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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 2–0 Atalanta

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.53
Draw 3.40 fair 4.19
Away 3.40 fair 2.73
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.96 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 1.94 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Atalanta
13 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 0
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
1.70scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 39:30
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.83scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 42:26
Milan all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.83
1.30 Goals conceded 1.13
3.00 Total goals 2.96
14.65 Shots 13.83
5.09 Shots on target 5.00
11.43 Shots faced 12.13
4.09 Corners 4.48
4.70 Corners against 4.13
12.65 Fouls 12.39
2.70 Yellow cards 2.43
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

57% Wins 52%
22% Draws 22%
22% Losses 26%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 83%
65% Over 2.5 goals 48%
35% Over 3.5 goals 26%
17% Over 4.5 goals 13%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
65% Both teams scored 57%
26% Clean sheets 35%
17% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 39%
39% Draws 30%
26% Losses 30%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
43% Over 1.5 goals 30%
9% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Atalanta all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.27points / match
2.27scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 25:16
Atalanta before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:11
Milan at home away Atalanta

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 1.67
1.45 Goals conceded 0.92
3.73 Total goals 2.58
15.91 Shots 12.67
5.45 Shots on target 4.50
11.36 Shots faced 13.33
4.36 Corners 4.33
4.00 Corners against 4.58
13.55 Fouls 12.75
3.09 Yellow cards 2.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

73% Wins 58%
9% Draws 25%
18% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 75%
73% Over 2.5 goals 42%
45% Over 3.5 goals 25%
36% Over 4.5 goals 8%
18% Over 5.5 goals 8%
73% Both teams scored 42%
27% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 42%
45% Draws 25%
9% Losses 33%
82% Over 0.5 goals 75%
45% Over 1.5 goals 25%
18% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.403.00 1.90 2.00
04.02.23 Sassuolo – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.91 1.57 2.38
28.01.23 Atalanta – Sampdoria 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
22.01.23 Juventus – Atalanta 3–3 (2–1) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.85
15.01.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 8–2 (5–1) 1.405.007.00 1.57 2.38
09.01.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 1.92 1.98
04.01.23 Spezia – Atalanta 2–2 (2–0) 4.753.801.67 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Atalanta – Inter 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.752.20 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.403.00 1.90 2.00
04.02.23 Sassuolo – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.91 1.57 2.38
22.01.23 Juventus – Atalanta 3–3 (2–1) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.85
09.01.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 1.92 1.98
04.01.23 Spezia – Atalanta 2–2 (2–0) 4.753.801.67 1.73 2.10
09.11.22 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84
30.10.22 Empoli – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.801.80 1.80 2.00
09.10.22 Udinese – Atalanta 2–2 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 1.88 2.02
18.09.22 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03
05.09.22 Monza – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.66 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsAtalanta wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.22I1 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
15.05.22I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
03.10.21I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 24 21 2 1 58 15 +43 65
2 Juventus 23 14 5 4 36 17 +19 47
3 Inter 24 15 2 7 44 28 +16 47
4 Roma 23 13 5 5 30 19 +11 44
5 Milan 23 13 5 5 39 30 +9 44
6 Lazio 23 12 6 5 39 19 +20 42
7 Atalanta 23 12 5 6 42 26 +16 41
8 Bologna 24 10 5 9 31 33 -2 35
9 Udinese 24 7 10 7 33 30 +3 31
10 Torino 23 8 7 8 24 25 -1 31
11 Monza 24 8 5 11 28 34 -6 29
12 Empoli 24 6 10 8 22 31 -9 28
13 Lecce 24 6 9 9 24 27 -3 27
14 Sassuolo 24 7 6 11 27 35 -8 27
15 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 24 30 -6 25
16 Salernitana 24 6 6 12 28 44 -16 24
17 Spezia 24 4 8 12 21 41 -20 20
18 Verona 23 4 5 14 20 34 -14 17
19 Sampdoria 23 2 5 16 11 38 -27 11
20 Cremonese 23 0 9 14 17 42 -25 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 11 10 1 0 31 8 +23 31
2 Inter 12 10 0 2 25 6 +19 30
3 Juventus 12 8 3 1 25 8 +17 27
4 Milan 11 8 1 2 25 16 +9 25
5 Roma 11 7 1 3 13 5 +8 22
6 Bologna 13 6 4 3 17 10 +7 22
7 Lazio 12 6 3 3 21 12 +9 21
8 Atalanta 11 5 2 4 22 15 +7 17
9 Udinese 12 3 7 2 19 14 +5 16
10 Torino 11 4 4 3 10 8 +2 16
11 Fiorentina 12 4 4 4 16 18 -2 16
12 Empoli 12 4 4 4 12 14 -2 16
13 Monza 12 4 3 5 16 14 +2 15
14 Salernitana 13 4 3 6 17 18 -1 15
15 Sassuolo 11 4 2 5 13 13 0 14
16 Verona 12 4 1 7 14 18 -4 13
17 Lecce 12 2 6 4 13 15 -2 12
18 Spezia 12 2 6 4 13 19 -6 12
19 Cremonese 11 0 3 8 5 19 -14 3
20 Sampdoria 12 0 3 9 3 18 -15 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 13 11 1 1 27 7 +20 34
2 Atalanta 12 7 3 2 20 11 +9 24
3 Roma 12 6 4 2 17 14 +3 22
4 Lazio 11 6 3 2 18 7 +11 21
5 Juventus 11 6 2 3 11 9 +2 20
6 Milan 12 5 4 3 14 14 0 19
7 Inter 12 5 2 5 19 22 -3 17
8 Lecce 12 4 3 5 11 12 -1 15
9 Udinese 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15
10 Torino 12 4 3 5 14 17 -3 15
11 Monza 12 4 2 6 12 20 -8 14
12 Sassuolo 13 3 4 6 14 22 -8 13
13 Bologna 11 4 1 6 14 23 -9 13
14 Empoli 12 2 6 4 10 17 -7 12
15 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 8 12 -4 9
16 Salernitana 11 2 3 6 11 26 -15 9
17 Sampdoria 11 2 2 7 8 20 -12 8
18 Spezia 12 2 2 8 8 22 -14 8
19 Cremonese 12 0 6 6 12 23 -11 6
20 Verona 11 0 4 7 6 16 -10 4

Milan   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 24 9 15 1.8 1.2 15 2 7 44 28 47
2 5 Milan 23 8 15 1.7 1.3 13 5 5 39 30 44
3 16 Salernitana 24 9 15 1.2 1.8 6 6 12 28 44 24
4 1 Napoli 24 10 14 2.4 0.6 21 2 1 58 15 65
5 8 Bologna 24 11 13 1.3 1.4 10 5 9 31 33 35
6 9 Udinese 24 11 13 1.4 1.2 7 10 7 33 30 31
7 14 Sassuolo 24 11 13 1.1 1.5 7 6 11 27 35 27
8 17 Spezia 24 11 13 0.9 1.7 4 8 12 21 41 20
9 11 Monza 24 12 12 1.2 1.4 8 5 11 28 34 29
10 6 Lazio 23 12 11 1.7 0.8 12 6 5 39 19 42
11 7 Atalanta 23 12 11 1.8 1.1 12 5 6 42 26 41
12 20 Cremonese 23 12 11 0.7 1.8 0 9 14 17 42 9
13 10 Torino 23 14 9 1.0 1.1 8 7 8 24 25 31
14 15 Fiorentina 23 14 9 1.0 1.3 6 7 10 24 30 25
15 19 Sampdoria 23 14 9 0.5 1.7 2 5 16 11 38 11
16 2 Juventus 23 15 8 1.6 0.7 14 5 4 36 17 47
17 4 Roma 23 15 8 1.3 0.8 13 5 5 30 19 44
18 13 Lecce 24 16 8 1.0 1.1 6 9 9 24 27 27
19 18 Verona 23 15 8 0.9 1.5 4 5 14 20 34 17
20 12 Empoli 24 17 7 0.9 1.3 6 10 8 22 31 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Napoli 11 3 8 2.8 0.7 10 1 0 31 8 31
2 5 Milan 11 3 8 2.3 1.5 8 1 2 25 16 25
3 16 Salernitana 13 5 8 1.3 1.4 4 3 6 17 18 15
4 6 Lazio 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 6 3 3 21 12 21
5 9 Udinese 12 5 7 1.6 1.2 3 7 2 19 14 16
6 17 Spezia 12 5 7 1.1 1.6 2 6 4 13 19 12
7 2 Juventus 12 6 6 2.1 0.7 8 3 1 25 8 27
8 3 Inter 12 6 6 2.1 0.5 10 0 2 25 6 30
9 7 Atalanta 11 5 6 2.0 1.4 5 2 4 22 15 17
10 11 Monza 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 4 3 5 16 14 15
11 15 Fiorentina 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 4 4 4 16 18 16
12 18 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 4 1 7 14 18 13
13 13 Lecce 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 2 6 4 13 15 12
14 14 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 5 13 13 14
15 20 Cremonese 11 6 5 0.5 1.7 0 3 8 5 19 3
16 8 Bologna 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 4 3 17 10 22
17 12 Empoli 12 8 4 1.0 1.2 4 4 4 12 14 16
18 19 Sampdoria 12 9 3 0.2 1.5 0 3 9 3 18 3
19 4 Roma 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 7 1 3 13 5 22
20 10 Torino 11 9 2 0.9 0.7 4 4 3 10 8 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 5 2 5 19 22 17
2 8 Bologna 11 2 9 1.3 2.1 4 1 6 14 23 13
3 14 Sassuolo 13 5 8 1.1 1.7 3 4 6 14 22 13
4 5 Milan 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 5 4 3 14 14 19
5 10 Torino 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 3 5 14 17 15
6 16 Salernitana 11 4 7 1.0 2.4 2 3 6 11 26 9
7 1 Napoli 13 7 6 2.1 0.5 11 1 1 27 7 34
8 4 Roma 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 6 4 2 17 14 22
9 9 Udinese 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15
10 11 Monza 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 4 2 6 12 20 14
11 17 Spezia 12 6 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 8 8 22 8
12 19 Sampdoria 11 5 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 7 8 20 8
13 20 Cremonese 12 6 6 1.0 1.9 0 6 6 12 23 6
14 7 Atalanta 12 7 5 1.7 0.9 7 3 2 20 11 24
15 6 Lazio 11 7 4 1.6 0.6 6 3 2 18 7 21
16 12 Empoli 12 9 3 0.8 1.4 2 6 4 10 17 12
17 13 Lecce 12 9 3 0.9 1.0 4 3 5 11 12 15
18 15 Fiorentina 11 8 3 0.7 1.1 2 3 6 8 12 9
19 2 Juventus 11 9 2 1.0 0.8 6 2 3 11 9 20
20 18 Verona 11 9 2 0.5 1.5 0 4 7 6 16 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51