Hearts 2–0 St Mirren
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
1.95
fair 2.21
Draw
3.40
fair 3.64
Away
4.20
fair 3.67
Under 2.5 ✓
1.67
fair 1.71
Over 2.5
2.15
fair 2.42
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
St Mirren
12
Shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
8
Corners
6
16
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (104 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.87
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
45%
28%
27%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
59%
41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
54%
46%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
10%
0
23%
1
26%
2
21%
3
12%
4
9%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 13.1%
1–1 12.9%
0–0 9.7%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.00scored / match
0.88conceded / match
8
2
7
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 17:15
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.17scored / match
1.22conceded / match
7
5
6
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 21:22
Hearts all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.17
0.88
Goals conceded
1.22
1.88
Total goals
2.39
13.00
Shots
9.94
3.88
Shots on target
3.17
13.94
Shots faced
12.06
7.12
Corners
4.78
5.53
Corners against
5.61
11.35
Fouls
11.06
2.41
Yellow cards
2.00
0.47
1st-half goals scored
0.50
0.29
1st-half goals conceded
0.44
How often Full Time
47%
Wins
39%
12%
Draws
28%
41%
Losses
33%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
47%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
29%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
12%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
6%
Over 4.5 goals
6%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
29%
Both teams scored
39%
47%
Clean sheets
33%
29%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
41%
Wins
28%
35%
Draws
44%
24%
Losses
28%
65%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
12%
Over 1.5 goals
28%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
2
2
D
1
4
L
1
2
L
1
W
2
1
W
1
W
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
2
W
St Mirren all matches
4
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
4
L
1
W
1
L
2
L
1
L
2
W
D
Hearts
before this match, at home
1.38points / match
0.88scored / match
1.00conceded / match
3
2
3
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 7:8
St Mirren
before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.78scored / match
1.56conceded / match
2
2
5
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 7:14
Hearts at home
away St Mirren
Per match
0.88
Goals scored
0.78
1.00
Goals conceded
1.56
1.88
Total goals
2.33
15.88
Shots
7.44
4.50
Shots on target
2.78
13.13
Shots faced
14.56
8.13
Corners
4.56
4.13
Corners against
6.33
11.00
Fouls
12.22
2.38
Yellow cards
2.22
0.25
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
22%
25%
Draws
22%
38%
Losses
56%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
38%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
25%
Both teams scored
44%
50%
Clean sheets
11%
38%
Failed to score
44%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
11%
38%
Draws
67%
38%
Losses
22%
63%
Over 0.5 goals
56%
13%
Over 1.5 goals
44%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
2
1
W
1
1
D
D
1
L
2
W
2
2
D
1
4
L
1
W
1
W
1
L
St Mirren away
3
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
4
L
1
L
2
L
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.12.23 | Celtic – Hearts | 0–2 (0–2) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| 09.12.23 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 06.12.23 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.12.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 25.11.23 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 11.11.23 | Motherwell – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 01.11.23 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 29.10.23 | Rangers – Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.30 | 6.00 | 8.50 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 22.10.23 | Hearts – Celtic | 1–4 (0–2) | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.45 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 07.10.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.12.23 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 09.12.23 | St Mirren – Ross County | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 06.12.23 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 03.12.23 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.22 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 28.11.23 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 25.11.23 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 11.11.23 | Dundee – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 08.11.23 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 01.11.23 | Celtic – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 28.10.23 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.80 | 7.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.23 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 25.11.23 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 01.11.23 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 22.10.23 | Hearts – Celtic | 1–4 (0–2) | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.45 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 07.10.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 16.09.23 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.09.23 | Hearts – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.08.23 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 27.05.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 20.05.23 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.12.23 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 03.12.23 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.22 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 28.11.23 | Ross County – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 11.11.23 | Dundee – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 01.11.23 | Celtic – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 30.09.23 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 16.09.23 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 02.09.23 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 06.08.23 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 2–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 24.05.23 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 2 2
Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
8matches
2.12goals / match
25%over 2.5
38%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 14 | +29 | 42 |
| 2 | Rangers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 8 | +27 | 40 |
| 3 | Hearts | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 24 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Ross County | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Livingston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 | Celtic | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 20 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Dundee | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Hearts | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Ross County | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 3 | Hearts | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Dundee | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Ross County | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Livingston | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 5 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 3 |
Hearts St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | 6 | Hibernian | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 24 |
| 3 | 7 | Dundee | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | 11 | Motherwell | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 16 |
| 5 | 4 | St Mirren | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 26 |
| 6 | 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 7 | 2 | Rangers | 17 | 10 | 7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 17 |
| 10 | 3 | Hearts | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 11 | 9 | St Johnstone | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 18 |
| 12 | 12 | Livingston | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | 4 | St Mirren | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | 7 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | St Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | 6 | Hibernian | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | Hearts | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | Ross County | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | Livingston | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | 6 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | Dundee | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | Ross County | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | Livingston | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | Hearts | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | 4 | St Mirren | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | 11 | Motherwell | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | St Johnstone | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 3 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
