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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.00 fair 2.87
Draw 3.60 fair 4.56
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 3.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Nijmegen
9 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 6
5 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (287 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.45
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.89
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 7.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
1.48scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:66
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.90scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 59:47
Excelsior all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.90
2.13 Goals conceded 1.52
3.61 Total goals 3.42
11.10 Shots 12.71
4.29 Shots on target 5.77
15.39 Shots faced 16.19
3.52 Corners 4.26
6.45 Corners against 6.42
8.52 Fouls 9.19
1.52 Yellow cards 1.58
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

16% Wins 39%
35% Draws 35%
48% Losses 26%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 94%
77% Over 2.5 goals 68%
52% Over 3.5 goals 45%
19% Over 4.5 goals 16%
19% Over 5.5 goals 13%
71% Both teams scored 68%
16% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 32%
45% Draws 39%
26% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 74%
45% Over 1.5 goals 42%
19% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.07points / match
1.47scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:24
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.73scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:25
Excelsior at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.73
1.60 Goals conceded 1.67
3.07 Total goals 3.40
13.87 Shots 11.40
5.07 Shots on target 5.20
13.93 Shots faced 19.53
3.93 Corners 3.73
6.27 Corners against 7.27
7.60 Fouls 10.47
1.13 Yellow cards 1.93
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 27%
47% Draws 47%
33% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 93%
60% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 47%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
67% Both teams scored 73%
20% Clean sheets 7%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
60% Draws 33%
7% Losses 33%
53% Over 0.5 goals 73%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
12.04.24 Excelsior – Volendam 4–0 (2–0) 1.754.334.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.57 2.35
16.03.24 Excelsior – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.80 2.00
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 3.204.002.05 1.70 2.10
14.04.24 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–2 (0–1) 1.554.505.25 1.53 2.40
07.04.24 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.70 2.10
02.04.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
17.03.24 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–5 (0–3) 5.254.501.55 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.24 Excelsior – Volendam 4–0 (2–0) 1.754.334.00 1.50 2.50
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Excelsior – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.80 2.00
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 2–4 (1–1) 11.007.001.20 1.33 3.40
04.11.23 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.70 2.10
02.04.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
17.03.24 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
01.03.24 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–5 (0–3) 5.254.501.55 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08
28.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
14.01.24 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–2 (2–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.502.90 1.80 2.00
06.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsNijmegen wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.23N1 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35
19.02.23N1 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.70 2.10
08.10.22N1 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 32 28 3 1 107 19 +88 87
2 Feyenoord 32 24 6 2 85 24 +61 78
3 Twente 32 19 6 7 60 33 +27 63
4 AZ Alkmaar 32 18 7 7 64 36 +28 61
5 Ajax 32 14 10 8 69 59 +10 52
6 Utrecht 32 13 10 9 46 43 +3 49
7 Nijmegen 31 12 11 8 59 47 +12 47
8 Go Ahead Eagles 32 11 10 11 45 42 +3 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 48 47 +1 43
10 Heerenveen 32 10 7 15 51 65 -14 37
11 For Sittard 32 9 9 14 36 55 -19 36
12 Zwolle 32 9 8 15 43 64 -21 35
13 Almere City 32 7 13 12 32 52 -20 34
14 Heracles 32 9 5 18 41 70 -29 32
15 Waalwijk 32 7 7 18 36 52 -16 28
16 Excelsior 31 5 11 15 46 66 -20 26
17 Vitesse 32 5 5 22 25 71 -46 20
18 Volendam 32 4 7 21 31 79 -48 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 15 1 0 51 10 +41 46
2 Twente 16 13 1 2 33 15 +18 40
3 Feyenoord 16 12 3 1 47 10 +37 39
4 AZ Alkmaar 16 11 2 3 38 15 +23 35
5 Ajax 16 8 6 2 36 21 +15 30
6 Utrecht 16 8 5 3 29 22 +7 29
7 Nijmegen 16 8 4 4 33 22 +11 28
8 For Sittard 16 7 5 4 26 19 +7 26
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 4 5 31 20 +11 25
10 Heerenveen 16 6 3 7 29 33 -4 21
11 Heracles 16 6 3 7 25 35 -10 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 23 24 -1 20
13 Zwolle 16 5 3 8 18 29 -11 18
14 Waalwijk 16 4 5 7 19 24 -5 17
15 Excelsior 15 3 7 5 22 24 -2 16
16 Almere City 16 3 7 6 17 26 -9 16
17 Vitesse 16 2 5 9 13 28 -15 11
18 Volendam 16 3 2 11 15 42 -27 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 13 2 1 56 9 +47 41
2 Feyenoord 16 12 3 1 38 14 +24 39
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 5 4 26 21 +5 26
4 Twente 16 6 5 5 27 18 +9 23
5 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 2 7 25 23 +2 23
6 Ajax 16 6 4 6 33 38 -5 22
7 Utrecht 16 5 5 6 17 21 -4 20
8 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 6 6 14 22 -8 18
10 Almere City 16 4 6 6 15 26 -11 18
11 Zwolle 16 4 5 7 25 35 -10 17
12 Heerenveen 16 4 4 8 22 32 -10 16
13 Waalwijk 16 3 2 11 17 28 -11 11
14 Heracles 16 3 2 11 16 35 -19 11
15 Excelsior 16 2 4 10 24 42 -18 10
16 For Sittard 16 2 4 10 10 36 -26 10
17 Vitesse 16 3 0 13 12 43 -31 9
18 Volendam 16 1 5 10 16 37 -21 8

Excelsior   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 32 6 26 2.2 1.8 14 10 8 69 59 52
2 16 Excelsior 31 7 24 1.5 2.1 5 11 15 46 66 26
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 32 9 23 3.3 0.6 28 3 1 107 19 87
4 14 Heracles 32 9 23 1.3 2.2 9 5 18 41 70 32
5 2 Feyenoord 32 10 22 2.7 0.8 24 6 2 85 24 78
6 10 Heerenveen 32 10 22 1.6 2.0 10 7 15 51 65 37
7 3 Twente 32 11 21 1.9 1.0 19 6 7 60 33 63
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 32 11 21 2.0 1.1 18 7 7 64 36 61
9 7 Nijmegen 31 10 21 1.9 1.5 12 11 8 59 47 47
10 12 Zwolle 32 11 21 1.3 2.0 9 8 15 43 64 35
11 18 Volendam 32 11 21 1.0 2.5 4 7 21 31 79 19
12 11 For Sittard 32 13 19 1.1 1.7 9 9 14 36 55 36
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 12 7 13 48 47 43
14 17 Vitesse 32 14 18 0.8 2.2 5 5 22 25 71 20
15 15 Waalwijk 32 15 17 1.1 1.6 7 7 18 36 52 28
16 8 Go Ahead Eagles 32 17 15 1.4 1.3 11 10 11 45 42 43
17 13 Almere City 32 17 15 1.0 1.6 7 13 12 32 52 34
18 6 Utrecht 32 19 13 1.4 1.3 13 10 9 46 43 49
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Heerenveen 16 3 13 1.8 2.1 6 3 7 29 33 21
2 5 Ajax 16 4 12 2.2 1.3 8 6 2 36 21 30
3 14 Heracles 16 4 12 1.6 2.2 6 3 7 25 35 21
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 5 11 3.2 0.6 15 1 0 51 10 46
5 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.9 0.6 12 3 1 47 10 39
6 3 Twente 16 5 11 2.1 0.9 13 1 2 33 15 40
7 4 AZ Alkmaar 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 11 2 3 38 15 35
8 7 Nijmegen 16 5 11 2.1 1.4 8 4 4 33 22 28
9 18 Volendam 16 5 11 0.9 2.6 3 2 11 15 42 11
10 8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 7 4 5 31 20 25
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 6 23 24 20
12 11 For Sittard 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 4 26 19 26
13 12 Zwolle 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 5 3 8 18 29 18
14 15 Waalwijk 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 4 5 7 19 24 17
15 16 Excelsior 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 3 7 5 22 24 16
16 13 Almere City 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 3 7 6 17 26 16
17 6 Utrecht 16 9 7 1.8 1.4 8 5 3 29 22 29
18 17 Vitesse 16 9 7 0.8 1.8 2 5 9 13 28 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Excelsior 16 1 15 1.5 2.6 2 4 10 24 42 10
2 5 Ajax 16 2 14 2.1 2.4 6 4 6 33 38 22
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 4 12 3.5 0.6 13 2 1 56 9 41
4 12 Zwolle 16 4 12 1.6 2.2 4 5 7 25 35 17
5 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 3 1 38 14 39
6 14 Heracles 16 5 11 1.0 2.2 3 2 11 16 35 11
7 17 Vitesse 16 5 11 0.8 2.7 3 0 13 12 43 9
8 3 Twente 16 6 10 1.7 1.1 6 5 5 27 18 23
9 4 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 7 5 4 26 21 26
10 7 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
11 11 For Sittard 16 6 10 0.6 2.2 2 4 10 10 36 10
12 18 Volendam 16 6 10 1.0 2.3 1 5 10 16 37 8
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 7 2 7 25 23 23
14 10 Heerenveen 16 7 9 1.4 2.0 4 4 8 22 32 16
15 15 Waalwijk 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 2 11 17 28 11
16 13 Almere City 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 6 15 26 18
17 6 Utrecht 16 10 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 6 17 21 20
18 8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 4 6 6 14 22 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51