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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 4–1 Waalwijk

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.78
Draw 6.50 fair 4.82
Away 10.00 fair 4.32
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Waalwijk
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 0
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (160 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.13 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawWaalwijk
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 9% 2–0 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
2.24scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 38:32
Waalwijk before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.94scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:30
Ajax all matches all matches Waalwijk

Per match

2.24 Goals scored 0.94
1.88 Goals conceded 1.76
4.12 Total goals 2.71
17.06 Shots 12.24
7.00 Shots on target 4.18
13.24 Shots faced 15.00
6.88 Corners 4.24
4.35 Corners against 6.24
8.53 Fouls 8.65
1.29 Yellow cards 1.65
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

47% Wins 24%
24% Draws 12%
29% Losses 65%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 76%
88% Over 2.5 goals 59%
71% Over 3.5 goals 29%
41% Over 4.5 goals 6%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
76% Both teams scored 53%
18% Clean sheets 12%
12% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 24%
35% Draws 35%
24% Losses 41%
76% Over 0.5 goals 82%
59% Over 1.5 goals 29%
35% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Waalwijk all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:11
Waalwijk before this match, away
0.88points / match
0.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:12
Ajax at home away Waalwijk

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded 1.50
3.88 Total goals 2.25
18.50 Shots 12.88
7.13 Shots on target 4.00
10.25 Shots faced 15.75
7.00 Corners 4.63
3.88 Corners against 6.63
8.63 Fouls 9.50
1.25 Yellow cards 2.25
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

63% Wins 25%
13% Draws 13%
25% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
88% Over 2.5 goals 38%
63% Over 3.5 goals 13%
38% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 38%
25% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 13%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Waalwijk away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 3.754.001.85 1.48 2.60
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
06.12.23 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.23 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.009.50 1.29 3.60
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40

Waalwijk all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24 Waalwijk – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 1.85 2.00
16.12.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
10.12.23 For Sittard – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.75 2.05
06.12.23 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Zwolle – Waalwijk 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Waalwijk – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.65 2.20
04.11.23 Waalwijk – Feyenoord 1–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.33 3.40
28.10.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Waalwijk – Volendam 2–1 (1–0) 1.654.204.50 1.50 2.50

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.23 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.009.50 1.29 3.60
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
27.09.23 Ajax – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–3) 2.803.752.38 1.53 2.40
12.08.23 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
21.05.23 Ajax – Utrecht 3–1 (1–0) 1.296.0010.00 1.36 3.10
06.05.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.53 2.40

Waalwijk away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
10.12.23 For Sittard – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.75 2.05
25.11.23 Zwolle – Waalwijk 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.15
28.10.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Almere City – Waalwijk 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.802.75 1.57 2.35
16.09.23 Vitesse – Waalwijk 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.53 2.40
26.08.23 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.57 2.35
12.08.23 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 3–1 (3–0) 1.734.004.50 1.57 2.35
28.05.23 Cambuur – Waalwijk 4–0 (2–0) 3.403.801.95 1.50 2.50
13.05.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsWaalwijk wins
5matches
4.80goals / match
100%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23N1 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
12.02.23N1 Ajax – Waalwijk 3–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.30 3.50
22.10.22N1 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
06.03.22N1 Ajax – Waalwijk 3–2 (2–0) 1.0512.0029.00 1.20 4.33
21.11.21N1 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–5 (0–2) 15.007.001.16 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 17 1 0 60 8 +52 52
2 Feyenoord 18 13 3 2 52 17 +35 42
3 Twente 18 11 4 3 36 21 +15 37
4 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 4 4 38 18 +20 34
5 Ajax 17 8 4 5 38 32 +6 28
6 Go Ahead Eagles 18 7 5 6 30 26 +4 26
7 Nijmegen 18 6 7 5 34 30 +4 25
8 Sparta Rotterdam 18 7 4 7 24 24 0 25
9 Excelsior 18 4 8 6 31 35 -4 20
10 Zwolle 18 5 5 8 27 32 -5 20
11 Heerenveen 18 6 2 10 26 35 -9 20
12 Utrecht 18 4 7 7 18 27 -9 19
13 For Sittard 17 5 4 8 17 30 -13 19
14 Almere City 17 5 4 8 19 34 -15 19
15 Heracles 18 5 4 9 23 41 -18 19
16 Waalwijk 17 4 2 11 16 30 -14 14
17 Volendam 18 3 3 12 19 42 -23 12
18 Vitesse 18 3 3 12 13 39 -26 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 29 5 +24 27
2 Twente 9 7 1 1 19 12 +7 22
3 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 26 8 +18 20
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 25 11 +14 20
5 For Sittard 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
6 Go Ahead Eagles 9 5 1 3 22 12 +10 16
7 Ajax 8 5 1 2 20 11 +9 16
8 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15
9 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 15 10 +5 13
10 Excelsior 9 2 5 2 15 15 0 11
11 Heracles 9 3 2 4 11 20 -9 11
12 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
13 Zwolle 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
14 Utrecht 9 1 5 3 11 18 -7 8
15 Almere City 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
16 Waalwijk 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7
17 Volendam 8 2 1 5 8 17 -9 7
18 Vitesse 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 8 1 0 31 3 +28 25
2 Feyenoord 9 7 1 1 26 9 +17 22
3 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 1 3 14 9 +5 16
4 Twente 9 4 3 2 17 9 +8 15
5 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
6 Zwolle 9 3 3 3 18 17 +1 12
7 Ajax 9 3 3 3 18 21 -3 12
8 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
9 Almere City 9 3 2 4 9 17 -8 11
10 Nijmegen 8 2 4 2 13 15 -2 10
11 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
12 Excelsior 9 2 3 4 16 20 -4 9
13 Heracles 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
14 Waalwijk 8 2 1 5 6 12 -6 7
15 Heerenveen 10 2 1 7 11 25 -14 7
16 Vitesse 9 2 0 7 7 26 -19 6
17 Volendam 10 1 2 7 11 25 -14 5
18 For Sittard 8 0 2 6 4 21 -17 2

Ajax   Waalwijk

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 18 3 15 3.3 0.4 17 1 0 60 8 52
2 2 Feyenoord 18 3 15 2.9 0.9 13 3 2 52 17 42
3 5 Ajax 17 2 15 2.2 1.9 8 4 5 38 32 28
4 9 Excelsior 18 4 14 1.7 1.9 4 8 6 31 35 20
5 11 Heerenveen 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 6 2 10 26 35 20
6 15 Heracles 18 4 14 1.3 2.3 5 4 9 23 41 19
7 7 Nijmegen 18 5 13 1.9 1.7 6 7 5 34 30 25
8 10 Zwolle 18 5 13 1.5 1.8 5 5 8 27 32 20
9 17 Volendam 18 5 13 1.1 2.3 3 3 12 19 42 12
10 3 Twente 18 6 12 2.0 1.2 11 4 3 36 21 37
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 18 6 12 2.1 1.0 10 4 4 38 18 34
12 13 For Sittard 17 6 11 1.0 1.8 5 4 8 17 30 19
13 14 Almere City 17 6 11 1.1 2.0 5 4 8 19 34 19
14 6 Go Ahead Eagles 18 8 10 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 30 26 26
15 8 Sparta Rotterdam 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 7 4 7 24 24 25
16 16 Waalwijk 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 11 16 30 14
17 18 Vitesse 18 8 10 0.7 2.2 3 3 12 13 39 12
18 12 Utrecht 18 12 6 1.0 1.5 4 7 7 18 27 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.5 1.1 6 2 2 25 11 20
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 2 7 3.2 0.6 9 0 0 29 5 27
3 2 Feyenoord 9 2 7 2.9 0.9 6 2 1 26 8 20
4 3 Twente 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 7 1 1 19 12 22
5 5 Ajax 8 1 7 2.5 1.4 5 1 2 20 11 16
6 6 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 7 2.4 1.3 5 1 3 22 12 16
7 7 Nijmegen 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15
8 11 Heerenveen 8 1 7 1.9 1.2 4 1 3 15 10 13
9 15 Heracles 9 2 7 1.2 2.2 3 2 4 11 20 11
10 16 Waalwijk 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7
11 9 Excelsior 9 3 6 1.7 1.7 2 5 2 15 15 11
12 14 Almere City 8 2 6 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
13 8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
14 10 Zwolle 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
15 13 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
16 17 Volendam 8 3 5 1.0 2.1 2 1 5 8 17 7
17 12 Utrecht 9 6 3 1.2 2.0 1 5 3 11 18 8
18 18 Vitesse 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.4 0.3 8 1 0 31 3 25
2 2 Feyenoord 9 1 8 2.9 1.0 7 1 1 26 9 22
3 5 Ajax 9 1 8 2.0 2.3 3 3 3 18 21 12
4 9 Excelsior 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 2 3 4 16 20 9
5 10 Zwolle 9 1 8 2.0 1.9 3 3 3 18 17 12
6 17 Volendam 10 2 8 1.1 2.5 1 2 7 11 25 5
7 11 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.1 2.5 2 1 7 11 25 7
8 15 Heracles 9 2 7 1.3 2.3 2 2 5 12 21 8
9 18 Vitesse 9 2 7 0.8 2.9 2 0 7 7 26 6
10 7 Nijmegen 8 2 6 1.6 1.9 2 4 2 13 15 10
11 13 For Sittard 8 2 6 0.5 2.6 0 2 6 4 21 2
12 3 Twente 9 4 5 1.9 1.0 4 3 2 17 9 15
13 8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 5 1 3 14 9 16
14 14 Almere City 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 3 2 4 9 17 11
15 4 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
16 6 Go Ahead Eagles 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
17 12 Utrecht 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11
18 16 Waalwijk 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 5 6 12 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51