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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.30 fair 2.01
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.84
Away 2.63 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 3.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Ajax
15 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 7
8 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (145 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.40
Expected goals 2.16 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.5% 1–1 7.9% 2–2 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.56scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 41:27
Ajax before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.88scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:20
Nijmegen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

2.56 Goals scored 1.88
1.69 Goals conceded 1.25
4.25 Total goals 3.13
15.88 Shots 14.56
6.94 Shots on target 6.00
11.31 Shots faced 14.56
5.63 Corners 5.38
4.19 Corners against 5.31
12.56 Fouls 11.13
1.81 Yellow cards 2.00
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 31%
25% Losses 19%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 100%
81% Over 2.5 goals 56%
69% Over 3.5 goals 38%
50% Over 4.5 goals 13%
19% Over 5.5 goals 6%
75% Both teams scored 69%
19% Clean sheets 25%
6% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 38%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 44%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Ajax all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
2.29points / match
3.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 21:10
Ajax before this match, away
1.43points / match
2.14scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:13
Nijmegen at home away Ajax

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.14
1.43 Goals conceded 1.86
4.43 Total goals 4.00
15.29 Shots 14.00
6.71 Shots on target 5.57
10.43 Shots faced 16.14
6.00 Corners 4.86
3.29 Corners against 5.57
11.71 Fouls 11.57
1.57 Yellow cards 2.71
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
14% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
86% Over 2.5 goals 86%
57% Over 3.5 goals 71%
43% Over 4.5 goals 29%
29% Over 5.5 goals 14%
57% Both teams scored 100%
43% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 0%
29% Draws 57%
14% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
43% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Telstar – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.504.001.90 1.44 2.70
07.12.25 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.44 2.70
29.11.25 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–0) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
23.11.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–4 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
02.11.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.25 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 2.554.002.50 1.44 2.70
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.902.15 1.53 2.40
06.12.25 For Sittard – Ajax 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.901.75 1.65 2.20
02.12.25 Ajax – Groningen 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.204.33 1.67 2.15
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
09.11.25 Utrecht – Ajax 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.702.45 1.62 2.25
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70
26.10.25 Twente – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 2.353.503.00 1.65 2.20
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–0) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 For Sittard – Ajax 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.901.75 1.65 2.20
09.11.25 Utrecht – Ajax 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.702.45 1.62 2.25
26.10.25 Twente – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 2.353.503.00 1.65 2.20
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.08.25 Volendam – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 7.005.501.36 1.40 2.88
17.08.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–2 (2–2) 3.904.101.80 1.44 2.70
14.05.25 Groningen – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.62 2.25
20.04.25 Utrecht – Ajax 4–0 (1–0) 3.503.602.00 1.65 2.20
13.04.25 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAjax wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
63%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
01.12.24N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
18.02.24N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.12.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 14 1 1 50 20 +30 43
2 Feyenoord 16 11 1 4 41 20 +21 34
3 Ajax 16 8 5 3 30 20 +10 29
4 Nijmegen 16 8 4 4 41 27 +14 28
5 Groningen 16 8 2 6 24 21 +3 26
6 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 4 4 28 24 +4 25
7 Twente 16 6 6 4 25 20 +5 24
8 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 27 21 +6 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 29 26 +3 23
10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 17 31 -14 20
11 Excelsior 16 6 1 9 16 27 -11 19
12 Zwolle 17 5 4 8 21 38 -17 19
13 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 6 6 25 28 -3 18
14 For Sittard 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
15 Volendam 16 3 5 8 19 30 -11 14
16 Heracles 17 4 2 11 26 44 -18 14
17 NAC Breda 16 3 4 9 16 25 -9 13
18 Telstar 16 2 6 8 19 27 -8 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 26 13 +13 19
2 Ajax 9 6 1 2 15 7 +8 19
3 Feyenoord 8 6 0 2 21 11 +10 18
4 Utrecht 8 5 2 1 17 7 +10 17
5 Nijmegen 7 5 1 1 21 10 +11 16
6 Groningen 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14
7 For Sittard 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
8 Twente 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
9 Zwolle 8 4 1 3 7 11 -4 13
10 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 18 15 +3 12
11 Volendam 8 3 3 2 14 11 +3 12
12 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 3 1 12 9 +3 12
13 Heerenveen 8 3 3 2 15 14 +1 12
14 Excelsior 9 4 0 5 8 10 -2 12
15 NAC Breda 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 2 4 9 18 -9 11
17 Heracles 8 3 1 4 18 21 -3 10
18 Telstar 9 1 4 4 15 19 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 24 7 +17 24
2 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 20 9 +11 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 10 9 +1 13
4 Nijmegen 9 3 3 3 20 17 +3 12
5 Groningen 8 4 0 4 10 14 -4 12
6 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
7 Twente 8 2 4 2 13 10 +3 10
8 Ajax 7 2 4 1 15 13 +2 10
9 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 0 4 8 13 -5 9
10 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
11 Utrecht 8 1 3 4 10 14 -4 6
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 1 3 5 13 19 -6 6
13 Zwolle 9 1 3 5 14 27 -13 6
14 Telstar 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
15 For Sittard 8 1 1 6 9 16 -7 4
16 Heracles 9 1 1 7 8 23 -15 4
17 NAC Breda 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
18 Volendam 8 0 2 6 5 19 -14 2

Nijmegen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Heracles 17 3 14 1.5 2.6 4 2 11 26 44 14
2 4 Nijmegen 16 3 13 2.6 1.7 8 4 4 41 27 28
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 4 12 3.1 1.2 14 1 1 50 20 43
4 9 Heerenveen 17 5 12 1.7 1.5 6 5 6 29 26 23
5 15 Volendam 16 4 12 1.2 1.9 3 5 8 19 30 14
6 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.6 1.2 11 1 4 41 20 34
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 4 11 1.9 1.6 7 4 4 28 24 25
8 12 Zwolle 17 6 11 1.2 2.2 5 4 8 21 38 19
9 13 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 1.6 1.8 4 6 6 25 28 18
10 11 Excelsior 16 6 10 1.0 1.7 6 1 9 16 27 19
11 3 Ajax 16 7 9 1.9 1.2 8 5 3 30 20 29
12 8 Utrecht 16 7 9 1.7 1.3 6 5 5 27 21 23
13 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 6 2 8 17 31 20
14 17 NAC Breda 16 7 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 9 16 25 13
15 5 Groningen 16 8 8 1.5 1.3 8 2 6 24 21 26
16 14 For Sittard 16 8 8 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
17 18 Telstar 16 8 8 1.2 1.7 2 6 8 19 27 12
18 7 Twente 16 9 7 1.6 1.2 6 6 4 25 20 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.2 1.6 6 1 1 26 13 19
2 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 0 7 2.6 2.1 3 3 1 18 15 12
3 16 Heracles 8 1 7 2.2 2.6 3 1 4 18 21 10
4 18 Telstar 9 2 7 1.7 2.1 1 4 4 15 19 7
5 4 Nijmegen 7 1 6 3.0 1.4 5 1 1 21 10 16
6 9 Heerenveen 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 3 3 2 15 14 12
7 15 Volendam 8 2 6 1.8 1.4 3 3 2 14 11 12
8 2 Feyenoord 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 6 0 2 21 11 18
9 8 Utrecht 8 3 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 1 17 7 17
10 10 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.0 2.0 3 2 4 9 18 11
11 13 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 3 1 12 9 12
12 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14
13 7 Twente 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
14 11 Excelsior 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 4 0 5 8 10 12
15 14 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
16 17 NAC Breda 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 3 2 3 9 9 11
17 3 Ajax 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 6 1 2 15 7 19
18 12 Zwolle 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 3 7 11 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Zwolle 9 1 8 1.6 3.0 1 3 5 14 27 6
2 4 Nijmegen 9 2 7 2.2 1.9 3 3 3 20 17 12
3 16 Heracles 9 2 7 0.9 2.6 1 1 7 8 23 4
4 2 Feyenoord 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 1 2 20 9 16
5 3 Ajax 7 1 6 2.1 1.9 2 4 1 15 13 10
6 9 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
7 11 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
8 13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.4 2.1 1 3 5 13 19 6
9 15 Volendam 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 0 2 6 5 19 2
10 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 3 5 3.0 0.9 8 0 0 24 7 24
11 17 NAC Breda 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
12 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 4 0 4 10 14 12
13 6 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 4 1 3 10 9 13
14 8 Utrecht 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 3 4 10 14 6
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 3 0 4 8 13 9
16 14 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.1 2.0 1 1 6 9 16 4
17 7 Twente 8 5 3 1.6 1.2 2 4 2 13 10 10
18 18 Telstar 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40