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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 1–0 Spezia

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.71 fair 1.75
Draw 3.60 fair 4.14
Away 4.75 fair 5.34
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Spezia
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 8
18 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (199 league matches this season so far).
Result Palermo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.68 – 0.84
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawSpezia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.5% 1–1 11.4% 2–0 11.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.53scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:14
Spezia before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.95scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:27
Palermo all matches all matches Spezia

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 0.95
0.74 Goals conceded 1.42
2.26 Total goals 2.37
14.47 Shots 10.21
4.53 Shots on target 3.89
11.74 Shots faced 12.74
4.95 Corners 4.74
4.47 Corners against 5.58
15.47 Fouls 15.68
2.21 Yellow cards 2.26
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

47% Wins 21%
37% Draws 26%
16% Losses 53%
89% Over 0.5 goals 95%
68% Over 1.5 goals 79%
37% Over 2.5 goals 42%
21% Over 3.5 goals 16%
11% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 58%
42% Clean sheets 21%
26% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 16%
16% Draws 47%
32% Losses 37%
84% Over 0.5 goals 74%
11% Over 1.5 goals 32%
0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Spezia all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.70scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:5
Spezia before this match, away
0.89points / match
1.11scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:13
Palermo at home away Spezia

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.11
0.50 Goals conceded 1.44
2.20 Total goals 2.56
15.60 Shots 11.00
5.70 Shots on target 3.78
10.30 Shots faced 13.44
5.10 Corners 4.78
4.20 Corners against 5.22
13.10 Fouls 15.67
1.60 Yellow cards 2.33
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

60% Wins 22%
30% Draws 22%
10% Losses 56%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 78%
40% Over 2.5 goals 44%
20% Over 3.5 goals 22%
20% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 56%
70% Clean sheets 22%
30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 22%
30% Draws 56%
10% Losses 22%
70% Over 0.5 goals 67%
10% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Spezia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Mantova – Palermo 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.05 1.85 1.95
27.12.25 Palermo – Padova 1–0 (1–0) 1.463.806.50 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Avellino – Palermo 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.76 2.00 1.80
12.12.25 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.25 2.05 1.75
07.12.25 Empoli – Palermo 1–3 (0–2) 3.053.202.32 2.15 1.67
29.11.25 Palermo – Carrarese 5–0 (2–0) 1.683.405.25 1.85 1.95
22.11.25 Virtus Entella – Palermo 1–1 (1–0) 2.853.052.50 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Juve Stabia – Palermo 1–0 (1–0) 2.953.052.32 2.35 1.57
01.11.25 Palermo – Pescara 5–0 (1–0) 1.454.755.75 1.70 2.10
28.10.25 Palermo – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.252.853.40 2.20 1.65

Spezia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Sudtirol – Spezia 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.003.40 2.25 1.62
27.12.25 Spezia – Pescara 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.504.50 1.85 1.95
20.12.25 Frosinone – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.20 1.90 1.90
13.12.25 Spezia – Modena 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.202.20 2.25 1.62
08.12.25 Virtus Entella – Spezia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.20 2.35 1.57
30.11.25 Spezia – Sampdoria 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.053.20 2.35 1.57
23.11.25 Mantova – Spezia 4–1 (1–1) 2.653.202.65 2.15 1.67
07.11.25 Spezia – Bari 1–1 (1–1) 1.863.204.33 2.50 1.50
02.11.25 Monza – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.053.75 2.60 1.48
29.10.25 Spezia – Padova 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.304.50 2.25 1.62

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Palermo – Padova 1–0 (1–0) 1.463.806.50 1.95 1.85
12.12.25 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.25 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Palermo – Carrarese 5–0 (2–0) 1.683.405.25 1.85 1.95
01.11.25 Palermo – Pescara 5–0 (1–0) 1.454.755.75 1.70 2.10
28.10.25 Palermo – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.252.853.40 2.20 1.65
19.10.25 Palermo – Modena 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.203.60 2.10 1.70
30.09.25 Palermo – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Palermo – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.505.75 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Palermo – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.255.00 2.00 1.80
23.08.25 Palermo – Reggiana 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.05 1.75

Spezia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 Sudtirol – Spezia 2–1 (1–1) 2.303.003.40 2.25 1.62
20.12.25 Frosinone – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.20 1.90 1.90
08.12.25 Virtus Entella – Spezia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.20 2.35 1.57
23.11.25 Mantova – Spezia 4–1 (1–1) 2.653.202.65 2.15 1.67
02.11.25 Monza – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.053.75 2.60 1.48
25.10.25 Avellino – Spezia 0–4 (0–0) 2.652.952.65 2.40 1.53
30.09.25 Reggiana – Spezia 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.201.91 2.40 1.53
27.09.25 Venezia – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.203.40 2.15 1.67
14.09.25 Empoli – Spezia 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.50 1.50
04.05.25 Reggiana – Spezia 2–1 (1–1) 3.303.102.30 2.40 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Palermo winsDrawsSpezia wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25I2 Spezia – Palermo 1–2 (0–1) 2.823.002.55 2.50 1.50
09.02.25I2 Spezia – Palermo 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.304.20 2.08 1.73
01.12.24I2 Palermo – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.40 2.25 1.62
01.05.24I2 Spezia – Palermo 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.85 2.00
23.10.23I2 Palermo – Spezia 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.303.80 2.00 1.85

Italy Serie B table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Frosinone 20 12 6 2 38 18 +20 42
2 Venezia 20 12 5 3 37 16 +21 41
3 Monza 20 11 5 4 29 17 +12 38
4 Palermo 19 9 7 3 29 14 +15 34
5 Cesena 20 10 4 6 27 22 +5 34
6 Modena 20 9 5 6 28 17 +11 32
7 Catanzaro 20 8 7 5 27 24 +3 31
8 Juve Stabia 20 7 9 4 22 22 0 30
9 Empoli 20 7 6 7 26 25 +1 27
10 Carrarese 20 6 8 6 27 30 -3 26
11 Padova 20 6 7 7 20 22 -2 25
12 Avellino 20 6 7 7 24 33 -9 25
13 Sudtirol 20 4 10 6 19 22 -3 22
14 Reggiana 20 5 5 10 24 30 -6 20
15 Virtus Entella 20 4 8 8 18 27 -9 20
16 Mantova 20 5 4 11 18 29 -11 19
17 Sampdoria 20 4 6 10 20 28 -8 18
18 Spezia 19 4 5 10 18 27 -9 17
19 Bari 20 3 8 9 16 30 -14 17
20 Pescara 20 2 8 10 25 39 -14 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Venezia 10 9 0 1 23 5 +18 27
2 Monza 10 7 2 1 16 7 +9 23
3 Palermo 10 6 3 1 17 5 +12 21
4 Frosinone 9 6 2 1 20 7 +13 20
5 Juve Stabia 10 5 5 0 12 5 +7 20
6 Catanzaro 10 5 4 1 16 11 +5 19
7 Modena 10 5 2 3 16 9 +7 17
8 Virtus Entella 10 4 5 1 12 8 +4 17
9 Carrarese 10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
10 Empoli 11 3 6 2 17 12 +5 15
11 Cesena 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15
12 Sampdoria 10 4 3 3 13 11 +2 15
13 Avellino 10 4 3 3 14 17 -3 15
14 Bari 10 3 4 3 11 11 0 13
15 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 13 13 0 12
16 Sudtirol 9 3 2 4 10 10 0 11
17 Padova 10 2 5 3 12 13 -1 11
18 Mantova 10 3 2 5 12 17 -5 11
19 Pescara 11 2 4 5 14 17 -3 10
20 Spezia 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Frosinone 11 6 4 1 18 11 +7 22
2 Cesena 11 6 1 4 14 13 +1 19
3 Modena 10 4 3 3 12 8 +4 15
4 Monza 10 4 3 3 13 10 +3 15
5 Venezia 10 3 5 2 14 11 +3 14
6 Padova 10 4 2 4 8 9 -1 14
7 Palermo 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
8 Catanzaro 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
9 Empoli 9 4 0 5 9 13 -4 12
10 Sudtirol 11 1 8 2 9 12 -3 11
11 Avellino 10 2 4 4 10 16 -6 10
12 Carrarese 10 2 4 4 14 21 -7 10
13 Juve Stabia 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
14 Spezia 9 2 2 5 10 13 -3 8
15 Reggiana 10 2 2 6 11 17 -6 8
16 Mantova 10 2 2 6 6 12 -6 8
17 Pescara 9 0 4 5 11 22 -11 4
18 Bari 10 0 4 6 5 19 -14 4
19 Sampdoria 10 0 3 7 7 17 -10 3
20 Virtus Entella 10 0 3 7 6 19 -13 3

Palermo   Spezia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Reggiana 20 7 13 1.2 1.5 5 5 10 24 30 20
2 20 Pescara 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 2 8 10 25 39 14
3 2 Venezia 20 8 12 1.9 0.8 12 5 3 37 16 41
4 1 Frosinone 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 12 6 2 38 18 42
5 10 Carrarese 20 9 11 1.4 1.5 6 8 6 27 30 26
6 5 Cesena 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 10 4 6 27 22 34
7 7 Catanzaro 20 10 10 1.4 1.2 8 7 5 27 24 31
8 12 Avellino 20 10 10 1.2 1.6 6 7 7 24 33 25
9 6 Modena 20 11 9 1.4 0.8 9 5 6 28 17 32
10 8 Juve Stabia 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 7 9 4 22 22 30
11 9 Empoli 20 11 9 1.3 1.2 7 6 7 26 25 27
12 16 Mantova 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 5 4 11 18 29 19
13 3 Monza 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 11 5 4 29 17 38
14 17 Sampdoria 20 12 8 1.0 1.4 4 6 10 20 28 18
15 18 Spezia 19 11 8 0.9 1.4 4 5 10 18 27 17
16 19 Bari 20 12 8 0.8 1.5 3 8 9 16 30 17
17 4 Palermo 19 12 7 1.5 0.7 9 7 3 29 14 34
18 11 Padova 20 13 7 1.0 1.1 6 7 7 20 22 25
19 13 Sudtirol 20 14 6 0.9 1.1 4 10 6 19 22 22
20 15 Virtus Entella 20 14 6 0.9 1.4 4 8 8 18 27 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Venezia 10 3 7 2.3 0.5 9 0 1 23 5 27
2 6 Modena 10 3 7 1.6 0.9 5 2 3 16 9 17
3 12 Avellino 10 3 7 1.4 1.7 4 3 3 14 17 15
4 1 Frosinone 9 3 6 2.2 0.8 6 2 1 20 7 20
5 14 Reggiana 10 4 6 1.3 1.3 3 3 4 13 13 12
6 20 Pescara 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 4 5 14 17 10
7 16 Mantova 10 5 5 1.2 1.7 3 2 5 12 17 11
8 3 Monza 10 6 4 1.6 0.7 7 2 1 16 7 23
9 4 Palermo 10 6 4 1.7 0.5 6 3 1 17 5 21
10 5 Cesena 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15
11 7 Catanzaro 10 6 4 1.6 1.1 5 4 1 16 11 19
12 9 Empoli 11 7 4 1.5 1.1 3 6 2 17 12 15
13 10 Carrarese 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 4 2 13 9 16
14 11 Padova 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 2 5 3 12 13 11
15 13 Sudtirol 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 3 2 4 10 10 11
16 17 Sampdoria 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 3 3 13 11 15
17 18 Spezia 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
18 8 Juve Stabia 10 7 3 1.2 0.5 5 5 0 12 5 20
19 19 Bari 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 3 4 3 11 11 13
20 15 Virtus Entella 10 8 2 1.2 0.8 4 5 1 12 8 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Carrarese 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 4 4 14 21 10
2 14 Reggiana 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 2 2 6 11 17 8
3 20 Pescara 9 2 7 1.2 2.4 0 4 5 11 22 4
4 5 Cesena 11 5 6 1.3 1.2 6 1 4 14 13 19
5 7 Catanzaro 10 4 6 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
6 8 Juve Stabia 10 4 6 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
7 1 Frosinone 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 6 4 1 18 11 22
8 2 Venezia 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 3 5 2 14 11 14
9 9 Empoli 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 4 0 5 9 13 12
10 19 Bari 10 5 5 0.5 1.9 0 4 6 5 19 4
11 3 Monza 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 3 3 13 10 15
12 15 Virtus Entella 10 6 4 0.6 1.9 0 3 7 6 19 3
13 16 Mantova 10 6 4 0.6 1.2 2 2 6 6 12 8
14 17 Sampdoria 10 6 4 0.7 1.7 0 3 7 7 17 3
15 18 Spezia 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 5 10 13 8
16 4 Palermo 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
17 11 Padova 10 7 3 0.8 0.9 4 2 4 8 9 14
18 12 Avellino 10 7 3 1.0 1.6 2 4 4 10 16 10
19 6 Modena 10 8 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 3 12 8 15
20 13 Sudtirol 11 9 2 0.8 1.1 1 8 2 9 12 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51