Groningen 2–5 Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie, 18 Oct 2026

Match facts

Groningen Ajax

16 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 11

2.36 Expected goals (xG) 3.08

7 Corners 4

12 Fouls 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (78 league matches this season so far).

Result Ajax to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.36

Expected goals 1.85 – 2.05

Home / Draw / Away

36% 21% 44%

GroningenDrawAjax

Under / Over 2.5 goals

25% 75%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

27% 74%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

2% 0

8% 1

15% 2

20% 3

20% 4

35% 5+

Most likely scores

1–2 7.9% 1–1 7.7% 2–2 7.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Groningen before this match, all matches

1.75points / match

2.50scored / match

1.75conceded / match

4 2 2

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:14

Ajax before this match, all matches

1.88points / match

2.75scored / match

1.25conceded / match

4 3 1

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 22:10

Groningen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.75

1.75 Goals conceded 1.25

4.25 Total goals 4.00

1.68 xG created 2.47

1.91 xG allowed 1.23

14.75 Shots 23.88

5.88 Shots on target 7.63

15.25 Shots faced 9.38

4.63 Corners 7.50

4.63 Corners against 2.38

8.63 Fouls 8.63

1.00 Yellow cards 1.88

1.63 1st-half goals scored 1.13

1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%

25% Draws 38%

25% Losses 13%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 100%

88% Over 2.5 goals 75%

63% Over 3.5 goals 75%

50% Over 4.5 goals 25%

25% Over 5.5 goals 25%

88% Both teams scored 75%

13% Clean sheets 25%

0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 50%

13% Draws 38%

25% Losses 13%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

75% Over 1.5 goals 63%

63% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

1

5

L

2

3

L

2

D

1

D

3

W

5

1

W

Ajax all matches

1

2

L

D

2

W

2

D

4

W

1

3

L

5

1

W

5

1

W

2

D

1

D

Groningen before this match, at home

1.75points / match

2.25scored / match

1.50conceded / match

2 1 1

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:6

Ajax before this match, away

3.00points / match

3.67scored / match

0.33conceded / match

3

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 11:1

Groningen at home away Ajax

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 3.67

1.50 Goals conceded 0.33

3.75 Total goals 4.00

1.56 xG created 2.61

1.46 xG allowed 0.81

19.00 Shots 21.67

4.50 Shots on target 8.67

12.00 Shots faced 8.67

6.25 Corners 8.33

2.75 Corners against 3.33

8.25 Fouls 11.67

1.00 Yellow cards 2.33

1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67

1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 100%

25% Draws 0%

25% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 100%

100% Over 2.5 goals 67%

50% Over 3.5 goals 67%

25% Over 4.5 goals 33%

0% Over 5.5 goals 33%

75% Both teams scored 33%

25% Clean sheets 67%

0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 67%

25% Draws 33%

25% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 67%

75% Over 1.5 goals 0%

50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen at home

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

W

D

2

3

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

D

3

W

Ajax away

1

D

1

3

L

1

D

3

W

2

W

D

2

W

4

W

5

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Groningen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.10.26	Excelsior – Groningen	1–5 (1–2)	2.55	3.60	2.55	1.53	2.40
18.09.26	Groningen – Zwolle	3–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.36	3.10
12.09.26	Go Ahead Eagles – Groningen	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	4.00	2.70	1.44	2.70
06.09.26	Groningen – Twente	2–2 (2–2)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.53	2.40
28.08.26	Groningen – For Sittard	2–3 (1–2)	1.45	4.75	6.25	1.48	2.60
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven – Groningen	5–1 (3–1)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.33	3.40
16.08.26	Den Haag – Groningen	1–4 (0–3)	2.75	3.75	2.38	1.65	2.20
09.08.26	Groningen – Utrecht	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.80	2.00
17.05.26	Heracles – Groningen	1–2 (1–1)	4.75	4.20	1.60	1.40	2.88
10.05.26	Groningen – Nijmegen	2–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.80	2.20	1.44	2.70

Ajax all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.10.26	Ajax – Nijmegen	1–1 (1–1)	1.30	5.50	8.50	1.30	3.50
19.09.26	Ajax – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.25	4.00
15.09.26	Ajax – Willem II	5–1 (2–0)	1.10	9.00	21.00	1.22	4.20
12.09.26	For Sittard – Ajax	1–5 (0–1)	5.75	5.25	1.44	1.36	3.10
05.09.26	Ajax – PSV Eindhoven	1–3 (1–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.30	3.50
30.08.26	Telstar – Ajax	0–4 (0–1)	5.00	4.50	1.57	1.40	2.88
16.08.26	Ajax – Heerenveen	2–2 (2–1)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.40	2.88
09.08.26	Zwolle – Ajax	0–2 (0–0)	6.00	4.50	1.50	1.48	2.60
17.05.26	Heerenveen – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.05	1.33	3.40
10.05.26	Ajax – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.36	3.10

Groningen at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.09.26	Groningen – Zwolle	3–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.36	3.10
06.09.26	Groningen – Twente	2–2 (2–2)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.53	2.40
28.08.26	Groningen – For Sittard	2–3 (1–2)	1.45	4.75	6.25	1.48	2.60
09.08.26	Groningen – Utrecht	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.80	2.00
10.05.26	Groningen – Nijmegen	2–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.80	2.20	1.44	2.70
02.05.26	Groningen – Excelsior	2–3 (1–1)	1.70	4.10	4.50	1.50	2.50
11.04.26	Groningen – Go Ahead Eagles	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.53	2.40
22.03.26	Groningen – AZ Alkmaar	3–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.70	2.55	1.60	2.30
07.03.26	Groningen – Ajax	3–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
14.02.26	Groningen – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.00	1.80

Ajax away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.09.26	For Sittard – Ajax	1–5 (0–1)	5.75	5.25	1.44	1.36	3.10
30.08.26	Telstar – Ajax	0–4 (0–1)	5.00	4.50	1.57	1.40	2.88
09.08.26	Zwolle – Ajax	0–2 (0–0)	6.00	4.50	1.50	1.48	2.60
17.05.26	Heerenveen – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.05	1.33	3.40
25.04.26	NAC Breda – Ajax	0–2 (0–2)	3.20	3.90	2.05	1.67	2.15
11.04.26	Heracles – Ajax	0–3 (0–2)	5.25	4.33	1.57	1.50	2.50
22.03.26	Feyenoord – Ajax	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.30	1.50	2.50
07.03.26	Groningen – Ajax	3–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
01.03.26	Zwolle – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	4.20	1.75	1.50	2.50
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar – Ajax	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 6

Groningen winsDrawsAjax wins

8matches

4.12goals / match

88%over 2.5

75%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26N1	Groningen – Ajax	3–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
02.12.25N1	Ajax – Groningen	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.33	1.67	2.15
14.05.25N1	Groningen – Ajax	2–2 (0–1)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.62	2.25
06.10.24N1	Ajax – Groningen	3–1 (1–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.57	2.35
14.05.23N1	Groningen – Ajax	2–3 (1–1)	13.00	6.50	1.22	1.40	2.88
14.08.22N1	Ajax – Groningen	6–1 (3–1)	1.16	8.50	13.00	1.30	3.50
02.04.22N1	Groningen – Ajax	1–3 (1–2)	12.00	5.75	1.25	1.44	2.70
25.09.21N1	Ajax – Groningen	3–0 (1–0)	1.06	10.00	19.00	1.25	4.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	31	10	+21	23
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	2	1	20	10	+10	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	27	12	+15	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22	10	+12	15
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20	14	+6	14
7	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	14	15	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	15	11	+4	12
9	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	5	2	20	21	-1	11
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	16	18	-2	11
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13	14	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	16	22	-6	9
13	Cambuur	9	2	3	4	13	21	-8	9
14	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14	25	-11	8
15	Zwolle	9	2	1	6	10	22	-12	7
16	Telstar	9	1	3	5	10	18	-8	6
17	Den Haag	9	1	3	5	11	20	-9	6
18	Willem II	9	0	2	7	9	26	-17	2

Champions League – league phase
Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
Play-offs for a Conference League place
Relegation play-off
Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Twente	4	4	0	0	9	3	+6	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	13	4	+9	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	9	3	+6	10
4	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	11	4	+7	8
5	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	2	0	11	6	+5	8
6	Groningen	4	2	1	1	9	6	+3	7
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	7	5	+2	7
8	Ajax	5	1	3	1	11	9	+2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	8	12	-4	5
10	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
11	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4
12	Utrecht	4	1	1	2	8	14	-6	4
13	Cambuur	5	1	1	3	8	15	-7	4
14	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	5	10	-5	3
15	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	5	14	-9	3
16	Nijmegen	4	0	2	2	5	8	-3	2
17	Telstar	5	0	2	3	8	15	-7	2
18	Willem II	4	0	1	3	3	10	-7	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	20	6	+14	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	11	7	+4	10
3	For Sittard	4	3	1	0	9	6	+3	10
4	Ajax	3	3	0	0	11	1	+10	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	14	8	+6	9
6	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	11	8	+3	8
7	Groningen	4	2	1	1	11	8	+3	7
8	Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8	6	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	8	6	+2	5
10	Twente	4	1	2	1	7	5	+2	5
11	Cambuur	4	1	2	1	5	6	-1	5
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	2	3	-1	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	8	10	-2	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	5	8	-3	4
15	Utrecht	4	1	1	2	6	11	-5	4
16	Go Ahead Eagles	5	0	3	2	9	15	-6	3
17	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	5	11	-6	2
18	Willem II	5	0	1	4	6	16	-10	1

Groningen Ajax

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Excelsior	9	0	9	1.8	2.0	3	2	4	16	18	11
2	3	PSV Eindhoven	9	1	8	3.0	1.3	6	1	2	27	12	19
3	12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	8	1.8	2.4	2	3	4	16	22	9
4	14	Utrecht	8	0	8	1.8	3.1	2	2	4	14	25	8
5	1	Feyenoord	9	2	7	3.4	1.1	7	2	0	31	10	23
6	6	Groningen	8	1	7	2.5	1.8	4	2	2	20	14	14
7	9	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	7	2.2	2.3	2	5	2	20	21	11
8	13	Cambuur	9	2	7	1.4	2.3	2	3	4	13	21	9
9	18	Willem II	9	2	7	1.0	2.9	0	2	7	9	26	2
10	5	Ajax	8	2	6	2.8	1.2	4	3	1	22	10	15
11	11	Nijmegen	8	2	6	1.6	1.8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	15	Zwolle	9	3	6	1.1	2.4	2	1	6	10	22	7
13	16	Telstar	9	3	6	1.1	2.0	1	3	5	10	18	6
14	17	Den Haag	9	3	6	1.2	2.2	1	3	5	11	20	6
15	7	For Sittard	8	3	5	1.8	1.9	4	2	2	14	15	14
16	8	Heerenveen	9	4	5	1.7	1.2	3	3	3	15	11	12
17	2	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	4	2.2	1.1	6	2	1	20	10	20
18	4	Twente	8	4	4	2.0	1.0	5	2	1	16	8	17

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Cambuur	5	0	5	1.6	3.0	1	1	3	8	15	4
2	16	Telstar	5	0	5	1.6	3.0	0	2	3	8	15	2
3	5	Ajax	5	1	4	2.2	1.8	1	3	1	11	9	6
4	6	Groningen	4	0	4	2.2	1.5	2	1	1	9	6	7
5	10	Excelsior	4	0	4	1.2	2.5	1	0	3	5	10	3
6	12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	4	1.6	2.4	1	2	2	8	12	5
7	14	Utrecht	4	0	4	2.0	3.5	1	1	2	8	14	4
8	1	Feyenoord	4	1	3	2.8	1.0	2	2	0	11	4	8
9	3	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	3	3.2	1.0	3	1	0	13	4	10
10	9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	3	2.8	1.5	2	2	0	11	6	8
11	11	Nijmegen	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	0	2	2	5	8	2
12	15	Zwolle	5	2	3	1.0	2.8	1	0	4	5	14	3
13	17	Den Haag	4	1	3	1.5	2.2	1	1	2	6	9	4
14	18	Willem II	4	1	3	0.8	2.5	0	1	3	3	10	1
15	4	Twente	4	2	2	2.2	0.8	4	0	0	9	3	12
16	7	For Sittard	4	2	2	1.2	2.2	1	1	2	5	9	4
17	8	Heerenveen	5	3	2	1.4	1.0	2	1	2	7	5	7
18	2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	2.2	0.8	3	1	0	9	3	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	PSV Eindhoven	5	0	5	2.8	1.6	3	0	2	14	8	9
2	10	Excelsior	5	0	5	2.2	1.6	2	2	1	11	8	8
3	1	Feyenoord	5	1	4	4.0	1.2	5	0	0	20	6	15
4	9	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	4	1.8	3.0	0	3	2	9	15	3
5	12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	4	2.0	2.5	1	1	2	8	10	4
6	14	Utrecht	4	0	4	1.5	2.8	1	1	2	6	11	4
7	18	Willem II	5	1	4	1.2	3.2	0	1	4	6	16	1
8	2	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	2.2	1.4	3	1	1	11	7	10
9	6	Groningen	4	1	3	2.8	2.0	2	1	1	11	8	7
10	7	For Sittard	4	1	3	2.2	1.5	3	1	0	9	6	10
11	8	Heerenveen	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	1	2	1	8	6	5
12	11	Nijmegen	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	2	1	1	8	6	7
13	15	Zwolle	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	1	1	2	5	8	4
14	17	Den Haag	5	2	3	1.0	2.2	0	2	3	5	11	2
15	4	Twente	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	1	2	1	7	5	5
16	5	Ajax	3	1	2	3.7	0.3	3	0	0	11	1	9
17	13	Cambuur	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	1	2	1	5	6	5
18	16	Telstar	4	3	1	0.5	0.8	1	1	2	2	3	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.