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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hamburg 2–2 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 8.00 fair 5.23
Draw ✓ 6.50 fair 5.18
Away 1.29 fair 1.62
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamburg Bayern Munich
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 9
12 Fouls 16
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (176 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.22 – 2.30
Home / Draw / Away
HamburgDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.6% 1–1 8.3% 0–2 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.94scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:27
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.63points / match
3.79scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 72:16
Hamburg all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 3.79
1.50 Goals conceded 0.84
2.44 Total goals 4.63
13.06 Shots 19.21
4.89 Shots on target 8.68
13.56 Shots faced 9.42
3.67 Corners 6.16
4.50 Corners against 3.58
12.61 Fouls 8.89
2.22 Yellow cards 1.79
0.28 1st-half goals scored 1.58
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

22% Wins 84%
33% Draws 11%
44% Losses 5%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
28% Over 3.5 goals 74%
22% Over 4.5 goals 42%
0% Over 5.5 goals 21%
50% Both teams scored 58%
28% Clean sheets 42%
44% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 63%
44% Draws 32%
39% Losses 5%
61% Over 0.5 goals 95%
22% Over 1.5 goals 68%
6% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Hamburg before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.44scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:9
Bayern Munich before this match, away
2.78points / match
3.56scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 32:7
Hamburg at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 3.56
1.00 Goals conceded 0.78
2.44 Total goals 4.33
14.78 Shots 18.78
5.78 Shots on target 8.89
12.22 Shots faced 9.67
3.67 Corners 5.67
5.22 Corners against 3.89
12.44 Fouls 8.33
1.78 Yellow cards 2.11
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.11
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

44% Wins 89%
33% Draws 11%
22% Losses 0%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
44% Over 2.5 goals 100%
22% Over 3.5 goals 78%
11% Over 4.5 goals 44%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 56%
22% Clean sheets 44%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 56%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 11%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
22% Over 1.5 goals 56%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.26 St Pauli – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.75 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Hamburg – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Freiburg – Hamburg 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.83 2.03
20.12.25 Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Hamburg – Werder Bremen 3–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Hamburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Augsburg – Hamburg 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.502.90 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 FC Koln – Hamburg 4–1 (1–0) 2.103.703.20 1.62 2.30

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 1–2 (1–0) 1.1012.0017.00 1.25 4.00
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
11.01.26 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 8–1 (2–1) 1.1111.0017.00 1.20 4.50
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
29.11.25 Bayern Munich – St Pauli 3–1 (1–1) 1.1010.0021.00 1.25 4.00
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20

Hamburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Hamburg – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.67 2.20
07.12.25 Hamburg – Werder Bremen 3–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Hamburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
25.10.25 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Hamburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
29.08.25 Hamburg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
10.05.25D2 Hamburg – Ulm 6–1 (3–1) 1.405.006.50 1.48 2.60

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
25.10.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–0) 10.006.501.22 1.29 3.75
04.10.25 Ein Frankfurt – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 6.255.251.42 1.29 3.75
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Augsburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–2) 9.006.501.27 1.33 3.40
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hamburg winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25D1 Bayern Munich – Hamburg 5–0 (4–0) 1.0612.0026.00 1.22 4.33

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 19 16 2 1 72 16 +56 50 DWWWWL
2 Dortmund 19 12 6 1 38 17 +21 42 DWDWWW
3 Hoffenheim 20 13 3 4 43 23 +20 42 DWWWWW
4 RB Leipzig 20 11 3 6 38 27 +11 36 LWLWDL
5 Stuttgart 19 11 3 5 36 26 +10 36 WDWWDW
6 Leverkusen 19 11 2 6 38 26 +12 35 WWLLWW
7 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 31 32 -1 27 DWWLDW
8 Ein Frankfurt 20 7 6 7 40 45 -5 27 DDLDLL
9 Union Berlin 20 6 6 8 25 33 -8 24 WDDDLL
10 FC Koln 20 6 5 9 29 32 -3 23 LDLWLW
11 Augsburg 20 6 4 10 24 37 -13 22 DLDDWW
12 M'gladbach 20 5 6 9 24 33 -9 21 LWLDLD
13 Wolfsburg 20 5 4 11 28 42 -14 19 LLWDLL
14 Werder Bremen 20 4 7 9 22 38 -16 19 DLDLLD
15 Mainz 20 4 6 10 23 33 -10 18 DDWLWW
16 Hamburg 18 4 6 8 17 27 -10 18 WLDLDD
17 St Pauli 20 3 5 12 18 34 -16 14 DLLDDL
18 Heidenheim 19 3 4 12 17 42 -25 13 LLDLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 1 1 40 9 +31 25 WWWDWL
2 Dortmund 9 7 2 0 19 6 +13 23 WDWWWW
3 Hoffenheim 10 7 0 3 24 13 +11 21 WWWWWW
4 RB Leipzig 10 7 0 3 23 13 +10 21 WWLWLL
5 Stuttgart 9 6 2 1 13 11 +2 20 WWLDWD
6 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19 WWLWLW
7 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18 DWWDWW
8 Hamburg 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15 LDWWDD
9 Augsburg 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15 WWDDDW
10 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 18 15 +3 14 LDLLWW
11 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14 WDWDLL
12 Union Berlin 10 3 4 3 15 16 -1 13 DDLWDL
13 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 12 18 -6 13 WDLDLD
14 Mainz 10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9 DDLDWW
15 Wolfsburg 10 2 3 5 16 21 -5 9 LLWLWD
16 St Pauli 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9 LLLWDD
17 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 12 20 -8 9 LWDLWL
18 Heidenheim 10 2 3 5 10 22 -12 9 DLWLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 32 7 +25 25 WDWWWW
2 Hoffenheim 10 6 3 1 19 10 +9 21 WDLDWW
3 Dortmund 10 5 4 1 19 11 +8 19 WDWDDW
4 Stuttgart 10 5 1 4 23 15 +8 16 LDLWWW
5 Leverkusen 9 5 1 3 18 16 +2 16 LWLWLW
6 RB Leipzig 10 4 3 3 15 14 +1 15 WLDLWD
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 4 3 23 27 -4 13 DWLDLD
8 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12 WWLLDD
9 Union Berlin 10 3 2 5 10 17 -7 11 WLWDDL
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10 LDWLLL
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9 LLDLDL
12 Mainz 10 2 3 5 13 20 -7 9 LLDDLW
13 Freiburg 10 2 3 5 13 21 -8 9 DLLWLD
14 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7 DLLLLW
15 Werder Bremen 10 1 3 6 10 20 -10 6 DLLDLL
16 St Pauli 11 1 2 8 9 18 -9 5 LDDLLL
17 Heidenheim 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4 LLWLLD
18 Hamburg 9 0 3 6 4 18 -14 3 LLLLLD

Hamburg   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 19 0 19 3.8 0.8 16 2 1 72 16 50 OOOOOO
2 5 Stuttgart 19 5 14 1.9 1.4 11 3 5 36 26 36 OUOOUO
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 20 6 14 2.0 2.2 7 6 7 40 45 27 UOOOOO
4 18 Heidenheim 19 5 14 0.9 2.2 3 4 12 17 42 13 OOOOUO
5 3 Hoffenheim 20 7 13 2.1 1.1 13 3 4 43 23 42 UOUOUO
6 7 Freiburg 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 7 6 6 31 32 27 UOOUOO
7 11 Augsburg 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 6 4 10 24 37 22 UOUOOO
8 13 Wolfsburg 20 7 13 1.4 2.1 5 4 11 28 42 19 OOOUOU
9 4 RB Leipzig 20 8 12 1.9 1.4 11 3 6 38 27 36 OUOOUO
10 6 Leverkusen 19 7 12 2.0 1.4 11 2 6 38 26 35 UOOUUO
11 9 Union Berlin 20 8 12 1.2 1.6 6 6 8 25 33 24 UOUUOO
12 10 FC Koln 20 9 11 1.4 1.6 6 5 9 29 32 23 UOOOOU
13 12 M'gladbach 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 5 6 9 24 33 21 UOOUOU
14 14 Werder Bremen 20 9 11 1.1 1.9 4 7 9 22 38 19 UOOUUU
15 15 Mainz 20 9 11 1.1 1.6 4 6 10 23 33 18 UOOOOO
16 17 St Pauli 20 9 11 0.9 1.7 3 5 12 18 34 14 UOOUUO
17 2 Dortmund 19 10 9 2.0 0.9 12 6 1 38 17 42 UUOOOO
18 16 Hamburg 18 9 9 0.9 1.5 4 6 8 17 27 18 OOUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 4.0 0.9 8 1 1 40 9 25 OOOOOO
2 3 Hoffenheim 10 2 8 2.4 1.3 7 0 3 24 13 21 OOOOUO
3 9 Union Berlin 10 2 8 1.5 1.6 3 4 3 15 16 13 UOOOOO
4 18 Heidenheim 10 2 8 1.0 2.2 2 3 5 10 22 9 UOOOOO
5 4 RB Leipzig 10 3 7 2.3 1.3 7 0 3 23 13 21 UOOUOO
6 7 Freiburg 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18 OOOUOO
7 12 M'gladbach 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 3 5 12 20 9 OOUOOO
8 13 Wolfsburg 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 2 3 5 16 21 9 OOOOOU
9 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14 UUUOOO
10 10 FC Koln 10 4 6 1.8 1.5 4 2 4 18 15 14 OUUOOU
11 11 Augsburg 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15 UUUUOO
12 17 St Pauli 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9 OOUOUU
13 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19 UOOUOU
14 14 Werder Bremen 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 4 3 12 18 13 OUOOUU
15 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 2.1 0.7 7 2 0 19 6 23 UOUUOO
16 5 Stuttgart 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 6 2 1 13 11 20 OOOUOU
17 16 Hamburg 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15 UUOOUU
18 15 Mainz 10 7 3 1.0 1.3 2 3 5 10 13 9 UUUUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Stuttgart 10 0 10 2.3 1.5 5 1 4 23 15 16 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 3.6 0.8 8 1 0 32 7 25 OOOOOO
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 8 2.3 2.7 3 4 3 23 27 13 UOOUOO
4 15 Mainz 10 2 8 1.3 2.0 2 3 5 13 20 9 UOOOOO
5 6 Leverkusen 9 2 7 2.0 1.8 5 1 3 18 16 16 OOUOUO
6 11 Augsburg 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7 UOOUOO
7 7 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 2.1 2 3 5 13 21 9 UOOOUO
8 13 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10 OUOOOU
9 14 Werder Bremen 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 1 3 6 10 20 6 UUOUOU
10 18 Heidenheim 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4 OOOOOU
11 2 Dortmund 10 5 5 1.9 1.1 5 4 1 19 11 19 UUOUOO
12 3 Hoffenheim 10 5 5 1.9 1.0 6 3 1 19 10 21 OUUUOU
13 4 RB Leipzig 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 4 3 3 15 14 15 OOUOOU
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9 UOUUOO
15 16 Hamburg 9 4 5 0.4 2.0 0 3 6 4 18 3 OOUOOU
16 17 St Pauli 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 1 2 8 9 18 5 OUUOOO
17 9 Union Berlin 10 6 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 5 10 17 11 UOUUUO
18 12 M'gladbach 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12 OUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10