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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.81
Draw 4.20 fair 4.20
Away 6.50 fair 4.78
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Vallecano
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 6
11 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.72 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.8% 1–1 11.3% 2–0 10.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
2.00scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 42:23
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
0.86scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 18:26
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.86
1.10 Goals conceded 1.24
3.10 Total goals 2.10
12.52 Shots 12.43
5.57 Shots on target 4.67
13.33 Shots faced 12.43
4.43 Corners 4.33
5.90 Corners against 4.62
10.57 Fouls 16.14
2.33 Yellow cards 2.90
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

67% Wins 24%
10% Draws 43%
24% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 81%
76% Over 1.5 goals 62%
62% Over 2.5 goals 29%
33% Over 3.5 goals 24%
19% Over 4.5 goals 5%
14% Over 5.5 goals 5%
48% Both teams scored 29%
38% Clean sheets 43%
19% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 24%
33% Draws 62%
19% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
38% Over 1.5 goals 33%
19% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Vallecano all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
2.82points / match
2.27scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 25:11
Vallecano before this match, away
1.45points / match
0.82scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:8
Ath Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 0.82
1.00 Goals conceded 0.73
3.27 Total goals 1.55
14.27 Shots 10.09
5.82 Shots on target 4.09
12.82 Shots faced 12.91
4.09 Corners 2.73
6.27 Corners against 6.27
9.91 Fouls 15.27
2.18 Yellow cards 3.36
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.09

How often Full Time

91% Wins 36%
9% Draws 36%
0% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 73%
82% Over 1.5 goals 45%
73% Over 2.5 goals 18%
45% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 9%
27% Clean sheets 64%
0% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 27%
27% Draws 64%
9% Losses 9%
82% Over 0.5 goals 36%
45% Over 1.5 goals 18%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Ath Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.337.00 1.85 2.05
22.01.24 Granada – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.70 1.80 2.00
03.01.24 Girona – Ath Madrid 4–3 (3–2) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.15
23.12.23 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.335.75 1.70 2.10
19.12.23 Ath Madrid – Getafe 3–3 (1–0) 1.454.337.50 2.04 1.86
16.12.23 Ath Bilbao – Ath Madrid 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 1.95 1.95
10.12.23 Ath Madrid – Almeria 2–1 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.97 1.93
12.11.23 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Sociedad – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Vallecano – Las Palmas 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.304.50 2.30 1.60
02.01.24 Getafe – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.003.30 2.60 1.48
19.12.23 Vallecano – Valencia 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
15.12.23 Osasuna – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.40 1.53
11.12.23 Vallecano – Celta 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.08 1.73
02.12.23 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.205.75 1.82 2.08
25.11.23 Vallecano – Barcelona 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.001.65 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Vallecano – Girona 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.502.40 1.85 2.05
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Ath Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.337.00 1.85 2.05
23.12.23 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.335.75 1.70 2.10
19.12.23 Ath Madrid – Getafe 3–3 (1–0) 1.454.337.50 2.04 1.86
10.12.23 Ath Madrid – Almeria 2–1 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 2.88
25.11.23 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.97 1.93
12.11.23 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50
29.10.23 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.758.50 1.89 2.01
08.10.23 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.10 1.70
01.10.23 Ath Madrid – Cadiz 3–2 (1–2) 1.335.0010.00 1.73 2.08
24.09.23 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 3–1 (2–1) 2.703.402.55 2.06 1.84

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Sociedad – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.20 1.65
02.01.24 Getafe – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.003.30 2.60 1.48
15.12.23 Osasuna – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.40 1.53
02.12.23 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.205.75 1.82 2.08
05.11.23 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
22.10.23 Las Palmas – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.25 1.62
07.10.23 Sevilla – Vallecano 2–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.75
27.09.23 Cadiz – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.88 2.38 1.57
02.09.23 Betis – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.73
21.08.23 Granada – Vallecano 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.002.80 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 0–7 (0–3) 4.203.301.95 2.10 1.73
09.04.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 4.333.501.85 2.30 1.62
18.10.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 1–1 (1–0) 1.553.757.00 2.10 1.72
19.03.22SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.252.00 2.30 1.61
02.01.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.509.50 1.95 1.95

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Girona 22 17 4 1 52 25 +27 55
2 Real Madrid 21 17 3 1 45 14 +31 54
3 Barcelona 22 14 5 3 44 29 +15 47
4 Ath Madrid 21 14 2 5 42 23 +19 44
5 Ath Bilbao 22 12 6 4 38 21 +17 42
6 Sociedad 22 9 9 4 32 21 +11 36
7 Betis 22 8 10 4 25 24 +1 34
8 Valencia 22 9 5 8 27 26 +1 32
9 Las Palmas 22 9 4 9 22 19 +3 31
10 Getafe 21 7 8 6 28 28 0 29
11 Alaves 22 7 5 10 22 27 -5 26
12 Osasuna 22 7 5 10 26 33 -7 26
13 Vallecano 21 5 9 7 18 26 -8 24
14 Villarreal 22 6 5 11 33 45 -12 23
15 Mallorca 22 3 11 8 19 26 -7 20
16 Sevilla 22 3 8 11 27 36 -9 17
17 Celta 22 3 8 11 21 32 -11 17
18 Cadiz 22 2 10 10 15 31 -16 16
19 Granada 22 2 5 15 22 44 -22 11
20 Almeria 22 0 6 16 21 49 -28 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 11 10 1 0 25 11 +14 31
2 Real Madrid 10 9 1 0 25 6 +19 28
3 Girona 11 9 1 1 30 14 +16 28
4 Barcelona 12 9 0 3 25 16 +9 27
5 Ath Bilbao 11 8 2 1 27 12 +15 26
6 Betis 11 6 4 1 15 8 +7 22
7 Getafe 10 6 3 1 11 6 +5 21
8 Valencia 10 6 2 2 13 5 +8 20
9 Sociedad 11 5 5 1 18 11 +7 20
10 Las Palmas 11 5 3 3 14 9 +5 18
11 Alaves 10 5 1 4 11 11 0 16
12 Osasuna 11 4 3 4 12 14 -2 15
13 Mallorca 11 2 7 2 9 9 0 13
14 Cadiz 11 2 6 3 9 13 -4 12
15 Sevilla 12 2 5 5 16 19 -3 11
16 Villarreal 11 3 2 6 18 22 -4 11
17 Granada 11 2 4 5 14 20 -6 10
18 Celta 12 2 4 6 8 15 -7 10
19 Vallecano 10 1 5 4 9 18 -9 8
20 Almeria 11 0 5 6 10 21 -11 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Girona 11 8 3 0 22 11 +11 27
2 Real Madrid 11 8 2 1 20 8 +12 26
3 Barcelona 10 5 5 0 19 13 +6 20
4 Sociedad 11 4 4 3 14 10 +4 16
5 Ath Bilbao 11 4 4 3 11 9 +2 16
6 Vallecano 11 4 4 3 9 8 +1 16
7 Ath Madrid 10 4 1 5 17 12 +5 13
8 Las Palmas 11 4 1 6 8 10 -2 13
9 Betis 11 2 6 3 10 16 -6 12
10 Valencia 12 3 3 6 14 21 -7 12
11 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15 23 -8 12
12 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 14 19 -5 11
13 Alaves 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10
14 Getafe 11 1 5 5 17 22 -5 8
15 Celta 10 1 4 5 13 17 -4 7
16 Mallorca 11 1 4 6 10 17 -7 7
17 Sevilla 10 1 3 6 11 17 -6 6
18 Cadiz 11 0 4 7 6 18 -12 4
19 Granada 11 0 1 10 8 24 -16 1
20 Almeria 11 0 1 10 11 28 -17 1

Ath Madrid   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Villarreal 22 6 16 1.5 2.0 6 5 11 33 45 23
2 20 Almeria 22 7 15 1.0 2.2 0 6 16 21 49 6
3 1 Girona 22 8 14 2.4 1.1 17 4 1 52 25 55
4 3 Barcelona 22 9 13 2.0 1.3 14 5 3 44 29 47
5 4 Ath Madrid 21 8 13 2.0 1.1 14 2 5 42 23 44
6 2 Real Madrid 21 9 12 2.1 0.7 17 3 1 45 14 54
7 16 Sevilla 22 11 11 1.2 1.6 3 8 11 27 36 17
8 5 Ath Bilbao 22 12 10 1.7 1.0 12 6 4 38 21 42
9 6 Sociedad 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 9 9 4 32 21 36
10 8 Valencia 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 9 5 8 27 26 32
11 10 Getafe 21 11 10 1.3 1.3 7 8 6 28 28 29
12 12 Osasuna 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 7 5 10 26 33 26
13 19 Granada 22 13 9 1.0 2.0 2 5 15 22 44 11
14 17 Celta 22 14 8 1.0 1.5 3 8 11 21 32 17
15 7 Betis 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 8 10 4 25 24 34
16 9 Las Palmas 22 15 7 1.0 0.9 9 4 9 22 19 31
17 11 Alaves 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 7 5 10 22 27 26
18 13 Vallecano 21 15 6 0.9 1.2 5 9 7 18 26 24
19 18 Cadiz 22 16 6 0.7 1.4 2 10 10 15 31 16
20 15 Mallorca 22 17 5 0.9 1.2 3 11 8 19 26 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Villarreal 11 2 9 1.6 2.0 3 2 6 18 22 11
2 1 Girona 11 3 8 2.7 1.3 9 1 1 30 14 28
3 4 Ath Madrid 11 3 8 2.3 1.0 10 1 0 25 11 31
4 5 Ath Bilbao 11 3 8 2.5 1.1 8 2 1 27 12 26
5 3 Barcelona 12 5 7 2.1 1.3 9 0 3 25 16 27
6 20 Almeria 11 4 7 0.9 1.9 0 5 6 10 21 5
7 2 Real Madrid 10 4 6 2.5 0.6 9 1 0 25 6 28
8 16 Sevilla 12 6 6 1.3 1.6 2 5 5 16 19 11
9 9 Las Palmas 11 6 5 1.3 0.8 5 3 3 14 9 18
10 19 Granada 11 6 5 1.3 1.8 2 4 5 14 20 10
11 6 Sociedad 11 7 4 1.6 1.0 5 5 1 18 11 20
12 13 Vallecano 10 6 4 0.9 1.8 1 5 4 9 18 8
13 18 Cadiz 11 7 4 0.8 1.2 2 6 3 9 13 12
14 7 Betis 11 8 3 1.4 0.7 6 4 1 15 8 22
15 8 Valencia 10 7 3 1.3 0.5 6 2 2 13 5 20
16 12 Osasuna 11 8 3 1.1 1.3 4 3 4 12 14 15
17 17 Celta 12 9 3 0.7 1.2 2 4 6 8 15 10
18 10 Getafe 10 8 2 1.1 0.6 6 3 1 11 6 21
19 11 Alaves 10 8 2 1.1 1.1 5 1 4 11 11 16
20 15 Mallorca 11 9 2 0.8 0.8 2 7 2 9 9 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Getafe 11 3 8 1.5 2.0 1 5 5 17 22 8
2 20 Almeria 11 3 8 1.0 2.5 0 1 10 11 28 1
3 8 Valencia 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 3 6 14 21 12
4 14 Villarreal 11 4 7 1.4 2.1 3 3 5 15 23 12
5 1 Girona 11 5 6 2.0 1.0 8 3 0 22 11 27
6 2 Real Madrid 11 5 6 1.8 0.7 8 2 1 20 8 26
7 3 Barcelona 10 4 6 1.9 1.3 5 5 0 19 13 20
8 6 Sociedad 11 5 6 1.3 0.9 4 4 3 14 10 16
9 12 Osasuna 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 2 6 14 19 11
10 4 Ath Madrid 10 5 5 1.7 1.2 4 1 5 17 12 13
11 11 Alaves 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10
12 16 Sevilla 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 1 3 6 11 17 6
13 17 Celta 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 1 4 5 13 17 7
14 7 Betis 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 6 3 10 16 12
15 19 Granada 11 7 4 0.7 2.2 0 1 10 8 24 1
16 15 Mallorca 11 8 3 0.9 1.5 1 4 6 10 17 7
17 5 Ath Bilbao 11 9 2 1.0 0.8 4 4 3 11 9 16
18 9 Las Palmas 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 1 6 8 10 13
19 13 Vallecano 11 9 2 0.8 0.7 4 4 3 9 8 16
20 18 Cadiz 11 9 2 0.5 1.6 0 4 7 6 18 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40