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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2022/2023

Home 6.50 fair 4.03
Draw 5.00 fair 4.51
Away ✓ 1.44 fair 1.89
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Ajax
6 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 8
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (221 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.92
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 9.7% 0–1 8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.13scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 27:32
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.75scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 66:23
Heerenveen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 2.75
1.33 Goals conceded 0.96
2.46 Total goals 3.71
13.63 Shots 18.46
4.33 Shots on target 7.04
12.54 Shots faced 8.67
4.67 Corners 7.63
5.25 Corners against 3.13
8.79 Fouls 8.96
1.46 Yellow cards 1.42
0.58 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 63%
29% Draws 29%
38% Losses 8%
79% Over 0.5 goals 96%
67% Over 1.5 goals 88%
54% Over 2.5 goals 67%
29% Over 3.5 goals 54%
13% Over 4.5 goals 38%
4% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 67%
29% Clean sheets 33%
42% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 54%
67% Draws 25%
17% Losses 21%
58% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 58%
8% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Ajax all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
1.17points / match
1.08scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:18
Ajax before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.58scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 31:14
Heerenveen at home away Ajax

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 2.58
1.50 Goals conceded 1.17
2.58 Total goals 3.75
15.67 Shots 15.08
4.75 Shots on target 5.58
12.25 Shots faced 10.42
5.00 Corners 6.00
4.83 Corners against 3.92
8.50 Fouls 10.00
1.42 Yellow cards 1.92
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
17% Draws 25%
50% Losses 8%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 92%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
8% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 75%
17% Clean sheets 25%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 58%
50% Draws 17%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
58% Over 1.5 goals 67%
17% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Twente – Heerenveen 3–3 (1–1) 1.554.006.50 1.85 2.00
25.02.23 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–4 (1–0) 1.913.504.00 1.75 2.05
19.02.23 Cambuur – Heerenveen 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 1.98 1.88
12.02.23 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 1–2 (0–2) 4.753.801.67 1.83 2.02
04.02.23 Utrecht – Heerenveen 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.95 1.90
28.01.23 Heerenveen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.503.30 2.00 1.85
25.01.23 For Sittard – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.95 1.90
22.01.23 Heerenveen – Groningen 3–1 (1–1) 1.733.755.00 1.88 1.98
14.01.23 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.85 2.00
07.01.23 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.15

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.23 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
26.02.23 Vitesse – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.751.50 1.57 2.35
19.02.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0012.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.23 Ajax – Waalwijk 3–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.30 3.50
05.02.23 Cambuur – Ajax 0–5 (0–2) 9.005.751.22 1.50 2.50
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
26.01.23 Ajax – Volendam 1–1 (0–0) 1.139.5017.00 1.20 4.33
22.01.23 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.60 1.60 2.30
14.01.23 Ajax – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–4 (1–0) 1.913.504.00 1.75 2.05
12.02.23 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 1–2 (0–2) 4.753.801.67 1.83 2.02
28.01.23 Heerenveen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.503.30 2.00 1.85
22.01.23 Heerenveen – Groningen 3–1 (1–1) 1.733.755.00 1.88 1.98
14.01.23 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.85 2.00
13.11.22 Heerenveen – Cambuur 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.05
29.10.22 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.88 1.98
09.10.22 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.60 2.30
18.09.22 Heerenveen – Twente 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
04.09.22 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.75 2.05

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Vitesse – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.751.50 1.57 2.35
05.02.23 Cambuur – Ajax 0–5 (0–2) 9.005.751.22 1.50 2.50
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
22.01.23 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.60 1.60 2.30
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87
22.10.22 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
08.10.22 Volendam – Ajax 2–4 (0–2) 11.009.001.18 1.20 4.33
18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
28.08.22 Utrecht – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsAjax wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.09.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
11.05.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (3–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.25 4.00
16.10.21N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.501.20 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 54 22 +32 55
2 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 51 28 +23 53
3 Ajax 24 15 7 2 66 23 +43 52
4 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 4 5 61 28 +33 49
5 Twente 25 12 8 5 42 21 +21 44
6 Sparta Rotterdam 25 12 7 6 39 27 +12 43
7 Utrecht 25 10 8 7 41 39 +2 38
8 Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 39 37 +2 32
9 Nijmegen 25 6 13 6 32 25 +7 31
10 Heerenveen 24 8 7 9 27 32 -5 31
11 For Sittard 25 8 5 12 31 44 -13 29
12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 6 8 10 34 43 -9 26
13 Vitesse 25 5 8 12 29 45 -16 23
14 Volendam 24 6 5 13 28 53 -25 23
15 FC Emmen 25 4 9 12 23 43 -20 21
16 Excelsior 25 6 2 17 21 60 -39 20
17 Groningen 25 4 5 16 25 50 -25 17
18 Cambuur 24 4 4 16 17 40 -23 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 10 1 1 37 8 +29 31
2 Twente 12 9 3 0 30 6 +24 30
3 Feyenoord 12 8 4 0 24 6 +18 28
4 Sparta Rotterdam 13 8 2 3 23 13 +10 26
5 Ajax 12 7 4 1 35 9 +26 25
6 AZ Alkmaar 12 7 4 1 26 15 +11 25
7 Waalwijk 12 6 3 3 26 16 +10 21
8 Utrecht 12 5 4 3 13 11 +2 19
9 Nijmegen 13 3 9 1 23 14 +9 18
10 FC Emmen 13 3 8 2 15 15 0 17
11 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 19 20 -1 16
12 Volendam 12 5 1 6 18 25 -7 16
13 Excelsior 12 5 1 6 13 22 -9 16
14 Heerenveen 12 4 2 6 13 18 -5 14
15 Groningen 12 3 3 6 17 21 -4 12
16 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 15 23 -8 12
17 Vitesse 12 2 4 6 13 24 -11 10
18 Cambuur 13 2 0 11 9 25 -16 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 13 9 1 3 25 13 +12 28
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 31 14 +17 27
3 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 30 16 +14 27
4 Utrecht 13 5 4 4 28 28 0 19
5 PSV Eindhoven 12 5 3 4 24 20 +4 18
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 5 3 16 14 +2 17
7 Heerenveen 12 4 5 3 14 14 0 17
8 For Sittard 12 5 2 5 16 21 -5 17
9 Twente 13 3 5 5 12 15 -3 14
10 Nijmegen 12 3 4 5 9 11 -2 13
11 Vitesse 13 3 4 6 16 21 -5 13
12 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 13 21 -8 11
13 Cambuur 11 2 4 5 8 15 -7 10
14 Go Ahead Eagles 12 2 4 6 15 23 -8 10
15 Volendam 12 1 4 7 10 28 -18 7
16 Groningen 13 1 2 10 8 29 -21 5
17 FC Emmen 12 1 1 10 8 28 -20 4
18 Excelsior 13 1 1 11 8 38 -30 4

Heerenveen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 24 8 16 2.8 1.0 15 7 2 66 23 52
2 4 PSV Eindhoven 24 8 16 2.5 1.2 15 4 5 61 28 49
3 13 Vitesse 25 9 16 1.2 1.8 5 8 12 29 45 23
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 25 10 15 2.0 1.1 16 5 4 51 28 53
5 6 Sparta Rotterdam 25 10 15 1.6 1.1 12 7 6 39 27 43
6 7 Utrecht 25 10 15 1.6 1.6 10 8 7 41 39 38
7 8 Waalwijk 24 9 15 1.6 1.5 8 8 8 39 37 32
8 11 For Sittard 25 10 15 1.2 1.8 8 5 12 31 44 29
9 14 Volendam 24 9 15 1.2 2.2 6 5 13 28 53 23
10 16 Excelsior 25 11 14 0.8 2.4 6 2 17 21 60 20
11 17 Groningen 25 11 14 1.0 2.0 4 5 16 25 50 17
12 10 Heerenveen 24 11 13 1.1 1.3 8 7 9 27 32 31
13 18 Cambuur 24 11 13 0.7 1.7 4 4 16 17 40 16
14 1 Feyenoord 24 12 12 2.2 0.9 16 7 1 54 22 55
15 5 Twente 25 13 12 1.7 0.8 12 8 5 42 21 44
16 12 Go Ahead Eagles 24 12 12 1.4 1.8 6 8 10 34 43 26
17 15 FC Emmen 25 13 12 0.9 1.7 4 9 12 23 43 21
18 9 Nijmegen 25 17 8 1.3 1.0 6 13 6 32 25 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 12 4 8 2.9 0.8 7 4 1 35 9 25
2 5 Twente 12 4 8 2.5 0.5 9 3 0 30 6 30
3 6 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 8 2 3 23 13 26
4 8 Waalwijk 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 6 3 3 26 16 21
5 10 Heerenveen 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 4 2 6 13 18 14
6 13 Vitesse 12 4 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 6 13 24 10
7 14 Volendam 12 4 8 1.5 2.1 5 1 6 18 25 16
8 18 Cambuur 13 5 8 0.7 1.9 2 0 11 9 25 6
9 2 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 7 2.2 1.2 7 4 1 26 15 25
10 4 PSV Eindhoven 12 5 7 3.1 0.7 10 1 1 37 8 31
11 16 Excelsior 12 5 7 1.1 1.8 5 1 6 13 22 16
12 17 Groningen 12 5 7 1.4 1.8 3 3 6 17 21 12
13 11 For Sittard 13 7 6 1.2 1.8 3 3 7 15 23 12
14 12 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 6 1.6 1.7 4 4 4 19 20 16
15 1 Feyenoord 12 7 5 2.0 0.5 8 4 0 24 6 28
16 7 Utrecht 12 7 5 1.1 0.9 5 4 3 13 11 19
17 9 Nijmegen 13 8 5 1.8 1.1 3 9 1 23 14 18
18 15 FC Emmen 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 3 8 2 15 15 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Utrecht 13 3 10 2.2 2.2 5 4 4 28 28 19
2 4 PSV Eindhoven 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 3 4 24 20 18
3 11 For Sittard 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 5 2 5 16 21 17
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 8 1.9 1.0 9 1 3 25 13 28
5 3 Ajax 12 4 8 2.6 1.2 8 3 1 31 14 27
6 13 Vitesse 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 4 6 16 21 13
7 1 Feyenoord 12 5 7 2.5 1.3 8 3 1 30 16 27
8 6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 5 3 16 14 17
9 8 Waalwijk 12 5 7 1.1 1.8 2 5 5 13 21 11
10 14 Volendam 12 5 7 0.8 2.3 1 4 7 10 28 7
11 15 FC Emmen 12 5 7 0.7 2.3 1 1 10 8 28 4
12 16 Excelsior 13 6 7 0.6 2.9 1 1 11 8 38 4
13 17 Groningen 13 6 7 0.6 2.2 1 2 10 8 29 5
14 12 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 6 1.2 1.9 2 4 6 15 23 10
15 10 Heerenveen 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 3 14 14 17
16 18 Cambuur 11 6 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 5 8 15 10
17 5 Twente 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 3 5 5 12 15 14
18 9 Nijmegen 12 9 3 0.8 0.9 3 4 5 9 11 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40