Kelty Hearts 0–6 Dumbarton – Scotland League One, 5 Apr 2025

Match facts

Kelty Hearts Dumbarton

3 Shots 12

0 Shots on target 8

7 Corners 2

10 Fouls 10

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).

Result Kelty Hearts to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 30%

Kelty HeartsDrawDumbarton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Kelty Hearts before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

1.06scored / match

1.10conceded / match

9 10 12

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 33:34

Dumbarton before this match, all matches

0.90points / match

1.23scored / match

1.87conceded / match

6 10 15

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 38:58

Kelty Hearts all matches all matches Dumbarton

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.23

1.10 Goals conceded 1.87

2.16 Total goals 3.10

7.84 Shots 9.65

3.45 Shots on target 3.81

8.65 Shots faced 10.32

4.48 Corners 5.45

5.65 Corners against 5.84

8.81 Fouls 10.52

1.48 Yellow cards 1.74

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.48

0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

29% Wins 19%

32% Draws 32%

39% Losses 48%

81% Over 0.5 goals 97%

71% Over 1.5 goals 90%

35% Over 2.5 goals 61%

19% Over 3.5 goals 42%

6% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

35% Both teams scored 71%

42% Clean sheets 6%

42% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 10%

55% Draws 52%

23% Losses 39%

55% Over 0.5 goals 74%

23% Over 1.5 goals 42%

3% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kelty Hearts all matches

1

3

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

D

4

L

D

1

D

1

2

L

Dumbarton all matches

1

D

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

3

2

W

Kelty Hearts before this match, at home

1.27points / match

1.00scored / match

1.20conceded / match

5 4 6

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:18

Dumbarton before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.13scored / match

1.80conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:27

Kelty Hearts at home away Dumbarton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.13

1.20 Goals conceded 1.80

2.20 Total goals 2.93

8.00 Shots 8.80

3.80 Shots on target 3.73

8.20 Shots faced 11.27

5.00 Corners 4.33

4.80 Corners against 6.27

8.67 Fouls 11.27

1.40 Yellow cards 1.93

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

33% Wins 20%

27% Draws 33%

40% Losses 47%

80% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 100%

33% Over 2.5 goals 53%

27% Over 3.5 goals 33%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

27% Both teams scored 73%

47% Clean sheets 0%

47% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%

53% Draws 47%

27% Losses 40%

53% Over 0.5 goals 80%

13% Over 1.5 goals 33%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kelty Hearts at home

2

W

2

L

3

2

W

2

W

D

1

3

L

1

L

D

4

L

1

D

Dumbarton away

2

L

2

D

4

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Kelty Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Annan Athletic – Kelty Hearts	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.30	2.60	1.90	1.95
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Arbroath	1–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.70	1.70	1.90	1.95
15.03.25	Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	3.80	1.88	1.98
11.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers	0–4 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	1.85	1.88	1.98
08.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Montrose	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.20	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts	0–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	4.33	1.98	1.88
25.02.25	Arbroath – Kelty Hearts	2–1 (1–0)	1.67	3.50	4.75	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Kelty Hearts – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.00	2.05	1.75
15.02.25	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.75	2.90	1.85	2.00
01.02.25	Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic	1–3 (1–0)	1.80	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00

Dumbarton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–3 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	3.70	1.65	2.20
22.03.25	Dumbarton – Queen of Sth	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	1.85	1.80	2.00
15.03.25	Arbroath – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.38
08.03.25	Dumbarton – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.80	1.79	1.94
04.03.25	Dumbarton – Arbroath	1–2 (1–1)	5.25	4.10	1.57	1.67	2.15
01.03.25	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	1–3 (0–3)	2.63	3.40	2.35	1.65	2.20
22.02.25	Cove Rangers – Dumbarton	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.90	4.75	1.62	2.25
15.02.25	Dumbarton – Montrose	2–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	2.70	1.87	1.87
08.02.25	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
01.02.25	Dumbarton – Alloa	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.25	2.25	1.65	2.20

Kelty Hearts at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Arbroath	1–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.70	1.70	1.90	1.95
11.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers	0–4 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	1.85	1.88	1.98
08.03.25	Kelty Hearts – Montrose	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.20	2.08	1.73
22.02.25	Kelty Hearts – Inverness C	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.00	2.05	1.75
01.02.25	Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic	1–3 (1–0)	1.80	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
11.01.25	Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
21.12.24	Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.70	2.00	1.85
17.12.24	Kelty Hearts – Arbroath	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.70	2.20	1.70	2.10
07.12.24	Kelty Hearts – Alloa	0–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.50	2.40	1.83	2.03
09.11.24	Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10

Dumbarton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–3 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	3.70	1.65	2.20
15.03.25	Arbroath – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.38
22.02.25	Cove Rangers – Dumbarton	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.90	4.75	1.62	2.25
08.02.25	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
25.01.25	Queen of Sth – Dumbarton	3–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	3.75	1.80	2.00
04.01.25	Inverness C – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
21.12.24	Montrose – Dumbarton	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.60	3.10	1.85	2.00
07.12.24	Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton	4–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.88	1.98
03.12.24	Alloa – Dumbarton	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.10	1.70	2.10
09.11.24	Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Kelty Hearts winsDrawsDumbarton wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.12.24SC2	Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.63	1.70	2.10
09.11.24SC2	Kelty Hearts – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10
31.08.24SC2	Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts	2–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.60	2.88	1.75	2.05

Scotland League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arbroath	31	17	6	8	51	33	+18	57
2	Cove Rangers	31	14	7	10	52	35	+17	49
3	Stenhousemuir	31	14	7	10	44	33	+11	49
4	Inverness C	31	13	9	9	36	35	+1	48
5	Queen of Sth	31	12	6	13	36	38	-2	42
6	Alloa	31	10	11	10	46	42	+4	41
7	Montrose	31	9	12	10	36	40	-4	39
8	Kelty Hearts	31	9	10	12	33	34	-1	37
9	Annan Athletic	31	9	6	16	33	57	-24	33
10	Dumbarton	31	6	10	15	38	58	-20	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Queen of Sth	16	11	2	3	28	20	+8	35
2	Arbroath	16	10	3	3	23	13	+10	33
3	Stenhousemuir	15	8	3	4	24	16	+8	27
4	Cove Rangers	15	7	4	4	21	18	+3	25
5	Inverness C	16	6	7	3	17	14	+3	25
6	Alloa	16	5	4	7	23	22	+1	19
7	Kelty Hearts	15	5	4	6	15	18	-3	19
8	Annan Athletic	15	5	4	6	15	23	-8	19
9	Montrose	15	4	6	5	20	23	-3	18
10	Dumbarton	16	3	5	8	21	31	-10	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cove Rangers	16	7	3	6	31	17	+14	24
2	Arbroath	15	7	3	5	28	20	+8	24
3	Inverness C	15	7	2	6	19	21	-2	23
4	Alloa	15	5	7	3	23	20	+3	22
5	Stenhousemuir	16	6	4	6	20	17	+3	22
6	Montrose	16	5	6	5	16	17	-1	21
7	Kelty Hearts	16	4	6	6	18	16	+2	18
8	Dumbarton	15	3	5	7	17	27	-10	14
9	Annan Athletic	16	4	2	10	18	34	-16	14
10	Queen of Sth	15	1	4	10	8	18	-10	7

Kelty Hearts Dumbarton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	31	12	19	1.6	1.1	17	6	8	51	33	57
2	10	Dumbarton	31	12	19	1.2	1.9	6	10	15	38	58	28
3	2	Cove Rangers	31	13	18	1.7	1.1	14	7	10	52	35	49
4	3	Stenhousemuir	31	15	16	1.4	1.1	14	7	10	44	33	49
5	9	Annan Athletic	31	15	16	1.1	1.8	9	6	16	33	57	33
6	6	Alloa	31	16	15	1.5	1.4	10	11	10	46	42	41
7	7	Montrose	31	16	15	1.2	1.3	9	12	10	36	40	39
8	5	Queen of Sth	31	17	14	1.2	1.2	12	6	13	36	38	42
9	4	Inverness C	31	20	11	1.2	1.1	13	9	9	36	35	48
10	8	Kelty Hearts	31	20	11	1.1	1.1	9	10	12	33	34	37

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Dumbarton	16	5	11	1.3	1.9	3	5	8	21	31	14
2	7	Montrose	15	5	10	1.3	1.5	4	6	5	20	23	18
3	1	Arbroath	16	7	9	1.4	0.8	10	3	3	23	13	33
4	5	Queen of Sth	16	7	9	1.8	1.2	11	2	3	28	20	35
5	6	Alloa	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	5	4	7	23	22	19
6	2	Cove Rangers	15	7	8	1.4	1.2	7	4	4	21	18	25
7	3	Stenhousemuir	15	7	8	1.6	1.1	8	3	4	24	16	27
8	9	Annan Athletic	15	9	6	1.0	1.5	5	4	6	15	23	19
9	8	Kelty Hearts	15	10	5	1.0	1.2	5	4	6	15	18	19
10	4	Inverness C	16	14	2	1.1	0.9	6	7	3	17	14	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arbroath	15	5	10	1.9	1.3	7	3	5	28	20	24
2	2	Cove Rangers	16	6	10	1.9	1.1	7	3	6	31	17	24
3	9	Annan Athletic	16	6	10	1.1	2.1	4	2	10	18	34	14
4	4	Inverness C	15	6	9	1.3	1.4	7	2	6	19	21	23
5	3	Stenhousemuir	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	6	4	6	20	17	22
6	10	Dumbarton	15	7	8	1.1	1.8	3	5	7	17	27	14
7	6	Alloa	15	9	6	1.5	1.3	5	7	3	23	20	22
8	8	Kelty Hearts	16	10	6	1.1	1.0	4	6	6	18	16	18
9	5	Queen of Sth	15	10	5	0.5	1.2	1	4	10	8	18	7
10	7	Montrose	16	11	5	1.0	1.1	5	6	5	16	17	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.