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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Salernitana 1–2 Milan

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 7.00 fair 2.74
Draw 4.33 fair 3.98
Away ✓ 1.45 fair 2.60
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Salernitana Milan
8 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 10
6 Corners 2
21 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
SalernitanaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.5% 1–2 8.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Salernitana before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.27scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:24
Milan before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
1.93scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:15
Salernitana all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 1.93
1.60 Goals conceded 1.00
2.87 Total goals 2.93
11.20 Shots 16.67
3.47 Shots on target 5.13
15.27 Shots faced 11.27
3.87 Corners 4.87
4.53 Corners against 3.87
11.60 Fouls 12.07
2.27 Yellow cards 2.53
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

27% Wins 67%
33% Draws 20%
40% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 87%
80% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 73%
20% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 33%
27% Draws 53%
47% Losses 13%
80% Over 0.5 goals 73%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Salernitana all matches
Milan all matches
Salernitana before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:8
Milan before this match, away
1.71points / match
1.29scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:6
Salernitana at home away Milan

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.29
1.14 Goals conceded 0.86
2.86 Total goals 2.14
12.43 Shots 15.14
3.71 Shots on target 4.43
14.00 Shots faced 11.00
3.86 Corners 4.71
4.57 Corners against 4.14
12.14 Fouls 10.57
2.29 Yellow cards 2.29
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%
29% Draws 43%
29% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
43% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 57%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Salernitana at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Salernitana all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.253.60 1.90 2.00
09.11.22 Fiorentina – Salernitana 2–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.25 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Salernitana – Cremonese 2–2 (2–1) 2.153.603.30 2.04 1.86
30.10.22 Lazio – Salernitana 1–3 (1–0) 1.504.506.50 1.66 2.20
22.10.22 Salernitana – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Inter – Salernitana 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.50 2.62
09.10.22 Salernitana – Verona 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.87 1.86 2.04
02.10.22 Sassuolo – Salernitana 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.753.50 1.66 2.20
16.09.22 Salernitana – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.06 1.84
11.09.22 Juventus – Salernitana 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10

Salernitana at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Salernitana – Cremonese 2–2 (2–1) 2.153.603.30 2.04 1.86
22.10.22 Salernitana – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.90
09.10.22 Salernitana – Verona 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.87 1.86 2.04
16.09.22 Salernitana – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.06 1.84
05.09.22 Salernitana – Empoli 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
28.08.22 Salernitana – Sampdoria 4–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.03 1.87
14.08.22 Salernitana – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Salernitana – Udinese 0–4 (0–3) 1.704.004.75 1.61 2.30
08.05.22 Salernitana – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.403.00 2.04 1.86
05.05.22 Salernitana – Venezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.50 1.90 2.00

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
08.05.22 Verona – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.72 2.10
24.04.22 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Salernitana winsDrawsMilan wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22I1 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 9.005.001.36 1.66 2.20
04.12.21I1 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 15 13 2 0 37 12 +25 41
2 Milan 15 10 3 2 29 15 +14 33
3 Juventus 15 9 4 2 24 7 +17 31
4 Lazio 15 9 3 3 26 11 +15 30
5 Inter 15 10 0 5 34 22 +12 30
6 Atalanta 15 8 3 4 22 15 +7 27
7 Roma 15 8 3 4 18 14 +4 27
8 Udinese 15 6 6 3 24 17 +7 24
9 Torino 15 6 3 6 16 17 -1 21
10 Fiorentina 15 5 4 6 18 20 -2 19
11 Bologna 15 5 4 6 20 25 -5 19
12 Salernitana 15 4 5 6 19 24 -5 17
13 Empoli 15 4 5 6 12 19 -7 17
14 Monza 15 5 1 9 16 22 -6 16
15 Sassuolo 15 4 4 7 15 22 -7 16
16 Lecce 15 3 6 6 14 17 -3 15
17 Spezia 15 3 4 8 14 26 -12 13
18 Cremonese 15 0 7 8 11 26 -15 7
19 Sampdoria 15 1 3 11 6 27 -21 6
20 Verona 15 1 2 12 12 29 -17 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 7 1 0 21 6 +15 22
2 Milan 8 7 0 1 20 9 +11 21
3 Juventus 8 6 2 0 20 3 +17 20
4 Inter 7 6 0 1 19 4 +15 18
5 Lazio 8 5 1 2 14 7 +7 16
6 Bologna 8 4 3 1 12 6 +6 15
7 Udinese 7 3 3 1 12 6 +6 12
8 Monza 8 4 0 4 11 8 +3 12
9 Salernitana 7 3 2 2 12 8 +4 11
10 Sassuolo 7 3 2 2 11 7 +4 11
11 Torino 7 3 2 2 6 4 +2 11
12 Atalanta 8 3 2 3 11 11 0 11
13 Fiorentina 7 3 2 2 11 12 -1 11
14 Empoli 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
15 Roma 7 3 1 3 7 5 +2 10
16 Spezia 7 2 4 1 11 10 +1 10
17 Lecce 7 1 4 2 7 8 -1 7
18 Verona 8 1 0 7 8 17 -9 3
19 Cremonese 7 0 3 4 2 11 -9 3
20 Sampdoria 8 0 2 6 2 13 -11 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 7 6 1 0 16 6 +10 19
2 Roma 8 5 2 1 11 9 +2 17
3 Atalanta 7 5 1 1 11 4 +7 16
4 Lazio 7 4 2 1 12 4 +8 14
5 Milan 7 3 3 1 9 6 +3 12
6 Udinese 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
7 Inter 8 4 0 4 15 18 -3 12
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 4 4 0 11
9 Torino 8 3 1 4 10 13 -3 10
10 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 7 8 -1 8
11 Lecce 8 2 2 4 7 9 -2 8
12 Empoli 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
13 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
14 Sassuolo 8 1 2 5 4 15 -11 5
15 Cremonese 8 0 4 4 9 15 -6 4
16 Monza 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
17 Sampdoria 7 1 1 5 4 14 -10 4
18 Bologna 7 1 1 5 8 19 -11 4
19 Spezia 8 1 0 7 3 16 -13 3
20 Verona 7 0 2 5 4 12 -8 2

Salernitana   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Inter 15 3 12 2.3 1.5 10 0 5 34 22 30
2 1 Napoli 15 5 10 2.5 0.8 13 2 0 37 12 41
3 2 Milan 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 10 3 2 29 15 33
4 12 Salernitana 15 5 10 1.3 1.6 4 5 6 19 24 17
5 8 Udinese 15 6 9 1.6 1.1 6 6 3 24 17 24
6 11 Bologna 15 6 9 1.3 1.7 5 4 6 20 25 19
7 15 Sassuolo 15 6 9 1.0 1.5 4 4 7 15 22 16
8 17 Spezia 15 6 9 0.9 1.7 3 4 8 14 26 13
9 4 Lazio 15 7 8 1.7 0.7 9 3 3 26 11 30
10 14 Monza 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 1 9 16 22 16
11 20 Verona 15 7 8 0.8 1.9 1 2 12 12 29 5
12 9 Torino 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 17 21
13 10 Fiorentina 15 8 7 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 20 19
14 18 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 0 7 8 11 26 7
15 6 Atalanta 15 9 6 1.5 1.0 8 3 4 22 15 27
16 7 Roma 15 9 6 1.2 0.9 8 3 4 18 14 27
17 19 Sampdoria 15 9 6 0.4 1.8 1 3 11 6 27 6
18 3 Juventus 15 10 5 1.6 0.5 9 4 2 24 7 31
19 13 Empoli 15 11 4 0.8 1.3 4 5 6 12 19 17
20 16 Lecce 15 11 4 0.9 1.1 3 6 6 14 17 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 7 0 1 20 9 21
2 20 Verona 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 0 7 8 17 3
3 1 Napoli 8 3 5 2.6 0.8 7 1 0 21 6 22
4 3 Juventus 8 3 5 2.5 0.4 6 2 0 20 3 20
5 4 Lazio 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 1 2 14 7 16
6 5 Inter 7 2 5 2.7 0.6 6 0 1 19 4 18
7 12 Salernitana 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 3 2 2 12 8 11
8 17 Spezia 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 2 4 1 11 10 10
9 6 Atalanta 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 2 3 11 11 11
10 8 Udinese 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 3 3 1 12 6 12
11 10 Fiorentina 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 3 2 2 11 12 11
12 14 Monza 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 4 0 4 11 8 12
13 15 Sassuolo 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 3 2 2 11 7 11
14 11 Bologna 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 4 3 1 12 6 15
15 18 Cremonese 7 4 3 0.3 1.6 0 3 4 2 11 3
16 7 Roma 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 1 3 7 5 10
17 13 Empoli 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
18 16 Lecce 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 2 7 8 7
19 19 Sampdoria 8 6 2 0.2 1.6 0 2 6 2 13 2
20 9 Torino 7 6 1 0.9 0.6 3 2 2 6 4 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Inter 8 1 7 1.9 2.2 4 0 4 15 18 12
2 9 Torino 8 2 6 1.2 1.6 3 1 4 10 13 10
3 11 Bologna 7 1 6 1.1 2.7 1 1 5 8 19 4
4 1 Napoli 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 6 1 0 16 6 19
5 8 Udinese 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
6 12 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
7 15 Sassuolo 8 3 5 0.5 1.9 1 2 5 4 15 5
8 2 Milan 7 3 4 1.3 0.9 3 3 1 9 6 12
9 7 Roma 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 1 11 9 17
10 14 Monza 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
11 17 Spezia 8 4 4 0.4 2.0 1 0 7 3 16 3
12 18 Cremonese 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 0 4 4 9 15 4
13 19 Sampdoria 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 5 4 14 4
14 4 Lazio 7 4 3 1.7 0.6 4 2 1 12 4 14
15 10 Fiorentina 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 2 2 4 7 8 8
16 6 Atalanta 7 5 2 1.6 0.6 5 1 1 11 4 16
17 13 Empoli 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
18 16 Lecce 8 6 2 0.9 1.1 2 2 4 7 9 8
19 20 Verona 7 5 2 0.6 1.7 0 2 5 4 12 2
20 3 Juventus 7 7 0 0.6 0.6 3 2 2 4 4 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51