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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heracles 3–4 Ajax

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.25 fair 2.84
Draw 5.00 fair 4.04
Away ✓ 1.45 fair 2.50
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heracles Ajax
14 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 0
11 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (76 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
HeraclesDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–2 8.7% 0–1 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Heracles before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
0.88scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:13
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.17scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:4
Heracles all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 2.17
1.63 Goals conceded 0.67
2.50 Total goals 2.83
12.25 Shots 16.83
3.63 Shots on target 6.33
16.13 Shots faced 6.83
5.63 Corners 7.83
5.13 Corners against 2.33
11.25 Fouls 9.50
1.88 Yellow cards 1.17
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 67%
38% Draws 17%
38% Losses 17%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 83%
63% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 50%
38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
38% Draws 50%
13% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 17%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heracles all matches
Ajax all matches
Heracles before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:5
Ajax before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:3
Heracles at home away Ajax

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.33
1.25 Goals conceded 1.00
2.25 Total goals 2.33
15.00 Shots 15.67
4.25 Shots on target 4.00
16.25 Shots faced 6.00
7.25 Corners 7.33
6.00 Corners against 3.33
9.25 Fouls 10.33
1.50 Yellow cards 1.33
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
25% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 67%
25% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 0%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heracles at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.15
27.09.24 Heracles – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 2.883.602.38 1.60 2.30
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
15.09.24 Heracles – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 2.03 1.83
01.09.24 Zwolle – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.70 2.10
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
18.08.24 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–0) 13.008.501.17 1.22 4.20
11.08.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.50 2.50
19.05.24 Heracles – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.602.63 1.57 2.35
12.05.24 Excelsior – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.753.80 1.48 2.60

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10
12.05.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.40 2.88
05.05.24 Volendam – Ajax 1–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.29 3.60
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88

Heracles at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.24 Heracles – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 2.883.602.38 1.60 2.30
15.09.24 Heracles – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 2.03 1.83
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
18.08.24 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–0) 13.008.501.17 1.22 4.20
19.05.24 Heracles – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.602.63 1.57 2.35
05.05.24 Heracles – Waalwijk 0–5 (0–2) 2.303.603.00 1.60 2.30
14.04.24 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 1.70 2.10
03.04.24 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
15.03.24 Heracles – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.25
03.03.24 Heracles – Almere City 2–2 (0–2) 2.553.402.70 2.05 1.80

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10
05.05.24 Volendam – Ajax 1–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.29 3.60
07.04.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 6–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.50 2.50
31.03.24 Zwolle – Ajax 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.53 2.40
17.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heracles winsDrawsAjax wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24N1 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
12.08.23N1 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
06.02.22N1 Ajax – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00
30.10.21N1 Heracles – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 11.006.501.20 1.36 3.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 29 6 +23 27
2 Utrecht 7 6 1 0 14 8 +6 19
3 Feyenoord 8 4 4 0 19 8 +11 16
4 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 18 7 +11 16
5 Twente 9 4 3 2 16 9 +7 15
6 Ajax 6 4 1 1 13 4 +9 13
7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 4 1 4 11 15 -4 13
8 Willem II 9 3 3 3 11 9 +2 12
9 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 5 2 11 11 0 11
10 For Sittard 9 3 2 4 8 13 -5 11
11 Nijmegen 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
12 Groningen 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9
13 Heracles 8 2 3 3 7 13 -6 9
14 NAC Breda 8 3 0 5 6 14 -8 9
15 Zwolle 8 2 2 4 8 11 -3 8
16 Heerenveen 9 2 2 5 10 20 -10 8
17 Almere City 9 0 3 6 4 21 -17 3
18 Waalwijk 9 0 1 8 7 24 -17 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 12 2 +10 12
2 Utrecht 4 4 0 0 9 5 +4 12
3 Ajax 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
4 NAC Breda 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
5 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
6 Twente 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
7 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
8 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
9 Willem II 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
10 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7
11 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 12 5 +7 6
12 Zwolle 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
13 For Sittard 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
14 Groningen 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
15 Heracles 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
16 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 4 1 5 6 -1 4
17 Waalwijk 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
18 Almere City 5 0 1 4 2 15 -13 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 17 4 +13 15
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
3 Feyenoord 5 2 3 0 14 6 +8 9
4 Twente 5 2 1 2 11 7 +4 7
5 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
7 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 0 2 3 6 -3 6
8 Willem II 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
9 For Sittard 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
10 Ajax 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
11 Groningen 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
12 Heracles 4 1 1 2 3 8 -5 4
13 Nijmegen 4 1 0 3 3 4 -1 3
14 Zwolle 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
15 Almere City 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
16 Waalwijk 4 0 0 4 3 13 -10 0
17 NAC Breda 4 0 0 4 1 11 -10 0
18 Heerenveen 5 0 0 5 2 17 -15 0

Heracles   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 2 7 3.2 0.7 9 0 0 29 6 27
2 18 Waalwijk 9 2 7 0.8 2.7 0 1 8 7 24 1
3 2 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 6 1 0 14 8 19
4 4 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 2.0 0.8 5 1 3 18 7 16
5 5 Twente 9 4 5 1.8 1.0 4 3 2 16 9 15
6 9 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 2 11 11 11
7 12 Groningen 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 3 11 11 9
8 13 Heracles 8 3 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 3 7 13 9
9 16 Heerenveen 9 4 5 1.1 2.2 2 2 5 10 20 8
10 3 Feyenoord 8 4 4 2.4 1.0 4 4 0 19 8 16
11 7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 5 4 1.2 1.7 4 1 4 11 15 13
12 10 For Sittard 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 3 2 4 8 13 11
13 11 Nijmegen 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
14 14 NAC Breda 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 3 0 5 6 14 9
15 17 Almere City 9 5 4 0.4 2.3 0 3 6 4 21 3
16 6 Ajax 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 1 1 13 4 13
17 8 Willem II 9 6 3 1.2 1.0 3 3 3 11 9 12
18 15 Zwolle 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 2 2 4 8 11 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 1 3 3.0 0.5 4 0 0 12 2 12
3 2 Utrecht 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 0 9 5 12
4 4 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 3.0 1.2 2 0 2 12 5 6
5 10 For Sittard 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
6 11 Nijmegen 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
7 15 Zwolle 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
8 6 Ajax 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
9 7 Go Ahead Eagles 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7
10 8 Willem II 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 0 4 1 5 6 4
12 12 Groningen 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
13 13 Heracles 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
14 14 NAC Breda 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
15 16 Heerenveen 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
16 17 Almere City 5 3 2 0.4 3.0 0 1 4 2 15 1
17 3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
18 5 Twente 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Twente 5 0 5 2.2 1.4 2 1 2 11 7 7
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 5 0 0 17 4 15
3 3 Feyenoord 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 2 3 0 14 6 9
4 9 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
5 12 Groningen 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
6 13 Heracles 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 1 2 3 8 4
7 16 Heerenveen 5 2 3 0.4 3.4 0 0 5 2 17 0
8 18 Waalwijk 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 0 0 4 3 13 0
9 2 Utrecht 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
11 7 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 2 0 2 3 6 6
12 14 NAC Breda 4 2 2 0.2 2.8 0 0 4 1 11 0
13 17 Almere City 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
14 6 Ajax 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
15 8 Willem II 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
16 10 For Sittard 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
17 11 Nijmegen 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 0 3 3 4 3
18 15 Zwolle 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51