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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Willem II 4–1 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.27
Draw 3.60 fair 3.89
Away 2.40 fair 3.31
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Willem II Nijmegen
14 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
8 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (151 league matches this season so far).
Result Willem II to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
Willem IIDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Willem II before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.06scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:18
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:20
Willem II all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded 1.25
2.19 Total goals 2.63
7.88 Shots 13.88
2.63 Shots on target 4.63
16.56 Shots faced 13.38
3.75 Corners 6.06
6.00 Corners against 5.13
10.94 Fouls 11.00
2.25 Yellow cards 0.94
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%
25% Draws 13%
44% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 56%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 38%
31% Clean sheets 31%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 44%
25% Losses 31%
63% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Willem II before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:9
Nijmegen before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:10
Willem II at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.86
1.13 Goals conceded 1.43
2.25 Total goals 2.29
9.63 Shots 11.00
2.88 Shots on target 3.57
14.63 Shots faced 16.14
3.88 Corners 5.86
4.38 Corners against 6.29
9.38 Fouls 10.29
2.13 Yellow cards 1.14
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 29%
25% Draws 0%
50% Losses 71%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 43%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 0%
38% Clean sheets 29%
38% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 14%
63% Draws 43%
13% Losses 43%
38% Over 0.5 goals 57%
25% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Zwolle – Willem II 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.254.20 2.10 1.70
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
30.11.24 Groningen – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.25 1.62
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 1.90 1.95
07.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 5–0 (4–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
03.11.24 Nijmegen – Groningen 6–0 (3–0) 1.853.304.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
19.10.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.65 2.20
05.10.24 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 1.83 2.03
28.09.24 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–0) 5.754.331.55 1.57 2.35

Willem II at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
15.09.24 Willem II – Waalwijk 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Willem II – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.30 1.75 2.05
15.05.22 Willem II – Utrecht 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.57 2.35
07.05.22 Willem II – Heracles 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.80

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 5–0 (4–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.08
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
05.10.24 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.25 4.00
31.08.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.83 2.03
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
19.05.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–2) 3.203.502.20 1.67 2.15
06.05.24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.53 2.40
07.04.24 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Willem II winsDrawsNijmegen wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.21N1 Willem II – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.87 1.93 1.93
12.09.21N1 Nijmegen – Willem II 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.50 1.85 1.95

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 15 0 2 59 13 +46 45
2 Ajax 17 12 3 2 37 16 +21 39
3 Utrecht 17 11 3 3 34 28 +6 36
4 Feyenoord 17 10 5 2 40 21 +19 35
5 AZ Alkmaar 17 10 2 5 31 17 +14 32
6 Twente 17 9 4 4 32 21 +11 31
7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 7 4 6 30 27 +3 25
8 For Sittard 17 7 4 6 25 25 0 25
9 NAC Breda 17 7 1 9 19 27 -8 22
10 Heerenveen 17 6 3 8 17 31 -14 21
11 Willem II 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
12 Nijmegen 16 5 2 9 22 20 +2 17
13 Zwolle 17 4 5 8 16 26 -10 17
14 Groningen 16 4 4 8 14 26 -12 16
15 Heracles 16 3 5 8 18 33 -15 14
16 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 14 26 -12 12
17 Almere City 17 2 3 12 10 37 -27 9
18 Waalwijk 17 1 4 12 18 41 -23 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 32 3 +29 24
2 Ajax 8 7 1 0 20 5 +15 22
3 Twente 8 5 3 0 17 6 +11 18
4 Heerenveen 8 5 3 0 13 4 +9 18
5 Go Ahead Eagles 9 5 2 2 20 12 +8 17
6 Feyenoord 8 5 2 1 17 9 +8 17
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 19 10 +9 16
8 Utrecht 9 5 1 3 17 20 -3 16
9 For Sittard 8 5 0 3 13 10 +3 15
10 NAC Breda 8 5 0 3 11 9 +2 15
11 Groningen 8 3 3 2 9 5 +4 12
12 Zwolle 8 4 0 4 11 11 0 12
13 Nijmegen 9 3 2 4 16 10 +6 11
14 Heracles 8 2 4 2 13 13 0 10
15 Willem II 8 2 2 4 9 9 0 8
16 Almere City 9 2 1 6 8 22 -14 7
17 Waalwijk 9 1 2 6 9 18 -9 5
18 Sparta Rotterdam 9 0 4 5 7 16 -9 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 27 10 +17 21
2 Utrecht 8 6 2 0 17 8 +9 20
3 Feyenoord 9 5 3 1 23 12 +11 18
4 Ajax 9 5 2 2 17 11 +6 17
5 AZ Alkmaar 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
6 Twente 9 4 1 4 15 15 0 13
7 Willem II 8 3 2 3 8 9 -1 11
8 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 12 15 -3 10
9 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 2 4 10 15 -5 8
11 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
12 Nijmegen 7 2 0 5 6 10 -4 6
13 Zwolle 9 0 5 4 5 15 -10 5
14 Heracles 8 1 1 6 5 20 -15 4
15 Groningen 8 1 1 6 5 21 -16 4
16 Heerenveen 9 1 0 8 4 27 -23 3
17 Almere City 8 0 2 6 2 15 -13 2
18 Waalwijk 8 0 2 6 9 23 -14 2

Willem II   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 17 3 14 3.5 0.8 15 0 2 59 13 45
2 3 Utrecht 17 5 12 2.0 1.6 11 3 3 34 28 36
3 18 Waalwijk 17 5 12 1.1 2.4 1 4 12 18 41 7
4 5 AZ Alkmaar 17 6 11 1.8 1.0 10 2 5 31 17 32
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 11 1.8 1.6 7 4 6 30 27 25
6 2 Ajax 17 7 10 2.2 0.9 12 3 2 37 16 39
7 4 Feyenoord 17 7 10 2.4 1.2 10 5 2 40 21 35
8 6 Twente 17 7 10 1.9 1.2 9 4 4 32 21 31
9 8 For Sittard 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 4 6 25 25 25
10 9 NAC Breda 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 7 1 9 19 27 22
11 15 Heracles 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 3 5 8 18 33 14
12 10 Heerenveen 17 8 9 1.0 1.8 6 3 8 17 31 21
13 12 Nijmegen 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 5 2 9 22 20 17
14 17 Almere City 17 8 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 12 10 37 9
15 13 Zwolle 17 10 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 8 16 26 17
16 14 Groningen 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 26 16
17 16 Sparta Rotterdam 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 2 6 9 14 26 12
18 11 Willem II 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 4.0 0.4 8 0 0 32 3 24
2 3 Utrecht 9 3 6 1.9 2.2 5 1 3 17 20 16
3 5 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.1 1.1 5 1 3 19 10 16
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 2 2 20 12 17
5 8 For Sittard 8 2 6 1.6 1.2 5 0 3 13 10 15
6 12 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 3 2 4 16 10 11
7 18 Waalwijk 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 2 6 9 18 5
8 2 Ajax 8 3 5 2.5 0.6 7 1 0 20 5 22
9 9 NAC Breda 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 5 0 3 11 9 15
10 13 Zwolle 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 0 4 11 11 12
11 15 Heracles 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 2 4 2 13 13 10
12 17 Almere City 9 4 5 0.9 2.4 2 1 6 8 22 7
13 4 Feyenoord 8 4 4 2.1 1.1 5 2 1 17 9 17
14 11 Willem II 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 2 2 4 9 9 8
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 0 4 5 7 16 4
16 6 Twente 8 5 3 2.1 0.8 5 3 0 17 6 18
17 10 Heerenveen 8 6 2 1.6 0.5 5 3 0 13 4 18
18 14 Groningen 8 6 2 1.1 0.6 3 3 2 9 5 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 2 7 3.0 1.1 7 0 2 27 10 21
2 6 Twente 9 2 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 4 15 15 13
3 10 Heerenveen 9 2 7 0.4 3.0 1 0 8 4 27 3
4 3 Utrecht 8 2 6 2.1 1.0 6 2 0 17 8 20
5 4 Feyenoord 9 3 6 2.6 1.3 5 3 1 23 12 18
6 18 Waalwijk 8 2 6 1.1 2.9 0 2 6 9 23 2
7 2 Ajax 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 2 2 17 11 17
8 5 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 5 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
9 7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 2 2 4 10 15 8
10 9 NAC Breda 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
11 14 Groningen 8 3 5 0.6 2.6 1 1 6 5 21 4
12 15 Heracles 8 3 5 0.6 2.5 1 1 6 5 20 4
13 8 For Sittard 9 5 4 1.3 1.7 2 4 3 12 15 10
14 17 Almere City 8 4 4 0.2 1.9 0 2 6 2 15 2
15 12 Nijmegen 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 0 5 6 10 6
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
17 11 Willem II 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 3 8 9 11
18 13 Zwolle 9 7 2 0.6 1.7 0 5 4 5 15 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44