Hearts 1–0 St Mirren
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
1.83
fair 1.82
Draw
3.50
fair 4.62
Away
4.50
fair 4.25
Under 2.5 ✓
2.00
fair 2.69
Over 2.5
1.85
fair 1.59
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
St Mirren
12
Shots
19
3
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
5
8
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (123 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.63
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
55%
22%
24%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
37%
63%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
62%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
4%
0
13%
1
21%
2
22%
3
18%
4
23%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7%
2–1 9.7%
1–0 7.8%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.55conceded / match
9
5
6
WonDrawnLost
20 played · 36:31
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.16scored / match
1.37conceded / match
7
6
6
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 22:26
Hearts all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.80
Goals scored
1.16
1.55
Goals conceded
1.37
3.35
Total goals
2.53
12.20
Shots
11.21
4.25
Shots on target
3.05
14.55
Shots faced
12.26
4.95
Corners
5.79
5.00
Corners against
5.47
10.00
Fouls
14.05
1.50
Yellow cards
2.63
0.80
1st-half goals scored
0.47
0.45
1st-half goals conceded
0.58
How often Full Time
45%
Wins
37%
25%
Draws
32%
30%
Losses
32%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
65%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
45%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
25%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
5%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
65%
Both teams scored
47%
10%
Clean sheets
32%
25%
Failed to score
32%
How often Half Time
45%
Wins
32%
35%
Draws
42%
20%
Losses
26%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
68%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
26%
10%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
3
4
L
2
1
W
3
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
3
1
W
2
2
D
3
2
W
3
W
1
1
D
St Mirren all matches
D
2
1
W
3
L
2
3
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
1
D
D
1
1
D
Hearts
before this match, at home
2.11points / match
2.44scored / match
1.78conceded / match
6
1
2
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 22:16
St Mirren
before this match, away
0.63points / match
0.88scored / match
2.25conceded / match
1
2
5
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 7:18
Hearts at home
away St Mirren
Per match
2.44
Goals scored
0.88
1.78
Goals conceded
2.25
4.22
Total goals
3.13
14.33
Shots
10.13
5.89
Shots on target
2.75
14.00
Shots faced
13.75
5.00
Corners
5.63
4.89
Corners against
5.25
9.67
Fouls
14.25
1.11
Yellow cards
2.75
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.38
0.44
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
67%
Wins
13%
11%
Draws
25%
22%
Losses
63%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
89%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
67%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
44%
Over 4.5 goals
25%
11%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
78%
Both teams scored
38%
11%
Clean sheets
25%
11%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
56%
Wins
25%
33%
Draws
25%
11%
Losses
50%
78%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
56%
Over 1.5 goals
38%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
1
3
L
2
1
W
4
1
W
3
2
W
4
L
3
4
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
3
1
W
3
W
St Mirren away
1
W
D
1
4
L
3
W
3
L
4
L
3
L
2
3
L
1
1
D
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.01.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 02.01.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 28.12.22 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 2–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 24.12.22 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 17.12.22 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 12.11.22 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 09.11.22 | Rangers – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 06.11.22 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.10.22 | Ross County – Hearts | 1–2 (1–2) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 22.10.22 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–4 (1–1) | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.01.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 02.01.23 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 28.12.22 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 05.11.22 | Ross County – St Mirren | 3–2 (1–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 22.10.22 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 17.12.22 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 12.11.22 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.11.22 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 22.10.22 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–4 (1–1) | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 01.10.22 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–4 (0–2) | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| 28.08.22 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 3–2 (2–1) | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.75 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 14.08.22 | Hearts – Dundee United | 4–1 (1–0) | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.07.22 | Hearts – Ross County | 2–1 (0–0) | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 14.05.22 | Hearts – Rangers | 1–3 (1–2) | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.23 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 28.12.22 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 05.11.22 | Ross County – St Mirren | 3–2 (1–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 08.10.22 | Rangers – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| 03.09.22 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 20.08.22 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 06.08.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.05.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 30.04.22 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 1
Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 21 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 17 | +48 | 58 |
| 2 | Rangers | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 49 |
| 3 | Hearts | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | +5 | 32 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 29 |
| 5 | Livingston | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 28 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 26 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 20 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Ross County | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 16 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 7 | +23 | 30 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | +23 | 29 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Hearts | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Livingston | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Ross County | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Motherwell | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 10 | +25 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 |
| 4 | Hearts | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 6 | Livingston | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 8 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 2 |
Hearts St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 21 | 5 | 16 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 17 | 58 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | 3 | Hearts | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 32 |
| 4 | 4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 29 |
| 5 | 8 | St Johnstone | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 32 | 24 |
| 6 | 10 | Motherwell | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 19 |
| 7 | 7 | Hibernian | 21 | 9 | 12 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 26 |
| 8 | 11 | Dundee United | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 19 |
| 9 | 6 | St Mirren | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 27 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
| 11 | 5 | Livingston | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 28 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 21 | 12 | 9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 34 | 16 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Rangers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | 3 | Hearts | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 10 | 3 | 7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | Dundee United | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 13 |
| 6 | 4 | Aberdeen | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | 22 |
| 7 | 7 | Hibernian | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | 12 | Ross County | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | Livingston | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | 6 | St Mirren | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 12 | 8 | St Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 11 | 2 | 9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | 8 | St Johnstone | 11 | 2 | 9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | 4 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | Hibernian | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | Hearts | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | Livingston | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | Dundee United | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 8 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
