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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Celta 1–2 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.75 fair 2.49
Draw 4.50 fair 3.98
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Celta Real Madrid
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
16 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (94 league matches this season so far).
Result Celta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
CeltaDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 8.8% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Celta before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.78scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:15
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
2.11scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 19:6
Celta all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 2.11
1.67 Goals conceded 0.67
3.44 Total goals 2.78
10.78 Shots 17.22
4.22 Shots on target 6.67
12.33 Shots faced 10.44
3.67 Corners 5.67
5.22 Corners against 4.67
10.00 Fouls 8.67
2.78 Yellow cards 1.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

44% Wins 67%
11% Draws 33%
44% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
56% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 56%
11% Clean sheets 44%
11% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
11% Draws 56%
44% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 44%
56% Over 1.5 goals 11%
44% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Celta all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Celta before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:5
Real Madrid before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:3
Celta at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded 0.75
2.80 Total goals 2.00
9.60 Shots 16.50
4.40 Shots on target 5.75
9.00 Shots faced 10.50
3.60 Corners 6.00
4.00 Corners against 5.25
10.00 Fouls 9.75
2.40 Yellow cards 1.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

60% Wins 25%
20% Draws 75%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 0%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 25%
20% Draws 50%
40% Losses 25%
80% Over 0.5 goals 50%
40% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Celta at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Celta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Las Palmas – Celta 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Celta – Girona 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.603.25 1.67 2.20
26.09.24 Celta – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 3.803.701.91 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Ath Bilbao – Celta 3–1 (2–1) 1.703.705.25 1.73 2.10
15.09.24 Celta – Valladolid 3–1 (2–0) 1.673.755.50 1.85 2.05
01.09.24 Osasuna – Celta 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.253.00 2.10 1.73
26.08.24 Villarreal – Celta 4–3 (1–2) 1.913.403.80 1.98 1.92
23.08.24 Celta – Valencia 3–1 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
16.08.24 Celta – Alaves 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.204.10 2.20 1.67
26.05.24 Celta – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 1.95 1.95

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
24.09.24 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–2 (2–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Real Madrid – Espanol 4–1 (0–0) 1.177.0019.00 1.40 3.00
14.09.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.67 2.00 1.90
01.09.24 Real Madrid – Betis 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.50
29.08.24 Las Palmas – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 8.005.001.38 1.57 2.38
25.08.24 Real Madrid – Valladolid 3–0 (0–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.40 3.00
18.08.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 8.004.201.45 1.95 1.95
25.05.24 Real Madrid – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20

Celta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.24 Celta – Girona 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.603.25 1.67 2.20
26.09.24 Celta – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 3.803.701.91 1.73 2.10
15.09.24 Celta – Valladolid 3–1 (2–0) 1.673.755.50 1.85 2.05
23.08.24 Celta – Valencia 3–1 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
16.08.24 Celta – Alaves 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.204.10 2.20 1.67
26.05.24 Celta – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 1.95 1.95
15.05.24 Celta – Ath Bilbao 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 1.99 1.91
05.05.24 Celta – Villarreal 3–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Celta – Las Palmas 4–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.08 1.82
31.03.24 Celta – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.15 1.67

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.67 2.00 1.90
29.08.24 Las Palmas – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 8.005.001.38 1.57 2.38
18.08.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 8.004.201.45 1.95 1.95
19.05.24 Villarreal – Real Madrid 4–4 (1–4) 3.203.752.05 1.44 2.75
11.05.24 Granada – Real Madrid 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.601.53 1.67 2.20
26.04.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.252.90 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.601.75 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–4 (1–2) 5.754.201.55 1.85 2.05
02.03.24 Valencia – Real Madrid 2–2 (2–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Celta winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.50
25.08.23SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
22.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38
20.08.22SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 1–4 (1–2) 4.504.201.66 1.66 2.20
02.04.22SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.95 1.95
12.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 5–2 (1–2) 1.365.258.00 1.53 2.50

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 9 8 0 1 28 9 +19 24
2 Real Madrid 9 6 3 0 19 6 +13 21
3 Ath Madrid 9 4 5 0 13 5 +8 17
4 Ath Bilbao 10 5 2 3 17 11 +6 17
5 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 17 17 0 17
6 Betis 10 4 3 3 10 9 +1 15
7 Osasuna 10 4 3 3 14 16 -2 15
8 Mallorca 9 4 2 3 9 8 +1 14
9 Vallecano 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13
10 Celta 9 4 1 4 16 15 +1 13
11 Sociedad 10 3 3 4 8 8 0 12
12 Sevilla 9 3 3 3 9 10 -1 12
13 Girona 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
14 Alaves 10 3 1 6 13 18 -5 10
15 Espanol 10 3 1 6 10 17 -7 10
16 Getafe 9 1 5 3 6 7 -1 8
17 Leganes 9 1 5 3 5 9 -4 8
18 Valladolid 10 2 2 6 8 21 -13 8
19 Valencia 9 1 3 5 5 13 -8 6
20 Las Palmas 9 0 3 6 9 17 -8 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 14 3 +11 15
2 Osasuna 6 4 1 1 12 8 +4 13
3 Ath Bilbao 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
4 Celta 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
5 Betis 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
6 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 10 1 +9 9
7 Espanol 5 3 0 2 8 7 +1 9
8 Sevilla 5 3 0 2 5 5 0 9
9 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 7 1 +6 8
10 Getafe 5 1 4 0 4 2 +2 7
11 Girona 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
12 Villarreal 4 2 1 1 10 11 -1 7
13 Alaves 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
14 Vallecano 4 1 2 1 6 5 +1 5
15 Valencia 4 1 2 1 4 3 +1 5
16 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
17 Valladolid 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
18 Sociedad 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
19 Leganes 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
20 Las Palmas 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 18 8 +10 15
2 Villarreal 5 3 1 1 7 6 +1 10
3 Ath Madrid 5 2 3 0 6 4 +2 9
4 Mallorca 5 3 0 2 6 5 +1 9
5 Vallecano 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
6 Sociedad 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
7 Real Madrid 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
8 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
9 Betis 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
10 Girona 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
11 Leganes 5 0 4 1 3 5 -2 4
12 Sevilla 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
13 Celta 4 1 0 3 7 10 -3 3
14 Alaves 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
15 Valladolid 5 1 0 4 5 17 -12 3
16 Osasuna 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
17 Getafe 4 0 1 3 2 5 -3 1
18 Espanol 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
19 Valencia 5 0 1 4 1 10 -9 1
20 Las Palmas 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Celta   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 9 1 8 3.1 1.0 8 0 1 28 9 24
2 5 Villarreal 9 2 7 1.9 1.9 5 2 2 17 17 17
3 14 Alaves 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 3 1 6 13 18 10
4 18 Valladolid 10 3 7 0.8 2.1 2 2 6 8 21 8
5 7 Osasuna 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 3 14 16 15
6 10 Celta 9 3 6 1.8 1.7 4 1 4 16 15 13
7 15 Espanol 10 4 6 1.0 1.7 3 1 6 10 17 10
8 4 Ath Bilbao 10 5 5 1.7 1.1 5 2 3 17 11 17
9 9 Vallecano 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13
10 20 Las Palmas 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 0 3 6 9 17 3
11 8 Mallorca 9 5 4 1.0 0.9 4 2 3 9 8 14
12 12 Sevilla 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 3 3 9 10 12
13 13 Girona 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
14 19 Valencia 9 5 4 0.6 1.4 1 3 5 5 13 6
15 2 Real Madrid 9 6 3 2.1 0.7 6 3 0 19 6 21
16 3 Ath Madrid 9 6 3 1.4 0.6 4 5 0 13 5 17
17 6 Betis 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 3 10 9 15
18 11 Sociedad 10 7 3 0.8 0.8 3 3 4 8 8 12
19 16 Getafe 9 8 1 0.7 0.8 1 5 3 6 7 8
20 17 Leganes 9 8 1 0.6 1.0 1 5 3 5 9 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Villarreal 4 0 4 2.5 2.8 2 1 1 10 11 7
2 7 Osasuna 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 4 1 1 12 8 13
3 15 Espanol 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 3 0 2 8 7 9
4 2 Real Madrid 5 2 3 2.8 0.6 5 0 0 14 3 15
5 10 Celta 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
6 11 Sociedad 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
7 13 Girona 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
8 14 Alaves 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
9 1 Barcelona 3 1 2 3.3 0.3 3 0 0 10 1 9
10 3 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 2 2 0 7 1 8
11 4 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
12 6 Betis 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
13 9 Vallecano 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 2 1 6 5 5
14 12 Sevilla 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 2 5 5 9
15 18 Valladolid 5 3 2 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
16 20 Las Palmas 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
17 8 Mallorca 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
18 17 Leganes 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
19 19 Valencia 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 2 1 4 3 5
20 16 Getafe 5 5 0 0.8 0.4 1 4 0 4 2 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 6 0 6 3.0 1.3 5 0 1 18 8 15
2 18 Valladolid 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 1 0 4 5 17 3
3 14 Alaves 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
4 4 Ath Bilbao 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
5 5 Villarreal 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 3 1 1 7 6 10
6 8 Mallorca 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 0 2 6 5 9
7 9 Vallecano 5 2 3 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
8 10 Celta 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 0 3 7 10 3
9 19 Valencia 5 2 3 0.2 2.0 0 1 4 1 10 1
10 20 Las Palmas 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
11 7 Osasuna 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
12 12 Sevilla 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
13 15 Espanol 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1
14 3 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 3 0 6 4 9
15 6 Betis 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
16 13 Girona 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
17 16 Getafe 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 1 3 2 5 1
18 2 Real Madrid 4 4 0 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
19 11 Sociedad 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
20 17 Leganes 5 5 0 0.6 1.0 0 4 1 3 5 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40