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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.00 fair 2.52
Draw 4.50 fair 4.77
Away 1.73 fair 2.54
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 3.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Ajax
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (185 league matches this season so far).
Result Heerenveen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.36
Expected goals 1.96 – 1.95
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 7.7% 2–1 7.5% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.55scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 31:40
Ajax before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.35scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 47:36
Heerenveen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 2.35
2.00 Goals conceded 1.80
3.55 Total goals 4.15
13.90 Shots 17.40
4.85 Shots on target 7.10
13.05 Shots faced 13.20
5.55 Corners 6.85
5.60 Corners against 4.10
8.55 Fouls 8.30
1.20 Yellow cards 1.25
0.85 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

30% Wins 50%
20% Draws 25%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
95% Over 1.5 goals 95%
80% Over 2.5 goals 85%
45% Over 3.5 goals 70%
20% Over 4.5 goals 45%
10% Over 5.5 goals 15%
55% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 15%
25% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
45% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 65%
20% Over 2.5 goals 35%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Ajax all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:12
Ajax before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.20scored / match
2.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 22:23
Heerenveen at home away Ajax

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 2.20
1.33 Goals conceded 2.30
3.22 Total goals 4.50
16.67 Shots 17.30
6.11 Shots on target 7.40
10.22 Shots faced 15.60
7.33 Corners 7.20
4.22 Corners against 4.60
7.78 Fouls 8.10
1.33 Yellow cards 1.30
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

44% Wins 40%
22% Draws 30%
33% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
89% Over 2.5 goals 90%
33% Over 3.5 goals 80%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 30%
56% Both teams scored 90%
33% Clean sheets 10%
11% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 30%
22% Draws 50%
33% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 70%
67% Over 1.5 goals 60%
11% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 For Sittard – Heerenveen 3–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Zwolle – Heerenveen 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.602.55 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–2 (0–1) 1.364.758.50 1.50 2.50
07.12.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.30 3.50
01.12.23 Heerenveen – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Heerenveen – For Sittard 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Vitesse – Heerenveen 1–3 (1–1) 2.383.502.90 1.70 2.10
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
27.01.24 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
14.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 3.754.001.85 1.48 2.60
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
06.12.23 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–2 (0–1) 1.364.758.50 1.50 2.50
01.12.23 Heerenveen – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Heerenveen – For Sittard 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 1.88 1.98
28.10.23 Heerenveen – Heracles 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.753.75 1.65 2.20
07.10.23 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.603.20 1.67 2.15
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
27.08.23 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 (0–1) 2.253.802.80 1.67 2.15
12.08.23 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 3–1 (3–0) 1.734.004.50 1.57 2.35
28.05.23 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (1–0) 2.004.003.30 1.53 2.40

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
14.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 3.754.001.85 1.48 2.60
06.12.23 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
22.10.23 Utrecht – Ajax 4–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.91 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 For Sittard – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.40 2.88
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsAjax wins
5matches
4.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
12.03.23N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 2–4 (1–3) 6.505.001.44 1.53 2.40
10.09.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
11.05.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (3–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.25 4.00
16.10.21N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.501.20 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 2 0 63 9 +54 56
2 Feyenoord 20 14 4 2 53 17 +36 46
3 Twente 21 13 5 3 42 21 +21 44
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 10 6 5 40 21 +19 36
5 Ajax 20 10 5 5 47 36 +11 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 21 8 7 6 35 29 +6 31
7 Nijmegen 21 7 8 6 39 35 +4 29
8 Zwolle 21 7 6 8 31 33 -2 27
9 Sparta Rotterdam 20 7 5 8 25 27 -2 26
10 For Sittard 20 6 6 8 21 33 -12 24
11 Almere City 21 6 6 9 21 37 -16 24
12 Utrecht 20 5 8 7 23 30 -7 23
13 Heerenveen 20 6 4 10 31 40 -9 22
14 Heracles 21 6 4 11 29 50 -21 22
15 Excelsior 21 4 9 8 33 41 -8 21
16 Waalwijk 21 5 3 13 20 38 -18 18
17 Volendam 20 3 3 14 21 47 -26 12
18 Vitesse 21 3 3 15 15 45 -30 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 31 5 +26 30
2 Twente 10 8 1 1 22 12 +10 25
3 Feyenoord 10 6 3 1 26 8 +18 21
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 25 12 +13 20
5 Ajax 10 6 2 2 25 13 +12 20
6 Go Ahead Eagles 11 5 3 3 25 15 +10 18
7 Nijmegen 11 5 3 3 24 16 +8 18
8 For Sittard 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
9 Heerenveen 9 4 2 3 17 12 +5 14
10 Heracles 11 4 2 5 16 26 -10 14
11 Almere City 11 3 4 4 12 18 -6 13
12 Excelsior 11 2 6 3 16 19 -3 12
13 Utrecht 10 2 5 3 15 20 -5 11
14 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
15 Waalwijk 11 3 2 6 13 19 -6 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
17 Volendam 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
18 Vitesse 10 1 3 6 6 15 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 8 2 0 32 4 +28 26
2 Feyenoord 10 8 1 1 27 9 +18 25
3 Twente 11 5 4 2 20 9 +11 19
4 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 4 2 15 9 +6 16
6 Zwolle 11 4 4 3 21 18 +3 16
7 Ajax 10 4 3 3 22 23 -1 15
8 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 4 3 10 14 -4 13
9 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
10 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 15 19 -4 11
11 Almere City 10 3 2 5 9 19 -10 11
12 Excelsior 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
13 Heracles 10 2 2 6 13 24 -11 8
14 Heerenveen 11 2 2 7 14 28 -14 8
15 Waalwijk 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
16 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 5 21 -16 6
17 Vitesse 11 2 0 9 9 30 -21 6
18 Volendam 11 1 2 8 13 29 -16 5

Heerenveen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 20 3 17 2.4 1.8 10 5 5 47 36 35
2 14 Heracles 21 4 17 1.4 2.4 6 4 11 29 50 22
3 13 Heerenveen 20 4 16 1.6 2.0 6 4 10 31 40 22
4 15 Excelsior 21 5 16 1.6 2.0 4 9 8 33 41 21
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 20 5 15 3.1 0.5 18 2 0 63 9 56
6 2 Feyenoord 20 5 15 2.6 0.8 14 4 2 53 17 46
7 7 Nijmegen 21 6 15 1.9 1.7 7 8 6 39 35 29
8 3 Twente 21 7 14 2.0 1.0 13 5 3 42 21 44
9 17 Volendam 20 6 14 1.1 2.4 3 3 14 21 47 12
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 21 8 13 1.9 1.0 10 6 5 40 21 36
11 8 Zwolle 21 8 13 1.5 1.6 7 6 8 31 33 27
12 10 For Sittard 20 8 12 1.1 1.6 6 6 8 21 33 24
13 11 Almere City 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 6 6 9 21 37 24
14 16 Waalwijk 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 5 3 13 20 38 18
15 6 Go Ahead Eagles 21 10 11 1.7 1.4 8 7 6 35 29 31
16 18 Vitesse 21 10 11 0.7 2.1 3 3 15 15 45 12
17 9 Sparta Rotterdam 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 7 5 8 25 27 26
18 12 Utrecht 20 13 7 1.1 1.5 5 8 7 23 30 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Heracles 11 2 9 1.5 2.4 4 2 5 16 26 14
2 3 Twente 10 2 8 2.2 1.2 8 1 1 22 12 25
3 4 AZ Alkmaar 11 3 8 2.3 1.1 6 2 3 25 12 20
4 5 Ajax 10 2 8 2.5 1.3 6 2 2 25 13 20
5 6 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 8 2.3 1.4 5 3 3 25 15 18
6 7 Nijmegen 11 3 8 2.2 1.5 5 3 3 24 16 18
7 13 Heerenveen 9 1 8 1.9 1.3 4 2 3 17 12 14
8 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 3.1 0.5 10 0 0 31 5 30
9 2 Feyenoord 10 3 7 2.6 0.8 6 3 1 26 8 21
10 11 Almere City 11 4 7 1.1 1.6 3 4 4 12 18 13
11 15 Excelsior 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 2 6 3 16 19 12
12 16 Waalwijk 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 2 6 13 19 11
13 10 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
14 8 Zwolle 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
15 9 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
16 17 Volendam 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
17 12 Utrecht 10 6 4 1.5 2.0 2 5 3 15 20 11
18 18 Vitesse 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 3 6 6 15 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 10 1 9 2.2 2.3 4 3 3 22 23 15
2 15 Excelsior 10 1 9 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
3 17 Volendam 11 2 9 1.2 2.6 1 2 8 13 29 5
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 2 0 32 4 26
5 2 Feyenoord 10 2 8 2.7 0.9 8 1 1 27 9 25
6 8 Zwolle 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 4 3 21 18 16
7 13 Heerenveen 11 3 8 1.3 2.5 2 2 7 14 28 8
8 14 Heracles 10 2 8 1.3 2.4 2 2 6 13 24 8
9 18 Vitesse 11 3 8 0.8 2.7 2 0 9 9 30 6
10 7 Nijmegen 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 2 5 3 15 19 11
11 3 Twente 11 5 6 1.8 0.8 5 4 2 20 9 19
12 10 For Sittard 10 4 6 0.5 2.1 1 3 6 5 21 6
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 4 2 15 9 16
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
15 11 Almere City 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 3 2 5 9 19 11
16 16 Waalwijk 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 7 7 19 7
17 6 Go Ahead Eagles 10 7 3 1.0 1.4 3 4 3 10 14 13
18 12 Utrecht 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44