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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 3.46
Draw 3.50 fair 4.40
Away 2.55 fair 2.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Mainz
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 7
18 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.84
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.21scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 34:52
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 46:32
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.64
1.86 Goals conceded 1.14
3.07 Total goals 2.79
12.61 Shots 11.46
4.39 Shots on target 4.36
14.25 Shots faced 14.14
4.68 Corners 4.46
5.79 Corners against 5.36
11.36 Fouls 11.93
1.89 Yellow cards 2.32
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.96 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

21% Wins 46%
32% Draws 25%
46% Losses 29%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
82% Over 1.5 goals 86%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
46% Over 3.5 goals 29%
18% Over 4.5 goals 11%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
68% Both teams scored 54%
11% Clean sheets 32%
29% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 46%
29% Draws 25%
50% Losses 29%
75% Over 0.5 goals 79%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
21% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Mainz all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:29
Mainz before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.93scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:19
Hoffenheim at home away Mainz

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.93
2.07 Goals conceded 1.36
3.57 Total goals 3.29
15.29 Shots 10.57
5.29 Shots on target 4.07
14.07 Shots faced 16.79
5.43 Corners 3.43
4.64 Corners against 6.79
11.29 Fouls 11.86
1.43 Yellow cards 2.21
0.64 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.93 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

21% Wins 50%
36% Draws 14%
43% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 79%
57% Over 2.5 goals 71%
50% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 21%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
79% Both teams scored 57%
0% Clean sheets 29%
21% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 50%
21% Draws 14%
57% Losses 36%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 57%
21% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–1) 1.554.205.50 1.53 2.50
29.03.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
14.03.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
09.03.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.62 2.15
01.03.25 Bochum – Hoffenheim 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.25
23.02.25 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 1–1 (0–1) 3.503.901.95 1.50 2.63
16.02.25 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 1–3 (1–2) 1.853.803.90 1.53 2.50
08.02.25 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–4 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.84 2.06
02.02.25 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.257.009.50 1.36 3.20
26.01.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.20

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Mainz – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.20
30.03.25 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
09.03.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.62 2.15
23.02.25 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 1–1 (0–1) 3.503.901.95 1.50 2.63
08.02.25 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–4 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.84 2.06
26.01.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.20
11.01.25 Hoffenheim – Wolfsburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.602.88 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.57 2.38
08.12.24 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.303.50 1.84 2.06
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsMainz wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
29%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 1.67 2.20
13.04.24D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
26.11.23D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
04.03.23D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
10.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 4–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.66 2.20
05.02.22D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 +54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 +29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 +13 48
4 RB Leipzig 29 13 9 7 47 37 +10 48
5 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 +14 46
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 +4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 +9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 +7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 29 10 8 11 51 45 +6 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 46 14 +32 37
2 Leverkusen 14 9 3 2 32 18 +14 30
3 RB Leipzig 14 8 4 2 27 16 +11 28
4 Dortmund 14 8 3 3 34 17 +17 27
5 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 3 3 32 20 +12 27
6 Freiburg 14 8 2 4 26 19 +7 26
7 Mainz 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
8 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 24 19 +5 23
9 Augsburg 14 6 4 4 16 15 +1 22
10 Stuttgart 14 6 2 6 30 24 +6 20
11 Union Berlin 14 5 4 5 12 14 -2 19
12 Werder Bremen 14 4 4 6 20 26 -6 16
13 Wolfsburg 15 3 6 6 25 27 -2 15
14 Hoffenheim 14 3 5 6 21 29 -8 14
15 St Pauli 14 3 4 7 9 15 -6 13
16 Bochum 14 3 3 8 13 26 -13 12
17 Holstein Kiel 14 3 2 9 18 34 -16 11
18 Heidenheim 14 3 1 10 12 25 -13 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 14 9 5 0 31 16 +15 32
2 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 35 13 +22 31
3 Mainz 14 7 2 5 27 19 +8 23
4 Wolfsburg 14 7 2 5 26 18 +8 23
5 Werder Bremen 14 7 2 5 25 27 -2 23
6 Ein Frankfurt 14 6 3 5 23 22 +1 21
7 M'gladbach 14 6 3 5 21 22 -1 21
8 Stuttgart 14 5 5 4 21 20 +1 20
9 RB Leipzig 15 5 5 5 20 21 -1 20
10 Augsburg 14 4 5 5 15 24 -9 17
11 Freiburg 14 4 4 6 12 25 -13 16
12 Dortmund 14 4 2 8 18 26 -8 14
13 Union Berlin 14 4 2 8 14 26 -12 14
14 St Pauli 14 4 1 9 14 19 -5 13
15 Hoffenheim 14 3 4 7 13 23 -10 13
16 Heidenheim 14 3 3 8 20 28 -8 12
17 Bochum 14 2 2 10 15 33 -18 8
18 Holstein Kiel 14 1 4 9 21 34 -13 7

Hoffenheim   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 28 7 21 2.9 1.0 21 5 2 81 27 68
2 18 Holstein Kiel 28 7 21 1.4 2.4 4 6 18 39 68 18
3 9 Stuttgart 28 8 20 1.8 1.6 11 7 10 51 44 40
4 10 Werder Bremen 28 9 19 1.6 1.9 11 6 11 45 53 39
5 2 Leverkusen 28 10 18 2.2 1.2 18 8 2 63 34 62
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 18 2.0 1.5 14 6 8 55 42 48
7 7 Freiburg 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 12 6 10 38 44 42
8 8 Dortmund 28 10 18 1.9 1.5 12 5 11 52 43 41
9 6 M'gladbach 28 11 17 1.6 1.5 13 5 10 45 41 44
10 12 Wolfsburg 29 12 17 1.8 1.6 10 8 11 51 45 38
11 4 RB Leipzig 29 13 16 1.6 1.3 13 9 7 47 37 48
12 14 Hoffenheim 28 13 15 1.2 1.9 6 9 13 34 52 27
13 16 Heidenheim 28 13 15 1.1 1.9 6 4 18 32 53 22
14 5 Mainz 28 14 14 1.6 1.1 13 7 8 46 32 46
15 11 Augsburg 28 14 14 1.1 1.4 10 9 9 31 39 39
16 17 Bochum 28 14 14 1.0 2.1 5 5 18 28 59 20
17 13 Union Berlin 28 15 13 0.9 1.4 9 6 13 26 40 33
18 15 St Pauli 28 20 8 0.8 1.2 7 5 16 23 34 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 2 12 3.3 1.0 12 1 1 46 14 37
2 7 Freiburg 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 8 2 4 26 19 26
3 9 Stuttgart 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 6 2 6 30 24 20
4 2 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 9 3 2 32 18 30
5 8 Dortmund 14 4 10 2.4 1.2 8 3 3 34 17 27
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 2.3 1.4 8 3 3 32 20 27
7 4 RB Leipzig 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 4 2 27 16 28
8 10 Werder Bremen 14 5 9 1.4 1.9 4 4 6 20 26 16
9 12 Wolfsburg 15 6 9 1.7 1.8 3 6 6 25 27 15
10 18 Holstein Kiel 14 5 9 1.3 2.4 3 2 9 18 34 11
11 6 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.7 1.4 7 2 5 24 19 23
12 14 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 1.5 2.1 3 5 6 21 29 14
13 16 Heidenheim 14 6 8 0.9 1.8 3 1 10 12 25 10
14 11 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.1 1.1 6 4 4 16 15 22
15 17 Bochum 14 8 6 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 13 26 12
16 13 Union Berlin 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 5 4 5 12 14 19
17 5 Mainz 14 10 4 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
18 15 St Pauli 14 11 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 7 9 15 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 14 2 12 1.5 2.4 1 4 9 21 34 7
2 5 Mainz 14 4 10 1.9 1.4 7 2 5 27 19 23
3 10 Werder Bremen 14 4 10 1.8 1.9 7 2 5 25 27 23
4 1 Bayern Munich 14 5 9 2.5 0.9 9 4 1 35 13 31
5 3 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 6 3 5 23 22 21
6 6 M'gladbach 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 3 5 21 22 21
7 9 Stuttgart 14 5 9 1.5 1.4 5 5 4 21 20 20
8 2 Leverkusen 14 6 8 2.2 1.1 9 5 0 31 16 32
9 8 Dortmund 14 6 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 8 18 26 14
10 12 Wolfsburg 14 6 8 1.9 1.3 7 2 5 26 18 23
11 13 Union Berlin 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 4 2 8 14 26 14
12 17 Bochum 14 6 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 10 15 33 8
13 4 RB Leipzig 15 8 7 1.3 1.4 5 5 5 20 21 20
14 7 Freiburg 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 4 6 12 25 16
15 11 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 5 5 15 24 17
16 14 Hoffenheim 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 3 4 7 13 23 13
17 16 Heidenheim 14 7 7 1.4 2.0 3 3 8 20 28 12
18 15 St Pauli 14 9 5 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 19 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51