St Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
2.30
fair 2.12
Draw
3.30
fair 4.11
Away
3.10
fair 3.52
Under 2.5
1.73
fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 1.83
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Kilmarnock
9
Shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
4
Corners
7
15
Fouls
9
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.76
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
47%
24%
28%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
46%
55%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
43%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
16%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–0 9.4%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.23scored / match
1.63conceded / match
10
5
15
WonDrawnLost
30 played · 37:49
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.13scored / match
1.60conceded / match
8
8
14
WonDrawnLost
30 played · 34:48
St Mirren all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.23
Goals scored
1.13
1.63
Goals conceded
1.60
2.87
Total goals
2.73
11.20
Shots
12.73
3.83
Shots on target
3.87
12.13
Shots faced
12.57
4.57
Corners
5.77
5.10
Corners against
5.07
13.13
Fouls
10.23
2.47
Yellow cards
1.70
0.77
1st-half goals scored
0.33
0.60
1st-half goals conceded
0.63
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
27%
17%
Draws
27%
50%
Losses
47%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
70%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
3%
Over 5.5 goals
10%
53%
Both teams scored
47%
17%
Clean sheets
20%
37%
Failed to score
37%
How often Half Time
37%
Wins
23%
43%
Draws
30%
20%
Losses
47%
70%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
47%
Over 1.5 goals
17%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
2
L
3
L
1
L
3
W
1
L
D
2
W
1
3
L
2
5
L
2
2
D
Kilmarnock all matches
2
W
1
L
D
2
3
L
1
W
3
1
W
1
L
2
4
L
1
L
1
1
D
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.20points / match
1.13scored / match
1.33conceded / match
5
3
7
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 17:20
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.93scored / match
2.07conceded / match
2
3
10
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 14:31
St Mirren at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.13
Goals scored
0.93
1.33
Goals conceded
2.07
2.47
Total goals
3.00
12.33
Shots
11.53
3.93
Shots on target
3.60
12.07
Shots faced
13.40
5.20
Corners
5.93
5.07
Corners against
5.87
11.60
Fouls
11.00
2.20
Yellow cards
2.00
0.60
1st-half goals scored
0.27
0.53
1st-half goals conceded
0.87
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
13%
20%
Draws
20%
47%
Losses
67%
87%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
27%
7%
Over 5.5 goals
7%
47%
Both teams scored
53%
20%
Clean sheets
0%
47%
Failed to score
47%
How often Half Time
27%
Wins
13%
60%
Draws
20%
13%
Losses
67%
53%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
40%
Over 1.5 goals
20%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
3
1
W
D
2
1
W
1
L
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
L
1
L
D
2
5
L
Kilmarnock away
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
L
6
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
L
2
3
L
1
L
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.03.25 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 01.03.25 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–5 (1–2) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 26.02.25 | Hearts – St Mirren | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 22.02.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.18 | 6.50 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 16.02.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.02.25 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 25.01.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–3 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 11.01.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 05.01.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.11 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 02.01.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.03.25 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.65 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.03.25 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.35 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 26.02.25 | Kilmarnock – Rangers | 2–4 (2–1) | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 22.02.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 15.02.25 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 3–1 (1–0) | 1.76 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 01.02.25 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 25.01.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 08.01.25 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 05.01.25 | Kilmarnock – Ross County | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 02.01.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.03.25 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–5 (1–2) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 16.02.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.02.25 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 11.01.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 29.12.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 26.12.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 2–1 (1–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 07.12.24 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 23.11.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 02.11.24 | St Mirren – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.10.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.03.25 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.35 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 22.02.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 25.01.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 29.12.24 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 20.12.24 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 07.12.24 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 04.12.24 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 6–0 (1–0) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 23.11.24 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.11.24 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 3–2 (1–2) | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.10.24 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 5
St Mirren winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
22%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 11.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 16.03.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 5–2 (0–2) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 27.12.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 30.09.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 22.04.23SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 02.01.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.10.22SC0 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 89 | 20 | +69 | 75 |
| 2 | Rangers | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62 | 28 | +34 | 62 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 41 | +4 | 44 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 43 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Hearts | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 39 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 38 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Ross County | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundee | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 31 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 26 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 6 | +44 | 40 |
| 2 | Rangers | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 37 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 27 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 | Hearts | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 21 |
| 9 | Ross County | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Dundee | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 14 | +25 | 35 |
| 2 | Rangers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 16 |
| 8 | Hearts | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Dundee | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Ross County | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 15 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 9 |
St Mirren Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 30 | 7 | 23 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 89 | 20 | 75 |
| 2 | 7 | Motherwell | 30 | 8 | 22 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 38 |
| 3 | 11 | Dundee | 30 | 8 | 22 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 63 | 31 |
| 4 | 8 | St Mirren | 30 | 9 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 49 | 35 |
| 5 | 2 | Rangers | 30 | 11 | 19 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | 12 | St Johnstone | 30 | 11 | 19 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 54 | 26 |
| 7 | 4 | Aberdeen | 30 | 12 | 18 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 46 | 43 |
| 8 | 9 | Ross County | 30 | 12 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 51 | 35 |
| 9 | 3 | Hibernian | 30 | 13 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 41 | 44 |
| 10 | 6 | Hearts | 30 | 13 | 17 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 39 |
| 11 | 5 | Dundee United | 30 | 17 | 13 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 41 |
| 12 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 17 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 48 | 32 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Dundee | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 16 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 15 | 3 | 12 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 6 | 40 |
| 3 | 7 | Motherwell | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | 12 | St Johnstone | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 5 | 2 | Rangers | 15 | 6 | 9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | 3 | Hibernian | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 26 |
| 7 | 4 | Aberdeen | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 27 |
| 8 | 8 | St Mirren | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | 9 | Ross County | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | 6 | Hearts | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | 5 | Dundee United | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | St Mirren | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 17 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 15 | 4 | 11 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | 7 | Motherwell | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
| 4 | 2 | Rangers | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | 4 | Aberdeen | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 16 |
| 6 | 6 | Hearts | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 7 | 9 | Ross County | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 15 |
| 8 | 11 | Dundee | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 15 |
| 9 | 12 | St Johnstone | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | Hibernian | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 11 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | Dundee United | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
