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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Twente 2–3 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.38 fair 2.28
Draw 3.50 fair 4.20
Away ✓ 2.90 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Twente AZ Alkmaar
19 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 9
8 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (288 league matches this season so far).
Result Twente to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Twente before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.88scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 60:44
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.66points / match
1.69scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 54:34
Twente all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.69
1.38 Goals conceded 1.06
3.25 Total goals 2.75
14.56 Shots 14.41
5.38 Shots on target 5.53
10.44 Shots faced 9.72
5.28 Corners 6.22
4.16 Corners against 3.84
9.88 Fouls 10.28
1.19 Yellow cards 1.56
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

47% Wins 47%
28% Draws 25%
25% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 69%
53% Over 2.5 goals 59%
34% Over 3.5 goals 25%
22% Over 4.5 goals 9%
13% Over 5.5 goals 6%
63% Both teams scored 53%
34% Clean sheets 38%
3% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 44%
34% Draws 41%
25% Losses 16%
84% Over 0.5 goals 66%
50% Over 1.5 goals 31%
16% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Twente all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Twente before this match, at home
2.13points / match
2.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 34:18
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
1.63points / match
1.56scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:18
Twente at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 1.56
1.13 Goals conceded 1.13
3.25 Total goals 2.69
16.13 Shots 11.63
5.94 Shots on target 4.63
9.50 Shots faced 10.25
5.50 Corners 5.75
3.38 Corners against 4.63
10.13 Fouls 10.81
0.94 Yellow cards 2.13
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

63% Wins 44%
25% Draws 31%
13% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 69%
38% Over 2.5 goals 63%
38% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 38%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 50%
25% Draws 38%
19% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 69%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Twente at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Twente all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Twente – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
04.05.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Twente 0–2 (0–2) 2.353.602.88 1.70 2.10
24.04.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 4.104.001.80 1.50 2.50
13.04.25 Zwolle – Twente 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Twente – For Sittard 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.08
30.03.25 Heracles – Twente 2–1 (1–0) 3.903.901.80 1.83 2.03
16.03.25 Twente – Feyenoord 2–6 (1–3) 2.203.603.00 1.77 2.00
09.03.25 Twente – Almere City 1–0 (1–0) 1.275.758.50 1.54 2.35
01.03.25 Groningen – Twente 1–1 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.95 1.90
23.02.25 Twente – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05
04.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.602.50 1.60 2.30
24.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.73 2.08
13.04.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 1.90 1.95
05.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.80 2.00
01.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.70
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
02.03.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
23.02.25 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.65 2.20

Twente at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Twente – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
24.04.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 4.104.001.80 1.50 2.50
05.04.25 Twente – For Sittard 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.08
16.03.25 Twente – Feyenoord 2–6 (1–3) 2.203.603.00 1.77 2.00
09.03.25 Twente – Almere City 1–0 (1–0) 1.275.758.50 1.54 2.35
23.02.25 Twente – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
16.02.25 Twente – Waalwijk 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.70
12.01.25 Twente – Willem II 6–2 (2–2) 1.385.007.50 1.67 2.15
15.12.24 Twente – Groningen 2–0 (1–0) 1.424.338.00 1.70 2.10
01.12.24 Twente – Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 (1–2) 1.574.505.25 1.70 2.10

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.602.50 1.60 2.30
13.04.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 1.90 1.95
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
02.03.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 1.75 2.05
11.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
15.12.24 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.93 1.93
24.11.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.402.05 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Twente winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.752.80 1.85 2.00
05.05.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
13.01.24N1 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.40 1.93 1.93
19.03.23N1 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.25 1.90 1.95
11.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.75 2.05
13.03.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.80 2.05
23.09.21N1 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.501.95 1.61 2.25

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 32 23 5 4 63 30 +33 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 23 4 5 96 37 +59 73
3 Feyenoord 32 19 8 5 74 36 +38 65
4 Utrecht 32 18 8 6 61 44 +17 62
5 Twente 32 15 9 8 60 44 +16 54
6 AZ Alkmaar 32 15 8 9 54 34 +20 53
7 Go Ahead Eagles 32 13 9 10 53 50 +3 48
8 Heerenveen 32 11 7 14 40 56 -16 40
9 For Sittard 32 11 6 15 36 53 -17 39
10 Sparta Rotterdam 32 9 11 12 37 39 -2 38
11 Groningen 32 10 8 14 38 49 -11 38
12 Heracles 32 9 11 12 40 57 -17 38
13 Nijmegen 32 10 7 15 46 45 +1 37
14 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 39 50 -11 35
15 NAC Breda 32 8 8 16 33 54 -21 32
16 Willem II 32 6 7 19 32 53 -21 25
17 Waalwijk 32 5 7 20 39 69 -30 22
18 Almere City 32 4 8 20 21 62 -41 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 3 1 51 14 +37 39
2 Ajax 16 12 3 1 36 14 +22 39
3 Twente 16 10 4 2 34 18 +16 34
4 Feyenoord 16 10 3 3 36 18 +18 33
5 Heerenveen 16 9 6 1 28 15 +13 33
6 Go Ahead Eagles 16 9 4 3 31 22 +9 31
7 Groningen 16 8 5 3 25 12 +13 29
8 Utrecht 16 9 2 5 27 23 +4 29
9 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 3 5 29 16 +13 27
10 Heracles 16 6 7 3 28 25 +3 25
11 For Sittard 16 8 0 8 17 24 -7 24
12 NAC Breda 16 6 5 5 20 21 -1 23
13 Zwolle 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
14 Nijmegen 16 5 6 5 33 24 +9 21
15 Sparta Rotterdam 16 4 6 6 19 21 -2 18
16 Waalwijk 16 4 3 9 20 28 -8 15
17 Willem II 16 3 3 10 19 25 -6 12
18 Almere City 16 2 4 10 12 35 -23 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 16 11 2 3 27 16 +11 35
2 PSV Eindhoven 16 11 1 4 45 23 +22 34
3 Utrecht 16 9 6 1 34 21 +13 33
4 Feyenoord 16 9 5 2 38 18 +20 32
5 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
6 Twente 16 5 5 6 26 26 0 20
7 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 18 18 0 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 5 7 22 28 -6 17
9 Nijmegen 16 5 1 10 13 21 -8 16
10 For Sittard 16 3 6 7 19 29 -10 15
11 Zwolle 16 2 7 7 17 30 -13 13
12 Willem II 16 3 4 9 13 28 -15 13
13 Heracles 16 3 4 9 12 32 -20 13
14 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10
15 NAC Breda 16 2 3 11 13 33 -20 9
16 Groningen 16 2 3 11 13 37 -24 9
17 Waalwijk 16 1 4 11 19 41 -22 7
18 Heerenveen 16 2 1 13 12 41 -29 7

Twente   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 32 5 27 3.0 1.2 23 4 5 96 37 73
2 17 Waalwijk 32 10 22 1.2 2.2 5 7 20 39 69 22
3 3 Feyenoord 32 12 20 2.3 1.1 19 8 5 74 36 65
4 4 Utrecht 32 12 20 1.9 1.4 18 8 6 61 44 62
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 32 12 20 1.7 1.6 13 9 10 53 50 48
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 32 13 19 1.7 1.1 15 8 9 54 34 53
7 1 Ajax 32 14 18 2.0 0.9 23 5 4 63 30 74
8 8 Heerenveen 32 14 18 1.2 1.8 11 7 14 40 56 40
9 13 Nijmegen 32 14 18 1.4 1.4 10 7 15 46 45 37
10 5 Twente 32 15 17 1.9 1.4 15 9 8 60 44 54
11 9 For Sittard 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 11 6 15 36 53 39
12 12 Heracles 32 15 17 1.2 1.8 9 11 12 40 57 38
13 11 Groningen 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 10 8 14 38 49 38
14 15 NAC Breda 32 16 16 1.0 1.7 8 8 16 33 54 32
15 18 Almere City 32 16 16 0.7 1.9 4 8 20 21 62 20
16 14 Zwolle 32 18 14 1.2 1.6 8 11 13 39 50 35
17 16 Willem II 32 18 14 1.0 1.7 6 7 19 32 53 25
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 32 19 13 1.2 1.2 9 11 12 37 39 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 16 3 13 3.2 0.9 12 3 1 51 14 39
2 13 Nijmegen 16 4 12 2.1 1.5 5 6 5 33 24 21
3 1 Ajax 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 12 3 1 36 14 39
4 3 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.2 1.1 10 3 3 36 18 33
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 1.9 1.4 9 4 3 31 22 31
6 17 Waalwijk 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 4 3 9 20 28 15
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 9 1.8 1.0 8 3 5 29 16 27
8 9 For Sittard 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 8 0 8 17 24 24
9 12 Heracles 16 7 9 1.8 1.6 6 7 3 28 25 25
10 16 Willem II 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 10 19 25 12
11 4 Utrecht 16 8 8 1.7 1.4 9 2 5 27 23 29
12 15 NAC Breda 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 5 20 21 23
13 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.8 2.2 2 4 10 12 35 10
14 8 Heerenveen 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 6 1 28 15 33
15 14 Zwolle 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
16 5 Twente 16 10 6 2.1 1.1 10 4 2 34 18 34
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 4 6 6 19 21 18
18 11 Groningen 16 10 6 1.6 0.8 8 5 3 25 12 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 16 2 14 2.8 1.4 11 1 4 45 23 34
2 4 Utrecht 16 4 12 2.1 1.3 9 6 1 34 21 33
3 5 Twente 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 26 20
4 8 Heerenveen 16 5 11 0.8 2.6 2 1 13 12 41 7
5 17 Waalwijk 16 5 11 1.2 2.6 1 4 11 19 41 7
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 10 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
7 11 Groningen 16 6 10 0.8 2.3 2 3 11 13 37 9
8 3 Feyenoord 16 7 9 2.4 1.1 9 5 2 38 18 32
9 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 4 5 7 22 28 17
10 9 For Sittard 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 3 6 7 19 29 15
11 12 Heracles 16 8 8 0.8 2.0 3 4 9 12 32 13
12 15 NAC Breda 16 8 8 0.8 2.1 2 3 11 13 33 9
13 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10
14 1 Ajax 16 9 7 1.7 1.0 11 2 3 27 16 35
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 18 18 20
16 14 Zwolle 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 30 13
17 13 Nijmegen 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 5 1 10 13 21 16
18 16 Willem II 16 11 5 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 28 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44