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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Parma 1–3 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.15 fair 2.03
Draw 3.40 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.76
Under 2.5 2.04 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.86 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Parma Lecce
19 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 2
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Parma to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
ParmaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Parma before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.27scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 28:39
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
0.68scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 15:40
Parma all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.68
1.77 Goals conceded 1.82
3.05 Total goals 2.50
12.41 Shots 11.82
4.00 Shots on target 3.45
15.41 Shots faced 14.45
5.14 Corners 3.82
6.45 Corners against 6.27
9.64 Fouls 12.14
2.00 Yellow cards 1.59
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

18% Wins 23%
36% Draws 23%
45% Losses 55%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 45%
45% Over 3.5 goals 32%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
77% Both teams scored 36%
9% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 23%
41% Draws 45%
32% Losses 32%
77% Over 0.5 goals 59%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma all matches
Lecce all matches
Parma before this match, at home
1.09points / match
1.55scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:19
Lecce before this match, away
0.64points / match
0.55scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 6:19
Parma at home away Lecce

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.55
1.73 Goals conceded 1.73
3.27 Total goals 2.27
13.27 Shots 10.36
4.27 Shots on target 3.09
13.91 Shots faced 16.00
4.73 Corners 3.27
5.64 Corners against 7.18
10.55 Fouls 13.27
2.18 Yellow cards 2.18
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%
27% Draws 9%
45% Losses 73%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
91% Over 1.5 goals 55%
64% Over 2.5 goals 36%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
91% Both teams scored 27%
0% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
27% Draws 64%
36% Losses 18%
82% Over 0.5 goals 45%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
19.01.25 Parma – Venezia 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.703.10 1.73 2.10
12.01.25 Genoa – Parma 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.91 1.99
05.01.25 Torino – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.01 1.89
28.12.24 Parma – Monza 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
22.12.24 Roma – Parma 5–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.25 1.62 2.30
15.12.24 Parma – Verona 2–3 (1–1) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
06.12.24 Inter – Parma 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.33 3.40
01.12.24 Parma – Lazio 3–1 (1–0) 4.203.801.80 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–2) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85
11.01.25 Empoli – Lecce 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.104.33 2.50 1.53
05.01.25 Lecce – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.38 1.57
30.12.24 Como – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.705.00 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 Lecce – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 5.003.601.73 2.00 1.80
15.12.24 Lecce – Monza 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80
01.12.24 Lecce – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.70 2.30 1.62
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73

Parma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Parma – Venezia 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.703.10 1.73 2.10
28.12.24 Parma – Monza 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Parma – Verona 2–3 (1–1) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
01.12.24 Parma – Lazio 3–1 (1–0) 4.203.801.80 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38
04.11.24 Parma – Genoa 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 1.85 2.05
27.10.24 Parma – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.90
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
16.09.24 Parma – Udinese 2–3 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.04 1.86
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85
11.01.25 Empoli – Lecce 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.104.33 2.50 1.53
30.12.24 Como – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.705.00 2.00 1.80
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Bologna – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.506.50 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Udinese – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
15.09.24 Torino – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Parma winsDrawsLecce wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24I1 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
19.03.22I2 Parma – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.45 1.98 1.88
07.11.21I2 Lecce – Parma 4–0 (4–0) 2.003.303.80 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 22 17 2 3 37 15 +22 53
2 Inter 21 15 5 1 55 18 +37 50
3 Atalanta 22 14 4 4 48 25 +23 46
4 Lazio 22 12 3 7 38 30 +8 39
5 Juventus 22 8 13 1 35 19 +16 37
6 Fiorentina 21 10 6 5 35 22 +13 36
7 Milan 21 9 7 5 32 23 +9 34
8 Bologna 21 8 10 3 33 27 +6 34
9 Roma 22 8 6 8 33 28 +5 30
10 Torino 22 6 8 8 23 26 -3 26
11 Udinese 22 7 5 10 25 34 -9 26
12 Genoa 22 6 8 8 20 30 -10 26
13 Como 22 5 7 10 27 36 -9 22
14 Empoli 22 4 9 9 21 29 -8 21
15 Cagliari 22 5 6 11 23 36 -13 21
16 Parma 22 4 8 10 28 39 -11 20
17 Verona 22 6 2 14 25 48 -23 20
18 Lecce 22 5 5 12 15 40 -25 20
19 Venezia 22 3 7 12 20 35 -15 16
20 Monza 22 2 7 13 20 33 -13 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 11 9 0 2 17 7 +10 27
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 26 13 +13 24
3 Atalanta 10 7 1 2 28 15 +13 22
4 Roma 11 7 0 4 23 11 +12 21
5 Lazio 11 6 3 2 20 16 +4 21
6 Milan 11 5 5 1 18 8 +10 20
7 Juventus 11 4 7 0 17 9 +8 19
8 Fiorentina 10 5 3 2 17 12 +5 18
9 Bologna 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
10 Como 11 4 3 4 18 18 0 15
11 Udinese 11 4 2 5 12 15 -3 14
12 Torino 11 3 4 4 9 10 -1 13
13 Lecce 11 3 4 4 9 21 -12 13
14 Parma 11 3 3 5 17 19 -2 12
15 Venezia 11 3 3 5 12 14 -2 12
16 Genoa 12 2 6 4 12 16 -4 12
17 Cagliari 11 3 3 5 12 19 -7 12
18 Verona 11 3 1 7 11 25 -14 10
19 Empoli 11 1 5 5 5 12 -7 8
20 Monza 11 1 3 7 10 16 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 2 0 29 5 +24 26
2 Napoli 11 8 2 1 20 8 +12 26
3 Atalanta 12 7 3 2 20 10 +10 24
4 Fiorentina 11 5 3 3 18 10 +8 18
5 Juventus 11 4 6 1 18 10 +8 18
6 Lazio 11 6 0 5 18 14 +4 18
7 Bologna 11 4 5 2 18 18 0 17
8 Milan 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
9 Genoa 10 4 2 4 8 14 -6 14
10 Empoli 11 3 4 4 16 17 -1 13
11 Torino 11 3 4 4 14 16 -2 13
12 Udinese 11 3 3 5 13 19 -6 12
13 Verona 11 3 1 7 14 23 -9 10
14 Cagliari 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9
15 Roma 11 1 6 4 10 17 -7 9
16 Parma 11 1 5 5 11 20 -9 8
17 Monza 11 1 4 6 10 17 -7 7
18 Como 11 1 4 6 9 18 -9 7
19 Lecce 11 2 1 8 6 19 -13 7
20 Venezia 11 0 4 7 8 21 -13 4

Parma   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 22 6 16 1.7 1.4 12 3 7 38 30 39
2 17 Verona 22 7 15 1.1 2.2 6 2 14 25 48 20
3 2 Inter 21 7 14 2.6 0.9 15 5 1 55 18 50
4 3 Atalanta 22 8 14 2.2 1.1 14 4 4 48 25 46
5 16 Parma 22 8 14 1.3 1.8 4 8 10 28 39 20
6 6 Fiorentina 21 9 12 1.7 1.0 10 6 5 35 22 36
7 7 Milan 21 9 12 1.5 1.1 9 7 5 32 23 34
8 8 Bologna 21 9 12 1.6 1.3 8 10 3 33 27 34
9 11 Udinese 22 10 12 1.1 1.5 7 5 10 25 34 26
10 1 Napoli 22 11 11 1.7 0.7 17 2 3 37 15 53
11 9 Roma 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 8 6 8 33 28 30
12 19 Venezia 22 11 11 0.9 1.6 3 7 12 20 35 16
13 20 Monza 22 11 11 0.9 1.5 2 7 13 20 33 13
14 5 Juventus 22 12 10 1.6 0.9 8 13 1 35 19 37
15 13 Como 22 12 10 1.2 1.6 5 7 10 27 36 22
16 15 Cagliari 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 5 6 11 23 36 21
17 18 Lecce 22 12 10 0.7 1.8 5 5 12 15 40 20
18 12 Genoa 22 13 9 0.9 1.4 6 8 8 20 30 26
19 14 Empoli 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 4 9 9 21 29 21
20 10 Torino 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 6 8 8 23 26 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 11 2 9 1.8 1.5 6 3 2 20 16 21
2 17 Verona 11 2 9 1.0 2.3 3 1 7 11 25 10
3 3 Atalanta 10 2 8 2.8 1.5 7 1 2 28 15 22
4 2 Inter 11 4 7 2.4 1.2 7 3 1 26 13 24
5 6 Fiorentina 10 3 7 1.7 1.2 5 3 2 17 12 18
6 9 Roma 11 4 7 2.1 1.0 7 0 4 23 11 21
7 16 Parma 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 3 3 5 17 19 12
8 13 Como 11 5 6 1.6 1.6 4 3 4 18 18 15
9 18 Lecce 11 5 6 0.8 1.9 3 4 4 9 21 13
10 20 Monza 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 1 3 7 10 16 6
11 1 Napoli 11 6 5 1.5 0.6 9 0 2 17 7 27
12 5 Juventus 11 6 5 1.5 0.8 4 7 0 17 9 19
13 7 Milan 11 6 5 1.6 0.7 5 5 1 18 8 20
14 11 Udinese 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 2 5 12 15 14
15 12 Genoa 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 4 12 16 12
16 15 Cagliari 11 6 5 1.1 1.7 3 3 5 12 19 12
17 8 Bologna 10 6 4 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
18 19 Venezia 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 3 3 5 12 14 12
19 14 Empoli 11 8 3 0.5 1.1 1 5 5 5 12 8
20 10 Torino 11 9 2 0.8 0.9 3 4 4 9 10 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bologna 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 4 5 2 18 18 17
2 2 Inter 10 3 7 2.9 0.5 8 2 0 29 5 26
3 4 Lazio 11 4 7 1.6 1.3 6 0 5 18 14 18
4 7 Milan 10 3 7 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
5 11 Udinese 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 3 5 13 19 12
6 16 Parma 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 5 11 20 8
7 19 Venezia 11 4 7 0.7 1.9 0 4 7 8 21 4
8 1 Napoli 11 5 6 1.8 0.7 8 2 1 20 8 26
9 3 Atalanta 12 6 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 2 20 10 24
10 14 Empoli 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 4 16 17 13
11 17 Verona 11 5 6 1.3 2.1 3 1 7 14 23 10
12 5 Juventus 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 4 6 1 18 10 18
13 6 Fiorentina 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 3 3 18 10 18
14 10 Torino 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 16 13
15 15 Cagliari 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9
16 20 Monza 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 1 4 6 10 17 7
17 9 Roma 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 1 6 4 10 17 9
18 12 Genoa 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 4 2 4 8 14 14
19 13 Como 11 7 4 0.8 1.6 1 4 6 9 18 7
20 18 Lecce 11 7 4 0.5 1.7 2 1 8 6 19 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51