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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 NAC Breda

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.40 fair 1.65
Draw ✓ 4.75 fair 4.73
Away 7.00 fair 5.44
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda
18 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 4
9 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (264 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 10% 1–1 9.9% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.62scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 47:33
NAC Breda before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.07scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 31:49
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches NAC Breda

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.07
1.14 Goals conceded 1.69
2.76 Total goals 2.76
14.03 Shots 11.79
5.17 Shots on target 3.90
9.66 Shots faced 15.83
5.83 Corners 4.10
3.76 Corners against 5.83
10.21 Fouls 10.59
1.59 Yellow cards 1.72
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

45% Wins 28%
24% Draws 24%
31% Losses 48%
93% Over 0.5 goals 97%
66% Over 1.5 goals 79%
59% Over 2.5 goals 52%
28% Over 3.5 goals 28%
10% Over 4.5 goals 17%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
55% Both teams scored 59%
34% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 31%
41% Draws 34%
17% Losses 34%
66% Over 0.5 goals 69%
28% Over 1.5 goals 31%
7% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
NAC Breda all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.79scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:15
NAC Breda before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.86scored / match
2.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:31
AZ Alkmaar at home away NAC Breda

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 0.86
1.07 Goals conceded 2.21
2.86 Total goals 3.07
17.00 Shots 10.79
6.00 Shots on target 3.43
9.29 Shots faced 17.64
6.14 Corners 3.43
2.93 Corners against 6.57
9.86 Fouls 10.36
1.07 Yellow cards 1.86
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

50% Wins 14%
14% Draws 14%
36% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
21% Over 3.5 goals 43%
7% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%
43% Draws 36%
21% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
NAC Breda away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 1.90 1.95
05.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.80 2.00
01.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.70
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
02.03.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
23.02.25 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.65 2.20
09.02.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83
26.01.25 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

NAC Breda all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 NAC Breda – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.502.20 1.75 2.05
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
29.03.25 NAC Breda – Groningen 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.202.90 2.10 1.70
14.03.25 Almere City – NAC Breda 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.05 1.75
07.03.25 NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 1.95 1.90
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
15.02.25 NAC Breda – Feyenoord 0–0 (0–0) 4.334.751.60 1.57 2.35
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
31.01.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 1.85 2.00
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.80 2.00
01.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.70
23.02.25 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.65 2.20
09.02.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
26.01.25 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00
21.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.752.80 1.85 2.00
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.40
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15

NAC Breda away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
14.03.25 Almere City – NAC Breda 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.05 1.75
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
21.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
07.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.303.90 2.00 1.85
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Heracles – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 1.85 2.00
20.10.24 Zwolle – NAC Breda 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.504.10 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsNAC Breda wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24N1 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.93 1.93

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 30 23 4 3 62 26 +36 73
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 20 4 5 86 33 +53 64
3 Feyenoord 29 17 8 4 64 32 +32 59
4 Utrecht 30 17 8 5 57 42 +15 59
5 Twente 29 13 9 7 55 41 +14 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 7 9 47 33 +14 46
7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 13 7 9 52 46 +6 46
8 Heerenveen 30 10 7 13 38 53 -15 37
9 Groningen 30 9 8 13 32 45 -13 35
10 Heracles 30 8 11 11 37 52 -15 35
11 Sparta Rotterdam 29 8 10 11 33 36 -3 34
12 Nijmegen 29 9 6 14 42 43 -1 33
13 For Sittard 29 9 6 14 33 49 -16 33
14 Zwolle 29 7 10 12 35 44 -9 31
15 NAC Breda 29 8 7 14 31 49 -18 31
16 Willem II 29 6 6 17 30 49 -19 24
17 Waalwijk 29 4 7 18 35 58 -23 19
18 Almere City 30 4 7 19 21 59 -38 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 35 10 +25 38
2 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 3 1 47 13 +34 36
3 Twente 14 9 4 1 31 15 +16 31
4 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 4 2 31 19 +12 31
5 Feyenoord 14 9 3 2 30 15 +15 30
6 Heerenveen 15 8 6 1 27 15 +12 30
7 Utrecht 16 9 2 5 27 23 +4 29
8 Groningen 15 7 5 3 19 11 +8 26
9 Heracles 15 6 7 2 27 21 +6 25
10 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 25 15 +10 23
11 NAC Breda 15 6 5 4 19 18 +1 23
12 Zwolle 15 6 3 6 21 19 +2 21
13 Nijmegen 15 5 5 5 32 23 +9 20
14 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 6 5 19 19 0 18
15 For Sittard 14 6 0 8 15 24 -9 18
16 Willem II 15 3 3 9 18 23 -5 12
17 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 17 23 -6 12
18 Almere City 14 2 3 9 12 32 -20 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 16 11 2 3 27 16 +11 35
2 Utrecht 14 8 6 0 30 19 +11 30
3 Feyenoord 15 8 5 2 34 17 +17 29
4 PSV Eindhoven 14 9 1 4 39 20 +19 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23
6 Twente 15 4 5 6 24 26 -2 17
7 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 4 6 14 17 -3 16
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 3 7 21 27 -6 15
9 For Sittard 15 3 6 6 18 25 -7 15
10 Nijmegen 14 4 1 9 10 20 -10 13
11 Willem II 14 3 3 8 12 26 -14 12
12 Zwolle 14 1 7 6 14 25 -11 10
13 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10
14 Heracles 15 2 4 9 10 31 -21 10
15 Groningen 15 2 3 10 13 34 -21 9
16 NAC Breda 14 2 2 10 12 31 -19 8
17 Waalwijk 15 1 4 10 18 35 -17 7
18 Heerenveen 15 2 1 12 11 38 -27 7

AZ Alkmaar   NAC Breda

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 29 5 24 3.0 1.1 20 4 5 86 33 64
2 4 Utrecht 30 11 19 1.9 1.4 17 8 5 57 42 59
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 19 1.8 1.6 13 7 9 52 46 46
4 17 Waalwijk 29 10 19 1.2 2.0 4 7 18 35 58 19
5 1 Ajax 30 13 17 2.1 0.9 23 4 3 62 26 73
6 3 Feyenoord 29 12 17 2.2 1.1 17 8 4 64 32 59
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 29 12 17 1.6 1.1 13 7 9 47 33 46
8 8 Heerenveen 30 13 17 1.3 1.8 10 7 13 38 53 37
9 12 Nijmegen 29 12 17 1.4 1.5 9 6 14 42 43 33
10 5 Twente 29 13 16 1.9 1.4 13 9 7 55 41 48
11 13 For Sittard 29 13 16 1.1 1.7 9 6 14 33 49 33
12 10 Heracles 30 15 15 1.2 1.7 8 11 11 37 52 35
13 15 NAC Breda 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 8 7 14 31 49 31
14 18 Almere City 30 15 15 0.7 2.0 4 7 19 21 59 19
15 9 Groningen 30 16 14 1.1 1.5 9 8 13 32 45 35
16 16 Willem II 29 16 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 17 30 49 24
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 29 17 12 1.1 1.2 8 10 11 33 36 34
18 14 Zwolle 29 17 12 1.2 1.5 7 10 12 35 44 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 3 12 3.1 0.9 11 3 1 47 13 36
2 12 Nijmegen 15 3 12 2.1 1.5 5 5 5 32 23 20
3 1 Ajax 14 4 10 2.5 0.7 12 2 0 35 10 38
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 9 4 2 31 19 31
5 3 Feyenoord 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 9 3 2 30 15 30
6 13 For Sittard 14 5 9 1.1 1.7 6 0 8 15 24 18
7 17 Waalwijk 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 8 17 23 12
8 4 Utrecht 16 8 8 1.7 1.4 9 2 5 27 23 29
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 7 2 5 25 15 23
10 10 Heracles 15 7 8 1.8 1.4 6 7 2 27 21 25
11 16 Willem II 15 7 8 1.2 1.5 3 3 9 18 23 12
12 8 Heerenveen 15 8 7 1.8 1.0 8 6 1 27 15 30
13 14 Zwolle 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 6 3 6 21 19 21
14 15 NAC Breda 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 6 5 4 19 18 23
15 18 Almere City 14 7 7 0.9 2.3 2 3 9 12 32 9
16 11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 4 6 5 19 19 18
17 5 Twente 14 9 5 2.2 1.1 9 4 1 31 15 31
18 9 Groningen 15 10 5 1.3 0.7 7 5 3 19 11 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 2.8 1.4 9 1 4 39 20 28
2 4 Utrecht 14 3 11 2.1 1.4 8 6 0 30 19 30
3 5 Twente 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 4 5 6 24 26 17
4 8 Heerenveen 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 2 1 12 11 38 7
5 17 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.2 2.3 1 4 10 18 35 7
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 9 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 27 15
8 9 Groningen 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 2 3 10 13 34 9
9 3 Feyenoord 15 7 8 2.3 1.1 8 5 2 34 17 29
10 15 NAC Breda 14 6 8 0.9 2.2 2 2 10 12 31 8
11 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10
12 1 Ajax 16 9 7 1.7 1.0 11 2 3 27 16 35
13 10 Heracles 15 8 7 0.7 2.1 2 4 9 10 31 10
14 13 For Sittard 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 3 6 6 18 25 15
15 11 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 6 14 17 16
16 12 Nijmegen 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 9 10 20 13
17 14 Zwolle 14 9 5 1.0 1.8 1 7 6 14 25 10
18 16 Willem II 14 9 5 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 12 26 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44