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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–2 Spezia

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 1.33 fair 1.60
Draw 5.00 fair 5.10
Away ✓ 9.50 fair 5.57
Under 2.5 2.37 fair 2.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Spezia
25 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 1
11 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (212 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 2.22 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawSpezia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 8.8% 2–0 8.8%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
2.19scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 46:23
Spezia before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.00scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 21:41
Milan all matches all matches Spezia

Per match

2.19 Goals scored 1.00
1.10 Goals conceded 1.95
3.29 Total goals 2.95
15.24 Shots 10.86
4.62 Shots on target 3.76
11.10 Shots faced 16.86
4.67 Corners 4.43
4.81 Corners against 5.62
12.38 Fouls 12.90
1.95 Yellow cards 2.29
1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

71% Wins 24%
14% Draws 19%
14% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 76%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
38% Over 3.5 goals 29%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 10%
62% Both teams scored 57%
33% Clean sheets 14%
5% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 24%
14% Draws 38%
29% Losses 38%
90% Over 0.5 goals 67%
52% Over 1.5 goals 24%
19% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Spezia all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.20points / match
1.90scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:9
Spezia before this match, away
0.91points / match
0.91scored / match
2.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:27
Milan at home away Spezia

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 0.91
0.90 Goals conceded 2.45
2.80 Total goals 3.36
16.00 Shots 10.18
3.90 Shots on target 3.82
10.00 Shots faced 17.09
5.20 Corners 4.82
5.00 Corners against 5.73
12.00 Fouls 12.00
1.40 Yellow cards 2.09
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.27

How often Full Time

70% Wins 27%
10% Draws 9%
20% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 82%
40% Over 2.5 goals 64%
40% Over 3.5 goals 36%
20% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 18%
50% Both teams scored 45%
40% Clean sheets 18%
10% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 36%
20% Draws 0%
30% Losses 64%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 36%
30% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Spezia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.01.22 Venezia – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.001.57 1.86 2.04
06.01.22 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
22.12.21 Empoli – Milan 2–4 (1–2) 4.503.901.75 1.57 2.37
19.12.21 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
11.12.21 Udinese – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 1.98 1.92
04.12.21 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62
01.12.21 Genoa – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.004.001.66 1.72 2.10
28.11.21 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
20.11.21 Fiorentina – Milan 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.87 2.03
07.11.21 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Spezia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.01.22 Genoa – Spezia 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.72
06.01.22 Spezia – Verona 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.502.05 1.80 2.00
22.12.21 Napoli – Spezia 0–1 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
19.12.21 Spezia – Empoli 1–1 (0–0) 2.623.752.45 1.57 2.37
13.12.21 Roma – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.53 2.50
05.12.21 Spezia – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.752.05 1.57 2.37
01.12.21 Inter – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
28.11.21 Spezia – Bologna 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.72 2.10
20.11.21 Atalanta – Spezia 5–2 (3–1) 1.256.509.50 1.36 3.20
06.11.21 Spezia – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.72 2.10

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.22 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
19.12.21 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
04.12.21 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62
28.11.21 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
07.11.21 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20
26.10.21 Milan – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.72 2.10
16.10.21 Milan – Verona 3–2 (0–2) 1.554.205.75 1.61 2.30
22.09.21 Milan – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
12.09.21 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20
29.08.21 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Spezia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.01.22 Genoa – Spezia 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.72
22.12.21 Napoli – Spezia 0–1 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
13.12.21 Roma – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.53 2.50
01.12.21 Inter – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
20.11.21 Atalanta – Spezia 5–2 (3–1) 1.256.509.50 1.36 3.20
31.10.21 Fiorentina – Spezia 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.505.75 1.61 2.30
22.10.21 Sampdoria – Spezia 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 1.61 2.30
03.10.21 Verona – Spezia 4–0 (3–0) 1.654.005.25 1.66 2.20
19.09.21 Venezia – Spezia 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.402.90 1.72 2.10
28.08.21 Lazio – Spezia 6–1 (3–1) 1.334.759.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsSpezia wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.09.21I1 Spezia – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 15 5 1 51 16 +35 50
2 Milan 21 15 3 3 46 23 +23 48
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 37 15 +22 43
4 Atalanta 21 12 6 3 44 26 +18 42
5 Juventus 22 12 5 5 34 21 +13 41
6 Roma 22 11 2 9 36 28 +8 35
7 Lazio 22 10 5 7 46 39 +7 35
8 Fiorentina 20 10 2 8 34 29 +5 32
9 Torino 21 9 4 8 29 20 +9 31
10 Verona 22 8 6 8 41 37 +4 30
11 Empoli 22 8 5 9 35 43 -8 29
12 Sassuolo 22 7 7 8 38 37 +1 28
13 Bologna 20 8 3 9 28 33 -5 27
14 Udinese 20 4 8 8 28 36 -8 20
15 Sampdoria 22 5 5 12 29 40 -11 20
16 Spezia 21 5 4 12 21 41 -20 19
17 Venezia 21 4 6 11 19 38 -19 18
18 Cagliari 22 3 7 12 21 43 -22 16
19 Genoa 21 1 9 11 20 39 -19 12
20 Salernitana 20 3 2 15 13 46 -33 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 2 0 27 7 +20 26
2 Torino 11 7 2 2 23 10 +13 23
3 Roma 12 7 2 3 17 12 +5 23
4 Napoli 11 7 1 3 18 7 +11 22
5 Milan 10 7 1 2 19 9 +10 22
6 Lazio 10 6 3 1 28 16 +12 21
7 Juventus 11 6 2 3 14 8 +6 20
8 Fiorentina 9 6 1 2 23 12 +11 19
9 Verona 11 5 2 4 21 16 +5 17
10 Bologna 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
11 Atalanta 10 3 4 3 18 15 +3 13
12 Sassuolo 12 3 4 5 15 19 -4 13
13 Udinese 10 2 5 3 13 18 -5 11
14 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 14 20 -6 10
15 Empoli 11 3 1 7 17 29 -12 10
16 Spezia 10 2 3 5 11 14 -3 9
17 Venezia 11 2 3 6 13 21 -8 9
18 Sampdoria 12 2 3 7 16 25 -9 9
19 Genoa 10 0 4 6 8 18 -10 4
20 Salernitana 10 1 1 8 5 24 -19 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 11 9 2 0 26 11 +15 29
2 Milan 11 8 2 1 27 14 +13 26
3 Inter 11 7 3 1 24 9 +15 24
4 Napoli 10 6 3 1 19 8 +11 21
5 Juventus 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
6 Empoli 11 5 4 2 18 14 +4 19
7 Sassuolo 10 4 3 3 23 18 +5 15
8 Lazio 12 4 2 6 18 23 -5 14
9 Verona 11 3 4 4 20 21 -1 13
10 Fiorentina 11 4 1 6 11 17 -6 13
11 Roma 10 4 0 6 19 16 +3 12
12 Sampdoria 10 3 2 5 13 15 -2 11
13 Bologna 10 3 2 5 12 19 -7 11
14 Spezia 11 3 1 7 10 27 -17 10
15 Udinese 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
16 Venezia 10 2 3 5 6 17 -11 9
17 Torino 10 2 2 6 6 10 -4 8
18 Genoa 11 1 5 5 12 21 -9 8
19 Salernitana 10 2 1 7 8 22 -14 7
20 Cagliari 11 1 3 7 7 23 -16 6

Milan   Spezia

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Lazio 22 4 18 2.1 1.8 10 5 7 46 39 35
2 12 Sassuolo 22 4 18 1.7 1.7 7 7 8 38 37 28
3 10 Verona 22 6 16 1.9 1.7 8 6 8 41 37 30
4 15 Sampdoria 22 6 16 1.3 1.8 5 5 12 29 40 20
5 4 Atalanta 21 6 15 2.1 1.2 12 6 3 44 26 42
6 8 Fiorentina 20 5 15 1.7 1.4 10 2 8 34 29 32
7 11 Empoli 22 7 15 1.6 2.0 8 5 9 35 43 29
8 1 Inter 21 8 13 2.4 0.8 15 5 1 51 16 50
9 18 Cagliari 22 9 13 1.0 2.0 3 7 12 21 43 16
10 2 Milan 21 9 12 2.2 1.1 15 3 3 46 23 48
11 6 Roma 22 10 12 1.6 1.3 11 2 9 36 28 35
12 13 Bologna 20 8 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 9 28 33 27
13 16 Spezia 21 9 12 1.0 2.0 5 4 12 21 41 19
14 19 Genoa 21 9 12 1.0 1.9 1 9 11 20 39 12
15 20 Salernitana 20 8 12 0.7 2.3 3 2 15 13 46 11
16 3 Napoli 21 11 10 1.8 0.7 13 4 4 37 15 43
17 9 Torino 21 11 10 1.4 1.0 9 4 8 29 20 31
18 14 Udinese 20 10 10 1.4 1.8 4 8 8 28 36 20
19 17 Venezia 21 11 10 0.9 1.8 4 6 11 19 38 18
20 5 Juventus 22 15 7 1.5 1.0 12 5 5 34 21 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Empoli 11 1 10 1.5 2.6 3 1 7 17 29 10
2 15 Sampdoria 12 2 10 1.3 2.1 2 3 7 16 25 9
3 8 Fiorentina 9 0 9 2.6 1.3 6 1 2 23 12 19
4 10 Verona 11 2 9 1.9 1.5 5 2 4 21 16 17
5 7 Lazio 10 2 8 2.8 1.6 6 3 1 28 16 21
6 9 Torino 11 3 8 2.1 0.9 7 2 2 23 10 23
7 12 Sassuolo 12 4 8 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 15 19 13
8 4 Atalanta 10 3 7 1.8 1.5 3 4 3 18 15 13
9 18 Cagliari 11 4 7 1.3 1.8 2 4 5 14 20 10
10 1 Inter 10 4 6 2.7 0.7 8 2 0 27 7 26
11 17 Venezia 11 5 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 6 13 21 9
12 19 Genoa 10 4 6 0.8 1.8 0 4 6 8 18 4
13 6 Roma 12 7 5 1.4 1.0 7 2 3 17 12 23
14 13 Bologna 10 5 5 1.6 1.4 5 1 4 16 14 16
15 14 Udinese 10 5 5 1.3 1.8 2 5 3 13 18 11
16 16 Spezia 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 5 11 14 9
17 20 Salernitana 10 5 5 0.5 2.4 1 1 8 5 24 4
18 2 Milan 10 6 4 1.9 0.9 7 1 2 19 9 22
19 3 Napoli 11 7 4 1.6 0.6 7 1 3 18 7 22
20 5 Juventus 11 9 2 1.3 0.7 6 2 3 14 8 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Lazio 12 2 10 1.5 1.9 4 2 6 18 23 14
2 12 Sassuolo 10 0 10 2.3 1.8 4 3 3 23 18 15
3 2 Milan 11 3 8 2.5 1.3 8 2 1 27 14 26
4 4 Atalanta 11 3 8 2.4 1.0 9 2 0 26 11 29
5 1 Inter 11 4 7 2.2 0.8 7 3 1 24 9 24
6 6 Roma 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 0 6 19 16 12
7 10 Verona 11 4 7 1.8 1.9 3 4 4 20 21 13
8 13 Bologna 10 3 7 1.2 1.9 3 2 5 12 19 11
9 16 Spezia 11 4 7 0.9 2.5 3 1 7 10 27 10
10 20 Salernitana 10 3 7 0.8 2.2 2 1 7 8 22 7
11 3 Napoli 10 4 6 1.9 0.8 6 3 1 19 8 21
12 8 Fiorentina 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 4 1 6 11 17 13
13 15 Sampdoria 10 4 6 1.3 1.5 3 2 5 13 15 11
14 18 Cagliari 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 1 3 7 7 23 6
15 19 Genoa 11 5 6 1.1 1.9 1 5 5 12 21 8
16 5 Juventus 11 6 5 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
17 11 Empoli 11 6 5 1.6 1.3 5 4 2 18 14 19
18 14 Udinese 10 5 5 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
19 17 Venezia 10 6 4 0.6 1.7 2 3 5 6 17 9
20 9 Torino 10 8 2 0.6 1.0 2 2 6 6 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51