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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 3–2 Almeria

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.13 fair 1.35
Draw 10.00 fair 6.27
Away 17.00 fair 9.82
Under 2.5 3.60 fair 2.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.29 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Almeria
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
9 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (203 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 2.48 – 0.81
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.5% 3–0 9.5% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.53points / match
2.11scored / match
0.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 40:11
Almeria before this match, all matches
0.30points / match
0.95scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:43
Real Madrid all matches all matches Almeria

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 0.95
0.58 Goals conceded 2.15
2.68 Total goals 3.10
16.58 Shots 12.65
6.32 Shots on target 4.20
10.47 Shots faced 15.60
6.11 Corners 4.95
3.42 Corners against 5.70
10.58 Fouls 12.25
1.79 Yellow cards 2.20
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 1.05

How often Full Time

79% Wins 0%
16% Draws 30%
5% Losses 70%
95% Over 0.5 goals 85%
79% Over 1.5 goals 75%
53% Over 2.5 goals 65%
26% Over 3.5 goals 40%
11% Over 4.5 goals 25%
5% Over 5.5 goals 15%
47% Both teams scored 65%
53% Clean sheets 15%
5% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 5%
37% Draws 45%
21% Losses 50%
68% Over 0.5 goals 70%
32% Over 1.5 goals 50%
5% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Almeria all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.78points / match
2.44scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:4
Almeria before this match, away
0.10points / match
0.90scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:25
Real Madrid at home away Almeria

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 0.90
0.44 Goals conceded 2.50
2.89 Total goals 3.40
19.00 Shots 10.00
7.56 Shots on target 3.30
7.67 Shots faced 17.90
7.11 Corners 5.20
2.11 Corners against 7.30
9.67 Fouls 11.20
1.89 Yellow cards 2.40
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 1.40

How often Full Time

89% Wins 0%
11% Draws 10%
0% Losses 90%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 80%
56% Over 2.5 goals 70%
33% Over 3.5 goals 30%
22% Over 4.5 goals 30%
11% Over 5.5 goals 20%
44% Both teams scored 70%
56% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 0%
22% Draws 40%
22% Losses 60%
78% Over 0.5 goals 80%
22% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Almeria away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.24 Real Madrid – Mallorca 1–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.65 2.20
21.12.23 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.53 1.75 2.05
17.12.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
09.12.23 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Real Madrid – Granada 2–0 (1–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
26.11.23 Cadiz – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Real Madrid – Valencia 5–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
28.10.23 Barcelona – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Sevilla – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.67 2.15

Almeria all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.24 Almeria – Girona 0–0 (0–0) 4.504.001.70 1.50 2.50
04.01.24 Osasuna – Almeria 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.92 1.98
20.12.23 Barcelona – Almeria 3–2 (1–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
17.12.23 Almeria – Mallorca 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Ath Madrid – Almeria 2–1 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Almeria – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Getafe – Almeria 2–1 (2–1) 1.653.755.50 2.07 1.83
11.11.23 Almeria – Sociedad 1–3 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
05.11.23 Alaves – Almeria 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 2.01 1.89
28.10.23 Almeria – Las Palmas 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.97 1.93

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.24 Real Madrid – Mallorca 1–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
02.12.23 Real Madrid – Granada 2–0 (1–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
11.11.23 Real Madrid – Valencia 5–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
07.10.23 Real Madrid – Osasuna 4–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.57 2.35
27.09.23 Real Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.44 2.75
17.09.23 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (0–1) 1.654.005.00 1.90 2.00
02.09.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.50 1.94 1.96
04.06.23 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.62 2.30

Almeria away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.24 Osasuna – Almeria 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.92 1.98
20.12.23 Barcelona – Almeria 3–2 (1–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
10.12.23 Ath Madrid – Almeria 2–1 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 2.88
25.11.23 Getafe – Almeria 2–1 (2–1) 1.653.755.50 2.07 1.83
05.11.23 Alaves – Almeria 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 2.01 1.89
22.10.23 Girona – Almeria 5–2 (3–2) 1.454.507.00 1.53 2.40
06.10.23 Ath Bilbao – Almeria 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40
26.09.23 Sevilla – Almeria 5–1 (3–0) 1.673.805.00 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.38
26.08.23 Cadiz – Almeria 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsAlmeria wins
3matches
4.33goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23SP1 Almeria – Real Madrid 1–3 (1–1) 8.004.751.40 1.62 2.30
29.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Almeria 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.30 3.50
14.08.22SP1 Almeria – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.57 2.37

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Girona 20 15 4 1 46 24 +22 49 WWWDWD
2 Real Madrid 19 15 3 1 40 11 +29 48 WWDWWW
3 Ath Bilbao 21 12 5 4 38 21 +17 41 DWWWWL
4 Barcelona 19 12 5 2 36 22 +14 41 DWLDWW
5 Ath Madrid 19 12 2 5 39 23 +16 38 LWLDWL
6 Sociedad 21 9 8 4 32 21 +11 35 WDDDLW
7 Valencia 21 9 5 7 27 24 +3 32 LDWWWW
8 Las Palmas 21 9 4 8 21 17 +4 31 WDLLWW
9 Betis 20 7 10 3 22 20 +2 31 DDDDLW
10 Getafe 20 6 8 6 26 28 -2 26 LWWDLL
11 Osasuna 20 7 4 9 25 31 -6 25 DDWLWW
12 Alaves 21 6 5 10 19 27 -8 23 LLLDWW
13 Vallecano 20 5 8 7 18 26 -8 23 LDLLWL
14 Mallorca 21 3 11 7 19 25 -6 20 WDWLDD
15 Villarreal 21 5 5 11 28 42 -14 20 LLWLLD
16 Celta 21 3 8 10 21 31 -10 17 DWLWDL
17 Sevilla 20 3 7 10 25 30 -5 16 LLWLLL
18 Cadiz 21 2 9 10 15 31 -16 15 DDDLLL
19 Granada 20 2 5 13 22 41 -19 11 LDLLWL
20 Almeria 20 0 6 14 19 43 -24 6 DLDLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Ath Madrid 10 9 1 0 23 11 +12 28 WWWWDW
2 Ath Bilbao 11 8 2 1 27 12 +15 26 DWWWWW
3 Real Madrid 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25 WDWWWW
4 Girona 10 8 1 1 25 13 +12 25 WWDWWW
5 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 21 11 +10 24 WLWWLW
6 Betis 10 6 4 0 13 4 +9 22 WWWDDW
7 Valencia 10 6 2 2 13 5 +8 20 WWDDWW
8 Sociedad 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19 WWLWDD
9 Las Palmas 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18 LWWDLW
10 Getafe 9 5 3 1 9 6 +3 18 DDWWWL
11 Alaves 10 5 1 4 11 11 0 16 DWWLLW
12 Osasuna 11 4 3 4 12 14 -2 15 LDDWWW
13 Mallorca 10 2 7 1 9 8 +1 13 DDDWWD
14 Villarreal 11 3 2 6 18 22 -4 11 DLWLWD
15 Cadiz 10 2 5 3 9 13 -4 11 LDLDDL
16 Sevilla 11 2 4 5 15 18 -3 10 DDDLLL
17 Granada 10 2 4 4 14 19 -5 10 DLDDLW
18 Celta 11 2 4 5 8 14 -6 10 LDDWWL
19 Vallecano 10 1 5 4 9 18 -9 8 DLDDLL
20 Almeria 10 0 5 5 10 18 -8 5 DLLDDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Girona 10 7 3 0 21 11 +10 24 WWWWDD
2 Real Madrid 10 7 2 1 18 7 +11 23 WDWWDW
3 Barcelona 9 4 5 0 15 11 +4 17 DDWDDW
4 Sociedad 11 4 4 3 14 10 +4 16 WDWDLW
5 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 11 9 +2 15 LWDDWL
6 Vallecano 10 4 3 3 9 8 +1 15 DWDLLW
7 Las Palmas 11 4 1 6 8 10 -2 13 WDLWLW
8 Valencia 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12 DLLLWW
9 Ath Madrid 9 3 1 5 16 12 +4 10 WWLLLL
10 Osasuna 9 3 1 5 13 17 -4 10 WLLLDL
11 Betis 10 1 6 3 9 16 -7 9 DDDDDL
12 Villarreal 10 2 3 5 10 20 -10 9 WLDLLL
13 Getafe 11 1 5 5 17 22 -5 8 DDLWDL
14 Celta 10 1 4 5 13 17 -4 7 LLDDLD
15 Mallorca 11 1 4 6 10 17 -7 7 LLLDLD
16 Alaves 11 1 4 6 8 16 -8 7 LLDLDW
17 Sevilla 9 1 3 5 10 12 -2 6 DDLLWL
18 Cadiz 11 0 4 7 6 18 -12 4 LDDDLL
19 Granada 10 0 1 9 8 22 -14 1 LLLLLL
20 Almeria 10 0 1 9 9 25 -16 1 LLLLLL

Real Madrid   Almeria

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 Villarreal 21 6 15 1.3 2.0 5 5 11 28 42 20 OOOOOU
2 1 Girona 20 7 13 2.3 1.2 15 4 1 46 24 49 OOOUOU
3 5 Ath Madrid 19 6 13 2.1 1.2 12 2 5 39 23 38 UOUOUO
4 20 Almeria 20 7 13 0.9 2.1 0 6 14 19 43 6 UOUOUU
5 4 Barcelona 19 8 11 1.9 1.2 12 5 2 36 22 41 UUOUOO
6 2 Real Madrid 19 9 10 2.1 0.6 15 3 1 40 11 48 OUUOUU
7 3 Ath Bilbao 21 11 10 1.8 1.0 12 5 4 38 21 41 UUUUOU
8 6 Sociedad 21 11 10 1.5 1.0 9 8 4 32 21 35 OUUUOU
9 7 Valencia 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 9 5 7 27 24 32 UUUOOU
10 10 Getafe 20 10 10 1.3 1.4 6 8 6 26 28 26 UUOOUO
11 17 Sevilla 20 10 10 1.2 1.5 3 7 10 25 30 16 UOOUUO
12 11 Osasuna 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 7 4 9 25 31 25 UUUOUO
13 19 Granada 20 11 9 1.1 2.0 2 5 13 22 41 11 UUUOUU
14 16 Celta 21 13 8 1.0 1.5 3 8 10 21 31 17 UUOOUU
15 8 Las Palmas 21 15 6 1.0 0.8 9 4 8 21 17 31 UUUOOU
16 9 Betis 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 7 10 3 22 20 31 UUUUOU
17 12 Alaves 21 15 6 0.9 1.3 6 5 10 19 27 23 UOUUOU
18 13 Vallecano 20 14 6 0.9 1.3 5 8 7 18 26 23 OUUUUU
19 18 Cadiz 21 15 6 0.7 1.5 2 9 10 15 31 15 UUUUOU
20 14 Mallorca 21 16 5 0.9 1.2 3 11 7 19 25 20 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 Villarreal 11 2 9 1.6 2.0 3 2 6 18 22 11 UOOOOU
2 3 Ath Bilbao 11 3 8 2.5 1.1 8 2 1 27 12 26 OOOUUO
3 5 Ath Madrid 10 2 8 2.3 1.1 9 1 0 23 11 28 OOUOOU
4 1 Girona 10 3 7 2.5 1.3 8 1 1 25 13 25 OUUOOO
5 4 Barcelona 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 8 0 2 21 11 24 UOOUOO
6 17 Sevilla 11 5 6 1.4 1.6 2 4 5 15 18 10 UUUOUO
7 20 Almeria 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 0 5 5 10 18 5 OOOUUU
8 2 Real Madrid 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25 OUOUOU
9 19 Granada 10 5 5 1.4 1.9 2 4 4 14 19 10 OOUUOU
10 6 Sociedad 10 6 4 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19 OUUOUU
11 8 Las Palmas 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18 UOUUOO
12 13 Vallecano 10 6 4 0.9 1.8 1 5 4 9 18 8 OOUUUU
13 18 Cadiz 10 6 4 0.9 1.3 2 5 3 9 13 11 UOOUUO
14 7 Valencia 10 7 3 1.3 0.5 6 2 2 13 5 20 UUUUOU
15 11 Osasuna 11 8 3 1.1 1.3 4 3 4 12 14 15 OUUUUO
16 16 Celta 11 8 3 0.7 1.3 2 4 5 8 14 10 OUUUOU
17 9 Betis 10 8 2 1.3 0.4 6 4 0 13 4 22 OUUUUU
18 10 Getafe 9 7 2 1.0 0.7 5 3 1 9 6 18 UUUOUU
19 12 Alaves 10 8 2 1.1 1.1 5 1 4 11 11 16 UUOUUU
20 14 Mallorca 10 8 2 0.9 0.8 2 7 1 9 8 13 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Getafe 11 3 8 1.5 2.0 1 5 5 17 22 8 UUUOOO
2 7 Valencia 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12 OOOUUO
3 20 Almeria 10 3 7 0.9 2.5 0 1 9 9 25 1 OUOOOU
4 1 Girona 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 7 3 0 21 11 24 UOOOUU
5 6 Sociedad 11 5 6 1.3 0.9 4 4 3 14 10 16 OUOUOU
6 11 Osasuna 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 3 1 5 13 17 10 UOOOUO
7 15 Villarreal 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 3 5 10 20 9 OOUOOO
8 2 Real Madrid 10 5 5 1.8 0.7 7 2 1 18 7 23 OUOOUU
9 4 Barcelona 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 4 5 0 15 11 17 OOUUUO
10 5 Ath Madrid 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 3 1 5 16 12 10 UOOUUO
11 16 Celta 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 1 4 5 13 17 7 UOUUOU
12 9 Betis 10 6 4 0.9 1.6 1 6 3 9 16 9 UUUUUO
13 12 Alaves 11 7 4 0.7 1.5 1 4 6 8 16 7 OOUOUO
14 17 Sevilla 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 1 3 5 10 12 6 OUOUOU
15 19 Granada 10 6 4 0.8 2.2 0 1 9 8 22 1 UUOUUU
16 14 Mallorca 11 8 3 0.9 1.5 1 4 6 10 17 7 UUUUUU
17 3 Ath Bilbao 10 8 2 1.1 0.9 4 3 3 11 9 15 UOUUUU
18 8 Las Palmas 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 1 6 8 10 13 OUUUUU
19 13 Vallecano 10 8 2 0.9 0.8 4 3 3 9 8 15 OUUOUU
20 18 Cadiz 11 9 2 0.5 1.6 0 4 7 6 18 4 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47