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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 8.00 fair 3.91
Draw 6.50 fair 4.62
Away ✓ 1.29 fair 1.89
Under 2.5 4.20 fair 2.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.22 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven
5 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 11
0 Corners 9
9 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.34 – 2.00
Home / Draw / Away
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.5% 1–1 9.5% 0–2 7.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sparta Rotterdam before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.15scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 38:40
PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.30points / match
3.03scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 100:38
Sparta Rotterdam all matches all matches PSV Eindhoven

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 3.03
1.21 Goals conceded 1.15
2.36 Total goals 4.18
14.03 Shots 19.73
4.88 Shots on target 7.94
14.15 Shots faced 8.58
4.61 Corners 7.42
5.58 Corners against 3.09
9.42 Fouls 8.39
1.45 Yellow cards 1.00
0.39 1st-half goals scored 1.48
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

27% Wins 73%
36% Draws 12%
36% Losses 15%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 97%
39% Over 2.5 goals 85%
12% Over 3.5 goals 64%
3% Over 4.5 goals 42%
0% Over 5.5 goals 18%
58% Both teams scored 67%
18% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 58%
48% Draws 27%
30% Losses 15%
64% Over 0.5 goals 88%
24% Over 1.5 goals 76%
3% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sparta Rotterdam all matches
PSV Eindhoven all matches
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.19scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:21
PSV Eindhoven before this match, away
2.13points / match
2.81scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 45:23
Sparta Rotterdam at home away PSV Eindhoven

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 2.81
1.31 Goals conceded 1.44
2.50 Total goals 4.25
14.63 Shots 17.19
4.81 Shots on target 6.38
11.06 Shots faced 9.13
5.31 Corners 6.31
4.69 Corners against 3.13
9.56 Fouls 9.56
1.19 Yellow cards 1.63
0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

25% Wins 69%
38% Draws 6%
38% Losses 25%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 94%
38% Over 2.5 goals 88%
25% Over 3.5 goals 69%
6% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 19%
56% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
44% Draws 44%
31% Losses 19%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
31% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sparta Rotterdam at home
PSV Eindhoven away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sparta Rotterdam all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.25 Utrecht – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.62 2.25
10.05.25 Almere City – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–0) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
04.05.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Twente 0–2 (0–2) 2.353.602.88 1.70 2.10
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
12.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.83 2.03
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
29.03.25 For Sittard – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.402.15 2.00 1.85
15.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
07.03.25 NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 1.95 1.90
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.0712.0029.00 1.22 4.20
11.05.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (2–0) 2.553.902.40 1.40 2.88
03.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.19 4.20
24.04.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 4.104.001.80 1.50 2.50
12.04.25 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 5–0 (4–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
05.04.25 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 7.005.001.40 1.57 2.35
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
15.03.25 Waalwijk – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–2) 10.007.001.22 1.30 3.50
08.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
01.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–2) 5.254.201.57 1.44 2.70

Sparta Rotterdam at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Twente 0–2 (0–2) 2.353.602.88 1.70 2.10
12.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.83 2.03
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
02.02.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.03 1.83
19.01.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.505.75 1.60 2.30
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
07.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.303.90 2.00 1.85
24.11.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.402.05 1.83 2.03

PSV Eindhoven away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (2–0) 2.553.902.40 1.40 2.88
24.04.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 4.104.001.80 1.50 2.50
05.04.25 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 7.005.001.40 1.57 2.35
15.03.25 Waalwijk – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–2) 10.007.001.22 1.30 3.50
01.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–2) 5.254.201.57 1.44 2.70
01.02.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–3 (0–0) 5.755.001.48 1.44 2.70
18.01.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (2–1) 12.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
14.12.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 1–0 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.33 3.40
01.12.24 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–5 (1–1) 6.504.331.50 1.53 2.40
09.11.24 NAC Breda – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–2) 8.507.001.27 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sparta Rotterdam winsDrawsPSV Eindhoven wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–1) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
05.05.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 (2–2) 1.138.5019.00 1.30 3.50
08.10.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.48 2.60
06.05.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.57 2.35
07.01.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.50 2.50
27.02.22N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
03.10.21N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 24 4 5 100 38 +62 76
2 Ajax 33 23 6 4 65 32 +33 75
3 Feyenoord 33 20 8 5 76 36 +40 68
4 Utrecht 33 18 9 6 62 45 +17 63
5 AZ Alkmaar 33 16 8 9 57 36 +21 56
6 Twente 33 15 9 9 62 47 +15 54
7 Go Ahead Eagles 33 14 9 10 54 50 +4 51
8 Nijmegen 33 11 7 15 49 45 +4 40
9 Heerenveen 33 11 7 15 40 57 -17 40
10 For Sittard 33 11 7 15 37 54 -17 40
11 Sparta Rotterdam 33 9 12 12 38 40 -2 39
12 Groningen 33 10 9 14 40 51 -11 39
13 Zwolle 33 9 11 13 41 51 -10 38
14 Heracles 33 9 11 13 41 61 -20 38
15 NAC Breda 33 8 8 17 33 57 -24 32
16 Willem II 33 6 7 20 33 55 -22 25
17 Waalwijk 33 5 7 21 39 71 -32 22
18 Almere City 33 4 9 20 22 63 -41 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 13 3 1 55 15 +40 42
2 Ajax 16 12 3 1 36 14 +22 39
3 Feyenoord 17 11 3 3 38 18 +20 36
4 Twente 17 10 4 3 36 21 +15 34
5 Go Ahead Eagles 17 10 4 3 32 22 +10 34
6 Heerenveen 16 9 6 1 28 15 +13 33
7 Groningen 17 8 6 3 27 14 +13 30
8 Utrecht 17 9 3 5 28 24 +4 30
9 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 3 5 29 16 +13 27
10 Heracles 16 6 7 3 28 25 +3 25
11 Nijmegen 17 6 6 5 36 24 +12 24
12 For Sittard 16 8 0 8 17 24 -7 24
13 NAC Breda 16 6 5 5 20 21 -1 23
14 Zwolle 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
15 Sparta Rotterdam 16 4 6 6 19 21 -2 18
16 Waalwijk 16 4 3 9 20 28 -8 15
17 Willem II 17 3 3 11 20 27 -7 12
18 Almere City 17 2 5 10 13 36 -23 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 17 11 3 3 29 18 +11 36
2 PSV Eindhoven 16 11 1 4 45 23 +22 34
3 Utrecht 16 9 6 1 34 21 +13 33
4 Feyenoord 16 9 5 2 38 18 +20 32
5 AZ Alkmaar 17 8 5 4 28 20 +8 29
6 Sparta Rotterdam 17 5 6 6 19 19 0 21
7 Twente 16 5 5 6 26 26 0 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 5 7 22 28 -6 17
9 Nijmegen 16 5 1 10 13 21 -8 16
10 For Sittard 17 3 7 7 20 30 -10 16
11 Zwolle 17 3 7 7 19 31 -12 16
12 Willem II 16 3 4 9 13 28 -15 13
13 Heracles 17 3 4 10 13 36 -23 13
14 Almere City 16 2 4 10 9 27 -18 10
15 NAC Breda 17 2 3 12 13 36 -23 9
16 Groningen 16 2 3 11 13 37 -24 9
17 Waalwijk 17 1 4 12 19 43 -24 7
18 Heerenveen 17 2 1 14 12 42 -30 7

Sparta Rotterdam   PSV Eindhoven

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 33 5 28 3.0 1.2 24 4 5 100 38 76
2 17 Waalwijk 33 11 22 1.2 2.2 5 7 21 39 71 22
3 3 Feyenoord 33 13 20 2.3 1.1 20 8 5 76 36 68
4 4 Utrecht 33 13 20 1.9 1.4 18 9 6 62 45 63
5 5 AZ Alkmaar 33 13 20 1.7 1.1 16 8 9 57 36 56
6 7 Go Ahead Eagles 33 13 20 1.6 1.5 14 9 10 54 50 51
7 2 Ajax 33 14 19 2.0 1.0 23 6 4 65 32 75
8 8 Nijmegen 33 14 19 1.5 1.4 11 7 15 49 45 40
9 6 Twente 33 15 18 1.9 1.4 15 9 9 62 47 54
10 9 Heerenveen 33 15 18 1.2 1.7 11 7 15 40 57 40
11 14 Heracles 33 15 18 1.2 1.8 9 11 13 41 61 38
12 10 For Sittard 33 16 17 1.1 1.6 11 7 15 37 54 40
13 12 Groningen 33 16 17 1.2 1.5 10 9 14 40 51 39
14 15 NAC Breda 33 16 17 1.0 1.7 8 8 17 33 57 32
15 18 Almere City 33 17 16 0.7 1.9 4 9 20 22 63 21
16 13 Zwolle 33 18 15 1.2 1.5 9 11 13 41 51 38
17 16 Willem II 33 18 15 1.0 1.7 6 7 20 33 55 25
18 11 Sparta Rotterdam 33 20 13 1.2 1.2 9 12 12 38 40 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 17 3 14 3.2 0.9 13 3 1 55 15 42
2 8 Nijmegen 17 4 13 2.1 1.4 6 6 5 36 24 24
3 2 Ajax 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 12 3 1 36 14 39
4 3 Feyenoord 17 6 11 2.2 1.1 11 3 3 38 18 36
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 11 1.9 1.3 10 4 3 32 22 34
6 17 Waalwijk 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 4 3 9 20 28 15
7 16 Willem II 17 7 10 1.2 1.6 3 3 11 20 27 12
8 5 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 9 1.8 1.0 8 3 5 29 16 27
9 10 For Sittard 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 8 0 8 17 24 24
10 14 Heracles 16 7 9 1.8 1.6 6 7 3 28 25 25
11 4 Utrecht 17 9 8 1.6 1.4 9 3 5 28 24 30
12 15 NAC Breda 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 5 20 21 23
13 18 Almere City 17 9 8 0.8 2.1 2 5 10 13 36 11
14 6 Twente 17 10 7 2.1 1.2 10 4 3 36 21 34
15 9 Heerenveen 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 6 1 28 15 33
16 12 Groningen 17 10 7 1.6 0.8 8 6 3 27 14 30
17 13 Zwolle 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
18 11 Sparta Rotterdam 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 4 6 6 19 21 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 2 14 2.8 1.4 11 1 4 45 23 34
2 4 Utrecht 16 4 12 2.1 1.3 9 6 1 34 21 33
3 5 AZ Alkmaar 17 6 11 1.6 1.2 8 5 4 28 20 29
4 6 Twente 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 26 20
5 9 Heerenveen 17 6 11 0.7 2.5 2 1 14 12 42 7
6 17 Waalwijk 17 6 11 1.1 2.5 1 4 12 19 43 7
7 12 Groningen 16 6 10 0.8 2.3 2 3 11 13 37 9
8 3 Feyenoord 16 7 9 2.4 1.1 9 5 2 38 18 32
9 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 4 5 7 22 28 17
10 14 Heracles 17 8 9 0.8 2.1 3 4 10 13 36 13
11 15 NAC Breda 17 8 9 0.8 2.1 2 3 12 13 36 9
12 2 Ajax 17 9 8 1.7 1.1 11 3 3 29 18 36
13 10 For Sittard 17 9 8 1.2 1.8 3 7 7 20 30 16
14 13 Zwolle 17 9 8 1.1 1.8 3 7 7 19 31 16
15 18 Almere City 16 8 8 0.6 1.7 2 4 10 9 27 10
16 11 Sparta Rotterdam 17 10 7 1.1 1.1 5 6 6 19 19 21
17 8 Nijmegen 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 5 1 10 13 21 16
18 16 Willem II 16 11 5 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 28 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51