Elgin 1–1 Dumbarton – Scotland League Two, 14 Mar 2026

Match facts

Elgin Dumbarton

9 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 7

5 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (137 league matches this season so far).

Result Elgin to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.53

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.53

Home / Draw / Away

44% 23% 33%

ElginDrawDumbarton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

35% 65%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

24% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.9% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Elgin before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

1.44scored / match

1.67conceded / match

8 8 11

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 39:45

Dumbarton before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.39scored / match

1.68conceded / match

8 7 13

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 39:47

Elgin all matches all matches Dumbarton

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.39

1.67 Goals conceded 1.68

3.11 Total goals 3.07

11.19 Shots 8.11

4.63 Shots on target 3.29

9.33 Shots faced 10.79

5.59 Corners 6.18

5.48 Corners against 4.79

11.44 Fouls 11.71

2.04 Yellow cards 1.79

0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

30% Wins 29%

30% Draws 25%

41% Losses 46%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

85% Over 1.5 goals 93%

59% Over 2.5 goals 61%

30% Over 3.5 goals 29%

22% Over 4.5 goals 14%

15% Over 5.5 goals 7%

63% Both teams scored 71%

22% Clean sheets 14%

19% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 21%

37% Draws 32%

41% Losses 46%

70% Over 0.5 goals 79%

33% Over 1.5 goals 50%

19% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Elgin all matches

2

4

L

2

D

3

D

1

D

1

6

L

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

3

L

1

2

L

Dumbarton all matches

2

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

3

L

D

1

D

3

W

2

W

Elgin before this match, at home

1.54points / match

1.77scored / match

1.62conceded / match

6 2 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:21

Dumbarton before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.36scored / match

2.00conceded / match

3 4 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:28

Elgin at home away Dumbarton

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.36

1.62 Goals conceded 2.00

3.38 Total goals 3.36

11.31 Shots 8.43

4.77 Shots on target 3.57

9.31 Shots faced 10.93

5.38 Corners 5.57

5.08 Corners against 4.21

11.62 Fouls 12.29

2.15 Yellow cards 1.43

0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

46% Wins 21%

15% Draws 29%

38% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

85% Over 1.5 goals 93%

62% Over 2.5 goals 50%

31% Over 3.5 goals 43%

31% Over 4.5 goals 21%

23% Over 5.5 goals 14%

54% Both teams scored 71%

38% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 14%

31% Draws 36%

38% Losses 50%

77% Over 0.5 goals 79%

38% Over 1.5 goals 50%

23% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Elgin at home

2

3

L

2

1

W

2

W

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

D

1

6

L

1

W

3

W

Dumbarton away

2

D

1

3

L

2

L

3

4

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Elgin all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Annan Athletic – Elgin	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.00	1.80	2.00
07.03.26	East Kilbride – Elgin	3–0 (2–0)	1.60	4.10	4.20	1.44	2.63
28.02.26	Stranraer – Elgin	1–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.50	3.30	1.70	2.10
24.02.26	Elgin – Edinburgh City	3–0 (3–0)	1.70	3.60	3.90	1.67	2.15
21.02.26	Elgin – Stirling	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	4.00	1.65	2.20
17.02.26	Elgin – East Kilbride	1–6 (1–2)	2.50	3.50	2.30	1.67	2.15
10.02.26	Clyde – Elgin	1–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.40	3.50	1.73	2.08
31.01.26	Elgin – Spartans	3–3 (2–1)	2.63	3.40	2.30	1.90	1.90
24.01.26	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.15	1.73	2.08
27.12.25	Forfar – Elgin	4–2 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.50	1.90	1.90

Dumbarton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.26	Dumbarton – Stranraer	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.30	2.55	1.85	1.95
07.03.26	Dumbarton – Spartans	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	1.85	1.93	1.88
28.02.26	Stirling – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	2.38	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
24.02.26	Dumbarton – Clyde	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.05	1.70	2.10
21.02.26	East Kilbride – Dumbarton	3–1 (3–0)	1.55	3.90	5.00	1.50	2.50
10.02.26	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.70	3.10	1.50	2.50
07.02.26	Forfar – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.20	1.60	2.30
31.01.26	Dumbarton – Edinburgh City	1–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.90	2.90	1.50	2.50
24.01.26	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.15	1.73	2.08
03.01.26	Spartans – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.50	4.10	1.73	2.08

Elgin at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Elgin – Edinburgh City	3–0 (3–0)	1.70	3.60	3.90	1.67	2.15
21.02.26	Elgin – Stirling	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	4.00	1.65	2.20
17.02.26	Elgin – East Kilbride	1–6 (1–2)	2.50	3.50	2.30	1.67	2.15
31.01.26	Elgin – Spartans	3–3 (2–1)	2.63	3.40	2.30	1.90	1.90
13.12.25	Elgin – Stranraer	1–2 (0–1)	1.75	3.50	3.90	1.85	1.95
06.12.25	Elgin – Clyde	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	2.80	1.75	2.05
15.11.25	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.00	1.65	2.20
01.11.25	Elgin – Annan Athletic	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.60	2.90	1.67	2.15
04.10.25	Elgin – Forfar	2–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.40	3.25	1.88	1.93
27.09.25	Elgin – Spartans	2–3 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.38	1.90	1.90

Dumbarton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.26	Stirling – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	2.38	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.08
21.02.26	East Kilbride – Dumbarton	3–1 (3–0)	1.55	3.90	5.00	1.50	2.50
10.02.26	Annan Athletic – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.70	3.10	1.50	2.50
07.02.26	Forfar – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.20	1.60	2.30
03.01.26	Spartans – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.50	4.10	1.73	2.08
20.12.25	Stranraer – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	3.40	1.73	2.08
06.12.25	Edinburgh City – Dumbarton	4–3 (3–0)	1.67	3.75	4.00	1.62	2.25
15.11.25	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.00	1.65	2.20
01.11.25	Clyde – Dumbarton	3–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35
04.10.25	Stirling – Dumbarton	2–2 (1–1)	2.45	3.50	2.45	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 3 4

Elgin winsDrawsDumbarton wins

11matches

2.45goals / match

45%over 2.5

45%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.15	1.73	2.08
15.11.25SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.00	1.65	2.20
16.08.25SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.70	3.75	2.10	1.70
27.04.24SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–2 (1–2)	1.57	4.00	4.75	1.80	2.00
27.01.24SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.30	1.85	1.88	1.98
18.11.23SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.25	9.00	1.67	2.15
16.09.23SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	1.88	1.98
29.04.23SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.40	1.80	2.00
25.02.23SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–2 (1–1)	1.65	3.50	4.50	1.85	1.95
12.11.22SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	0–4 (0–1)	2.70	3.30	2.25	1.88	1.98
27.08.22SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–1 (0–1)	1.72	3.75	4.20	1.80	2.00

Scotland League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	East Kilbride	28	16	5	7	60	39	+21	53
2	Spartans	27	14	6	7	46	31	+15	48
3	Clyde	27	9	14	4	44	26	+18	41
4	Edinburgh City	28	9	9	10	40	52	-12	36
5	Stranraer	27	8	9	10	35	37	-2	33
6	Forfar	26	8	8	10	36	39	-3	32
7	Elgin	27	8	8	11	39	45	-6	32
8	Stirling	28	8	8	12	36	47	-11	32
9	Dumbarton	28	8	7	13	39	47	-8	31
10	Annan Athletic	28	7	10	11	36	48	-12	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	East Kilbride	14	7	3	4	27	20	+7	24
2	Spartans	13	7	2	4	16	12	+4	23
3	Forfar	14	6	4	4	22	19	+3	22
4	Clyde	14	5	6	3	20	15	+5	21
5	Annan Athletic	14	5	6	3	26	28	-2	21
6	Elgin	13	6	2	5	23	21	+2	20
7	Dumbarton	14	5	3	6	20	19	+1	18
8	Stranraer	13	3	5	5	15	18	-3	14
9	Stirling	14	2	6	6	14	23	-9	12
10	Edinburgh City	14	2	5	7	21	32	-11	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	East Kilbride	14	9	2	3	33	19	+14	29
2	Spartans	14	7	4	3	30	19	+11	25
3	Edinburgh City	14	7	4	3	19	20	-1	25
4	Clyde	13	4	8	1	24	11	+13	20
5	Stirling	14	6	2	6	22	24	-2	20
6	Stranraer	14	5	4	5	20	19	+1	19
7	Dumbarton	14	3	4	7	19	28	-9	13
8	Elgin	14	2	6	6	16	24	-8	12
9	Forfar	12	2	4	6	14	20	-6	10
10	Annan Athletic	14	2	4	8	10	20	-10	10

Elgin Dumbarton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	East Kilbride	28	8	20	2.1	1.4	16	5	7	60	39	53
2	4	Edinburgh City	28	9	19	1.4	1.9	9	9	10	40	52	36
3	9	Dumbarton	28	11	17	1.4	1.7	8	7	13	39	47	31
4	7	Elgin	27	11	16	1.4	1.7	8	8	11	39	45	32
5	2	Spartans	27	12	15	1.7	1.1	14	6	7	46	31	48
6	8	Stirling	28	13	15	1.3	1.7	8	8	12	36	47	32
7	10	Annan Athletic	28	13	15	1.3	1.7	7	10	11	36	48	31
8	5	Stranraer	27	13	14	1.3	1.4	8	9	10	35	37	33
9	6	Forfar	26	12	14	1.4	1.5	8	8	10	36	39	32
10	3	Clyde	27	14	13	1.6	1.0	9	14	4	44	26	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Edinburgh City	14	3	11	1.5	2.3	2	5	7	21	32	11
2	9	Dumbarton	14	4	10	1.4	1.4	5	3	6	20	19	18
3	1	East Kilbride	14	5	9	1.9	1.4	7	3	4	27	20	24
4	10	Annan Athletic	14	5	9	1.9	2.0	5	6	3	26	28	21
5	3	Clyde	14	6	8	1.4	1.1	5	6	3	20	15	21
6	7	Elgin	13	5	8	1.8	1.6	6	2	5	23	21	20
7	6	Forfar	14	7	7	1.6	1.4	6	4	4	22	19	22
8	5	Stranraer	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	3	5	5	15	18	14
9	8	Stirling	14	8	6	1.0	1.6	2	6	6	14	23	12
10	2	Spartans	13	8	5	1.2	0.9	7	2	4	16	12	23

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	East Kilbride	14	3	11	2.4	1.4	9	2	3	33	19	29
2	2	Spartans	14	4	10	2.1	1.4	7	4	3	30	19	25
3	8	Stirling	14	5	9	1.6	1.7	6	2	6	22	24	20
4	4	Edinburgh City	14	6	8	1.4	1.4	7	4	3	19	20	25
5	5	Stranraer	14	6	8	1.4	1.4	5	4	5	20	19	19
6	7	Elgin	14	6	8	1.1	1.7	2	6	6	16	24	12
7	6	Forfar	12	5	7	1.2	1.7	2	4	6	14	20	10
8	9	Dumbarton	14	7	7	1.4	2.0	3	4	7	19	28	13
9	10	Annan Athletic	14	8	6	0.7	1.4	2	4	8	10	20	10
10	3	Clyde	13	8	5	1.8	0.8	4	8	1	24	11	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.