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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Parma 2–2 Milan

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.75 fair 3.47
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 3.47
Away 1.57 fair 2.36
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Parma Milan
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (104 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 0.96 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
ParmaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 13.7% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 11.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Parma before this match, all matches
0.70points / match
0.50scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 5:12
Milan before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
1.50scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:7
Parma all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.50
1.20 Goals conceded 0.70
1.70 Total goals 2.20
9.60 Shots 14.10
2.60 Shots on target 4.80
14.20 Shots faced 10.70
2.90 Corners 4.40
4.70 Corners against 4.60
11.80 Fouls 9.90
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

10% Wins 60%
40% Draws 30%
50% Losses 10%
70% Over 0.5 goals 90%
60% Over 1.5 goals 70%
30% Over 2.5 goals 50%
10% Over 3.5 goals 10%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 50%
30% Clean sheets 50%
60% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 40%
70% Draws 60%
20% Losses 0%
40% Over 0.5 goals 60%
10% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma all matches
Milan all matches
Parma before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:6
Milan before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:1
Parma at home away Milan

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.50
1.20 Goals conceded 0.25
2.00 Total goals 1.75
9.40 Shots 11.50
2.20 Shots on target 4.25
12.20 Shots faced 11.50
2.60 Corners 3.25
4.40 Corners against 5.00
11.40 Fouls 7.75
1.80 Yellow cards 1.25
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

20% Wins 50%
40% Draws 50%
40% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 75%
60% Over 1.5 goals 75%
40% Over 2.5 goals 25%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 25%
20% Clean sheets 75%
40% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 25%
60% Draws 75%
20% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Parma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Parma – Bologna 1–3 (1–1) 4.203.002.05 2.50 1.53
29.10.25 Roma – Parma 2–1 (0–0) 1.533.757.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Parma – Como 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.501.95 2.05 1.75
19.10.25 Genoa – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.004.00 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Parma – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.704.10 2.20 1.67
29.09.25 Parma – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.67
21.09.25 Cremonese – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.88 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Cagliari – Parma 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
24.08.25 Juventus – Parma 2–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.50 1.73 2.10

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Milan – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.003.70 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
24.10.25 Milan – Pisa 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.80 2.05
19.10.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
14.09.25 Milan – Bologna 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.85
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Milan – Cremonese 1–2 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20

Parma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Parma – Bologna 1–3 (1–1) 4.203.002.05 2.50 1.53
25.10.25 Parma – Como 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.501.95 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Parma – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.704.10 2.20 1.67
29.09.25 Parma – Torino 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
18.05.25 Parma – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 6.254.201.50 1.95 1.95
03.05.25 Parma – Como 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.91 1.99
23.04.25 Parma – Juventus 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 2.00 1.90
05.04.25 Parma – Inter 2–2 (0–2) 6.504.501.48 1.73 2.10
08.03.25 Parma – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.40 2.10 1.73

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Udinese – Milan 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Lecce – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.003.901.57 2.00 1.85
18.05.25 Roma – Milan 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
05.05.25 Genoa – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.80 1.99 1.91
27.04.25 Venezia – Milan 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
11.04.25 Udinese – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 4.003.601.91 1.89 2.01
30.03.25 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Parma winsDrawsMilan wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25I1 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
24.08.24I1 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 7 1 2 16 8 +8 22
2 Inter 10 7 0 3 24 12 +12 21
3 Milan 10 6 3 1 15 7 +8 21
4 Roma 10 7 0 3 10 5 +5 21
5 Juventus 11 5 4 2 14 10 +4 19
6 Bologna 10 5 3 2 16 8 +8 18
7 Como 11 4 6 1 12 6 +6 18
8 Lazio 10 4 3 3 13 7 +6 15
9 Udinese 10 4 3 3 12 15 -3 15
10 Cremonese 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
11 Torino 11 3 5 3 10 16 -6 14
12 Atalanta 10 2 7 1 13 8 +5 13
13 Sassuolo 10 4 1 5 11 12 -1 13
14 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
15 Lecce 11 2 4 5 8 14 -6 10
16 Pisa 11 1 6 4 8 14 -6 9
17 Parma 10 1 4 5 5 12 -7 7
18 Genoa 10 1 3 6 6 14 -8 6
19 Verona 11 0 6 5 6 16 -10 6
20 Fiorentina 10 0 4 6 7 16 -9 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
2 Milan 6 4 1 1 9 6 +3 13
3 Inter 5 4 0 1 15 4 +11 12
4 Como 6 3 3 0 9 3 +6 12
5 Juventus 6 3 3 0 10 5 +5 12
6 Lazio 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
7 Bologna 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
8 Roma 5 3 0 2 5 3 +2 9
9 Udinese 5 2 2 1 6 7 -1 8
10 Torino 5 2 2 1 5 6 -1 8
11 Atalanta 5 1 4 0 7 4 +3 7
12 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
13 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 5 6 -1 6
14 Pisa 6 1 3 2 1 2 -1 6
15 Parma 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
16 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
17 Verona 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
18 Lecce 6 0 3 3 3 7 -4 3
19 Genoa 5 0 2 3 0 6 -6 2
20 Fiorentina 5 0 1 4 5 10 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 5 4 0 1 5 2 +3 12
2 Napoli 5 3 0 2 7 4 +3 9
3 Inter 5 3 0 2 9 8 +1 9
4 Milan 4 2 2 0 6 1 +5 8
5 Bologna 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
6 Cremonese 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
7 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
8 Juventus 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
9 Udinese 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
10 Lecce 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
11 Atalanta 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
12 Como 5 1 3 1 3 3 0 6
13 Cagliari 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
14 Torino 6 1 3 2 5 10 -5 6
15 Lazio 5 1 2 2 3 3 0 5
16 Genoa 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
17 Fiorentina 5 0 3 2 2 6 -4 3
18 Pisa 5 0 3 2 7 12 -5 3
19 Verona 6 0 3 3 2 10 -8 3
20 Parma 5 0 2 3 1 6 -5 2

Parma   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 10 2 8 2.4 1.2 7 0 3 24 12 21
2 11 Torino 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 3 10 16 14
3 20 Fiorentina 10 4 6 0.7 1.6 0 4 6 7 16 4
4 1 Napoli 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 7 1 2 16 8 22
5 3 Milan 10 5 5 1.5 0.7 6 3 1 15 7 21
6 6 Bologna 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 5 3 2 16 8 18
7 9 Udinese 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 4 3 3 12 15 15
8 13 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 4 1 5 11 12 13
9 18 Genoa 10 5 5 0.6 1.4 1 3 6 6 14 6
10 10 Cremonese 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 3 12 13 14
11 15 Lecce 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 2 4 5 8 14 10
12 16 Pisa 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 1 6 4 8 14 9
13 19 Verona 11 7 4 0.5 1.5 0 6 5 6 16 6
14 5 Juventus 11 8 3 1.3 0.9 5 4 2 14 10 19
15 8 Lazio 10 7 3 1.3 0.7 4 3 3 13 7 15
16 14 Cagliari 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
17 17 Parma 10 7 3 0.5 1.2 1 4 5 5 12 7
18 4 Roma 10 8 2 1.0 0.5 7 0 3 10 5 21
19 7 Como 11 9 2 1.1 0.5 4 6 1 12 6 18
20 12 Atalanta 10 8 2 1.3 0.8 2 7 1 13 8 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 5 0 5 3.0 0.8 4 0 1 15 4 12
2 3 Milan 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 1 9 6 13
3 20 Fiorentina 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 0 1 4 5 10 1
4 1 Napoli 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
5 11 Torino 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 1 5 6 8
6 5 Juventus 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 3 0 10 5 12
7 6 Bologna 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
8 8 Lazio 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
9 9 Udinese 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 2 1 6 7 8
10 10 Cremonese 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
11 13 Sassuolo 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 3 5 6 6
12 15 Lecce 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 0 3 3 3 7 3
13 17 Parma 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
14 19 Verona 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
15 4 Roma 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 0 2 5 3 9
16 7 Como 6 5 1 1.5 0.5 3 3 0 9 3 12
17 12 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 1 4 0 7 4 7
18 14 Cagliari 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
19 18 Genoa 5 4 1 0.0 1.2 0 2 3 0 6 2
20 16 Pisa 6 6 0 0.2 0.3 1 3 2 1 2 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Pisa 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 0 3 2 7 12 3
2 18 Genoa 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
3 2 Inter 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 3 0 2 9 8 9
4 6 Bologna 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
5 9 Udinese 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
6 11 Torino 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 3 2 5 10 6
7 13 Sassuolo 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
8 1 Napoli 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 0 2 7 4 9
9 10 Cremonese 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
10 14 Cagliari 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
11 15 Lecce 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
12 19 Verona 6 4 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 3 2 10 3
13 20 Fiorentina 5 3 2 0.4 1.2 0 3 2 2 6 3
14 3 Milan 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 2 2 0 6 1 8
15 4 Roma 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 4 0 1 5 2 12
16 5 Juventus 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
17 7 Como 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 3 1 3 3 6
18 8 Lazio 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 2 2 3 3 5
19 12 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
20 17 Parma 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 3 1 6 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38