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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Cesena 3–4 Padova

Full time · half time 3–3 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.49 fair 2.21
Draw 4.75 fair 3.74
Away ✓ 5.00 fair 3.58
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 1.80
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cesena Padova
30 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 7
11 Corners 3
11 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Cesena to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
CesenaDrawPadova
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cesena before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.14scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 42:52
Padova before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
0.95scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 35:46
Cesena all matches all matches Padova

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.95
1.41 Goals conceded 1.24
2.54 Total goals 2.19
12.70 Shots 10.95
3.89 Shots on target 3.59
13.62 Shots faced 15.84
4.76 Corners 4.05
4.49 Corners against 5.65
13.89 Fouls 14.97
2.05 Yellow cards 2.49
0.51 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

32% Wins 30%
27% Draws 27%
41% Losses 43%
92% Over 0.5 goals 97%
78% Over 1.5 goals 59%
51% Over 2.5 goals 38%
27% Over 3.5 goals 19%
5% Over 4.5 goals 3%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
59% Both teams scored 49%
19% Clean sheets 24%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 14%
43% Draws 46%
32% Losses 41%
70% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 24%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cesena all matches
Padova all matches
Cesena before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.39scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 25:25
Padova before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.78scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 14:24
Cesena at home away Padova

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 0.78
1.39 Goals conceded 1.33
2.78 Total goals 2.11
14.22 Shots 9.39
4.44 Shots on target 3.39
12.39 Shots faced 16.56
5.78 Corners 3.67
3.50 Corners against 6.06
13.56 Fouls 15.39
2.33 Yellow cards 2.83
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

33% Wins 28%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 50%
56% Over 2.5 goals 39%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 39%
22% Clean sheets 22%
17% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 17%
39% Draws 39%
33% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 61%
44% Over 1.5 goals 22%
11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cesena at home
Padova away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cesena all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.26 Carrarese – Cesena 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 1.75 2.05
25.04.26 Cesena – Sampdoria 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.08 1.73
18.04.26 Palermo – Cesena 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.105.50 1.73 2.08
11.04.26 Juve Stabia – Cesena 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.05 1.75
06.04.26 Cesena – Sudtirol 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.203.30 2.10 1.70
21.03.26 Cesena – Catanzaro 3–1 (0–1) 2.323.402.75 1.80 2.00
17.03.26 Mantova – Cesena 3–0 (1–0) 2.353.402.82 1.93 1.88
14.03.26 Cesena – Frosinone 2–2 (0–1) 2.853.502.25 1.70 2.10
07.03.26 Modena – Cesena 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.005.25 1.95 1.85
03.03.26 Cesena – Monza 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.302.05 2.05 1.75

Padova all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.26 Padova – Pescara 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.40 1.70 2.10
25.04.26 Virtus Entella – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.403.90 2.10 1.70
19.04.26 Padova – Reggiana 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.10 1.70
12.04.26 Padova – Empoli 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.25 2.00 1.80
05.04.26 Frosinone – Padova 2–0 (2–0) 1.464.105.50 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Padova – Palermo 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.71 2.05 1.75
17.03.26 Venezia – Padova 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.259.00 1.57 2.35
14.03.26 Padova – Catanzaro 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.202.32 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Avellino – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 2.152.753.90 2.25 1.62
03.03.26 Padova – Spezia 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.002.65 2.25 1.62

Cesena at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Cesena – Sampdoria 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.08 1.73
06.04.26 Cesena – Sudtirol 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.203.30 2.10 1.70
21.03.26 Cesena – Catanzaro 3–1 (0–1) 2.323.402.75 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Cesena – Frosinone 2–2 (0–1) 2.853.502.25 1.70 2.10
03.03.26 Cesena – Monza 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.302.05 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Cesena – Spezia 2–3 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.20 1.65
14.02.26 Cesena – Venezia 0–4 (0–2) 3.753.101.96 1.80 2.00
06.02.26 Cesena – Pescara 2–0 (1–0) 1.663.754.75 1.85 1.95
24.01.26 Cesena – Bari 1–2 (0–0) 1.713.405.00 2.08 1.73
10.01.26 Cesena – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.204.20 2.15 1.67

Padova away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Virtus Entella – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.403.90 2.10 1.70
05.04.26 Frosinone – Padova 2–0 (2–0) 1.464.105.50 1.53 2.40
17.03.26 Venezia – Padova 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.259.00 1.57 2.35
07.03.26 Avellino – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 2.152.753.90 2.25 1.62
28.02.26 Modena – Padova 1–2 (0–2) 1.494.006.00 1.85 1.95
14.02.26 Sampdoria – Padova 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.104.33 2.30 1.60
07.02.26 Juve Stabia – Padova 3–3 (1–0) 1.663.405.50 2.30 1.60
25.01.26 Sudtirol – Padova 3–0 (2–0) 2.013.203.90 2.30 1.60
27.12.25 Palermo – Padova 1–0 (1–0) 1.463.806.50 1.95 1.85
13.12.25 Reggiana – Padova 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.053.30 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cesena winsDrawsPadova wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.25I2 Padova – Cesena 1–1 (0–0) 3.252.822.40 2.50 1.50

Italy Serie B table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Venezia 37 23 10 4 75 31 +44 79
2 Frosinone 37 22 12 3 71 34 +37 78
3 Monza 37 22 9 6 59 30 +29 75
4 Palermo 37 20 12 5 61 31 +30 72
5 Catanzaro 37 15 14 8 60 48 +12 59
6 Modena 37 15 10 12 49 35 +14 55
7 Juve Stabia 37 11 17 9 43 44 -1 50
8 Mantova 37 13 7 17 45 52 -7 46
9 Cesena 37 12 10 15 42 52 -10 46
10 Avellino 37 12 10 15 42 55 -13 46
11 Carrarese 37 10 14 13 46 50 -4 44
12 Sampdoria 37 11 11 15 35 47 -12 44
13 Padova 37 11 10 16 35 46 -11 43
14 Empoli 37 9 13 15 45 52 -7 40
15 Sudtirol 37 8 16 13 37 47 -10 40
16 Virtus Entella 37 9 12 16 34 50 -16 39
17 Bari 37 9 10 18 35 58 -23 37
18 Pescara 37 7 13 17 50 65 -15 34
19 Spezia 37 8 10 19 42 58 -16 34
20 Reggiana 37 8 10 19 35 56 -21 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Venezia 18 16 0 2 42 12 +30 48
2 Palermo 19 14 4 1 38 12 +26 46
3 Monza 18 14 3 1 32 10 +22 45
4 Frosinone 18 11 5 2 37 15 +22 38
5 Catanzaro 18 9 8 1 32 20 +12 35
6 Juve Stabia 19 8 9 2 25 15 +10 33
7 Sampdoria 19 9 5 5 22 20 +2 32
8 Modena 19 9 4 6 28 17 +11 31
9 Virtus Entella 18 8 7 3 25 17 +8 31
10 Mantova 19 9 3 7 28 29 -1 30
11 Carrarese 19 7 8 4 26 17 +9 29
12 Avellino 18 8 5 5 25 25 0 29
13 Empoli 19 5 11 3 28 21 +7 26
14 Bari 19 7 5 7 23 25 -2 26
15 Padova 19 6 7 6 21 22 -1 25
16 Cesena 18 6 6 6 25 25 0 24
17 Reggiana 18 5 7 6 20 23 -3 22
18 Pescara 18 5 6 7 27 25 +2 21
19 Sudtirol 18 5 6 7 18 20 -2 21
20 Spezia 19 5 6 8 23 26 -3 21
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Frosinone 19 11 7 1 34 19 +15 40
2 Venezia 19 7 10 2 33 19 +14 31
3 Monza 19 8 6 5 27 20 +7 30
4 Palermo 18 6 8 4 23 19 +4 26
5 Modena 18 6 6 6 21 18 +3 24
6 Catanzaro 19 6 6 7 28 28 0 24
7 Cesena 19 6 4 9 17 27 -10 22
8 Sudtirol 19 3 10 6 19 27 -8 19
9 Padova 18 5 3 10 14 24 -10 18
10 Juve Stabia 18 3 8 7 18 29 -11 17
11 Avellino 19 4 5 10 17 30 -13 17
12 Mantova 18 4 4 10 17 23 -6 16
13 Carrarese 18 3 6 9 20 33 -13 15
14 Empoli 18 4 2 12 17 31 -14 14
15 Spezia 18 3 4 11 19 32 -13 13
16 Pescara 19 2 7 10 23 40 -17 13
17 Sampdoria 18 2 6 10 13 27 -14 12
18 Reggiana 19 3 3 13 15 33 -18 12
19 Bari 18 2 5 11 12 33 -21 11
20 Virtus Entella 19 1 5 13 9 33 -24 8

Cesena   Padova

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Pescara 37 13 24 1.4 1.8 7 13 17 50 65 34
2 1 Venezia 37 15 22 2.0 0.8 23 10 4 75 31 79
3 2 Frosinone 37 15 22 1.9 0.9 22 12 3 71 34 78
4 5 Catanzaro 37 17 20 1.6 1.3 15 14 8 60 48 59
5 6 Modena 37 18 19 1.3 0.9 15 10 12 49 35 55
6 8 Mantova 37 18 19 1.2 1.4 13 7 17 45 52 46
7 9 Cesena 37 18 19 1.1 1.4 12 10 15 42 52 46
8 17 Bari 37 18 19 0.9 1.6 9 10 18 35 58 37
9 11 Carrarese 37 19 18 1.2 1.4 10 14 13 46 50 44
10 20 Reggiana 37 19 18 0.9 1.5 8 10 19 35 56 34
11 3 Monza 37 20 17 1.6 0.8 22 9 6 59 30 75
12 4 Palermo 37 20 17 1.6 0.8 20 12 5 61 31 72
13 10 Avellino 37 20 17 1.1 1.5 12 10 15 42 55 46
14 14 Empoli 37 20 17 1.2 1.4 9 13 15 45 52 40
15 19 Spezia 37 20 17 1.1 1.6 8 10 19 42 58 34
16 7 Juve Stabia 37 21 16 1.2 1.2 11 17 9 43 44 50
17 12 Sampdoria 37 22 15 0.9 1.3 11 11 15 35 47 44
18 15 Sudtirol 37 22 15 1.0 1.3 8 16 13 37 47 40
19 13 Padova 37 23 14 0.9 1.2 11 10 16 35 46 43
20 16 Virtus Entella 37 24 13 0.9 1.4 9 12 16 34 50 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Modena 19 6 13 1.5 0.9 9 4 6 28 17 31
2 1 Venezia 18 6 12 2.3 0.7 16 0 2 42 12 48
3 2 Frosinone 18 6 12 2.1 0.8 11 5 2 37 15 38
4 18 Pescara 18 7 11 1.5 1.4 5 6 7 27 25 21
5 4 Palermo 19 9 10 2.0 0.6 14 4 1 38 12 46
6 8 Mantova 19 9 10 1.5 1.5 9 3 7 28 29 30
7 9 Cesena 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 6 6 6 25 25 24
8 10 Avellino 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 8 5 5 25 25 29
9 17 Bari 19 9 10 1.2 1.3 7 5 7 23 25 26
10 3 Monza 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 14 3 1 32 10 45
11 5 Catanzaro 18 10 8 1.8 1.1 9 8 1 32 20 35
12 11 Carrarese 19 11 8 1.4 0.9 7 8 4 26 17 29
13 15 Sudtirol 18 10 8 1.0 1.1 5 6 7 18 20 21
14 20 Reggiana 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 5 7 6 20 23 22
15 12 Sampdoria 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 9 5 5 22 20 32
16 13 Padova 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 6 7 6 21 22 25
17 14 Empoli 19 12 7 1.5 1.1 5 11 3 28 21 26
18 16 Virtus Entella 18 11 7 1.4 0.9 8 7 3 25 17 31
19 19 Spezia 19 12 7 1.2 1.4 5 6 8 23 26 21
20 7 Juve Stabia 19 13 6 1.3 0.8 8 9 2 25 15 33
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Pescara 19 6 13 1.2 2.1 2 7 10 23 40 13
2 5 Catanzaro 19 7 12 1.5 1.5 6 6 7 28 28 24
3 1 Venezia 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 7 10 2 33 19 31
4 2 Frosinone 19 9 10 1.8 1.0 11 7 1 34 19 40
5 7 Juve Stabia 18 8 10 1.0 1.6 3 8 7 18 29 17
6 11 Carrarese 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 20 33 15
7 14 Empoli 18 8 10 0.9 1.7 4 2 12 17 31 14
8 19 Spezia 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 3 4 11 19 32 13
9 20 Reggiana 19 9 10 0.8 1.7 3 3 13 15 33 12
10 3 Monza 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 8 6 5 27 20 30
11 8 Mantova 18 9 9 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 17 23 16
12 9 Cesena 19 10 9 0.9 1.4 6 4 9 17 27 22
13 17 Bari 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 11 12 33 11
14 12 Sampdoria 18 10 8 0.7 1.5 2 6 10 13 27 12
15 4 Palermo 18 11 7 1.3 1.1 6 8 4 23 19 26
16 10 Avellino 19 12 7 0.9 1.6 4 5 10 17 30 17
17 13 Padova 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 5 3 10 14 24 18
18 15 Sudtirol 19 12 7 1.0 1.4 3 10 6 19 27 19
19 6 Modena 18 12 6 1.2 1.0 6 6 6 21 18 24
20 16 Virtus Entella 19 13 6 0.5 1.7 1 5 13 9 33 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40