Elgin 2–1 Stenhousemuir
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
2.45
fair 2.36
Draw
3.50
fair 4.58
Away
2.50
fair 2.79
Under 2.5
2.35
fair 3.33
Over 2.5 ✓
1.57
fair 1.43
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Elgin
Stenhousemuir
9
Shots
10
4
Shots on target
3
1
Corners
5
7
Fouls
9
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (76 league matches this season so far).
Result
Elgin to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.43
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.73
Home / Draw / Away
42%
22%
36%
ElginDrawStenhousemuir
Under / Over 2.5 goals
30%
70%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
30%
70%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
3%
0
10%
1
18%
2
21%
3
19%
4
30%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 7.6%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Elgin
before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.93scored / match
1.80conceded / match
6
4
5
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 29:27
Stenhousemuir
before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.80scored / match
1.93conceded / match
5
5
5
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 27:29
Elgin all matches
all matches Stenhousemuir
Per match
1.93
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.93
3.73
Total goals
3.73
8.53
Shots
11.67
4.40
Shots on target
5.00
10.07
Shots faced
11.80
3.47
Corners
5.60
6.67
Corners against
5.60
11.47
Fouls
11.53
2.40
Yellow cards
2.07
1.13
1st-half goals scored
0.87
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
0.73
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
33%
27%
Draws
33%
33%
Losses
33%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
87%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
87%
67%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
27%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
13%
Over 5.5 goals
13%
73%
Both teams scored
87%
13%
Clean sheets
7%
13%
Failed to score
7%
How often Half Time
47%
Wins
33%
27%
Draws
20%
27%
Losses
47%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
47%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Elgin all matches
2
W
3
3
D
5
1
W
3
2
W
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
3
2
W
4
L
3
1
W
Stenhousemuir all matches
3
1
W
3
3
D
2
1
W
4
2
W
2
2
D
1
3
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
3
L
1
1
D
Elgin
before this match, at home
1.43points / match
1.57scored / match
1.57conceded / match
3
1
3
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 11:11
Stenhousemuir
before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.86scored / match
2.00conceded / match
3
1
3
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 13:14
Elgin at home
away Stenhousemuir
Per match
1.57
Goals scored
1.86
1.57
Goals conceded
2.00
3.14
Total goals
3.86
10.43
Shots
9.57
5.29
Shots on target
4.43
8.71
Shots faced
13.29
4.29
Corners
4.43
5.57
Corners against
6.00
11.86
Fouls
11.14
2.14
Yellow cards
1.71
0.71
1st-half goals scored
0.71
0.71
1st-half goals conceded
0.86
How often Full Time
43%
Wins
43%
14%
Draws
14%
43%
Losses
43%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
57%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
29%
14%
Over 5.5 goals
14%
43%
Both teams scored
86%
29%
Clean sheets
0%
29%
Failed to score
14%
How often Half Time
43%
Wins
29%
14%
Draws
0%
43%
Losses
71%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
43%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Elgin at home
2
W
2
L
1
4
L
1
3
L
2
2
D
2
W
5
1
W
1
W
1
L
4
L
Stenhousemuir away
1
L
2
W
D
1
2
L
3
L
2
1
W
2
1
W
4
2
W
2
2
D
2
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Elgin all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.11.22 | Annan Athletic – Elgin | 1–3 (0–2) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 12.11.22 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 0–4 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 05.11.22 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Elgin | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 29.10.22 | East Fife – Elgin | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 15.10.22 | Elgin – Forfar | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 11.10.22 | Elgin – Albion Rvs | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 08.10.22 | Stranraer – Elgin | 2–3 (2–2) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.87 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 01.10.22 | Elgin – Annan Athletic | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.87 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 17.09.22 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 3–3 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 03.09.22 | Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
Stenhousemuir all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.11.22 | Stenhousemuir – Bonnyrigg Rose | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.61 | 2.25 |
| 12.11.22 | Stranraer – Stenhousemuir | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.77 | 2.10 |
| 05.11.22 | Stenhousemuir – East Fife | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 29.10.22 | Albion Rvs – Stenhousemuir | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 15.10.22 | Stenhousemuir – Stirling | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 08.10.22 | Stenhousemuir – Annan Athletic | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.10.22 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Stenhousemuir | 2–4 (0–2) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 20.09.22 | East Fife – Stenhousemuir | 1–2 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 17.09.22 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 3–3 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 03.09.22 | Stenhousemuir – Stranraer | 3–1 (3–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Elgin at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Elgin – Dumbarton | 0–4 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 15.10.22 | Elgin – Forfar | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 11.10.22 | Elgin – Albion Rvs | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 01.10.22 | Elgin – Annan Athletic | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.87 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 03.09.22 | Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 20.08.22 | Elgin – Stranraer | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 30.07.22 | Elgin – East Fife | 1–3 (0–2) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 23.04.22 | Elgin – Cowdenbeath | 1–4 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 09.04.22 | Elgin – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 26.03.22 | Elgin – Edinburgh City | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Stenhousemuir away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Stranraer – Stenhousemuir | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.77 | 2.10 |
| 29.10.22 | Albion Rvs – Stenhousemuir | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 01.10.22 | Bonnyrigg Rose – Stenhousemuir | 2–4 (0–2) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 20.09.22 | East Fife – Stenhousemuir | 1–2 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 27.08.22 | Forfar – Stenhousemuir | 1–2 (0–2) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 13.08.22 | Stirling – Stenhousemuir | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.08.22 | Annan Athletic – Stenhousemuir | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.87 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 30.04.22 | Forfar – Stenhousemuir | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 09.04.22 | Elgin – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 26.03.22 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 2 2
Elgin winsDrawsStenhousemuir wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.09.22SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 3–3 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 09.04.22SC3 | Elgin – Stenhousemuir | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 29.01.22SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 18.12.21SC3 | Elgin – Stenhousemuir | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.37 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 25.09.21SC3 | Stenhousemuir – Elgin | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League Two table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumbarton | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 33 |
| 2 | Stirling | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 30 |
| 3 | Elgin | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 27 | +2 | 22 |
| 4 | East Fife | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 21 |
| 5 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Stranraer | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | Albion Rvs | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Forfar | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stirling | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Elgin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Albion Rvs | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | East Fife | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Forfar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumbarton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 2 | East Fife | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | Stirling | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Elgin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Annan Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 7 | Albion Rvs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Forfar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Stranraer | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 |
Elgin Stenhousemuir
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 20 |
| 2 | 3 | Elgin | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 22 |
| 3 | 4 | East Fife | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 21 |
| 4 | 2 | Stirling | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 17 |
| 6 | 6 | Stranraer | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 7 | 1 | Dumbarton | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 33 |
| 8 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | 10 | Forfar | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | Albion Rvs | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Stirling | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | Stranraer | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | 4 | East Fife | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | Forfar | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | Elgin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | Albion Rvs | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | Dumbarton | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Elgin | 8 | 0 | 8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | East Fife | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | 5 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | Dumbarton | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | 8 | Annan Athletic | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | Stirling | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | Stranraer | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | Albion Rvs | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | Forfar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51