Hamilton 2–3 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023
Home
3.25
fair 3.30
Draw
3.50
fair 4.28
Away ✓
2.00
fair 2.16
Under 2.5
2.05
fair 2.51
Over 2.5 ✓
1.75
fair 1.66
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hamilton
Ayr
15
Shots
6
7
Shots on target
5
6
Corners
4
9
Fouls
11
3
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (70 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.63
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
30%
23%
46%
HamiltonDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
40%
60%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
62%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
4%
0
14%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
20%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–1 7.7%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
1.00scored / match
1.93conceded / match
2
5
7
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 14:27
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
2.07scored / match
1.29conceded / match
7
4
3
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 29:18
Hamilton all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
2.07
1.93
Goals conceded
1.29
2.93
Total goals
3.36
8.64
Shots
13.50
3.50
Shots on target
5.79
11.79
Shots faced
8.43
6.50
Corners
6.36
4.86
Corners against
5.21
12.36
Fouls
10.21
2.07
Yellow cards
1.36
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.71
0.93
1st-half goals conceded
0.71
How often Full Time
14%
Wins
50%
36%
Draws
29%
50%
Losses
21%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
79%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
43%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
36%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
29%
7%
Over 5.5 goals
7%
50%
Both teams scored
71%
14%
Clean sheets
21%
36%
Failed to score
14%
How often Half Time
21%
Wins
29%
29%
Draws
50%
50%
Losses
21%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
36%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton all matches
1
W
2
2
D
2
L
2
L
5
L
1
2
L
1
W
1
L
4
4
D
1
3
L
Ayr all matches
3
1
W
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
L
5
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
4
2
W
2
W
1
1
D
Hamilton
before this match, at home
0.71points / match
1.00scored / match
1.86conceded / match
1
2
4
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 7:13
Ayr
before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
4
2
WonDrawnLost
6 played · 12:9
Hamilton at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
1.86
Goals conceded
1.50
2.86
Total goals
3.50
9.43
Shots
12.67
4.14
Shots on target
5.50
12.00
Shots faced
8.00
8.29
Corners
5.83
3.86
Corners against
4.83
12.43
Fouls
9.67
1.86
Yellow cards
1.50
0.29
1st-half goals scored
0.17
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.83
How often Full Time
14%
Wins
67%
29%
Draws
0%
57%
Losses
33%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
86%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
29%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
14%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
33%
14%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
83%
14%
Clean sheets
17%
43%
Failed to score
0%
How often Half Time
0%
Wins
17%
29%
Draws
33%
71%
Losses
50%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
29%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton at home
1
W
1
L
2
L
1
1
D
2
L
1
W
2
L
2
L
1
2
L
4
4
D
Ayr away
1
L
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
3
2
W
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
2
L
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.11.22 | Raith Rvs – Hamilton | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.22 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 4–4 (1–2) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 22.10.22 | Arbroath – Hamilton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 18.10.22 | Inverness C – Hamilton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 15.10.22 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 08.10.22 | Morton – Hamilton | 5–0 (3–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.10.22 | Hamilton – Dundee | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 17.09.22 | Hamilton – Queens Park | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.09.22 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.08.22 | Hamilton – Arbroath | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.11.22 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.22 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 25.10.22 | Ayr – Partick | 4–2 (2–1) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.10.22 | Ayr – Cove Rangers | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 15.10.22 | Dundee – Ayr | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 08.10.22 | Ayr – Queens Park | 5–0 (2–0) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 01.10.22 | Ayr – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 17.09.22 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 03.09.22 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 26.08.22 | Ayr – Dundee | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
Hamilton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.22 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 4–4 (1–2) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.10.22 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 01.10.22 | Hamilton – Dundee | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 17.09.22 | Hamilton – Queens Park | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 27.08.22 | Hamilton – Arbroath | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 20.08.22 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.87 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 30.07.22 | Hamilton – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 23.04.22 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.62 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 09.04.22 | Hamilton – Arbroath | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.75 | 2.87 | 2.60 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 26.03.22 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.22 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 15.10.22 | Dundee – Ayr | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 17.09.22 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 03.09.22 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 20.08.22 | Cove Rangers – Ayr | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 05.08.22 | Queens Park – Ayr | 2–3 (2–0) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 23.04.22 | Queen of Sth – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 16.04.22 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 26.03.22 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 19.03.22 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 1
Hamilton winsDrawsAyr wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
80%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.08.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.04.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 29.01.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 10.12.21SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 18.09.21SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Scotland Championship table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Morton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundee | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 | Inverness C | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Partick | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Morton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 13 |
| 3 | Ayr | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Dundee | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Inverness C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 2 | Ayr | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 |
| 3 | Dundee | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 | Morton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 3 |
Hamilton Ayr
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Partick | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 20 |
| 2 | 1 | Ayr | 14 | 4 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | 4 | Dundee | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 4 | 6 | Queens Park | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
| 5 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 16 |
| 6 | 2 | Morton | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | 10 | Hamilton | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | Inverness C | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 10 | 9 | Arbroath | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Partick | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | Ayr | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | 4 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | Queens Park | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | Morton | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | 10 | Hamilton | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | Inverness C | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | Arbroath | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | Ayr | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | Partick | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | Queens Park | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | Hamilton | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | Morton | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | Inverness C | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | Arbroath | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51