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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.55
Draw 4.00 fair 5.02
Away 5.25 fair 6.47
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Vallecano
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 2
11 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (353 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 2.10 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.8% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
2.00scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 70:33
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.20scored / match
1.34conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 42:47
Real Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.20
0.94 Goals conceded 1.34
2.94 Total goals 2.54
17.71 Shots 13.31
6.17 Shots on target 4.03
10.91 Shots faced 11.66
6.14 Corners 5.06
3.89 Corners against 4.77
9.57 Fouls 14.46
1.86 Yellow cards 2.40
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.51
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

63% Wins 34%
14% Draws 29%
23% Losses 37%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
83% Over 1.5 goals 77%
54% Over 2.5 goals 54%
34% Over 3.5 goals 23%
20% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 3%
54% Both teams scored 60%
37% Clean sheets 26%
14% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 23%
49% Draws 49%
11% Losses 29%
69% Over 0.5 goals 63%
40% Over 1.5 goals 37%
20% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Vallecano all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.35points / match
2.41scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 41:14
Vallecano before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.94scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:26
Real Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

2.41 Goals scored 0.94
0.82 Goals conceded 1.53
3.24 Total goals 2.47
19.41 Shots 11.24
6.94 Shots on target 3.29
9.47 Shots faced 12.76
6.47 Corners 4.65
2.94 Corners against 5.12
10.06 Fouls 15.47
1.65 Yellow cards 2.65
1.24 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

71% Wins 24%
24% Draws 29%
6% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 71%
59% Over 2.5 goals 47%
47% Over 3.5 goals 29%
24% Over 4.5 goals 6%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 53%
35% Clean sheets 29%
6% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 18%
47% Draws 53%
0% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 53%
47% Over 1.5 goals 24%
24% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10
13.05.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.96 1.94
02.05.23 Sociedad – Real Madrid 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.80 2.08 1.82
29.04.23 Real Madrid – Almeria 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.30 3.50
25.04.23 Girona – Real Madrid 4–2 (2–1) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
22.04.23 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38
15.04.23 Cadiz – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.55 1.80 2.00
08.04.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
02.04.23 Real Madrid – Valladolid 6–0 (4–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 3.00
19.03.23 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.25 1.88 2.02

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23 Vallecano – Espanol 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.403.40 2.03 1.87
15.05.23 Betis – Vallecano 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
04.05.23 Vallecano – Valladolid 2–1 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.99 1.91
29.04.23 Elche – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 4.753.501.80 2.20 1.67
26.04.23 Vallecano – Barcelona 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.751.73 2.00 1.80
22.04.23 Sociedad – Vallecano 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.506.00 2.30 1.62
14.04.23 Vallecano – Osasuna 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.50 1.53
09.04.23 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 4.333.501.85 2.30 1.62
03.04.23 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.203.80 2.38 1.57
18.03.23 Vallecano – Girona 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.96 1.94
29.04.23 Real Madrid – Almeria 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.30 3.50
22.04.23 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38
08.04.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
02.04.23 Real Madrid – Valladolid 6–0 (4–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 3.00
11.03.23 Real Madrid – Espanol 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.509.50 1.62 2.30
25.02.23 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 1.803.505.00 1.97 1.93
15.02.23 Real Madrid – Elche 4–0 (3–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.53 2.50
02.02.23 Real Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
29.01.23 Real Madrid – Sociedad 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 1.93 1.97

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.23 Betis – Vallecano 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
29.04.23 Elche – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 4.753.501.80 2.20 1.67
22.04.23 Sociedad – Vallecano 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.506.00 2.30 1.62
03.04.23 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.203.80 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (0–0) 2.103.204.00 2.50 1.53
25.02.23 Cadiz – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.002.70 2.63 1.50
12.02.23 Getafe – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.802.902.88 3.20 1.36
30.01.23 Villarreal – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 2.01 1.89
14.01.23 Valladolid – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.252.63 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 Girona – Vallecano 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.203.30 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 4.754.201.65 1.72 2.10
26.02.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.66 1.86 2.04
06.11.21SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.50

Spain La Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 66 18 +48 85
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 6 7 63 27 +36 72
3 Real Madrid 35 22 5 8 70 33 +37 71
4 Sociedad 36 20 8 8 48 32 +16 68
5 Villarreal 35 18 6 11 54 36 +18 60
6 Betis 35 16 8 11 43 38 +5 56
7 Ath Bilbao 35 14 8 13 46 39 +7 50
8 Girona 36 13 10 13 56 51 +5 49
9 Sevilla 35 13 9 13 44 49 -5 48
10 Osasuna 35 13 8 14 32 39 -7 47
11 Vallecano 35 12 10 13 42 47 -5 46
12 Mallorca 35 12 8 15 33 40 -7 44
13 Valencia 35 11 7 17 39 41 -2 40
14 Celta 36 10 10 16 41 51 -10 40
15 Almeria 36 11 6 19 46 62 -16 39
16 Cadiz 35 9 11 15 28 50 -22 38
17 Valladolid 36 11 5 20 33 63 -30 38
18 Getafe 35 8 11 16 31 44 -13 35
19 Espanol 35 8 10 17 44 61 -17 34
20 Elche 35 4 8 23 27 65 -38 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 14 3 1 34 4 +30 45
2 Real Madrid 17 12 4 1 41 14 +27 40
3 Ath Madrid 18 12 3 3 39 14 +25 39
4 Villarreal 17 11 2 4 32 16 +16 35
5 Sociedad 18 10 5 3 24 15 +9 35
6 Girona 18 10 3 5 34 24 +10 33
7 Almeria 18 10 2 6 29 22 +7 32
8 Betis 17 9 4 4 25 16 +9 31
9 Mallorca 17 8 5 4 18 12 +6 29
10 Vallecano 18 8 5 5 26 21 +5 29
11 Valencia 18 8 4 6 25 17 +8 28
12 Osasuna 17 9 1 7 20 20 0 28
13 Ath Bilbao 18 8 3 7 22 14 +8 27
14 Valladolid 18 8 3 7 21 25 -4 27
15 Sevilla 18 7 5 6 23 23 0 26
16 Celta 18 6 6 6 24 20 +4 24
17 Getafe 18 6 6 6 19 19 0 24
18 Cadiz 18 6 6 6 18 23 -5 24
19 Espanol 17 4 5 8 21 29 -8 17
20 Elche 17 3 4 10 16 27 -11 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 13 1 4 32 14 +18 40
2 Ath Madrid 17 10 3 4 24 13 +11 33
3 Sociedad 18 10 3 5 24 17 +7 33
4 Real Madrid 18 10 1 7 29 19 +10 31
5 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 22 20 +2 25
6 Betis 18 7 4 7 18 22 -4 25
7 Ath Bilbao 17 6 5 6 24 25 -1 23
8 Sevilla 17 6 4 7 21 26 -5 22
9 Osasuna 18 4 7 7 12 19 -7 19
10 Espanol 18 4 5 9 23 32 -9 17
11 Vallecano 17 4 5 8 16 26 -10 17
12 Girona 18 3 7 8 22 27 -5 16
13 Celta 18 4 4 10 17 31 -14 16
14 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 15 28 -13 15
15 Cadiz 17 3 5 9 10 27 -17 14
16 Valencia 17 3 3 11 14 24 -10 12
17 Getafe 17 2 5 10 12 25 -13 11
18 Valladolid 18 3 2 13 12 38 -26 11
19 Almeria 18 1 4 13 17 40 -23 7
20 Elche 18 1 4 13 11 38 -27 7

Real Madrid   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Almeria 36 14 22 1.3 1.7 11 6 19 46 62 39
2 19 Espanol 35 13 22 1.3 1.7 8 10 17 44 61 34
3 8 Girona 36 16 20 1.6 1.4 13 10 13 56 51 49
4 17 Valladolid 36 16 20 0.9 1.8 11 5 20 33 63 38
5 3 Real Madrid 35 16 19 2.0 0.9 22 5 8 70 33 71
6 11 Vallecano 35 16 19 1.2 1.3 12 10 13 42 47 46
7 1 Barcelona 36 18 18 1.8 0.5 27 4 5 66 18 85
8 14 Celta 36 18 18 1.1 1.4 10 10 16 41 51 40
9 20 Elche 35 17 18 0.8 1.9 4 8 23 27 65 20
10 5 Villarreal 35 18 17 1.5 1.0 18 6 11 54 36 60
11 6 Betis 35 18 17 1.2 1.1 16 8 11 43 38 56
12 7 Ath Bilbao 35 18 17 1.3 1.1 14 8 13 46 39 50
13 9 Sevilla 35 18 17 1.3 1.4 13 9 13 44 49 48
14 13 Valencia 35 19 16 1.1 1.2 11 7 17 39 41 40
15 2 Ath Madrid 35 20 15 1.8 0.8 22 6 7 63 27 72
16 18 Getafe 35 22 13 0.9 1.3 8 11 16 31 44 35
17 10 Osasuna 35 23 12 0.9 1.1 13 8 14 32 39 47
18 4 Sociedad 36 25 11 1.3 0.9 20 8 8 48 32 68
19 16 Cadiz 35 24 11 0.8 1.4 9 11 15 28 50 38
20 12 Mallorca 35 25 10 0.9 1.1 12 8 15 33 40 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Girona 18 7 11 1.9 1.3 10 3 5 34 24 33
2 11 Vallecano 18 7 11 1.4 1.2 8 5 5 26 21 29
3 15 Almeria 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 10 2 6 29 22 32
4 2 Ath Madrid 18 8 10 2.2 0.8 12 3 3 39 14 39
5 3 Real Madrid 17 7 10 2.4 0.8 12 4 1 41 14 40
6 19 Espanol 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 4 5 8 21 29 17
7 5 Villarreal 17 8 9 1.9 0.9 11 2 4 32 16 35
8 6 Betis 17 8 9 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 16 31
9 9 Sevilla 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 5 6 23 23 26
10 14 Celta 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 6 6 6 24 20 24
11 17 Valladolid 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 8 3 7 21 25 27
12 1 Barcelona 18 10 8 1.9 0.2 14 3 1 34 4 45
13 10 Osasuna 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 9 1 7 20 20 28
14 13 Valencia 18 10 8 1.4 0.9 8 4 6 25 17 28
15 18 Getafe 18 11 7 1.1 1.1 6 6 6 19 19 24
16 20 Elche 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 3 4 10 16 27 13
17 7 Ath Bilbao 18 12 6 1.2 0.8 8 3 7 22 14 27
18 16 Cadiz 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 6 6 6 18 23 24
19 4 Sociedad 18 13 5 1.3 0.8 10 5 3 24 15 35
20 12 Mallorca 17 14 3 1.1 0.7 8 5 4 18 12 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Espanol 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 4 5 9 23 32 17
2 7 Ath Bilbao 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 6 5 6 24 25 23
3 15 Almeria 18 7 11 0.9 2.2 1 4 13 17 40 7
4 17 Valladolid 18 7 11 0.7 2.1 3 2 13 12 38 11
5 20 Elche 18 7 11 0.6 2.1 1 4 13 11 38 7
6 1 Barcelona 18 8 10 1.8 0.8 13 1 4 32 14 40
7 3 Real Madrid 18 9 9 1.6 1.1 10 1 7 29 19 31
8 8 Girona 18 9 9 1.2 1.5 3 7 8 22 27 16
9 14 Celta 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 10 17 31 16
10 5 Villarreal 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 4 7 22 20 25
11 6 Betis 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 7 4 7 18 22 25
12 9 Sevilla 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 6 4 7 21 26 22
13 11 Vallecano 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 4 5 8 16 26 17
14 13 Valencia 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 3 3 11 14 24 12
15 12 Mallorca 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 4 3 11 15 28 15
16 4 Sociedad 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 10 3 5 24 17 33
17 18 Getafe 17 11 6 0.7 1.5 2 5 10 12 25 11
18 2 Ath Madrid 17 12 5 1.4 0.8 10 3 4 24 13 33
19 16 Cadiz 17 12 5 0.6 1.6 3 5 9 10 27 14
20 10 Osasuna 18 14 4 0.7 1.1 4 7 7 12 19 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51