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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Championship · ·Referee: M MacDermid

Hamilton 2–3 Ayr

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.25 fair 3.30
Draw 3.50 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.16
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamilton Ayr
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
9 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (70 league matches this season so far).
Result Ayr to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
HamiltonDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 7.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hamilton before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
1.00scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:27
Ayr before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
2.07scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 29:18
Hamilton all matches all matches Ayr

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.07
1.93 Goals conceded 1.29
2.93 Total goals 3.36
8.64 Shots 13.50
3.50 Shots on target 5.79
11.79 Shots faced 8.43
6.50 Corners 6.36
4.86 Corners against 5.21
12.36 Fouls 10.21
2.07 Yellow cards 1.36
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.93 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 50%
36% Draws 29%
50% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
36% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 71%
14% Clean sheets 21%
36% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 29%
29% Draws 50%
50% Losses 21%
93% Over 0.5 goals 71%
36% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton all matches
Ayr all matches
Hamilton before this match, at home
0.71points / match
1.00scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:13
Ayr before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:9
Hamilton at home away Ayr

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.86 Goals conceded 1.50
2.86 Total goals 3.50
9.43 Shots 12.67
4.14 Shots on target 5.50
12.00 Shots faced 8.00
8.29 Corners 5.83
3.86 Corners against 4.83
12.43 Fouls 9.67
1.86 Yellow cards 1.50
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.17
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

14% Wins 67%
29% Draws 0%
57% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
29% Over 2.5 goals 83%
14% Over 3.5 goals 33%
14% Over 4.5 goals 33%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 83%
14% Clean sheets 17%
43% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 17%
29% Draws 33%
71% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 33%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton at home
Ayr away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamilton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Raith Rvs – Hamilton 3–1 (1–1) 1.953.504.00 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Hamilton – Cove Rangers 4–4 (1–2) 2.203.203.00 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Arbroath – Hamilton 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.303.75 2.07 1.72
18.10.22 Inverness C – Hamilton 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.504.50 1.88 1.98
15.10.22 Hamilton – Partick 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.05 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Morton – Hamilton 5–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.10 2.20 1.65
01.10.22 Hamilton – Dundee 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.401.95 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Hamilton – Queens Park 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.25 2.00 1.85
03.09.22 Cove Rangers – Hamilton 2–2 (0–1) 2.503.102.70 2.10 1.70
27.08.22 Hamilton – Arbroath 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.002.50 2.30 1.60

Ayr all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Ayr – Morton 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.20 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Arbroath – Ayr 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.202.25 2.02 1.83
25.10.22 Ayr – Partick 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.203.10 1.98 1.88
22.10.22 Ayr – Cove Rangers 2–2 (2–1) 1.703.754.33 1.88 1.98
15.10.22 Dundee – Ayr 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.40 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Ayr – Queens Park 5–0 (2–0) 1.853.304.00 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Ayr – Inverness C 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.30 2.05 1.80
17.09.22 Raith Rvs – Ayr 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.252.55 2.05 1.80
03.09.22 Morton – Ayr 1–2 (0–1) 2.873.202.37 2.10 1.70
26.08.22 Ayr – Dundee 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.70 2.02 1.83

Hamilton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Hamilton – Cove Rangers 4–4 (1–2) 2.203.203.00 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Hamilton – Partick 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.102.05 2.05 1.80
01.10.22 Hamilton – Dundee 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.401.95 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Hamilton – Queens Park 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.25 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Hamilton – Arbroath 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.002.50 2.30 1.60
20.08.22 Hamilton – Raith Rvs 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.002.87 2.25 1.61
30.07.22 Hamilton – Morton 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.303.60 2.40 1.53
23.04.22 Hamilton – Raith Rvs 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.202.62 2.15 1.66
09.04.22 Hamilton – Arbroath 0–1 (0–0) 2.752.872.60 2.25 1.61
26.03.22 Hamilton – Queen of Sth 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.404.50 1.95 1.85

Ayr away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Arbroath – Ayr 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.202.25 2.02 1.83
15.10.22 Dundee – Ayr 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.40 1.88 1.98
17.09.22 Raith Rvs – Ayr 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.252.55 2.05 1.80
03.09.22 Morton – Ayr 1–2 (0–1) 2.873.202.37 2.10 1.70
20.08.22 Cove Rangers – Ayr 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.003.30 2.25 1.61
05.08.22 Queens Park – Ayr 2–3 (2–0) 2.603.252.55 2.35 1.57
23.04.22 Queen of Sth – Ayr 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.25 2.07 1.72
16.04.22 Dunfermline – Ayr 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.003.80 2.15 1.66
26.03.22 Morton – Ayr 1–1 (1–0) 2.252.903.25 2.35 1.57
19.03.22 Arbroath – Ayr 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.504.33 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hamilton winsDrawsAyr wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.22SC1 Ayr – Hamilton 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.203.40 2.20 1.65
01.04.22SC1 Ayr – Hamilton 1–1 (0–1) 2.802.872.90 2.50 1.50
29.01.22SC1 Hamilton – Ayr 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.253.30 2.10 1.70
10.12.21SC1 Ayr – Hamilton 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.202.45 2.20 1.65
18.09.21SC1 Hamilton – Ayr 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.253.20 1.95 1.85

Scotland Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ayr 14 7 4 3 29 18 +11 25
2 Morton 14 6 4 4 20 14 +6 22
3 Raith Rvs 14 7 1 6 19 14 +5 22
4 Dundee 14 6 4 4 24 20 +4 22
5 Inverness C 14 6 4 4 16 16 0 22
6 Queens Park 14 6 3 5 21 23 -2 21
7 Partick 14 6 2 6 27 27 0 20
8 Cove Rangers 14 4 4 6 22 24 -2 16
9 Arbroath 14 2 5 7 9 18 -9 11
10 Hamilton 14 2 5 7 14 27 -13 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Raith Rvs 7 5 0 2 14 7 +7 15
2 Morton 7 4 1 2 13 4 +9 13
3 Ayr 8 3 4 1 17 9 +8 13
4 Cove Rangers 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13
5 Partick 7 3 2 2 16 13 +3 11
6 Queens Park 7 3 2 2 12 11 +1 11
7 Dundee 6 3 1 2 13 9 +4 10
8 Inverness C 7 2 3 2 8 6 +2 9
9 Arbroath 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5
10 Hamilton 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inverness C 7 4 1 2 8 10 -2 13
2 Ayr 6 4 0 2 12 9 +3 12
3 Dundee 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
4 Queens Park 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
5 Partick 7 3 0 4 11 14 -3 9
6 Morton 7 2 3 2 7 10 -3 9
7 Raith Rvs 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
8 Arbroath 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
9 Hamilton 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
10 Cove Rangers 7 0 3 4 10 18 -8 3

Hamilton   Ayr

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Partick 14 3 11 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 27 20
2 1 Ayr 14 4 10 2.1 1.3 7 4 3 29 18 25
3 4 Dundee 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 4 24 20 22
4 6 Queens Park 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 3 5 21 23 21
5 8 Cove Rangers 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 6 22 24 16
6 2 Morton 14 7 7 1.4 1.0 6 4 4 20 14 22
7 3 Raith Rvs 14 8 6 1.4 1.0 7 1 6 19 14 22
8 10 Hamilton 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 5 7 14 27 11
9 5 Inverness C 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 6 4 4 16 16 22
10 9 Arbroath 14 11 3 0.6 1.3 2 5 7 9 18 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Partick 7 1 6 2.3 1.9 3 2 2 16 13 11
2 1 Ayr 8 3 5 2.1 1.1 3 4 1 17 9 13
3 3 Raith Rvs 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 5 0 2 14 7 15
4 4 Dundee 6 1 5 2.2 1.5 3 1 2 13 9 10
5 6 Queens Park 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 2 2 12 11 11
6 2 Morton 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 4 1 2 13 4 13
7 8 Cove Rangers 7 4 3 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13
8 10 Hamilton 7 5 2 1.0 1.9 1 2 4 7 13 5
9 5 Inverness C 7 6 1 1.1 0.9 2 3 2 8 6 9
10 9 Arbroath 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Cove Rangers 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 0 3 4 10 18 3
2 1 Ayr 6 1 5 2.0 1.5 4 0 2 12 9 12
3 7 Partick 7 2 5 1.6 2.0 3 0 4 11 14 9
4 4 Dundee 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
5 6 Queens Park 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
6 10 Hamilton 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
7 2 Morton 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 2 3 2 7 10 9
8 5 Inverness C 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 4 1 2 8 10 13
9 9 Arbroath 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
10 3 Raith Rvs 7 6 1 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51