Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
23Shots5
8Shots on target3
10Corners1
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed✓ Goals correct✓ BTTS correctCalculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (142 league matches this season so far).
ResultAjax to win
GoalsOver 2.5
Both teams scoreYesfair 1.79
Expected goals2.46 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
71%17%12%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
34%66%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%56%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
3%0
11%1
19%2
22%3
19%4
26%5+
Most likely scores
2–0 10.1%2–1 9.5%3–0 8.3%
Statistics 2021/2022, before this match
Ajaxbefore this match, all matches
2.40points / match
3.20scored / match
0.13conceded / match
1131
WonDrawnLost15 played · 48:2
AZ Alkmaarbefore this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.87scored / match
1.40conceded / match
726
WonDrawnLost15 played · 28:21
Ajax all matchesall matches AZ Alkmaar
Per match
3.20Goals scored1.87
0.13Goals conceded1.40
3.33Total goals3.27
20.33Shots13.87
7.67Shots on target5.67
7.47Shots faced9.93
7.60Corners5.60
2.40Corners against2.67
7.73Fouls10.07
0.87Yellow cards1.73
1.671st-half goals scored1.00
0.001st-half goals conceded0.80
How often Full Time
73%Wins47%
20%Draws13%
7%Losses40%
87%Over 0.5 goals93%
73%Over 1.5 goals80%
53%Over 2.5 goals67%
47%Over 3.5 goals53%
47%Over 4.5 goals27%
7%Over 5.5 goals7%
7%Both teams scored60%
87%Clean sheets13%
20%Failed to score33%
How often Half Time
73%Wins27%
27%Draws40%
0%Losses33%
73%Over 0.5 goals87%
40%Over 1.5 goals60%
33%Over 2.5 goals27%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ajax all matches
5
W
3
W
1
L
2
W
5
W
D
D
5
W
1
W
5
W
AZ Alkmaar all matches
5
W
3
1
W
5
1
W
2
L
3
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
D
2
1
W
3
1
W
Ajaxbefore this match, at home
2.38points / match
4.00scored / match
0.13conceded / match
611
WonDrawnLost8 played · 32:1
AZ Alkmaarbefore this match, away
0.88points / match
1.13scored / match
1.50conceded / match
215
WonDrawnLost8 played · 9:12
Ajax at homeaway AZ Alkmaar
Per match
4.00Goals scored1.13
0.13Goals conceded1.50
4.13Total goals2.63
23.00Shots13.38
8.38Shots on target4.63
6.63Shots faced12.00
7.38Corners5.38
1.50Corners against3.50
7.75Fouls11.00
0.63Yellow cards2.13
2.131st-half goals scored0.63
0.001st-half goals conceded0.75
How often Full Time
75%Wins25%
13%Draws13%
13%Losses63%
88%Over 0.5 goals88%
75%Over 1.5 goals63%
75%Over 2.5 goals50%
63%Over 3.5 goals50%
63%Over 4.5 goals13%
13%Over 5.5 goals0%
0%Both teams scored50%
88%Clean sheets13%
25%Failed to score50%
How often Half Time
75%Wins13%
25%Draws50%
0%Losses38%
75%Over 0.5 goals75%
50%Over 1.5 goals50%
50%Over 2.5 goals13%
Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
Netherlands Eredivisie table 2021/2022, before this match
All matches – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Ajax
15
11
3
1
48
2
+46
36
2
Feyenoord
16
11
3
2
39
15
+24
36
3
PSV Eindhoven
15
11
1
3
38
22
+16
34
4
Vitesse
16
9
2
5
22
23
-1
29
5
Twente
16
8
4
4
24
20
+4
28
6
Utrecht
16
8
3
5
30
20
+10
27
7
Cambuur
16
9
0
7
30
36
-6
27
8
AZ Alkmaar
15
7
2
6
28
21
+7
23
9
Heerenveen
16
6
4
6
18
21
-3
22
10
Go Ahead Eagles
16
6
3
7
19
25
-6
21
11
Nijmegen
15
5
4
6
20
24
-4
19
12
Groningen
16
4
7
5
18
22
-4
19
13
Willem II
16
5
3
8
17
31
-14
18
14
Waalwijk
16
3
6
7
17
25
-8
15
15
Heracles
16
4
2
10
16
23
-7
14
16
For Sittard
16
3
3
10
17
39
-22
12
17
Sparta Rotterdam
16
2
5
9
12
24
-12
11
18
Zwolle
16
1
3
12
8
28
-20
6
Home – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Feyenoord
8
7
1
0
24
7
+17
22
2
PSV Eindhoven
8
7
0
1
25
12
+13
21
3
Utrecht
8
6
2
0
22
6
+16
20
4
Ajax
8
6
1
1
32
1
+31
19
5
AZ Alkmaar
7
5
1
1
19
9
+10
16
6
Twente
8
4
3
1
10
6
+4
15
7
Heracles
8
4
1
3
10
9
+1
13
8
Go Ahead Eagles
8
4
0
4
13
11
+2
12
9
Cambuur
8
4
0
4
16
18
-2
12
10
Heerenveen
9
3
2
4
11
14
-3
11
11
Vitesse
8
3
2
3
9
13
-4
11
12
Waalwijk
8
3
1
4
7
12
-5
10
13
Willem II
8
3
1
4
7
14
-7
10
14
Groningen
8
1
6
1
7
6
+1
9
15
Nijmegen
7
2
2
3
8
8
0
8
16
For Sittard
7
2
1
4
8
19
-11
7
17
Sparta Rotterdam
8
1
3
4
6
11
-5
6
18
Zwolle
8
1
2
5
3
8
-5
5
Away – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Vitesse
8
6
0
2
13
10
+3
18
2
Ajax
7
5
2
0
16
1
+15
17
3
Cambuur
8
5
0
3
14
18
-4
15
4
Feyenoord
8
4
2
2
15
8
+7
14
5
PSV Eindhoven
7
4
1
2
13
10
+3
13
6
Twente
8
4
1
3
14
14
0
13
7
Heerenveen
7
3
2
2
7
7
0
11
8
Nijmegen
8
3
2
3
12
16
-4
11
9
Groningen
8
3
1
4
11
16
-5
10
10
Go Ahead Eagles
8
2
3
3
6
14
-8
9
11
Willem II
8
2
2
4
10
17
-7
8
12
AZ Alkmaar
8
2
1
5
9
12
-3
7
13
Utrecht
8
2
1
5
8
14
-6
7
14
Waalwijk
8
0
5
3
10
13
-3
5
15
Sparta Rotterdam
8
1
2
5
6
13
-7
5
16
For Sittard
9
1
2
6
9
20
-11
5
17
Heracles
8
0
1
7
6
14
-8
1
18
Zwolle
8
0
1
7
5
20
-15
1
Ajax AZ Alkmaar
Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match
Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1
7
Cambuur
16
3
13
1.9
2.2
9
0
7
30
36
27
2
3
PSV Eindhoven
15
3
12
2.5
1.5
11
1
3
38
22
34
3
2
Feyenoord
16
5
11
2.4
0.9
11
3
2
39
15
36
4
6
Utrecht
16
5
11
1.9
1.2
8
3
5
30
20
27
5
13
Willem II
16
5
11
1.1
1.9
5
3
8
17
31
18
6
16
For Sittard
16
5
11
1.1
2.4
3
3
10
17
39
12
7
4
Vitesse
16
6
10
1.4
1.4
9
2
5
22
23
29
8
8
AZ Alkmaar
15
5
10
1.9
1.4
7
2
6
28
21
23
9
14
Waalwijk
16
7
9
1.1
1.6
3
6
7
17
25
15
10
1
Ajax
15
7
8
3.2
0.1
11
3
1
48
2
36
11
5
Twente
16
8
8
1.5
1.2
8
4
4
24
20
28
12
11
Nijmegen
15
7
8
1.3
1.6
5
4
6
20
24
19
13
9
Heerenveen
16
9
7
1.1
1.3
6
4
6
18
21
22
14
10
Go Ahead Eagles
16
9
7
1.2
1.6
6
3
7
19
25
21
15
15
Heracles
16
9
7
1.0
1.4
4
2
10
16
23
14
16
12
Groningen
16
10
6
1.1
1.4
4
7
5
18
22
19
17
17
Sparta Rotterdam
16
10
6
0.8
1.5
2
5
9
12
24
11
18
18
Zwolle
16
11
5
0.5
1.8
1
3
12
8
28
6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1
3
PSV Eindhoven
8
1
7
3.1
1.5
7
0
1
25
12
21
2
7
Cambuur
8
1
7
2.0
2.2
4
0
4
16
18
12
3
1
Ajax
8
2
6
4.0
0.1
6
1
1
32
1
19
4
2
Feyenoord
8
2
6
3.0
0.9
7
1
0
24
7
22
5
4
Vitesse
8
2
6
1.1
1.6
3
2
3
9
13
11
6
6
Utrecht
8
2
6
2.8
0.8
6
2
0
22
6
20
7
8
AZ Alkmaar
7
1
6
2.7
1.3
5
1
1
19
9
16
8
16
For Sittard
7
1
6
1.1
2.7
2
1
4
8
19
7
9
9
Heerenveen
9
4
5
1.2
1.6
3
2
4
11
14
11
10
13
Willem II
8
3
5
0.9
1.8
3
1
4
7
14
10
11
10
Go Ahead Eagles
8
4
4
1.6
1.4
4
0
4
13
11
12
12
14
Waalwijk
8
4
4
0.9
1.5
3
1
4
7
12
10
13
5
Twente
8
5
3
1.2
0.8
4
3
1
10
6
15
14
11
Nijmegen
7
4
3
1.1
1.1
2
2
3
8
8
8
15
15
Heracles
8
5
3
1.2
1.1
4
1
3
10
9
13
16
17
Sparta Rotterdam
8
6
2
0.8
1.4
1
3
4
6
11
6
17
18
Zwolle
8
7
1
0.4
1.0
1
2
5
3
8
5
18
12
Groningen
8
8
0
0.9
0.8
1
6
1
7
6
9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1
7
Cambuur
8
2
6
1.8
2.2
5
0
3
14
18
15
2
12
Groningen
8
2
6
1.4
2.0
3
1
4
11
16
10
3
13
Willem II
8
2
6
1.2
2.1
2
2
4
10
17
8
4
2
Feyenoord
8
3
5
1.9
1.0
4
2
2
15
8
14
5
3
PSV Eindhoven
7
2
5
1.9
1.4
4
1
2
13
10
13
6
5
Twente
8
3
5
1.8
1.8
4
1
3
14
14
13
7
6
Utrecht
8
3
5
1.0
1.8
2
1
5
8
14
7
8
11
Nijmegen
8
3
5
1.5
2.0
3
2
3
12
16
11
9
14
Waalwijk
8
3
5
1.2
1.6
0
5
3
10
13
5
10
16
For Sittard
9
4
5
1.0
2.2
1
2
6
9
20
5
11
4
Vitesse
8
4
4
1.6
1.2
6
0
2
13
10
18
12
8
AZ Alkmaar
8
4
4
1.1
1.5
2
1
5
9
12
7
13
15
Heracles
8
4
4
0.8
1.8
0
1
7
6
14
1
14
17
Sparta Rotterdam
8
4
4
0.8
1.6
1
2
5
6
13
5
15
18
Zwolle
8
4
4
0.6
2.5
0
1
7
5
20
1
16
10
Go Ahead Eagles
8
5
3
0.8
1.8
2
3
3
6
14
9
17
1
Ajax
7
5
2
2.3
0.1
5
2
0
16
1
17
18
9
Heerenveen
7
5
2
1.0
1.0
3
2
2
7
7
11
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51