Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga, 21 Jan 2024

Match facts

Guimaraes Estrela

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 5

13 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (161 league matches this season so far).

Result Guimaraes to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.11

Home / Draw / Away

52% 24% 24%

GuimaraesDrawEstrela

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.2% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Guimaraes before this match, all matches

1.94points / match

1.65scored / match

1.12conceded / match

10 3 4

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:19

Estrela before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.06scored / match

1.41conceded / match

4 6 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:24

Guimaraes all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.06

1.12 Goals conceded 1.41

2.76 Total goals 2.47

12.24 Shots 9.59

4.12 Shots on target 3.00

9.88 Shots faced 13.88

6.82 Corners 4.82

5.12 Corners against 5.88

13.71 Fouls 12.06

2.35 Yellow cards 2.29

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.24

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

59% Wins 24%

18% Draws 35%

24% Losses 41%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

76% Over 1.5 goals 65%

59% Over 2.5 goals 35%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

59% Both teams scored 59%

29% Clean sheets 18%

18% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 18%

53% Draws 53%

12% Losses 29%

65% Over 0.5 goals 53%

41% Over 1.5 goals 6%

12% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes all matches

3

1

W

5

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

Estrela all matches

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

3

1

W

D

1

4

L

1

D

1

D

Guimaraes before this match, at home

2.33points / match

2.22scored / match

1.11conceded / match

7 2

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:10

Estrela before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.00scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 5 2

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:10

Guimaraes at home away Estrela

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.00

1.11 Goals conceded 1.25

3.33 Total goals 2.25

12.33 Shots 9.38

5.00 Shots on target 2.88

9.11 Shots faced 15.38

6.56 Corners 4.63

4.11 Corners against 6.25

14.11 Fouls 10.63

2.33 Yellow cards 2.63

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

78% Wins 13%

0% Draws 63%

22% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

89% Over 1.5 goals 75%

78% Over 2.5 goals 25%

33% Over 3.5 goals 25%

33% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 63%

33% Clean sheets 25%

0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 13%

67% Draws 63%

11% Losses 25%

67% Over 0.5 goals 50%

56% Over 1.5 goals 13%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes at home

1

W

2

1

W

2

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

5

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

Estrela away

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

W

2

3

L

1

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Guimaraes all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
06.01.24	Sp Braga – Guimaraes	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.00	1.57	2.35
23.12.23	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
16.12.23	Boavista – Guimaraes	1–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.50	1.95	1.98	1.88
09.12.23	Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon	3–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.00	1.62	1.73	2.08
02.12.23	Farense – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.60	2.10	1.95	1.90
11.11.23	Guimaraes – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	1.85	2.00
05.11.23	Moreirense – Guimaraes	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.63	2.08	1.73
28.10.23	Guimaraes – Chaves	5–0 (3–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.75	2.05
08.10.23	Famalicao – Guimaraes	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.10	2.70	2.15	1.67

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.93	1.93
06.01.24	Estrela – Vizela	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
28.12.23	Estrela – Arouca	1–4 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
15.12.23	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93
10.12.23	Estrela – Boavista	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.88
02.12.23	Rio Ave – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.80
11.11.23	Estrela – Moreirense	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.80
05.11.23	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	3–2 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.44	2.70
29.10.23	Estrela – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.65
08.10.23	Casa Pia – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67

Guimaraes at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon	3–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.00	1.62	1.73	2.08
11.11.23	Guimaraes – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	1.85	2.00
28.10.23	Guimaraes – Chaves	5–0 (3–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.75	2.05
01.10.23	Guimaraes – Estoril	3–2 (0–2)	1.83	3.50	4.33	1.95	1.90
17.09.23	Guimaraes – Portimonense	1–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.00	7.00	1.93	1.93
27.08.23	Guimaraes – Vizela	2–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.30	4.33	2.08	1.73
19.08.23	Guimaraes – Gil Vicente	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
21.05.23	Guimaraes – Gil Vicente	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90

Estrela away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.93	1.93
15.12.23	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93
02.12.23	Rio Ave – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.80
05.11.23	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	3–2 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.44	2.70
08.10.23	Casa Pia – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.09.23	Chaves – Estrela	2–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.63	1.90	1.95
02.09.23	Portimonense – Estrela	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.08	1.73
19.08.23	Benfica – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	1.08	9.50	23.00	1.36	3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Guimaraes winsDrawsEstrela wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.08.23P1	Estrela – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	18	15	1	2	45	19	+26	46
2	Benfica	18	14	3	1	37	11	+26	45
3	Porto	18	13	2	3	30	12	+18	41
4	Sp Braga	18	11	3	4	42	26	+16	36
5	Guimaraes	17	10	3	4	28	19	+9	33
6	Moreirense	18	8	5	5	24	23	+1	29
7	Farense	18	7	3	8	26	24	+2	24
8	Famalicao	18	5	7	6	18	22	-4	22
9	Boavista	18	5	5	8	26	33	-7	20
10	Arouca	18	5	4	9	25	26	-1	19
11	Gil Vicente	18	5	4	9	29	31	-2	19
12	Casa Pia	18	5	4	9	19	26	-7	19
13	Estrela	17	4	6	7	18	24	-6	18
14	Portimonense	18	5	3	10	18	38	-20	18
15	Estoril	18	5	2	11	32	34	-2	17
16	Rio Ave	18	3	7	8	19	28	-9	16
17	Vizela	18	2	7	9	18	32	-14	13
18	Chaves	18	3	3	12	18	44	-26	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	9	9	0	0	24	7	+17	27
2	Benfica	9	7	2	0	20	4	+16	23
3	Porto	9	7	1	1	17	5	+12	22
4	Guimaraes	9	7	0	2	20	10	+10	21
5	Gil Vicente	9	4	4	1	21	12	+9	16
6	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	18	9	+9	14
7	Farense	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
8	Estoril	9	4	1	4	19	10	+9	13
9	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	13	13	0	12
10	Famalicao	9	3	3	3	10	12	-2	12
11	Moreirense	8	3	2	3	12	12	0	11
12	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	9	14	-5	11
13	Boavista	9	2	4	3	13	17	-4	10
14	Estrela	9	3	1	5	10	14	-4	10
15	Arouca	9	2	2	5	10	14	-4	8
16	Chaves	9	2	2	5	12	19	-7	8
17	Vizela	10	1	3	6	10	21	-11	6
18	Casa Pia	9	1	2	6	5	13	-8	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	9	7	1	1	17	7	+10	22
2	Sp Braga	10	7	1	2	24	17	+7	22
3	Sp Lisbon	9	6	1	2	21	12	+9	19
4	Porto	9	6	1	2	13	7	+6	19
5	Moreirense	10	5	3	2	12	11	+1	18
6	Casa Pia	9	4	2	3	14	13	+1	14
7	Guimaraes	8	3	3	2	8	9	-1	12
8	Arouca	9	3	2	4	15	12	+3	11
9	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	8	10	-2	10
10	Boavista	9	3	1	5	13	16	-3	10
11	Farense	9	3	1	5	12	15	-3	10
12	Estrela	8	1	5	2	8	10	-2	8
13	Vizela	8	1	4	3	8	11	-3	7
14	Portimonense	9	2	1	6	9	24	-15	7
15	Rio Ave	9	0	4	5	6	15	-9	4
16	Estoril	9	1	1	7	13	24	-11	4
17	Chaves	9	1	1	7	6	25	-19	4
18	Gil Vicente	9	1	0	8	8	19	-11	3

Guimaraes Estrela

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	18	5	13	2.5	1.1	15	1	2	45	19	46
2	4	Sp Braga	18	5	13	2.3	1.4	11	3	4	42	26	36
3	15	Estoril	18	5	13	1.8	1.9	5	2	11	32	34	17
4	18	Chaves	18	5	13	1.0	2.4	3	3	12	18	44	12
5	5	Guimaraes	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	3	4	28	19	33
6	7	Farense	18	8	10	1.4	1.3	7	3	8	26	24	24
7	9	Boavista	18	8	10	1.4	1.8	5	5	8	26	33	20
8	10	Arouca	18	8	10	1.4	1.4	5	4	9	25	26	19
9	11	Gil Vicente	18	8	10	1.6	1.7	5	4	9	29	31	19
10	2	Benfica	18	9	9	2.1	0.6	14	3	1	37	11	45
11	6	Moreirense	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	8	5	5	24	23	29
12	14	Portimonense	18	9	9	1.0	2.1	5	3	10	18	38	18
13	17	Vizela	18	9	9	1.0	1.8	2	7	9	18	32	13
14	3	Porto	18	10	8	1.7	0.7	13	2	3	30	12	41
15	8	Famalicao	18	10	8	1.0	1.2	5	7	6	18	22	22
16	12	Casa Pia	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	5	4	9	19	26	19
17	13	Estrela	17	11	6	1.1	1.4	4	6	7	18	24	18
18	16	Rio Ave	18	12	6	1.1	1.6	3	7	8	19	28	16

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Guimaraes	9	2	7	2.2	1.1	7	0	2	20	10	21
2	15	Estoril	9	2	7	2.1	1.1	4	1	4	19	10	13
3	18	Chaves	9	2	7	1.3	2.1	2	2	5	12	19	8
4	1	Sp Lisbon	9	3	6	2.7	0.8	9	0	0	24	7	27
5	17	Vizela	10	4	6	1.0	2.1	1	3	6	10	21	6
6	4	Sp Braga	8	3	5	2.2	1.1	4	2	2	18	9	14
7	7	Farense	9	4	5	1.6	1.0	4	2	3	14	9	14
8	8	Famalicao	9	4	5	1.1	1.3	3	3	3	10	12	12
9	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.9	2	4	3	13	17	10
10	2	Benfica	9	5	4	2.2	0.4	7	2	0	20	4	23
11	3	Porto	9	5	4	1.9	0.6	7	1	1	17	5	22
12	6	Moreirense	8	4	4	1.5	1.5	3	2	3	12	12	11
13	10	Arouca	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	2	2	5	10	14	8
14	11	Gil Vicente	9	5	4	2.3	1.3	4	4	1	21	12	16
15	13	Estrela	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	3	1	5	10	14	10
16	14	Portimonense	9	5	4	1.0	1.6	3	2	4	9	14	11
17	12	Casa Pia	9	6	3	0.6	1.4	1	2	6	5	13	5
18	16	Rio Ave	9	6	3	1.4	1.4	3	3	3	13	13	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Sp Braga	10	2	8	2.4	1.7	7	1	2	24	17	22
2	1	Sp Lisbon	9	2	7	2.3	1.3	6	1	2	21	12	19
3	10	Arouca	9	3	6	1.7	1.3	3	2	4	15	12	11
4	11	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0.9	2.1	1	0	8	8	19	3
5	15	Estoril	9	3	6	1.4	2.7	1	1	7	13	24	4
6	18	Chaves	9	3	6	0.7	2.8	1	1	7	6	25	4
7	2	Benfica	9	4	5	1.9	0.8	7	1	1	17	7	22
8	6	Moreirense	10	5	5	1.2	1.1	5	3	2	12	11	18
9	7	Farense	9	4	5	1.3	1.7	3	1	5	12	15	10
10	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.8	3	1	5	13	16	10
11	12	Casa Pia	9	4	5	1.6	1.4	4	2	3	14	13	14
12	14	Portimonense	9	4	5	1.0	2.7	2	1	6	9	24	7
13	3	Porto	9	5	4	1.4	0.8	6	1	2	13	7	19
14	5	Guimaraes	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	3	3	2	8	9	12
15	8	Famalicao	9	6	3	0.9	1.1	2	4	3	8	10	10
16	16	Rio Ave	9	6	3	0.7	1.7	0	4	5	6	15	4
17	17	Vizela	8	5	3	1.0	1.4	1	4	3	8	11	7
18	13	Estrela	8	6	2	1.0	1.2	1	5	2	8	10	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.