Estrela 1–4 Arouca – Portugal Primeira Liga, 28 Dec 2023

Match facts

Estrela Arouca

6 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 5

6 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (128 league matches this season so far).

Result Estrela to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.84

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.24

Home / Draw / Away

42% 26% 32%

EstrelaDrawArouca

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches

1.14points / match

1.07scored / match

1.29conceded / match

4 4 6

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:18

Arouca before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

1.29scored / match

1.36conceded / match

3 4 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:19

Estrela all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.29

1.29 Goals conceded 1.36

2.36 Total goals 2.64

9.29 Shots 12.50

2.79 Shots on target 4.64

13.79 Shots faced 10.07

4.86 Corners 4.71

6.00 Corners against 5.43

12.50 Fouls 13.43

2.50 Yellow cards 2.79

0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

29% Wins 21%

29% Draws 29%

43% Losses 50%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

57% Over 1.5 goals 71%

36% Over 2.5 goals 43%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

14% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 7%

50% Both teams scored 43%

21% Clean sheets 14%

36% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 14%

64% Draws 36%

29% Losses 50%

43% Over 0.5 goals 79%

7% Over 1.5 goals 36%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches

1

L

2

D

2

4

L

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

3

1

W

D

Arouca all matches

1

L

1

L

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

L

1

L

4

W

2

D

3

W

Estrela before this match, at home

1.29points / match

1.14scored / match

1.29conceded / match

3 4

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9

Arouca before this match, away

0.83points / match

1.33scored / match

1.33conceded / match

1 2 3

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:8

Estrela at home away Arouca

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.33

1.29 Goals conceded 1.33

2.43 Total goals 2.67

10.00 Shots 11.67

3.14 Shots on target 4.50

11.29 Shots faced 9.50

5.14 Corners 3.67

5.86 Corners against 6.00

14.29 Fouls 15.00

2.57 Yellow cards 3.67

0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

43% Wins 17%

0% Draws 33%

57% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

43% Over 1.5 goals 83%

43% Over 2.5 goals 50%

29% Over 3.5 goals 33%

14% Over 4.5 goals 0%

14% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 50%

14% Clean sheets 17%

43% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 17%

57% Draws 33%

43% Losses 50%

43% Over 0.5 goals 83%

0% Over 1.5 goals 50%

0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

4

L

1

W

1

L

3

1

W

Arouca away

1

D

1

L

2

L

2

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

L

4

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.12.23	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93
10.12.23	Estrela – Boavista	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.88
02.12.23	Rio Ave – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.80
11.11.23	Estrela – Moreirense	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.80
05.11.23	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	3–2 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.44	2.70
29.10.23	Estrela – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.65
08.10.23	Casa Pia – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
28.09.23	Estrela – Sp Braga	2–4 (0–1)	4.50	3.80	1.70	1.70	2.10
24.09.23	Chaves – Estrela	2–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.63	1.90	1.95
15.09.23	Estrela – Porto	0–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.00	1.33	1.65	2.20

Arouca all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.12.23	Arouca – Gil Vicente	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.05	1.80
10.12.23	Arouca – Rio Ave	2–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.15	1.67
03.12.23	Boavista – Arouca	0–4 (0–3)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.75
12.11.23	Arouca – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–1)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.60	2.30
06.11.23	Farense – Arouca	2–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.20	2.05	1.75
27.10.23	Arouca – Moreirense	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.10	1.70
08.10.23	Sp Lisbon – Arouca	2–1 (1–0)	1.22	5.00	11.00	1.60	2.30
01.10.23	Arouca – Chaves	0–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.20	1.93	1.93
22.09.23	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.15	1.67
17.09.23	Arouca – Casa Pia	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.15	1.67

Estrela at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.12.23	Estrela – Boavista	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.88
11.11.23	Estrela – Moreirense	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.80
29.10.23	Estrela – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.65
28.09.23	Estrela – Sp Braga	2–4 (0–1)	4.50	3.80	1.70	1.70	2.10
15.09.23	Estrela – Porto	0–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.00	1.33	1.65	2.20
25.08.23	Estrela – Estoril	2–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.35	1.57
13.08.23	Estrela – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.60

Arouca away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.12.23	Boavista – Arouca	0–4 (0–3)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.75
06.11.23	Farense – Arouca	2–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.20	2.05	1.75
08.10.23	Sp Lisbon – Arouca	2–1 (1–0)	1.22	5.00	11.00	1.60	2.30
22.09.23	Famalicao – Arouca	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.15	1.67
03.09.23	Porto – Arouca	1–1 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.53	2.40
20.08.23	Vizela – Arouca	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.40	2.15	1.67
27.05.23	Portimonense – Arouca	0–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
15.05.23	Estoril – Arouca	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.65
28.04.23	Rio Ave – Arouca	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.40	1.53
16.04.23	Sp Lisbon – Arouca	1–1 (0–1)	1.20	7.00	12.00	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	14	11	1	2	30	15	+15	34	WWLWLW
2	Benfica	14	10	3	1	25	10	+15	33	DWWDDW
3	Porto	14	10	1	3	21	11	+10	31	WLWWWL
4	Sp Braga	14	9	2	3	36	21	+15	29	DWWWWL
5	Guimaraes	15	9	2	4	25	17	+8	29	LLWWDW
6	Moreirense	15	7	5	3	20	13	+7	26	WWDDWD
7	Farense	14	5	3	6	22	18	+4	18	WWWLDD
8	Famalicao	14	4	6	4	13	15	-2	18	LWDLDD
9	Estrela	14	4	4	6	15	18	-3	16	WLLDWD
10	Casa Pia	14	4	4	6	13	17	-4	16	DLLWLW
11	Boavista	14	4	4	6	21	28	-7	16	LLLLLD
12	Portimonense	14	4	3	7	16	32	-16	15	WLWLDL
13	Estoril	14	4	2	8	25	24	+1	14	LWWLWD
14	Arouca	14	3	4	7	18	19	-1	13	LLLWDW
15	Gil Vicente	14	3	3	8	25	29	-4	12	DLDLDL
16	Rio Ave	15	2	6	7	16	24	-8	12	WDDDDL
17	Vizela	15	2	6	7	14	22	-8	12	WDLLDD
18	Chaves	14	3	1	10	16	38	-22	10	LLLWLL

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	8	8	0	0	19	6	+13	24	WWWWWW
2	Guimaraes	8	6	0	2	18	9	+9	18	LWWLWW
3	Benfica	6	4	2	0	11	3	+8	14	WWWDWD
4	Sp Braga	7	4	1	2	17	8	+9	13	DWWWWL
5	Porto	6	4	1	1	9	5	+4	13	WDWWLW
6	Gil Vicente	7	3	3	1	19	11	+8	12	LWWDDD
7	Farense	8	3	2	3	13	9	+4	11	WLDWLD
8	Moreirense	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11	LWDWDW
9	Famalicao	7	3	2	2	7	8	-1	11	WWLWLD
10	Estoril	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10	WLDLWW
11	Estrela	7	3	0	4	8	9	-1	9	WLLWLW
12	Rio Ave	8	2	3	3	11	13	-2	9	DLLWDD
13	Boavista	8	2	3	3	12	16	-4	9	WDLLLD
14	Arouca	8	2	2	4	10	11	-1	8	LLLLDW
15	Portimonense	6	2	2	2	7	10	-3	8	LDLWWD
16	Chaves	7	2	1	4	12	16	-4	7	LDWLWL
17	Vizela	8	1	3	4	7	12	-5	6	LLLDLD
18	Casa Pia	6	1	2	3	3	5	-2	5	LDDLLW

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Benfica	8	6	1	1	14	7	+7	19	WWWWDW
2	Porto	8	6	0	2	12	6	+6	18	WLWWWL
3	Sp Braga	7	5	1	1	19	13	+6	16	WLWDWW
4	Moreirense	8	4	3	1	9	5	+4	15	LWWWDD
5	Guimaraes	7	3	2	2	7	8	-1	11	LDWLWD
6	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	10	12	-2	11	WLDLLW
7	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	11	9	+2	10	WDWWLL
8	Farense	6	2	1	3	9	9	0	7	LLLWWD
9	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	6	7	-1	7	LDDLDD
10	Estrela	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7	DDWLDD
11	Boavista	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7	WWLDLL
12	Portimonense	8	2	1	5	9	22	-13	7	WWLLLL
13	Vizela	7	1	3	3	7	10	-3	6	LDDWLD
14	Arouca	6	1	2	3	8	8	0	5	DDLLLW
15	Estoril	8	1	1	6	12	19	-7	4	LLLWLD
16	Rio Ave	7	0	3	4	5	11	-6	3	DLLDDL
17	Chaves	7	1	0	6	4	22	-18	3	LLWLLL
18	Gil Vicente	7	0	0	7	6	18	-12	0	LLLLLL

Estrela Arouca

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	4	Sp Braga	14	3	11	2.6	1.5	9	2	3	36	21	29	OOUOOU
2	18	Chaves	14	3	11	1.1	2.7	3	1	10	16	38	10	OUOOOO
3	15	Gil Vicente	14	4	10	1.8	2.1	3	3	8	25	29	12	OOUOUO
4	1	Sp Lisbon	14	5	9	2.1	1.1	11	1	2	30	15	34	UOOOOU
5	5	Guimaraes	15	6	9	1.7	1.1	9	2	4	25	17	29	UOOOUU
6	11	Boavista	14	5	9	1.5	2.0	4	4	6	21	28	16	UUOOOU
7	13	Estoril	14	5	9	1.8	1.7	4	2	8	25	24	14	UUOOOU
8	7	Farense	14	6	8	1.6	1.3	5	3	6	22	18	18	OUOOUU
9	12	Portimonense	14	6	8	1.1	2.3	4	3	7	16	32	15	UOOUUO
10	3	Porto	14	7	7	1.5	0.8	10	1	3	21	11	31	UUOOOU
11	17	Vizela	15	8	7	0.9	1.5	2	6	7	14	22	12	UUOOUU
12	2	Benfica	14	8	6	1.8	0.7	10	3	1	25	10	33	UUOUUU
13	6	Moreirense	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	7	5	3	20	13	26	UUUUOU
14	14	Arouca	14	8	6	1.3	1.4	3	4	7	18	19	13	UUUOOO
15	8	Famalicao	14	9	5	0.9	1.1	4	6	4	13	15	18	UOUOUU
16	9	Estrela	14	9	5	1.1	1.3	4	4	6	15	18	16	UOUUOU
17	10	Casa Pia	14	9	5	0.9	1.2	4	4	6	13	17	16	UUOUOO
18	16	Rio Ave	15	10	5	1.1	1.6	2	6	7	16	24	12	UUUOUU

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	5	Guimaraes	8	2	6	2.2	1.1	6	0	2	18	9	18	OOOOOU
2	18	Chaves	7	1	6	1.7	2.3	2	1	4	12	16	7	OOOUOO
3	1	Sp Lisbon	8	3	5	2.4	0.8	8	0	0	19	6	24	OUOOOU
4	4	Sp Braga	7	2	5	2.4	1.1	4	1	2	17	8	13	UOOOOU
5	7	Farense	8	3	5	1.6	1.1	3	2	3	13	9	11	OOUUOU
6	11	Boavista	8	3	5	1.5	2.0	2	3	3	12	16	9	OOUOOU
7	13	Estoril	6	2	4	2.2	0.8	3	1	2	13	5	10	UOOUOO
8	15	Gil Vicente	7	3	4	2.7	1.6	3	3	1	19	11	12	OOUOUU
9	17	Vizela	8	4	4	0.9	1.5	1	3	4	7	12	6	OOUUOU
10	3	Porto	6	3	3	1.5	0.8	4	1	1	9	5	13	OUOUUO
11	6	Moreirense	7	4	3	1.6	1.1	3	2	2	11	8	11	OUUUUO
12	8	Famalicao	7	4	3	1.0	1.1	3	2	2	7	8	11	UUOOOU
13	9	Estrela	7	4	3	1.1	1.3	3	0	4	8	9	9	OUOUUO
14	12	Portimonense	6	3	3	1.2	1.7	2	2	2	7	10	8	OUOUOU
15	14	Arouca	8	5	3	1.2	1.4	2	2	4	10	11	8	UUUUOO
16	16	Rio Ave	8	5	3	1.4	1.6	2	3	3	11	13	9	UOOUUU
17	2	Benfica	6	4	2	1.8	0.5	4	2	0	11	3	14	UOUUOU
18	10	Casa Pia	6	5	1	0.5	0.8	1	2	3	3	5	5	OUUUUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	4	Sp Braga	7	1	6	2.7	1.9	5	1	1	19	13	16	OOOOUO
2	15	Gil Vicente	7	1	6	0.9	2.6	0	0	7	6	18	0	UOOOOO
3	12	Portimonense	8	3	5	1.1	2.8	2	1	5	9	22	7	OOUOUO
4	13	Estoril	8	3	5	1.5	2.4	1	1	6	12	19	4	OOUUOU
5	18	Chaves	7	2	5	0.6	3.1	1	0	6	4	22	3	OOUOOO
6	1	Sp Lisbon	6	2	4	1.8	1.5	3	1	2	11	9	10	OUOUOO
7	2	Benfica	8	4	4	1.8	0.9	6	1	1	14	7	19	OOUUUU
8	3	Porto	8	4	4	1.5	0.8	6	0	2	12	6	18	UUUOOU
9	10	Casa Pia	8	4	4	1.2	1.5	3	2	3	10	12	11	UUUOOO
10	11	Boavista	6	2	4	1.5	2.0	2	1	3	9	12	7	OOOUUO
11	5	Guimaraes	7	4	3	1.0	1.1	3	2	2	7	8	11	OUOUOU
12	6	Moreirense	8	5	3	1.1	0.6	4	3	1	9	5	15	OOUUUU
13	7	Farense	6	3	3	1.5	1.5	2	1	3	9	9	7	OUUOOU
14	14	Arouca	6	3	3	1.3	1.3	1	2	3	8	8	5	OUUOUO
15	17	Vizela	7	4	3	1.0	1.4	1	3	3	7	10	6	UOUUOU
16	8	Famalicao	7	5	2	0.9	1.0	1	4	2	6	7	7	UUOUUU
17	9	Estrela	7	5	2	1.0	1.3	1	4	2	7	9	7	UOUOUU
18	16	Rio Ave	7	5	2	0.7	1.6	0	3	4	5	11	3	UUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.