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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 3–2 Spezia

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.67
Draw 5.00 fair 4.54
Away 8.00 fair 5.51
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Spezia
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
12 Corners 3
8 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (320 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.89 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawSpezia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.2% 2–0 10.6% 1–1 10.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.66scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 53:37
Spezia before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.81scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 26:51
Atalanta all matches all matches Spezia

Per match

1.66 Goals scored 0.81
1.16 Goals conceded 1.59
2.81 Total goals 2.41
13.13 Shots 10.91
4.66 Shots on target 3.28
12.00 Shots faced 16.44
4.81 Corners 4.97
3.94 Corners against 5.34
12.22 Fouls 13.59
2.41 Yellow cards 2.63
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

50% Wins 16%
22% Draws 38%
28% Losses 47%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
84% Over 1.5 goals 78%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
25% Over 3.5 goals 22%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 47%
28% Clean sheets 13%
19% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 19%
31% Draws 41%
28% Losses 41%
75% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 34%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Spezia all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 27:19
Spezia before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:25
Atalanta at home away Spezia

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.67
1.27 Goals conceded 1.67
3.07 Total goals 2.33
15.47 Shots 10.53
5.47 Shots on target 3.00
10.40 Shots faced 17.07
5.67 Corners 5.00
3.27 Corners against 5.73
11.73 Fouls 14.07
2.27 Yellow cards 2.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

47% Wins 13%
20% Draws 27%
33% Losses 60%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
87% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 40%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 7%
20% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 13%
40% Draws 33%
27% Losses 53%
73% Over 0.5 goals 80%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Spezia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23 Torino – Atalanta 1–2 (0–1) 2.883.302.45 2.00 1.80
24.04.23 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
17.04.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
08.04.23 Atalanta – Bologna 0–2 (0–0) 1.653.805.50 2.02 1.88
01.04.23 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–3 (0–1) 5.503.801.67 1.84 2.06
17.03.23 Atalanta – Empoli 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.507.50 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
04.03.23 Atalanta – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02

Spezia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.23 Spezia – Monza 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
22.04.23 Sampdoria – Spezia 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.04.23 Spezia – Lazio 0–3 (0–1) 5.253.601.70 2.10 1.73
08.04.23 Fiorentina – Spezia 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Spezia – Salernitana 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.20 2.10 1.73
17.03.23 Sassuolo – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.754.50 1.73 2.10
10.03.23 Spezia – Inter 2–1 (0–0) 8.004.601.40 1.73 2.10
05.03.23 Spezia – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
26.02.23 Udinese – Spezia 2–2 (1–1) 1.623.805.75 1.88 2.02
19.02.23 Spezia – Juventus 0–2 (0–1) 6.003.751.62 2.07 1.83

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.23 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
08.04.23 Atalanta – Bologna 0–2 (0–0) 1.653.805.50 2.02 1.88
17.03.23 Atalanta – Empoli 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.507.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Atalanta – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
28.01.23 Atalanta – Sampdoria 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
15.01.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 8–2 (5–1) 1.405.007.00 1.57 2.38
13.11.22 Atalanta – Inter 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.752.20 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (1–2) 3.303.602.15 1.66 2.20
23.10.22 Atalanta – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.72 2.10

Spezia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Sampdoria – Spezia 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
08.04.23 Fiorentina – Spezia 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
17.03.23 Sassuolo – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.754.50 1.73 2.10
26.02.23 Udinese – Spezia 2–2 (1–1) 1.623.805.75 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Empoli – Spezia 2–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
27.01.23 Bologna – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.67
15.01.23 Torino – Spezia 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.50 2.07 1.83
13.11.22 Verona – Spezia 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.92 1.98
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
22.10.22 Salernitana – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 2.00 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsSpezia wins
3matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23I1 Spezia – Atalanta 2–2 (2–0) 4.753.801.67 1.73 2.10
08.05.22I1 Spezia – Atalanta 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.53 2.50
20.11.21I1 Atalanta – Spezia 5–2 (3–1) 1.256.509.50 1.36 3.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 32 25 4 3 68 22 +46 79
2 Lazio 32 18 7 7 50 24 +26 61
3 Juventus 32 18 6 8 48 27 +21 60
4 Inter 32 18 3 11 54 35 +19 57
5 Milan 32 16 9 7 52 38 +14 57
6 Roma 32 17 6 9 44 30 +14 57
7 Atalanta 32 16 7 9 53 37 +16 55
8 Fiorentina 32 12 9 11 42 36 +6 45
9 Bologna 32 12 9 11 41 40 +1 45
10 Monza 32 12 8 12 40 43 -3 44
11 Sassuolo 32 12 7 13 40 47 -7 43
12 Udinese 32 10 12 10 42 40 +2 42
13 Torino 32 11 9 12 33 38 -5 42
14 Salernitana 32 7 13 12 38 51 -13 34
15 Empoli 32 7 11 14 26 42 -16 32
16 Lecce 32 7 10 15 27 38 -11 31
17 Verona 32 6 9 17 27 45 -18 27
18 Spezia 32 5 12 15 26 51 -25 27
19 Cremonese 32 3 11 18 28 58 -30 20
20 Sampdoria 32 3 8 21 20 57 -37 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 16 11 3 2 34 13 +21 36
2 Napoli 16 11 3 2 34 14 +20 36
3 Inter 17 12 0 5 30 10 +20 36
4 Milan 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
5 Roma 16 10 2 4 24 10 +14 32
6 Lazio 16 9 3 4 25 14 +11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 7 3 22 12 +10 28
8 Fiorentina 17 7 6 4 26 21 +5 27
9 Sassuolo 16 8 3 5 21 17 +4 27
10 Atalanta 15 7 3 5 27 19 +8 24
11 Udinese 15 5 8 2 27 17 +10 23
12 Monza 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
13 Salernitana 16 5 5 6 23 21 +2 20
14 Torino 16 5 5 6 13 16 -3 20
15 Verona 16 6 2 8 19 24 -5 20
16 Empoli 15 5 4 6 13 18 -5 19
17 Spezia 17 3 8 6 16 26 -10 17
18 Lecce 16 3 7 6 16 20 -4 16
19 Cremonese 16 2 4 10 10 26 -16 10
20 Sampdoria 16 1 5 10 9 23 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 16 14 1 1 34 8 +26 43
2 Lazio 16 9 4 3 25 10 +15 31
3 Atalanta 17 9 4 4 26 18 +8 31
4 Roma 16 7 4 5 20 20 0 25
5 Milan 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24
6 Juventus 16 7 3 6 14 14 0 24
7 Torino 16 6 4 6 20 22 -2 22
8 Monza 16 6 4 6 18 23 -5 22
9 Inter 15 6 3 6 24 25 -1 21
10 Udinese 17 5 4 8 15 23 -8 19
11 Fiorentina 15 5 3 7 16 15 +1 18
12 Bologna 15 5 2 8 19 28 -9 17
13 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 19 30 -11 16
14 Lecce 16 4 3 9 11 18 -7 15
15 Salernitana 16 2 8 6 15 30 -15 14
16 Empoli 17 2 7 8 13 24 -11 13
17 Cremonese 16 1 7 8 18 32 -14 10
18 Spezia 15 2 4 9 10 25 -15 10
19 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 11 34 -23 9
20 Verona 16 0 7 9 8 21 -13 7

Atalanta   Spezia

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 32 14 18 1.7 1.1 18 3 11 54 35 57
2 5 Milan 32 14 18 1.6 1.2 16 9 7 52 38 57
3 11 Sassuolo 32 14 18 1.2 1.5 12 7 13 40 47 43
4 12 Udinese 32 14 18 1.3 1.2 10 12 10 42 40 42
5 1 Napoli 32 15 17 2.1 0.7 25 4 3 68 22 79
6 14 Salernitana 32 15 17 1.2 1.6 7 13 12 38 51 34
7 9 Bologna 32 16 16 1.3 1.2 12 9 11 41 40 45
8 19 Cremonese 32 16 16 0.9 1.8 3 11 18 28 58 20
9 7 Atalanta 32 17 15 1.7 1.2 16 7 9 53 37 55
10 10 Monza 32 17 15 1.2 1.3 12 8 12 40 43 44
11 18 Spezia 32 17 15 0.8 1.6 5 12 15 26 51 27
12 2 Lazio 32 18 14 1.6 0.8 18 7 7 50 24 61
13 20 Sampdoria 32 18 14 0.6 1.8 3 8 21 20 57 17
14 6 Roma 32 19 13 1.4 0.9 17 6 9 44 30 57
15 8 Fiorentina 32 19 13 1.3 1.1 12 9 11 42 36 45
16 13 Torino 32 20 12 1.0 1.2 11 9 12 33 38 42
17 17 Verona 32 20 12 0.8 1.4 6 9 17 27 45 27
18 3 Juventus 32 21 11 1.5 0.8 18 6 8 48 27 60
19 15 Empoli 32 21 11 0.8 1.3 7 11 14 26 42 32
20 16 Lecce 32 23 9 0.8 1.2 7 10 15 27 38 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Udinese 15 5 10 1.8 1.1 5 8 2 27 17 23
2 14 Salernitana 16 6 10 1.4 1.3 5 5 6 23 21 20
3 1 Napoli 16 7 9 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 34 14 36
4 17 Verona 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 6 2 8 19 24 20
5 18 Spezia 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 3 8 6 16 26 17
6 2 Lazio 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 9 3 4 25 14 30
7 3 Juventus 16 8 8 2.1 0.8 11 3 2 34 13 36
8 5 Milan 15 7 8 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
9 7 Atalanta 15 7 8 1.8 1.3 7 3 5 27 19 24
10 8 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.5 1.2 7 6 4 26 21 27
11 10 Monza 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
12 4 Inter 17 10 7 1.8 0.6 12 0 5 30 10 36
13 11 Sassuolo 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 8 3 5 21 17 27
14 19 Cremonese 16 9 7 0.6 1.6 2 4 10 10 26 10
15 16 Lecce 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 3 7 6 16 20 16
16 6 Roma 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 10 2 4 24 10 32
17 9 Bologna 17 12 5 1.3 0.7 7 7 3 22 12 28
18 15 Empoli 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 5 4 6 13 18 19
19 20 Sampdoria 16 11 5 0.6 1.4 1 5 10 9 23 8
20 13 Torino 16 12 4 0.8 1.0 5 5 6 13 16 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 6 3 6 24 25 21
2 9 Bologna 15 4 11 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 19 28 17
3 11 Sassuolo 16 5 11 1.2 1.9 4 4 8 19 30 16
4 5 Milan 17 7 10 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24
5 19 Cremonese 16 7 9 1.1 2.0 1 7 8 18 32 10
6 20 Sampdoria 16 7 9 0.7 2.1 2 3 11 11 34 9
7 1 Napoli 16 8 8 2.1 0.5 14 1 1 34 8 43
8 6 Roma 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 7 4 5 20 20 25
9 12 Udinese 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 8 15 23 19
10 13 Torino 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 6 20 22 22
11 7 Atalanta 17 10 7 1.5 1.1 9 4 4 26 18 31
12 10 Monza 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 6 4 6 18 23 22
13 14 Salernitana 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 2 8 6 15 30 14
14 2 Lazio 16 10 6 1.6 0.6 9 4 3 25 10 31
15 15 Empoli 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 2 7 8 13 24 13
16 18 Spezia 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 4 9 10 25 10
17 8 Fiorentina 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 5 3 7 16 15 18
18 3 Juventus 16 13 3 0.9 0.9 7 3 6 14 14 24
19 16 Lecce 16 13 3 0.7 1.1 4 3 9 11 18 15
20 17 Verona 16 13 3 0.5 1.3 0 7 9 8 21 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51