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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: C Graham

St Mirren 1–1 Hearts

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.88 fair 2.23
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.08
Away 2.50 fair 3.26
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Mirren Hearts
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
18 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result St Mirren to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

St Mirren before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.17scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:25
Hearts before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.84scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 35:30
St Mirren all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.84
1.39 Goals conceded 1.58
2.56 Total goals 3.42
11.11 Shots 12.32
2.94 Shots on target 4.32
12.39 Shots faced 14.63
5.94 Corners 5.00
5.56 Corners against 5.11
13.83 Fouls 10.16
2.67 Yellow cards 1.47
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.84
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

39% Wins 47%
28% Draws 21%
33% Losses 32%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
72% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 68%
28% Over 3.5 goals 47%
11% Over 4.5 goals 26%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
44% Both teams scored 63%
33% Clean sheets 11%
33% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 47%
44% Draws 37%
28% Losses 16%
67% Over 0.5 goals 74%
28% Over 1.5 goals 42%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren all matches
Hearts all matches
St Mirren before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.40scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:7
Hearts before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.30scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:14
St Mirren at home away Hearts

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.30
0.70 Goals conceded 1.40
2.10 Total goals 2.70
11.90 Shots 10.50
3.10 Shots on target 2.90
11.30 Shots faced 15.20
6.20 Corners 5.00
5.80 Corners against 5.30
13.50 Fouls 10.60
2.60 Yellow cards 1.80
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

60% Wins 30%
30% Draws 30%
10% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
10% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 70%
20% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren at home
Hearts away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.20 1.67
28.12.22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 2.20 1.67
24.12.22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.63 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 St Mirren – Rangers 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 St Mirren – St Johnstone 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61
05.11.22 Ross County – St Mirren 3–2 (1–2) 3.103.202.45 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Hibernian – St Mirren 3–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 St Mirren – Dundee United 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.203.80 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.80 2.20 1.66
08.10.22 Rangers – St Mirren 4–0 (2–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.57 2.37

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Hearts – Hibernian 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.503.30 1.73 2.10
28.12.22 St Johnstone – Hearts 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.402.30 2.02 1.83
24.12.22 Dundee United – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.502.30 1.85 2.00
17.12.22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
12.11.22 Hearts – Livingston 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.85
09.11.22 Rangers – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.62
06.11.22 Hearts – Motherwell 3–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
30.10.22 Ross County – Hearts 1–2 (1–2) 4.003.501.95 2.02 1.83
22.10.22 Hearts – Celtic 3–4 (1–1) 9.505.501.30 1.50 2.62
16.10.22 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 1.85 2.00

St Mirren at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.12.22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.63 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 St Mirren – Rangers 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 St Mirren – St Johnstone 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61
22.10.22 St Mirren – Dundee United 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.203.80 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.80 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 St Mirren – Livingston 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61
18.09.22 St Mirren – Celtic 2–0 (1–0) 17.007.501.16 1.50 2.62
27.08.22 St Mirren – Hibernian 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.102.25 2.30 1.61
13.08.22 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
31.07.22 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.80 2.20 1.66

Hearts away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.22 St Johnstone – Hearts 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.402.30 2.02 1.83
24.12.22 Dundee United – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.502.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.22 Rangers – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.62
30.10.22 Ross County – Hearts 1–2 (1–2) 4.003.501.95 2.02 1.83
16.10.22 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 1.85 2.00
09.10.22 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–2 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.95 1.90
18.09.22 Motherwell – Hearts 0–3 (0–1) 2.753.502.50 2.00 1.85
03.09.22 Livingston – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.72
21.08.22 Celtic – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
07.08.22 Hibernian – Hearts 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.202.60 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.72
27.11.21SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.755.00 2.00 1.85
07.08.21SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.37 2.10 1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 20 18 1 1 63 17 +46 55
2 Rangers 20 14 4 2 46 20 +26 46
3 Hearts 19 9 4 6 35 30 +5 31
4 Aberdeen 20 8 2 10 33 32 +1 26
5 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 21 25 -4 26
6 Livingston 19 7 4 8 18 28 -10 25
7 St Johnstone 20 7 3 10 24 30 -6 24
8 Hibernian 20 7 2 11 24 33 -9 23
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 5 10 17 33 -16 20
10 Motherwell 19 5 4 10 23 28 -5 19
11 Dundee United 19 5 4 10 23 33 -10 19
12 Ross County 20 4 4 12 14 32 -18 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 11 9 2 0 30 7 +23 29
2 Celtic 9 9 0 0 28 7 +21 27
3 St Mirren 10 6 3 1 14 7 +7 21
4 Aberdeen 10 6 1 3 24 10 +14 19
5 Hearts 9 6 1 2 22 16 +6 19
6 Kilmarnock 10 5 3 2 13 14 -1 18
7 Hibernian 10 5 2 3 16 12 +4 17
8 Livingston 10 5 2 3 10 10 0 17
9 Dundee United 10 4 1 5 15 18 -3 13
10 St Johnstone 10 3 2 5 10 10 0 11
11 Ross County 10 2 2 6 9 19 -10 8
12 Motherwell 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 11 9 1 1 35 10 +25 28
2 Rangers 9 5 2 2 16 13 +3 17
3 Motherwell 11 4 2 5 16 15 +1 14
4 St Johnstone 10 4 1 5 14 20 -6 13
5 Hearts 10 3 3 4 13 14 -1 12
6 Ross County 10 2 2 6 5 13 -8 8
7 Livingston 9 2 2 5 8 18 -10 8
8 Aberdeen 10 2 1 7 9 22 -13 7
9 Dundee United 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6
10 Hibernian 10 2 0 8 8 21 -13 6
11 St Mirren 8 1 2 5 7 18 -11 5
12 Kilmarnock 10 0 2 8 4 19 -15 2

St Mirren   Hearts

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 20 4 16 3.1 0.8 18 1 1 63 17 55
2 2 Rangers 20 5 15 2.3 1.0 14 4 2 46 20 46
3 3 Hearts 19 6 13 1.8 1.6 9 4 6 35 30 31
4 4 Aberdeen 20 7 13 1.6 1.6 8 2 10 33 32 26
5 7 St Johnstone 20 7 13 1.2 1.5 7 3 10 24 30 24
6 10 Motherwell 19 7 12 1.2 1.5 5 4 10 23 28 19
7 8 Hibernian 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 7 2 11 24 33 23
8 11 Dundee United 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 5 4 10 23 33 19
9 5 St Mirren 18 8 10 1.2 1.4 7 5 6 21 25 26
10 9 Kilmarnock 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 5 5 10 17 33 20
11 6 Livingston 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 7 4 8 18 28 25
12 12 Ross County 20 11 9 0.7 1.6 4 4 12 14 32 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Rangers 11 3 8 2.7 0.6 9 2 0 30 7 29
2 3 Hearts 9 1 8 2.4 1.8 6 1 2 22 16 19
3 1 Celtic 9 2 7 3.1 0.8 9 0 0 28 7 27
4 11 Dundee United 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 5 15 18 13
5 4 Aberdeen 10 4 6 2.4 1.0 6 1 3 24 10 19
6 8 Hibernian 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 5 2 3 16 12 17
7 9 Kilmarnock 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 5 3 2 13 14 18
8 10 Motherwell 8 2 6 0.9 1.6 1 2 5 7 13 5
9 12 Ross County 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 2 2 6 9 19 8
10 5 St Mirren 10 6 4 1.4 0.7 6 3 1 14 7 21
11 6 Livingston 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 5 2 3 10 10 17
12 7 St Johnstone 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 3 2 5 10 10 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 11 2 9 3.2 0.9 9 1 1 35 10 28
2 7 St Johnstone 10 1 9 1.4 2.0 4 1 5 14 20 13
3 2 Rangers 9 2 7 1.8 1.4 5 2 2 16 13 17
4 4 Aberdeen 10 3 7 0.9 2.2 2 1 7 9 22 7
5 5 St Mirren 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 2 5 7 18 5
6 10 Motherwell 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 5 16 15 14
7 3 Hearts 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 4 13 14 12
8 6 Livingston 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 2 5 8 18 8
9 8 Hibernian 10 5 5 0.8 2.1 2 0 8 8 21 6
10 9 Kilmarnock 10 6 4 0.4 1.9 0 2 8 4 19 2
11 11 Dundee United 9 5 4 0.9 1.7 1 3 5 8 15 6
12 12 Ross County 10 6 4 0.5 1.3 2 2 6 5 13 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51