Falkirk 3–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
2.01
fair 2.29
Draw
3.60
fair 4.18
Away
3.25
fair 3.09
Under 2.5
2.03
fair 2.40
Over 2.5 ✓
1.83
fair 1.71
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
12
Shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
2
Corners
6
15
Fouls
14
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (60 league matches this season so far).
Result
Falkirk to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.65
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
44%
24%
32%
FalkirkDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
42%
58%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
40%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
19%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11%
2–1 9%
1–0 7.9%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Falkirk
before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
1.90conceded / match
3
3
4
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 12:19
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.50conceded / match
2
4
4
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 12:15
Falkirk all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.70
11.30
Shots
10.30
4.50
Shots on target
3.70
14.50
Shots faced
13.20
4.60
Corners
4.60
5.00
Corners against
6.20
12.20
Fouls
13.20
2.20
Yellow cards
2.50
0.10
1st-half goals scored
0.80
1.20
1st-half goals conceded
0.60
How often Full Time
30%
Wins
20%
30%
Draws
40%
40%
Losses
40%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
90%
90%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
70%
Both teams scored
50%
10%
Clean sheets
30%
20%
Failed to score
30%
How often Half Time
0%
Wins
30%
20%
Draws
40%
80%
Losses
30%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
10%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Falkirk all matches
2
2
D
1
3
L
1
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
3
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
1
W
4
L
Kilmarnock all matches
2
2
D
2
2
D
D
2
2
D
1
2
L
2
W
2
W
3
L
1
3
L
1
L
Falkirk
before this match, at home
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
1
3
1
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 8:8
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
1
2
1
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 7:7
Falkirk at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.60
Goals scored
1.75
1.60
Goals conceded
1.75
3.20
Total goals
3.50
11.80
Shots
10.25
4.20
Shots on target
4.25
12.80
Shots faced
14.50
4.60
Corners
3.75
4.00
Corners against
7.75
10.40
Fouls
14.50
1.40
Yellow cards
2.75
0.20
1st-half goals scored
1.00
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
20%
Wins
25%
60%
Draws
50%
20%
Losses
25%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
75%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
100%
Both teams scored
75%
0%
Clean sheets
25%
0%
Failed to score
0%
How often Half Time
0%
Wins
25%
20%
Draws
50%
80%
Losses
25%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
20%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Falkirk at home
1
W
2
W
5
W
1
3
L
3
1
W
2
2
D
1
2
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
Kilmarnock away
1
L
1
L
1
5
L
1
5
L
2
W
3
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
W
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Falkirk all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.25 | Celtic – Falkirk | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.13 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 25.10.25 | Falkirk – Dundee | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 18.10.25 | Motherwell – Falkirk | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.86 | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 05.10.25 | Falkirk – Rangers | 1–1 (0–1) | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 27.09.25 | Hearts – Falkirk | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 23.09.25 | Falkirk – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.82 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 13.09.25 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 31.08.25 | Aberdeen – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.08.25 | Livingston – Falkirk | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 03.08.25 | Falkirk – Dundee United | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 14.09.25 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 1–2 (0–0) | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.22 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 30.08.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 23.08.25 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.08.25 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 02.08.25 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.94 | 1.79 |
Falkirk at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.25 | Falkirk – Dundee | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 05.10.25 | Falkirk – Rangers | 1–1 (0–1) | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 23.09.25 | Falkirk – Hibernian | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.82 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 13.09.25 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.08.25 | Falkirk – Dundee United | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 02.05.25SC1 | Falkirk – Hamilton | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.17 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| 19.04.25SC1 | Falkirk – Raith Rvs | 1–3 (1–0) | 1.53 | 3.50 | 6.25 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 05.04.25SC1 | Falkirk – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.29 | 4.75 | 9.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 22.03.25SC1 | Falkirk – Airdrie Utd | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 08.03.25SC1 | Falkirk – Dunfermline | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.45 | 3.90 | 7.00 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.25 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 27.09.25 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 30.08.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.08.25 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.05.25 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 03.05.25 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 12.04.25 | Celtic – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (4–1) | 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 29.03.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (2–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.03.25 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.35 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 22.02.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 | Celtic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 2 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | Dundee | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Rangers | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Rangers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Livingston | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 12 | Dundee | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Falkirk Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 10 | 3 | 7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | 4 | Hibernian | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | Celtic | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | 5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | 6 | Dundee United | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | Dundee | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | 9 | St Mirren | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | Aberdeen | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | Hearts | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | Dundee United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | Dundee | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | St Mirren | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hearts | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | 7 | Falkirk | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | Livingston | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | Hibernian | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | Celtic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | St Mirren | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | Dundee | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | Rangers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | Aberdeen | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44
