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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburg

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.93
Draw 4.33 fair 4.48
Away 4.20 fair 3.87
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Hamburg
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 3
16 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (118 league matches this season so far).
Result Hoffenheim to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.91 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawHamburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.92scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:19
Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.08scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:20
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Hamburg

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.08
1.46 Goals conceded 1.54
3.38 Total goals 2.62
13.46 Shots 13.23
4.69 Shots on target 4.69
12.31 Shots faced 14.69
5.46 Corners 3.77
5.69 Corners against 4.85
14.62 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.31
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

54% Wins 31%
15% Draws 23%
31% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 85%
92% Over 1.5 goals 69%
69% Over 2.5 goals 54%
46% Over 3.5 goals 31%
23% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 46%
15% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 23%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 69%
62% Over 1.5 goals 15%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Hamburg all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:10
Hamburg before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 2:12
Hoffenheim at home away Hamburg

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.33
1.67 Goals conceded 2.00
3.50 Total goals 2.33
14.50 Shots 12.17
4.50 Shots on target 4.00
13.33 Shots faced 16.00
6.50 Corners 3.83
4.67 Corners against 4.33
15.00 Fouls 13.50
1.83 Yellow cards 2.50
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
50% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
83% Over 1.5 goals 50%
83% Over 2.5 goals 50%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
67% Over 1.5 goals 17%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Hamburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
02.11.25 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.902.30 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Hamburg – Werder Bremen 3–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Hamburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Augsburg – Hamburg 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 FC Koln – Hamburg 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.703.20 1.62 2.30
25.10.25 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
20.09.25 Hamburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75
26.04.25 Hoffenheim – Dortmund 2–3 (0–1) 4.104.331.73 1.44 2.75
12.04.25 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10
29.03.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73

Hamburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Augsburg – Hamburg 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10
02.11.25 FC Koln – Hamburg 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.703.20 1.62 2.30
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Bayern Munich – Hamburg 5–0 (4–0) 1.0612.0026.00 1.22 4.33
24.08.25 M'gladbach – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.903.90 1.53 2.50
18.05.25D2 Greuther Furth – Hamburg 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.802.20 1.40 2.88
03.05.25D2 Darmstadt – Hamburg 0–4 (0–1) 2.873.602.25 1.44 2.70
19.04.25D2 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.702.00 1.53 2.40
05.04.25D2 Nurnberg – Hamburg 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.752.10 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 12 1 0 49 9 +40 37
2 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Dortmund 13 8 4 1 23 11 +12 28
4 Leverkusen 13 7 2 4 28 19 +9 23
5 Hoffenheim 13 7 2 4 25 19 +6 23
6 Stuttgart 13 7 1 5 21 22 -1 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 28 29 -1 21
8 Union Berlin 14 5 3 6 19 23 -4 18
9 FC Koln 13 4 4 5 22 21 +1 16
10 Freiburg 13 4 4 5 20 22 -2 16
11 M'gladbach 13 4 4 5 17 19 -2 16
12 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 18 24 -6 16
13 Hamburg 13 4 3 6 14 20 -6 15
14 Augsburg 13 4 1 8 17 27 -10 13
15 Wolfsburg 13 3 3 7 17 23 -6 12
16 Heidenheim 13 3 2 8 12 28 -16 11
17 St Pauli 13 2 2 9 11 25 -14 8
18 Mainz 13 1 3 9 11 24 -13 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 29 4 +25 21
2 RB Leipzig 6 6 0 0 18 3 +15 18
3 Stuttgart 6 5 0 1 9 8 +1 15
4 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
5 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16 6 +10 13
6 Hamburg 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
7 Union Berlin 8 3 3 2 13 11 +2 12
8 Freiburg 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
9 Werder Bremen 6 3 2 1 8 8 0 11
10 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
11 Hoffenheim 6 3 0 3 11 10 +1 9
12 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 9 15 -6 9
13 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 14 10 +4 8
14 Heidenheim 7 2 2 3 8 13 -5 8
15 M'gladbach 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
16 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 10 15 -5 5
17 St Pauli 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
18 Mainz 7 0 2 5 5 11 -6 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 20 5 +15 16
2 Hoffenheim 7 4 2 1 14 9 +5 14
3 Dortmund 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
4 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 11 13 -2 11
5 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 17 20 -3 11
6 M'gladbach 6 3 1 2 10 5 +5 10
7 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 12 13 -1 10
8 FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Wolfsburg 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
10 Stuttgart 7 2 1 4 12 14 -2 7
11 Union Berlin 6 2 0 4 6 12 -6 6
12 Werder Bremen 7 1 2 4 10 16 -6 5
13 Freiburg 7 1 2 4 7 14 -7 5
14 Augsburg 6 1 1 4 8 12 -4 4
15 St Pauli 7 1 1 5 5 11 -6 4
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 6 13 -7 4
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
18 Hamburg 6 0 2 4 2 12 -10 2

Hoffenheim   Hamburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 13 0 13 3.8 0.7 12 1 0 49 9 37
2 6 Stuttgart 13 3 10 1.6 1.7 7 1 5 21 22 22
3 4 Leverkusen 13 4 9 2.2 1.5 7 2 4 28 19 23
4 5 Hoffenheim 13 4 9 1.9 1.5 7 2 4 25 19 23
5 7 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 2.2 2.2 6 3 4 28 29 21
6 8 Union Berlin 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 5 3 6 19 23 18
7 10 Freiburg 13 4 9 1.5 1.7 4 4 5 20 22 16
8 14 Augsburg 13 4 9 1.3 2.1 4 1 8 17 27 13
9 16 Heidenheim 13 4 9 0.9 2.2 3 2 8 12 28 11
10 2 RB Leipzig 14 6 8 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
11 12 Werder Bremen 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 4 4 5 18 24 16
12 15 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.3 1.8 3 3 7 17 23 12
13 9 FC Koln 13 6 7 1.7 1.6 4 4 5 22 21 16
14 11 M'gladbach 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 4 4 5 17 19 16
15 13 Hamburg 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 4 3 6 14 20 15
16 17 St Pauli 13 6 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 9 11 25 8
17 3 Dortmund 13 8 5 1.8 0.8 8 4 1 23 11 28
18 18 Mainz 13 8 5 0.8 1.8 1 3 9 11 24 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 7 0 7 4.1 0.6 7 0 0 29 4 21
2 8 Union Berlin 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 3 3 2 13 11 12
3 5 Hoffenheim 6 1 5 1.8 1.7 3 0 3 11 10 9
4 10 Freiburg 6 1 5 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
5 15 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 1.4 2.1 1 2 4 10 15 5
6 16 Heidenheim 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 3 8 13 8
7 17 St Pauli 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
8 2 RB Leipzig 6 2 4 3.0 0.5 6 0 0 18 3 18
9 4 Leverkusen 7 3 4 2.3 0.9 4 1 2 16 6 13
10 9 FC Koln 6 2 4 2.3 1.7 2 2 2 14 10 8
11 11 M'gladbach 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
12 13 Hamburg 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
13 14 Augsburg 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 3 0 4 9 15 9
14 6 Stuttgart 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 5 0 1 9 8 15
15 7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
16 12 Werder Bremen 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 1 8 8 11
17 3 Dortmund 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
18 18 Mainz 7 6 1 0.7 1.6 0 2 5 5 11 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stuttgart 7 0 7 1.7 2.0 2 1 4 12 14 7
2 1 Bayern Munich 6 0 6 3.3 0.8 5 1 0 20 5 16
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 7 1 6 2.4 2.9 3 2 2 17 20 11
4 4 Leverkusen 6 1 5 2.0 2.2 3 1 2 12 13 10
5 12 Werder Bremen 7 2 5 1.4 2.3 1 2 4 10 16 5
6 14 Augsburg 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 1 4 8 12 4
7 2 RB Leipzig 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 2 3 11 13 11
8 5 Hoffenheim 7 3 4 2.0 1.3 4 2 1 14 9 14
9 10 Freiburg 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 2 4 7 14 5
10 16 Heidenheim 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
11 18 Mainz 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 1 4 6 13 4
12 3 Dortmund 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
13 8 Union Berlin 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 4 6 12 6
14 9 FC Koln 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
15 11 M'gladbach 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 3 1 2 10 5 10
16 13 Hamburg 6 3 3 0.3 2.0 0 2 4 2 12 2
17 15 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
18 17 St Pauli 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 1 5 5 11 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51