Groningen 3–1 Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie, 7 Mar 2026

Match facts

Groningen Ajax

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 8

5 Fouls 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (226 league matches this season so far).

Result Groningen to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.63

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.51

Home / Draw / Away

39% 24% 37%

GroningenDrawAjax

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

19% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Groningen before this match, all matches

1.24points / match

1.32scored / match

1.40conceded / match

9 4 12

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 33:35

Ajax before this match, all matches

1.76points / match

1.88scored / match

1.24conceded / match

11 11 3

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 47:31

Groningen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.88

1.40 Goals conceded 1.24

2.72 Total goals 3.12

15.96 Shots 14.88

5.80 Shots on target 6.12

11.20 Shots faced 13.16

6.40 Corners 5.00

4.40 Corners against 4.96

11.08 Fouls 10.24

1.84 Yellow cards 1.68

0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.08

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

36% Wins 44%

16% Draws 44%

48% Losses 12%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

88% Over 1.5 goals 96%

52% Over 2.5 goals 56%

20% Over 3.5 goals 44%

12% Over 4.5 goals 16%

4% Over 5.5 goals 4%

52% Both teams scored 72%

28% Clean sheets 24%

24% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 52%

56% Draws 28%

20% Losses 20%

64% Over 0.5 goals 92%

32% Over 1.5 goals 52%

12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen all matches

3

W

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

Ajax all matches

2

W

2

D

3

2

W

2

D

2

W

2

D

1

D

4

1

W

1

D

Groningen before this match, at home

1.25points / match

1.42scored / match

1.08conceded / match

4 3 5

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:13

Ajax before this match, away

1.42points / match

1.92scored / match

1.67conceded / match

3 8 1

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:20

Groningen at home away Ajax

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.92

1.08 Goals conceded 1.67

2.50 Total goals 3.58

17.33 Shots 13.25

5.33 Shots on target 5.33

10.00 Shots faced 14.00

7.58 Corners 4.33

4.25 Corners against 5.50

10.17 Fouls 10.00

1.67 Yellow cards 2.08

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%

25% Draws 67%

42% Losses 8%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

83% Over 1.5 goals 92%

58% Over 2.5 goals 75%

17% Over 3.5 goals 67%

0% Over 4.5 goals 25%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

50% Both teams scored 92%

33% Clean sheets 8%

25% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 25%

50% Draws 50%

17% Losses 25%

67% Over 0.5 goals 83%

33% Over 1.5 goals 58%

17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen at home

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

D

2

D

3

W

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

Ajax away

2

D

3

D

3

2

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

2

D

3

2

W

2

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Groningen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Volendam – Groningen	3–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
22.02.26	Twente – Groningen	2–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.67	2.15
14.02.26	Groningen – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.00	1.80
08.02.26	Groningen – PSV Eindhoven	1–2 (1–0)	3.80	4.33	1.80	1.50	2.50
31.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Groningen	2–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.50	2.55	1.80	2.00
25.01.26	Groningen – For Sittard	1–2 (1–2)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.70	2.10
18.01.26	Heerenveen – Groningen	0–2 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	1.70	2.10
10.01.26	Groningen – NAC Breda	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen	1–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.08
13.12.25	Groningen – Volendam	3–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.33	7.00	1.53	2.40

Ajax all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Zwolle – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	4.20	1.75	1.50	2.50
21.02.26	Ajax – Nijmegen	1–1 (1–0)	1.75	4.33	4.00	1.44	2.70
14.02.26	Ajax – For Sittard	4–1 (3–1)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.53	2.40
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar – Ajax	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35
01.02.26	Excelsior – Ajax	2–2 (0–2)	4.20	3.90	1.75	1.57	2.35
24.01.26	Ajax – Volendam	2–0 (2–0)	1.30	6.50	8.00	1.36	3.10
17.01.26	Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles	2–2 (2–0)	1.48	4.50	6.25	1.40	2.88
11.01.26	Telstar – Ajax	2–3 (0–2)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.57	2.35
20.12.25	Nijmegen – Ajax	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	4.00	2.63	1.48	2.60
14.12.25	Ajax – Feyenoord	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.90	2.15	1.53	2.40

Groningen at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Groningen – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.00	1.80
08.02.26	Groningen – PSV Eindhoven	1–2 (1–0)	3.80	4.33	1.80	1.50	2.50
25.01.26	Groningen – For Sittard	1–2 (1–2)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.70	2.10
10.01.26	Groningen – NAC Breda	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
13.12.25	Groningen – Volendam	3–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.33	7.00	1.53	2.40
23.11.25	Groningen – Zwolle	2–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.08
02.11.25	Groningen – Twente	1–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.50	2.45	1.85	1.95
19.10.25	Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam	0–2 (0–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.75	2.05
28.09.25	Groningen – Feyenoord	0–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.90	1.75	1.67	2.15
20.09.25	Groningen – Telstar	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.88	1.93

Ajax away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Zwolle – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	4.20	1.75	1.50	2.50
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar – Ajax	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35
01.02.26	Excelsior – Ajax	2–2 (0–2)	4.20	3.90	1.75	1.57	2.35
11.01.26	Telstar – Ajax	2–3 (0–2)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.57	2.35
20.12.25	Nijmegen – Ajax	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	4.00	2.63	1.48	2.60
06.12.25	For Sittard – Ajax	1–3 (1–1)	4.33	3.90	1.75	1.65	2.20
09.11.25	Utrecht – Ajax	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.70	2.45	1.62	2.25
26.10.25	Twente – Ajax	2–3 (1–0)	2.35	3.50	3.00	1.65	2.20
04.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax	3–3 (1–1)	4.10	4.10	1.75	1.53	2.40
21.09.25	PSV Eindhoven – Ajax	2–2 (1–1)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.40	2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 6

Groningen winsDrawsAjax wins

7matches

4.14goals / match

86%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.12.25N1	Ajax – Groningen	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.33	1.67	2.15
14.05.25N1	Groningen – Ajax	2–2 (0–1)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.62	2.25
06.10.24N1	Ajax – Groningen	3–1 (1–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.57	2.35
14.05.23N1	Groningen – Ajax	2–3 (1–1)	13.00	6.50	1.22	1.40	2.88
14.08.22N1	Ajax – Groningen	6–1 (3–1)	1.16	8.50	13.00	1.30	3.50
02.04.22N1	Groningen – Ajax	1–3 (1–2)	12.00	5.75	1.25	1.44	2.70
25.09.21N1	Ajax – Groningen	3–0 (1–0)	1.06	10.00	19.00	1.25	4.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	21	2	2	73	30	+43	65
2	Feyenoord	25	15	3	7	55	35	+20	48
3	Ajax	25	11	11	3	47	31	+16	44
4	Nijmegen	25	12	7	6	61	43	+18	43
5	Twente	25	10	11	4	41	26	+15	41
6	AZ Alkmaar	25	11	6	8	42	40	+2	39
7	Sparta Rotterdam	25	11	4	10	32	42	-10	37
8	Utrecht	26	9	8	9	38	31	+7	35
9	Heerenveen	25	9	7	9	42	43	-1	34
10	For Sittard	25	9	5	11	39	45	-6	32
11	Groningen	25	9	4	12	33	35	-2	31
12	Go Ahead Eagles	25	6	11	8	38	39	-1	29
13	Zwolle	25	7	7	11	34	50	-16	28
14	Volendam	25	7	6	12	29	41	-12	27
15	Excelsior	25	7	5	13	26	42	-16	26
16	NAC Breda	25	5	7	13	25	39	-14	22
17	Telstar	25	4	9	12	31	41	-10	21
18	Heracles	26	5	3	18	32	65	-33	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	2	1	39	17	+22	29
2	Feyenoord	13	9	1	3	32	19	+13	28
3	Ajax	13	8	3	2	24	11	+13	27
4	Twente	13	7	4	2	22	12	+10	25
5	Nijmegen	12	7	2	3	32	20	+12	23
6	Volendam	13	6	4	3	22	17	+5	22
7	Utrecht	13	6	3	4	21	12	+9	21
8	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	21	18	+3	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	5	2	25	21	+4	20
10	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	24	22	+2	20
11	Zwolle	12	6	2	4	15	15	0	20
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	6	2	21	16	+5	18
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	3	4	14	19	-5	18
14	Groningen	12	4	3	5	17	13	+4	15
15	NAC Breda	13	4	3	6	15	18	-3	15
16	Excelsior	13	4	2	7	13	17	-4	14
17	Heracles	13	4	2	7	21	28	-7	14
18	Telstar	13	2	5	6	21	24	-3	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	0	1	34	13	+21	36
2	Feyenoord	12	6	2	4	23	16	+7	20
3	Nijmegen	13	5	5	3	29	23	+6	20
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	1	6	17	19	-2	19
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	1	6	18	23	-5	19
6	Ajax	12	3	8	1	23	20	+3	17
7	Twente	12	3	7	2	19	14	+5	16
8	Groningen	13	5	1	7	16	22	-6	16
9	Utrecht	13	3	5	5	17	19	-2	14
10	Heerenveen	12	4	2	6	18	21	-3	14
11	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	13	25	-12	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	17	23	-6	11
13	For Sittard	13	3	2	8	18	27	-9	11
14	Telstar	12	2	4	6	10	17	-7	10
15	Zwolle	13	1	5	7	19	35	-16	8
16	NAC Breda	12	1	4	7	10	21	-11	7
17	Volendam	12	1	2	9	7	24	-17	5
18	Heracles	13	1	1	11	11	37	-26	4

Groningen Ajax

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	25	4	21	2.9	1.2	21	2	2	73	30	65
2	4	Nijmegen	25	5	20	2.4	1.7	12	7	6	61	43	43
3	18	Heracles	26	7	19	1.2	2.5	5	3	18	32	65	18
4	9	Heerenveen	25	7	18	1.7	1.7	9	7	9	42	43	34
5	10	For Sittard	25	8	17	1.6	1.8	9	5	11	39	45	32
6	2	Feyenoord	25	9	16	2.2	1.4	15	3	7	55	35	48
7	6	AZ Alkmaar	25	9	16	1.7	1.6	11	6	8	42	40	39
8	13	Zwolle	25	9	16	1.4	2.0	7	7	11	34	50	28
9	14	Volendam	25	9	16	1.2	1.6	7	6	12	29	41	27
10	12	Go Ahead Eagles	25	10	15	1.5	1.6	6	11	8	38	39	29
11	15	Excelsior	25	10	15	1.0	1.7	7	5	13	26	42	26
12	3	Ajax	25	11	14	1.9	1.2	11	11	3	47	31	44
13	7	Sparta Rotterdam	25	12	13	1.3	1.7	11	4	10	32	42	37
14	8	Utrecht	26	13	13	1.5	1.2	9	8	9	38	31	35
15	11	Groningen	25	12	13	1.3	1.4	9	4	12	33	35	31
16	16	NAC Breda	25	12	13	1.0	1.6	5	7	13	25	39	22
17	17	Telstar	25	12	13	1.2	1.6	4	9	12	31	41	21
18	5	Twente	25	15	10	1.6	1.0	10	11	4	41	26	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	12	1	11	3.2	1.4	9	2	1	39	17	29
2	4	Nijmegen	12	1	11	2.7	1.7	7	2	3	32	20	23
3	6	AZ Alkmaar	12	3	9	2.1	1.8	5	5	2	25	21	20
4	9	Heerenveen	13	4	9	1.8	1.7	5	5	3	24	22	20
5	14	Volendam	13	4	9	1.7	1.3	6	4	3	22	17	22
6	17	Telstar	13	4	9	1.6	1.8	2	5	6	21	24	11
7	18	Heracles	13	4	9	1.6	2.2	4	2	7	21	28	14
8	2	Feyenoord	13	5	8	2.5	1.5	9	1	3	32	19	28
9	10	For Sittard	12	4	8	1.8	1.5	6	3	3	21	18	21
10	12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	8	1.8	1.3	4	6	2	21	16	18
11	11	Groningen	12	5	7	1.4	1.1	4	3	5	17	13	15
12	15	Excelsior	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	4	2	7	13	17	14
13	5	Twente	13	7	6	1.7	0.9	7	4	2	22	12	25
14	8	Utrecht	13	7	6	1.6	0.9	6	3	4	21	12	21
15	13	Zwolle	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	6	2	4	15	15	20
16	16	NAC Breda	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	4	3	6	15	18	15
17	3	Ajax	13	8	5	1.8	0.8	8	3	2	24	11	27
18	7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	5	1.2	1.6	5	3	4	14	19	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	13	3	10	2.6	1.0	12	0	1	34	13	36
2	13	Zwolle	13	3	10	1.5	2.7	1	5	7	19	35	8
3	18	Heracles	13	3	10	0.8	2.8	1	1	11	11	37	4
4	3	Ajax	12	3	9	1.9	1.7	3	8	1	23	20	17
5	4	Nijmegen	13	4	9	2.2	1.8	5	5	3	29	23	20
6	9	Heerenveen	12	3	9	1.5	1.8	4	2	6	18	21	14
7	10	For Sittard	13	4	9	1.4	2.1	3	2	8	18	27	11
8	2	Feyenoord	12	4	8	1.9	1.3	6	2	4	23	16	20
9	7	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	8	1.4	1.8	6	1	6	18	23	19
10	15	Excelsior	12	4	8	1.1	2.1	3	3	6	13	25	12
11	6	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	7	1.3	1.5	6	1	6	17	19	19
12	8	Utrecht	13	6	7	1.3	1.5	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	6	7	1.3	1.8	2	5	6	17	23	11
14	14	Volendam	12	5	7	0.6	2.0	1	2	9	7	24	5
15	16	NAC Breda	12	5	7	0.8	1.8	1	4	7	10	21	7
16	11	Groningen	13	7	6	1.2	1.7	5	1	7	16	22	16
17	5	Twente	12	8	4	1.6	1.2	3	7	2	19	14	16
18	17	Telstar	12	8	4	0.8	1.4	2	4	6	10	17	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.