Kilmarnock 5–2 St Mirren
Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
2.15
fair 2.25
Draw
3.10
fair 3.66
Away
3.75
fair 3.53
Under 2.5
1.53
fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓
2.40
fair 2.36
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
13
Shots
7
8
Shots on target
2
1
Corners
3
15
Fouls
13
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (174 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.90
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
44%
27%
28%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
58%
42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
53%
48%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
12%
4
9%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9%
1–0 12.6%
0–1 9.5%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.17scored / match
1.07conceded / match
10
11
8
WonDrawnLost
29 played · 34:31
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.17scored / match
1.10conceded / match
12
6
11
WonDrawnLost
29 played · 34:32
Kilmarnock all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.17
Goals scored
1.17
1.07
Goals conceded
1.10
2.24
Total goals
2.28
13.00
Shots
10.76
3.97
Shots on target
3.48
12.14
Shots faced
11.38
6.41
Corners
4.72
4.79
Corners against
5.76
12.07
Fouls
10.83
2.17
Yellow cards
1.72
0.48
1st-half goals scored
0.48
0.59
1st-half goals conceded
0.55
How often Full Time
34%
Wins
41%
38%
Draws
21%
28%
Losses
38%
90%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
62%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
45%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
28%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
3%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
55%
Both teams scored
31%
34%
Clean sheets
34%
21%
Failed to score
38%
How often Half Time
28%
Wins
28%
41%
Draws
31%
31%
Losses
41%
72%
Over 0.5 goals
76%
31%
Over 1.5 goals
24%
3%
Over 2.5 goals
3%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock all matches
1
W
2
2
D
1
3
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
1
W
1
1
D
2
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
St Mirren all matches
1
L
3
W
3
L
1
L
3
W
2
W
1
L
2
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
Kilmarnock
before this match, at home
1.87points / match
1.47scored / match
0.93conceded / match
8
4
3
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 22:14
St Mirren
before this match, away
1.07points / match
1.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
4
3
7
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 14:18
Kilmarnock at home
away St Mirren
Per match
1.47
Goals scored
1.00
0.93
Goals conceded
1.29
2.40
Total goals
2.29
14.27
Shots
9.36
4.80
Shots on target
3.21
10.80
Shots faced
12.79
6.87
Corners
4.93
4.33
Corners against
6.50
11.80
Fouls
11.71
1.67
Yellow cards
2.07
0.60
1st-half goals scored
0.57
0.40
1st-half goals conceded
0.57
How often Full Time
53%
Wins
29%
27%
Draws
21%
20%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
47%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
7%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
53%
Both teams scored
36%
33%
Clean sheets
21%
13%
Failed to score
43%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
21%
33%
Draws
43%
27%
Losses
36%
73%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
20%
Over 1.5 goals
36%
7%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock at home
2
W
1
W
1
L
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
2
D
2
2
D
1
W
2
W
1
2
L
St Mirren away
1
2
L
4
L
1
L
2
L
1
L
2
L
3
W
3
W
1
L
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.03.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 28.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 1–2 (1–0) | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 17.02.24 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
| 07.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.02.24 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 27.01.24 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 02.01.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 30.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 27.12.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.03.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 27.02.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.75 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 24.02.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.25 | 5.25 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 17.02.24 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 07.02.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 03.02.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.01.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.01.24 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–3 (0–2) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 30.12.23 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 27.12.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
Kilmarnock at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 1–2 (1–0) | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.02.24 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 27.01.24 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 30.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 23.12.23 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 10.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 2–1 (0–1) | 6.50 | 6.00 | 1.36 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 02.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.11.23 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 29.10.23 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.02.24 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.75 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 17.02.24 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 03.02.24 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–3) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 30.12.23 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.12.23 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 06.12.23 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 03.12.23 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.22 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 28.11.23 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 11.11.23 | Dundee – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 01.11.23 | Celtic – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 3
Kilmarnock winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
5matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
20%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.12.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 30.09.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 22.04.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 02.01.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.10.22SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | +48 | 70 |
| 2 | Celtic | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 68 | 22 | +46 | 68 |
| 3 | Hearts | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 55 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 42 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 27 |
| 11 | Ross County | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 17 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 11 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 | Celtic | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | +25 | 33 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 | Hearts | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 27 |
| 6 | Dundee | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Ross County | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Livingston | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 | Rangers | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Hearts | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 27 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Dundee | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 10 |
| 11 | Ross County | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 8 |
| 12 | Livingston | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 6 |
Kilmarnock St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Celtic | 29 | 10 | 19 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 68 |
| 2 | 6 | Dundee | 29 | 11 | 18 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 36 |
| 3 | 7 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 18 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 35 |
| 4 | 1 | Rangers | 29 | 12 | 17 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 70 |
| 5 | 8 | Motherwell | 29 | 13 | 16 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 46 | 32 |
| 6 | 10 | Aberdeen | 29 | 15 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 48 | 27 |
| 7 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 16 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 41 |
| 8 | 11 | Ross County | 29 | 16 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 50 | 24 |
| 9 | 4 | St Mirren | 29 | 17 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 42 |
| 10 | 12 | Livingston | 29 | 17 | 12 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 49 | 17 |
| 11 | 3 | Hearts | 29 | 19 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 55 |
| 12 | 9 | St Johnstone | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 38 | 28 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rangers | 15 | 4 | 11 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 11 | 36 |
| 2 | 8 | Motherwell | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 16 |
| 3 | 2 | Celtic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | 6 | Dundee | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | 7 | Hibernian | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | 4 | St Mirren | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
| 7 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 8 | 10 | Aberdeen | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | 9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | 11 | Ross County | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 16 |
| 11 | 12 | Livingston | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | Hearts | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 28 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Celtic | 15 | 4 | 11 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | 6 | Dundee | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 14 |
| 3 | 7 | Hibernian | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 16 |
| 4 | 11 | Ross County | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | Aberdeen | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | Rangers | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | 3 | Hearts | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 27 |
| 9 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | Motherwell | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | 4 | St Mirren | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | 9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 10 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
