Hamilton 0–2 Ayr – Scotland Championship, 18 Mar 2023

Match facts

Hamilton Ayr

3 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 8

9 Fouls 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (138 league matches this season so far).

Result Ayr to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.82

Home / Draw / Away

26% 23% 51%

HamiltonDrawAyr

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.6% 1–2 9.6% 0–1 8.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hamilton before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.93scored / match

1.67conceded / match

6 7 14

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 25:45

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.59points / match

1.85scored / match

1.30conceded / match

12 7 8

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 50:35

Hamilton all matches all matches Ayr

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.85

1.67 Goals conceded 1.30

2.59 Total goals 3.15

8.63 Shots 11.59

3.85 Shots on target 5.19

11.59 Shots faced 9.19

5.48 Corners 5.30

5.85 Corners against 5.33

11.63 Fouls 10.56

1.96 Yellow cards 1.52

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.74

0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

22% Wins 44%

26% Draws 26%

52% Losses 30%

96% Over 0.5 goals 93%

67% Over 1.5 goals 81%

41% Over 2.5 goals 63%

30% Over 3.5 goals 48%

15% Over 4.5 goals 26%

4% Over 5.5 goals 4%

41% Both teams scored 59%

22% Clean sheets 26%

41% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 37%

41% Draws 41%

44% Losses 22%

78% Over 0.5 goals 74%

30% Over 1.5 goals 41%

11% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton all matches

2

L

1

L

1

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

4

L

D

Ayr all matches

2

3

L

2

L

1

W

2

D

5

W

2

L

1

L

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

Hamilton before this match, at home

0.93points / match

1.00scored / match

1.64conceded / match

3 4 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:23

Ayr before this match, away

1.77points / match

2.08scored / match

1.46conceded / match

7 2 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:19

Hamilton at home away Ayr

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.08

1.64 Goals conceded 1.46

2.64 Total goals 3.54

9.29 Shots 11.23

4.36 Shots on target 5.54

12.71 Shots faced 9.31

6.21 Corners 4.62

5.71 Corners against 5.23

11.71 Fouls 9.23

2.00 Yellow cards 1.54

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

21% Wins 54%

29% Draws 15%

50% Losses 31%

93% Over 0.5 goals 92%

71% Over 1.5 goals 92%

36% Over 2.5 goals 77%

21% Over 3.5 goals 54%

21% Over 4.5 goals 38%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 69%

21% Clean sheets 23%

36% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 31%

36% Draws 31%

57% Losses 38%

86% Over 0.5 goals 69%

29% Over 1.5 goals 31%

7% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton at home

2

L

1

2

L

4

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

4

L

D

Ayr away

2

3

L

1

2

L

2

W

3

2

W

2

D

2

3

L

5

W

2

L

D

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamilton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.03.23	Hamilton – Arbroath	0–0 (0–0)	3.25	3.10	2.10	2.10	1.70
25.02.23	Hamilton – Queens Park	1–4 (0–1)	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.73	2.08
21.02.23	Hamilton – Inverness C	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.00	2.75	2.05	1.80
18.02.23	Inverness C – Hamilton	0–3 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	3.60	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Hamilton – Dundee	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.75	1.70	1.73	2.08
28.01.23	Partick – Hamilton	0–1 (0–0)	1.50	3.80	5.50	1.75	2.05
14.01.23	Hamilton – Morton	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.45	1.98	1.88
07.01.23	Ayr – Hamilton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
02.01.23	Hamilton – Raith Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.40	2.30	1.88	1.98
23.12.22	Cove Rangers – Hamilton	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	2.90	1.80	2.05

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.23	Morton – Ayr	1–3 (1–3)	2.30	3.20	2.80	2.02	1.83
04.03.23	Ayr – Inverness C	1–2 (1–1)	1.85	3.60	3.50	1.88	1.98
24.02.23	Raith Rvs – Ayr	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.10	3.25	2.05	1.75
18.02.23	Ayr – Partick	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	2.70	1.73	2.08
03.02.23	Queens Park – Ayr	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	2.80	1.57	2.35
27.01.23	Cove Rangers – Ayr	0–5 (0–1)	2.75	3.60	2.15	1.73	2.08
14.01.23	Ayr – Arbroath	2–2 (1–0)	1.80	3.30	4.20	1.90	1.95
07.01.23	Ayr – Hamilton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
23.12.22	Ayr – Dundee	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.75	2.05
17.12.22	Partick – Ayr	3–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.80	1.80	2.05

Hamilton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.03.23	Hamilton – Arbroath	0–0 (0–0)	3.25	3.10	2.10	2.10	1.70
25.02.23	Hamilton – Queens Park	1–4 (0–1)	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.73	2.08
21.02.23	Hamilton – Inverness C	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.00	2.75	2.05	1.80
04.02.23	Hamilton – Dundee	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.75	1.70	1.73	2.08
14.01.23	Hamilton – Morton	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.45	1.98	1.88
02.01.23	Hamilton – Raith Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.40	2.30	1.88	1.98
11.11.22	Hamilton – Ayr	2–3 (0–1)	3.25	3.50	2.00	1.75	2.05
29.10.22	Hamilton – Cove Rangers	4–4 (1–2)	2.20	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
15.10.22	Hamilton – Partick	1–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.05	2.05	1.80
01.10.22	Hamilton – Dundee	0–2 (0–1)	3.75	3.40	1.95	2.02	1.83

Ayr away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.23	Morton – Ayr	1–3 (1–3)	2.30	3.20	2.80	2.02	1.83
24.02.23	Raith Rvs – Ayr	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.10	3.25	2.05	1.75
03.02.23	Queens Park – Ayr	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	2.80	1.57	2.35
27.01.23	Cove Rangers – Ayr	0–5 (0–1)	2.75	3.60	2.15	1.73	2.08
17.12.22	Partick – Ayr	3–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.80	1.80	2.05
19.11.22	Inverness C – Ayr	2–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.20	2.00	1.85
11.11.22	Hamilton – Ayr	2–3 (0–1)	3.25	3.50	2.00	1.75	2.05
29.10.22	Arbroath – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	2.87	3.20	2.25	2.02	1.83
15.10.22	Dundee – Ayr	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	3.40	1.88	1.98
17.09.22	Raith Rvs – Ayr	3–2 (2–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 3

Hamilton winsDrawsAyr wins

7matches

2.57goals / match

29%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.01.23SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
11.11.22SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	2–3 (0–1)	3.25	3.50	2.00	1.75	2.05
13.08.22SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	2–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.65
01.04.22SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–1)	2.80	2.87	2.90	2.50	1.50
29.01.22SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.70
10.12.21SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
18.09.21SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.20	1.95	1.85

Scotland Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Queens Park	28	15	6	7	56	37	+19	51
2	Dundee	27	13	7	7	44	31	+13	46
3	Partick	28	13	5	10	49	39	+10	44
4	Ayr	27	12	7	8	50	35	+15	43
5	Morton	29	11	10	8	41	35	+6	43
6	Inverness C	27	9	9	9	38	39	-1	36
7	Raith Rvs	27	9	8	10	33	36	-3	35
8	Cove Rangers	28	6	8	14	33	56	-23	26
9	Arbroath	28	4	13	11	25	41	-16	25
10	Hamilton	27	6	7	14	25	45	-20	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Queens Park	14	8	4	2	26	15	+11	28
2	Partick	14	8	2	4	32	19	+13	26
3	Morton	14	8	2	4	23	13	+10	26
4	Dundee	13	7	2	4	26	17	+9	23
5	Ayr	14	5	5	4	23	16	+7	20
6	Raith Rvs	13	5	5	3	22	18	+4	20
7	Cove Rangers	15	5	4	6	19	25	-6	19
8	Inverness C	13	3	6	4	18	15	+3	15
9	Hamilton	14	3	4	7	14	23	-9	13
10	Arbroath	14	1	6	7	9	21	-12	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Queens Park	14	7	2	5	30	22	+8	23
2	Ayr	13	7	2	4	27	19	+8	23
3	Dundee	14	6	5	3	18	14	+4	23
4	Inverness C	14	6	3	5	20	24	-4	21
5	Partick	14	5	3	6	17	20	-3	18
6	Morton	15	3	8	4	18	22	-4	17
7	Arbroath	14	3	7	4	16	20	-4	16
8	Raith Rvs	14	4	3	7	11	18	-7	15
9	Hamilton	13	3	3	7	11	22	-11	12
10	Cove Rangers	13	1	4	8	14	31	-17	7

Hamilton Ayr

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Queens Park	28	10	18	2.0	1.3	15	6	7	56	37	51
2	3	Partick	28	10	18	1.8	1.4	13	5	10	49	39	44
3	4	Ayr	27	10	17	1.9	1.3	12	7	8	50	35	43
4	5	Morton	29	12	17	1.4	1.2	11	10	8	41	35	43
5	8	Cove Rangers	28	12	16	1.2	2.0	6	8	14	33	56	26
6	6	Inverness C	27	13	14	1.4	1.4	9	9	9	38	39	36
7	2	Dundee	27	14	13	1.6	1.1	13	7	7	44	31	46
8	7	Raith Rvs	27	15	12	1.2	1.3	9	8	10	33	36	35
9	10	Hamilton	27	16	11	0.9	1.7	6	7	14	25	45	25
10	9	Arbroath	28	18	10	0.9	1.5	4	13	11	25	41	25

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Partick	14	3	11	2.3	1.4	8	2	4	32	19	26
2	2	Dundee	13	4	9	2.0	1.3	7	2	4	26	17	23
3	5	Morton	14	5	9	1.6	0.9	8	2	4	23	13	26
4	1	Queens Park	14	6	8	1.9	1.1	8	4	2	26	15	28
5	7	Raith Rvs	13	5	8	1.7	1.4	5	5	3	22	18	20
6	4	Ayr	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	5	5	4	23	16	20
7	8	Cove Rangers	15	8	7	1.3	1.7	5	4	6	19	25	19
8	6	Inverness C	13	8	5	1.4	1.2	3	6	4	18	15	15
9	10	Hamilton	14	9	5	1.0	1.6	3	4	7	14	23	13
10	9	Arbroath	14	10	4	0.6	1.5	1	6	7	9	21	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Queens Park	14	4	10	2.1	1.6	7	2	5	30	22	23
2	4	Ayr	13	3	10	2.1	1.5	7	2	4	27	19	23
3	6	Inverness C	14	5	9	1.4	1.7	6	3	5	20	24	21
4	8	Cove Rangers	13	4	9	1.1	2.4	1	4	8	14	31	7
5	5	Morton	15	7	8	1.2	1.5	3	8	4	18	22	17
6	3	Partick	14	7	7	1.2	1.4	5	3	6	17	20	18
7	9	Arbroath	14	8	6	1.1	1.4	3	7	4	16	20	16
8	10	Hamilton	13	7	6	0.8	1.7	3	3	7	11	22	12
9	2	Dundee	14	10	4	1.3	1.0	6	5	3	18	14	23
10	7	Raith Rvs	14	10	4	0.8	1.3	4	3	7	11	18	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.