Stenhousemuir 2–1 Kelty Hearts
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
2.35
fair 2.70
Draw
3.40
fair 4.01
Away
2.70
fair 2.64
Under 2.5
2.00
fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓
1.85
fair 1.83
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
14
Shots
6
5
Shots on target
5
13
Corners
6
13
Fouls
14
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (50 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kelty Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.73
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
37%
25%
38%
StenhousemuirDrawKelty Hearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
46%
55%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
16%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.3%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Stenhousemuir
before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.30scored / match
1.20conceded / match
4
2
4
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 13:12
Kelty Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.70scored / match
1.00conceded / match
4
3
3
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 17:10
Stenhousemuir all matches
all matches Kelty Hearts
Per match
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.70
10.80
Shots
9.00
4.20
Shots on target
4.60
10.00
Shots faced
9.10
6.10
Corners
5.10
5.20
Corners against
6.30
11.90
Fouls
9.90
2.20
Yellow cards
1.70
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.70
0.60
1st-half goals conceded
0.20
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
40%
20%
Draws
30%
40%
Losses
30%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
90%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
20%
Over 4.5 goals
10%
10%
Over 5.5 goals
10%
40%
Both teams scored
40%
20%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
20%
Wins
30%
60%
Draws
60%
20%
Losses
10%
50%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
30%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stenhousemuir all matches
2
1
W
2
L
1
L
3
2
W
5
1
W
3
L
D
D
3
1
W
1
L
Kelty Hearts all matches
1
1
D
2
W
3
W
D
2
2
D
1
3
L
1
L
3
W
5
1
W
2
L
Stenhousemuir
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
3
1
1
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 10:5
Kelty Hearts
before this match, away
1.60points / match
2.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
2
2
1
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 11:5
Stenhousemuir at home
away Kelty Hearts
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.20
9.80
Shots
11.00
4.60
Shots on target
5.20
10.40
Shots faced
9.80
6.00
Corners
5.40
6.20
Corners against
8.00
11.20
Fouls
9.40
3.00
Yellow cards
1.80
0.60
1st-half goals scored
0.80
0.40
1st-half goals conceded
0.20
How often Full Time
60%
Wins
40%
20%
Draws
40%
20%
Losses
20%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
40%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
20%
Over 5.5 goals
20%
60%
Both teams scored
60%
20%
Clean sheets
20%
40%
Failed to score
20%
How often Half Time
20%
Wins
20%
80%
Draws
80%
0%
Losses
0%
40%
Over 0.5 goals
40%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
40%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Stenhousemuir at home
D
D
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
3
2
W
5
1
W
D
1
L
Kelty Hearts away
3
L
2
3
L
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
4
L
1
1
D
3
W
2
2
D
1
L
5
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Stenhousemuir all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.24 | Stenhousemuir – Alloa | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 05.10.24 | Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir | 1–3 (1–2) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 28.09.24 | Inverness C – Stenhousemuir | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24 | Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 14.09.24 | Montrose – Stenhousemuir | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 31.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Annan Athletic | 5–1 (2–1) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 24.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 17.08.24 | Alloa – Stenhousemuir | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 10.08.24 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 03.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Arbroath | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Kelty Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.24 | Kelty Hearts – Montrose | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| 05.10.24 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 1–5 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 28.09.24 | Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.09.24 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 14.09.24 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 1–3 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 31.08.24 | Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 24.08.24 | Kelty Hearts – Inverness C | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 17.08.24 | Arbroath – Kelty Hearts | 0–3 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 10.08.24 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 03.08.24 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Stenhousemuir at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.24 | Stenhousemuir – Alloa | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 21.09.24 | Stenhousemuir – Queen of Sth | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 31.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Annan Athletic | 5–1 (2–1) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 24.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Cove Rangers | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 03.08.24 | Stenhousemuir – Arbroath | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 27.04.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Bonnyrigg Rose | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 13.04.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 06.04.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – East Fife | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 23.03.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Peterhead | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.75 | 3.25 | 4.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 09.03.24SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Spartans | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Kelty Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.10.24 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 1–5 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 31.08.24 | Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 17.08.24 | Arbroath – Kelty Hearts | 0–3 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.08.24 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 04.05.24 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 20.04.24 | Falkirk – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (2–2) | 1.14 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| 06.04.24 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 23.03.24 | Annan Athletic – Kelty Hearts | 3–2 (3–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 09.03.24 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5
Stenhousemuir winsDrawsKelty Hearts wins
5matches
2.20goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.08.24SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 26.03.22SC3 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 08.03.22SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.11.21SC3 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.08.21SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 1–4 (1–2) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League One table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alloa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
| 2 | Montrose | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Queen of Sth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Inverness C | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen of Sth | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Inverness C | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 4 | Montrose | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Alloa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alloa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 8 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 9 | Inverness C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Queen of Sth | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Stenhousemuir Kelty Hearts
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | 4 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 4 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | 10 | Dumbarton | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | Alloa | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | Montrose | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | 7 | Inverness C | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Dumbarton | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | 2 | Montrose | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | Arbroath | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | Alloa | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | Inverness C | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Arbroath | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | Inverness C | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | Dumbarton | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | Montrose | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06
