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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Utrecht 1–0 NAC Breda

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.53 fair 1.80
Draw 4.20 fair 4.76
Away 6.00 fair 4.29
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.89
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Utrecht NAC Breda
19 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
13 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (208 league matches this season so far).
Result Utrecht to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 2.08 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
UtrechtDrawNAC Breda
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.2% 2–0 7.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.87points / match
1.83scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 42:36
NAC Breda before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.13scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 26:41
Utrecht all matches all matches NAC Breda

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.13
1.57 Goals conceded 1.78
3.39 Total goals 2.91
13.65 Shots 11.65
4.61 Shots on target 3.96
13.26 Shots faced 16.70
4.74 Corners 4.22
5.30 Corners against 6.04
9.70 Fouls 10.00
1.39 Yellow cards 1.61
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

52% Wins 35%
30% Draws 13%
17% Losses 52%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
65% Over 2.5 goals 61%
43% Over 3.5 goals 30%
30% Over 4.5 goals 22%
17% Over 5.5 goals 4%
74% Both teams scored 52%
17% Clean sheets 22%
13% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 39%
48% Draws 30%
22% Losses 30%
83% Over 0.5 goals 70%
43% Over 1.5 goals 30%
9% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht all matches
NAC Breda all matches
Utrecht before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.55scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:21
NAC Breda before this match, away
0.64points / match
0.91scored / match
2.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:26
Utrecht at home away NAC Breda

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.91
1.91 Goals conceded 2.36
3.45 Total goals 3.27
15.18 Shots 11.18
4.27 Shots on target 3.55
10.55 Shots faced 18.64
4.91 Corners 3.64
4.55 Corners against 6.73
10.18 Fouls 9.36
1.18 Yellow cards 1.64
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

45% Wins 18%
18% Draws 9%
36% Losses 73%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 91%
55% Over 2.5 goals 64%
45% Over 3.5 goals 45%
45% Over 4.5 goals 27%
27% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 9%
27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 27%
64% Draws 27%
18% Losses 45%
82% Over 0.5 goals 73%
45% Over 1.5 goals 27%
9% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht at home
NAC Breda away

Last 10 matches before this match

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–2 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.02.25 Utrecht – Almere City 0–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
01.02.25 Zwolle – Utrecht 3–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
24.01.25 Heracles – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.73 2.08
18.01.25 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 1.75 2.05
12.01.25 Feyenoord – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.40
22.12.24 Utrecht – For Sittard 2–5 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.83 2.03
15.12.24 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.73 2.08
08.12.24 Almere City – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 4.753.801.70 1.80 2.00
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50

NAC Breda all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 NAC Breda – Feyenoord 0–0 (0–0) 4.334.751.60 1.57 2.35
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
31.01.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 1.85 2.00
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
19.01.25 NAC Breda – Twente 2–1 (2–0) 4.754.101.65 1.73 2.08
12.01.25 NAC Breda – Heerenveen 2–4 (1–3) 2.153.603.20 1.90 1.95
21.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
15.12.24 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.303.90 2.00 1.85
30.11.24 NAC Breda – Almere City 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 2.15 1.67

Utrecht at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Utrecht – Almere City 0–1 (0–1) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
18.01.25 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 1.75 2.05
22.12.24 Utrecht – For Sittard 2–5 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.83 2.03
15.12.24 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–5 (1–1) 6.504.331.50 1.53 2.40
08.11.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 Utrecht – Feyenoord 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.67 2.15
05.10.24 Utrecht – Waalwijk 3–2 (1–1) 1.384.758.00 1.50 2.50
21.09.24 Utrecht – Willem II 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.005.75 1.80 2.00
01.09.24 Utrecht – Twente 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.502.40 1.83 2.03

NAC Breda away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
21.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
07.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.303.90 2.00 1.85
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Heracles – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 1.85 2.00
20.10.24 Zwolle – NAC Breda 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.504.10 1.80 2.00
29.09.24 Twente – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.208.509.50 1.40 2.88
22.09.24 Feyenoord – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.5017.00 1.36 3.10
31.08.24 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 4–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Utrecht winsDrawsNAC Breda wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24N1 NAC Breda – Utrecht 1–2 (1–0) 4.753.751.75 1.65 2.20

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 51 18 +33 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 23 16 4 3 71 26 +45 52
3 Feyenoord 23 12 7 4 48 27 +21 43
4 AZ Alkmaar 23 13 4 6 39 21 +18 43
5 Utrecht 23 12 7 4 42 36 +6 43
6 Twente 23 12 6 5 48 30 +18 42
7 Go Ahead Eagles 23 10 5 8 40 36 +4 35
8 For Sittard 24 8 5 11 31 42 -11 29
9 Groningen 23 7 6 10 22 32 -10 27
10 Heerenveen 23 7 6 10 27 42 -15 27
11 NAC Breda 23 8 3 12 26 41 -15 27
12 Nijmegen 23 7 4 12 34 34 0 25
13 Zwolle 23 6 7 10 27 35 -8 25
14 Willem II 23 6 6 11 26 34 -8 24
15 Heracles 23 5 9 9 28 43 -15 24
16 Sparta Rotterdam 23 4 8 11 19 33 -14 20
17 Waalwijk 24 4 5 15 32 49 -17 17
18 Almere City 23 3 5 15 15 47 -32 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 12 11 1 0 30 7 +23 34
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 3 0 40 10 +30 30
3 Twente 11 8 3 0 27 8 +19 27
4 Go Ahead Eagles 12 7 3 2 25 15 +10 24
5 Feyenoord 11 7 2 2 23 12 +11 23
6 AZ Alkmaar 12 7 1 4 23 12 +11 22
7 Heerenveen 11 5 5 1 18 11 +7 20
8 NAC Breda 12 6 2 4 16 15 +1 20
9 Groningen 11 5 4 2 12 6 +6 19
10 Zwolle 12 5 2 5 18 17 +1 17
11 Utrecht 11 5 2 4 17 21 -4 17
12 Nijmegen 12 4 4 4 25 16 +9 16
13 Heracles 12 3 7 2 20 18 +2 16
14 For Sittard 11 5 0 6 14 19 -5 15
15 Willem II 12 3 3 6 15 16 -1 12
16 Waalwijk 12 3 2 7 17 20 -3 11
17 Sparta Rotterdam 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
18 Almere City 11 2 1 8 9 28 -19 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 12 7 5 0 25 15 +10 26
2 Ajax 11 7 2 2 21 11 +10 23
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 1 3 31 16 +15 22
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 3 2 16 9 +7 21
5 Feyenoord 12 5 5 2 25 15 +10 20
6 Twente 12 4 3 5 21 22 -1 15
7 For Sittard 13 3 5 5 17 23 -6 14
8 Sparta Rotterdam 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
9 Willem II 11 3 3 5 11 18 -7 12
10 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 2 6 15 21 -6 11
11 Nijmegen 11 3 0 8 9 18 -9 9
12 Zwolle 11 1 5 5 9 18 -9 8
13 Groningen 12 2 2 8 10 26 -16 8
14 Heracles 11 2 2 7 8 25 -17 8
15 Almere City 12 1 4 7 6 19 -13 7
16 NAC Breda 11 2 1 8 10 26 -16 7
17 Heerenveen 12 2 1 9 9 31 -22 7
18 Waalwijk 12 1 3 8 15 29 -14 6

Utrecht   NAC Breda

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 23 4 19 3.1 1.1 16 4 3 71 26 52
2 17 Waalwijk 24 8 16 1.3 2.0 4 5 15 32 49 17
3 5 Utrecht 23 8 15 1.8 1.6 12 7 4 42 36 43
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 23 8 15 1.7 1.6 10 5 8 40 36 35
5 8 For Sittard 24 9 15 1.3 1.8 8 5 11 31 42 29
6 3 Feyenoord 23 9 14 2.1 1.2 12 7 4 48 27 43
7 6 Twente 23 9 14 2.1 1.3 12 6 5 48 30 42
8 11 NAC Breda 23 9 14 1.1 1.8 8 3 12 26 41 27
9 12 Nijmegen 23 9 14 1.5 1.5 7 4 12 34 34 25
10 1 Ajax 23 10 13 2.2 0.8 18 3 2 51 18 57
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 23 10 13 1.7 0.9 13 4 6 39 21 43
12 10 Heerenveen 23 11 12 1.2 1.8 7 6 10 27 42 27
13 15 Heracles 23 11 12 1.2 1.9 5 9 9 28 43 24
14 18 Almere City 23 11 12 0.7 2.0 3 5 15 15 47 14
15 9 Groningen 23 13 10 1.0 1.4 7 6 10 22 32 27
16 13 Zwolle 23 13 10 1.2 1.5 6 7 10 27 35 25
17 14 Willem II 23 14 9 1.1 1.5 6 6 11 26 34 24
18 16 Sparta Rotterdam 23 14 9 0.8 1.4 4 8 11 19 33 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 12 2 10 3.3 0.8 9 3 0 40 10 30
2 12 Nijmegen 12 3 9 2.1 1.3 4 4 4 25 16 16
3 1 Ajax 12 4 8 2.5 0.6 11 1 0 30 7 34
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 8 2.1 1.2 7 3 2 25 15 24
5 8 For Sittard 11 3 8 1.3 1.7 5 0 6 14 19 15
6 17 Waalwijk 12 4 8 1.4 1.7 3 2 7 17 20 11
7 3 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.1 1.1 7 2 2 23 12 23
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 1 4 23 12 22
9 11 NAC Breda 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 6 2 4 16 15 20
10 13 Zwolle 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 5 2 5 18 17 17
11 5 Utrecht 11 5 6 1.5 1.9 5 2 4 17 21 17
12 14 Willem II 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 3 6 15 16 12
13 15 Heracles 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 3 7 2 20 18 16
14 18 Almere City 11 5 6 0.8 2.5 2 1 8 9 28 7
15 6 Twente 11 7 4 2.5 0.7 8 3 0 27 8 27
16 10 Heerenveen 11 7 4 1.6 1.0 5 5 1 18 11 20
17 16 Sparta Rotterdam 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
18 9 Groningen 11 8 3 1.1 0.5 5 4 2 12 6 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Twente 12 2 10 1.8 1.8 4 3 5 21 22 15
2 2 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 2.8 1.5 7 1 3 31 16 22
3 5 Utrecht 12 3 9 2.1 1.2 7 5 0 25 15 26
4 10 Heerenveen 12 4 8 0.8 2.6 2 1 9 9 31 7
5 17 Waalwijk 12 4 8 1.2 2.4 1 3 8 15 29 6
6 3 Feyenoord 12 5 7 2.1 1.2 5 5 2 25 15 20
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.4 1.9 3 2 6 15 21 11
8 8 For Sittard 13 6 7 1.3 1.8 3 5 5 17 23 14
9 9 Groningen 12 5 7 0.8 2.2 2 2 8 10 26 8
10 11 NAC Breda 11 4 7 0.9 2.4 2 1 8 10 26 7
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 6 3 2 16 9 21
12 15 Heracles 11 5 6 0.7 2.3 2 2 7 8 25 8
13 18 Almere City 12 6 6 0.5 1.6 1 4 7 6 19 7
14 1 Ajax 11 6 5 1.9 1.0 7 2 2 21 11 23
15 12 Nijmegen 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 3 0 8 9 18 9
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
17 13 Zwolle 11 8 3 0.8 1.6 1 5 5 9 18 8
18 14 Willem II 11 8 3 1.0 1.6 3 3 5 11 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51