.5 goals 19%
52% Both teams scored 70%
33% Clean sheets 7%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 19%
26% Draws 7%
26% Losses 74%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
44% Over 1.5 goals 63%
19% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Holstein Kiel all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.69points / match
1.38scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:12
Holstein Kiel before this match, away
0.46points / match
1.54scored / match
2.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:33
Mainz at home away Holstein Kiel

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.54
0.92 Goals conceded 2.54
2.31 Total goals 4.08
12.31 Shots 11.00
4.77 Shots on target 4.15
11.62 Shots faced 17.62
5.62 Corners 3.62
3.92 Corners against 7.15
12.00 Fouls 12.31
2.31 Yellow cards 2.38
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 1.46

How often Full Time

46% Wins 8%
31% Draws 23%
23% Losses 69%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
31% Over 2.5 goals 92%
15% Over 3.5 goals 77%
0% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
46% Both teams scored 92%
38% Clean sheets 8%
23% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 15%
38% Draws 0%
15% Losses 85%
69% Over 0.5 goals 100%
31% Over 1.5 goals 54%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Holstein Kiel away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Holstein Kiel – Werder Bremen 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.902.05 1.62 2.30
16.03.25 Heidenheim – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.80 2.00
08.03.25 Holstein Kiel – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.331.53 1.50 2.63
02.03.25 Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel 0–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.20
22.02.25 Holstein Kiel – Leverkusen 0–2 (0–2) 11.006.001.25 1.40 3.00
16.02.25 Ein Frankfurt – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (2–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 3.00
09.02.25 Holstein Kiel – Bochum 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.503.00 1.67 2.20
01.02.25 Bayern Munich – Holstein Kiel 4–3 (2–0) 1.0517.0026.00 1.14 5.50
24.01.25 Wolfsburg – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (0–1) 1.425.007.00 1.53 2.50
18.01.25 Holstein Kiel – Hoffenheim 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.402.35 1.67 2.20

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
11.01.25 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50
01.12.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 1.67 2.20
09.11.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20

Holstein Kiel away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.25 Heidenheim – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel 0–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.20
16.02.25 Ein Frankfurt – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (2–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 3.00
01.02.25 Bayern Munich – Holstein Kiel 4–3 (2–0) 1.0517.0026.00 1.14 5.50
24.01.25 Wolfsburg – Holstein Kiel 2–2 (0–1) 1.425.007.00 1.53 2.50
11.01.25 Freiburg – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 M'gladbach – Holstein Kiel 4–1 (3–1) 1.444.756.50 1.50 2.63
29.11.24 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.25 1.95 1.95
09.11.24 Werder Bremen – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.334.75 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Stuttgart – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 1.227.509.50 1.30 3.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsHolstein Kiel wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24D1 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 +54 68
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 +28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 +15 48
4 Mainz 27 13 6 8 45 31 +14 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 +4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 +7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 +8 38
10 Dortmund 27 11 5 11 48 42 +6 38
11 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 +3 37
12 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 46 14 +32 37
2 Leverkusen 14 9 3 2 32 18 +14 30
3 Dortmund 14 8 3 3 34 17 +17 27
4 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 3 3 32 20 +12 27
5 Freiburg 13 8 2 3 25 15 +10 26
6 RB Leipzig 13 7 4 2 24 15 +9 25
7 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 24 19 +5 23
8 Mainz 13 6 4 3 18 12 +6 22
9 Augsburg 14 6 4 4 16 15 +1 22
10 Stuttgart 14 6 2 6 30 24 +6 20
11 Union Berlin 13 4 4 5 11 14 -3 16
12 Wolfsburg 14 3 6 5 23 24 -1 15
13 Hoffenheim 14 3 5 6 21 29 -8 14
14 Werder Bremen 13 3 4 6 18 26 -8 13
15 St Pauli 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
16 Bochum 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 Holstein Kiel 14 3 2 9 18 34 -16 11
18 Heidenheim 13 3 1 9 12 24 -12 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 35 13 +22 31
2 Leverkusen 13 8 5 0 30 16 +14 29
3 Wolfsburg 13 7 2 4 26 17 +9 23
4 Mainz 14 7 2 5 27 19 +8 23
5 Werder Bremen 14 7 2 5 25 27 -2 23
6 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
7 M'gladbach 13 6 2 5 20 21 -1 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 4 5 5 17 19 -2 17
9 Stuttgart 13 4 5 4 17 20 -3 17
10 Augsburg 14 4 5 5 15 24 -9 17
11 Freiburg 14 4 4 6 12 25 -13 16
12 Union Berlin 14 4 2 8 14 26 -12 14
13 St Pauli 14 4 1 9 14 19 -5 13
14 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 12 20 -8 13
15 Heidenheim 14 3 3 8 20 28 -8 12
16 Dortmund 13 3 2 8 14 25 -11 11
17 Bochum 14 2 2 10 15 33 -18 8
18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 3 9 20 33 -13 6

Mainz   Holstein Kiel

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 28 7 21 2.9 1.0 21 5 2 81 27 68
2 18 Holstein Kiel 27 6 21 1.4 2.5 4 5 18 38 67 17
3 11 Stuttgart 27 8 19 1.7 1.6 10 7 10 47 44 37
4 12 Werder Bremen 27 8 19 1.6 2.0 10 6 11 43 53 36
5 2 Leverkusen 27 9 18 2.3 1.3 17 8 2 62 34 59
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 27 9 18 2.0 1.5 14 6 7 55 40 48
7 5 M'gladbach 27 10 17 1.6 1.5 13 4 10 44 40 43
8 7 Freiburg 27 10 17 1.4 1.5 12 6 9 37 40 42
9 10 Dortmund 27 10 17 1.8 1.6 11 5 11 48 42 38
10 9 Wolfsburg 27 11 16 1.8 1.5 10 8 9 49 41 38
11 16 Heidenheim 27 12 15 1.2 1.9 6 4 17 32 52 22
12 4 Mainz 27 13 14 1.7 1.1 13 6 8 45 31 45
13 6 RB Leipzig 27 13 14 1.5 1.3 11 9 7 41 34 42
14 8 Augsburg 28 14 14 1.1 1.4 10 9 9 31 39 39
15 14 Hoffenheim 27 13 14 1.2 1.8 6 9 12 33 49 27
16 13 Union Berlin 27 14 13 0.9 1.5 8 6 13 25 40 30
17 17 Bochum 27 14 13 1.0 2.0 5 5 17 28 55 20
18 15 St Pauli 27 19 8 0.8 1.2 7 4 16 22 33 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 2 12 3.3 1.0 12 1 1 46 14 37
2 11 Stuttgart 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 6 2 6 30 24 20
3 2 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 9 3 2 32 18 30
4 7 Freiburg 13 3 10 1.9 1.2 8 2 3 25 15 26
5 10 Dortmund 14 4 10 2.4 1.2 8 3 3 34 17 27
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 2.3 1.4 8 3 3 32 20 27
7 12 Werder Bremen 13 4 9 1.4 2.0 3 4 6 18 26 13
8 18 Holstein Kiel 14 5 9 1.3 2.4 3 2 9 18 34 11
9 5 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.7 1.4 7 2 5 24 19 23
10 6 RB Leipzig 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 24 15 25
11 9 Wolfsburg 14 6 8 1.6 1.7 3 6 5 23 24 15
12 14 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 1.5 2.1 3 5 6 21 29 14
13 16 Heidenheim 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 3 1 9 12 24 10
14 8 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.1 1.1 6 4 4 16 15 22
15 13 Union Berlin 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 4 5 11 14 16
16 17 Bochum 13 8 5 1.0 1.7 3 3 7 13 22 12
17 4 Mainz 13 9 4 1.4 0.9 6 4 3 18 12 22
18 15 St Pauli 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 12 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 20 33 6
2 4 Mainz 14 4 10 1.9 1.4 7 2 5 27 19 23
3 12 Werder Bremen 14 4 10 1.8 1.9 7 2 5 25 27 23
4 1 Bayern Munich 14 5 9 2.5 0.9 9 4 1 35 13 31
5 3 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
6 5 M'gladbach 13 4 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 5 20 21 20
7 2 Leverkusen 13 5 8 2.3 1.2 8 5 0 30 16 29
8 9 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 2.0 1.3 7 2 4 26 17 23
9 11 Stuttgart 13 5 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 4 17 20 17
10 13 Union Berlin 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 4 2 8 14 26 14
11 17 Bochum 14 6 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 10 15 33 8
12 7 Freiburg 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 4 6 12 25 16
13 8 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 5 5 15 24 17
14 10 Dortmund 13 6 7 1.1 1.9 3 2 8 14 25 11
15 16 Heidenheim 14 7 7 1.4 2.0 3 3 8 20 28 12
16 6 RB Leipzig 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 19 17
17 14 Hoffenheim 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 20 13
18 15 St Pauli 14 9 5 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 19 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51