Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 1–4 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.20 fair 4.30
Draw ✓ 3.75 fair 4.62
Away 2.05 fair 1.82
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Villarreal Real Madrid
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 3
15 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (361 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.99
Home / Draw / Away
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 1–2 9.7% 0–1 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 60:60
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.58points / match
2.31scored / match
0.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 83:22
Villarreal all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 2.31
1.67 Goals conceded 0.61
3.33 Total goals 2.92
12.11 Shots 15.86
4.44 Shots on target 6.61
15.61 Shots faced 9.94
4.69 Corners 5.58
5.22 Corners against 3.83
12.97 Fouls 9.69
2.89 Yellow cards 1.81
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

39% Wins 81%
25% Draws 17%
36% Losses 3%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 81%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
42% Over 3.5 goals 36%
28% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 6%
78% Both teams scored 44%
17% Clean sheets 56%
11% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 47%
44% Draws 36%
36% Losses 17%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
47% Over 1.5 goals 39%
25% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Villarreal before this match, at home
1.39points / match
1.78scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:28
Real Madrid before this match, away
2.39points / match
1.94scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:13
Villarreal at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.94
1.56 Goals conceded 0.72
3.33 Total goals 2.67
15.11 Shots 13.61
5.28 Shots on target 5.72
13.67 Shots faced 11.28
6.22 Corners 5.17
3.94 Corners against 4.61
12.94 Fouls 10.44
2.44 Yellow cards 1.94
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

39% Wins 72%
22% Draws 22%
39% Losses 6%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
72% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
28% Over 4.5 goals 6%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
78% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 50%
11% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 39%
39% Draws 44%
39% Losses 17%
72% Over 0.5 goals 67%
39% Over 1.5 goals 44%
28% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.24 Girona – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 1.704.504.20 1.33 3.40
11.05.24 Villarreal – Sevilla 3–2 (1–2) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Celta – Villarreal 3–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
28.04.24 Villarreal – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.80 2.00
21.04.24 Almeria – Villarreal 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.802.05 1.62 2.30
14.04.24 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10
01.04.24 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Villarreal – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.03 1.87
10.03.24 Betis – Villarreal 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.40 1.75 2.05
03.03.24 Villarreal – Granada 5–1 (3–0) 1.654.005.00 1.62 2.25

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.24 Real Madrid – Alaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.50 2.63
11.05.24 Granada – Real Madrid 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.601.53 1.67 2.20
04.05.24 Real Madrid – Cadiz 3–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.67 2.20
26.04.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.252.90 2.20 1.67
21.04.24 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.804.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.601.75 2.05 1.75
31.03.24 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.336.00 1.75 2.05
16.03.24 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–4 (1–2) 5.754.201.55 1.85 2.05
10.03.24 Real Madrid – Celta 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.50
02.03.24 Valencia – Real Madrid 2–2 (2–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.88

Villarreal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Villarreal – Sevilla 3–2 (1–2) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
28.04.24 Villarreal – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Villarreal – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.03 1.87
03.03.24 Villarreal – Granada 5–1 (3–0) 1.654.005.00 1.62 2.25
16.02.24 Villarreal – Getafe 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 1.99 1.91
04.02.24 Villarreal – Cadiz 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.89 2.01
20.01.24 Villarreal – Mallorca 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.05 1.75
20.12.23 Villarreal – Celta 3–2 (2–0) 2.403.602.88 1.90 2.00
09.12.23 Villarreal – Sociedad 0–3 (0–3) 3.403.402.10 2.00 1.90

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Granada – Real Madrid 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.601.53 1.67 2.20
26.04.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.252.90 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.601.75 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–4 (1–2) 5.754.201.55 1.85 2.05
02.03.24 Valencia – Real Madrid 2–2 (2–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.88
18.02.24 Vallecano – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 6.003.751.62 1.88 2.02
01.02.24 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.98 1.92
27.01.24 Las Palmas – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–0) 6.504.751.45 1.65 2.20
21.12.23 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.53 1.75 2.05
09.12.23 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Villarreal winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
08.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
07.01.23SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.62 2.30
12.02.22SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.57 2.37

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 36 29 6 1 83 22 +61 93
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 74 43 +31 79
3 Girona 36 23 6 7 75 45 +30 75
4 Ath Madrid 36 23 4 9 67 39 +28 73
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 11 8 58 37 +21 62
6 Sociedad 36 15 12 9 49 37 +12 57
7 Betis 36 14 14 8 48 43 +5 56
8 Villarreal 36 14 9 13 60 60 0 51
9 Valencia 36 13 9 14 37 40 -3 48
10 Alaves 37 12 9 16 35 45 -10 45
11 Getafe 37 10 13 14 41 52 -11 43
12 Sevilla 36 10 11 15 47 50 -3 41
13 Osasuna 36 11 8 17 40 54 -14 41
14 Las Palmas 36 10 8 18 32 46 -14 38
15 Vallecano 36 8 14 14 29 44 -15 38
16 Celta 36 9 10 17 42 54 -12 37
17 Mallorca 36 7 15 14 29 41 -12 36
18 Cadiz 36 6 14 16 25 49 -24 32
19 Granada 36 4 9 23 37 70 -33 21
20 Almeria 36 2 11 23 35 72 -37 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 18 16 2 0 48 9 +39 50
2 Ath Madrid 18 16 1 1 41 18 +23 49
3 Girona 18 14 2 2 46 20 +26 44
4 Barcelona 18 14 1 3 40 21 +19 43
5 Ath Bilbao 18 11 6 1 40 18 +22 39
6 Betis 18 9 7 2 27 17 +10 34
7 Alaves 19 9 4 6 23 19 +4 31
8 Sociedad 18 8 6 4 26 18 +8 30
9 Valencia 18 8 6 4 19 11 +8 30
10 Getafe 18 8 5 5 19 20 -1 29
11 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 32 28 +4 25
12 Mallorca 18 6 7 5 15 14 +1 25
13 Sevilla 18 6 5 7 26 25 +1 23
14 Las Palmas 18 6 5 7 19 19 0 23
15 Celta 18 6 5 7 19 21 -2 23
16 Cadiz 18 5 8 5 16 19 -3 23
17 Osasuna 18 6 4 8 18 25 -7 22
18 Vallecano 18 4 8 6 18 25 -7 20
19 Granada 18 4 6 8 23 30 -7 18
20 Almeria 18 0 8 10 16 35 -19 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 18 13 4 1 35 13 +22 43
2 Barcelona 18 10 6 2 34 22 +12 36
3 Girona 18 9 4 5 29 25 +4 31
4 Sociedad 18 7 6 5 23 19 +4 27
5 Villarreal 18 7 5 6 28 32 -4 26
6 Ath Madrid 18 7 3 8 26 21 +5 24
7 Ath Bilbao 18 6 5 7 18 19 -1 23
8 Betis 18 5 7 6 21 26 -5 22
9 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 22 29 -7 19
10 Sevilla 18 4 6 8 21 25 -4 18
11 Vallecano 18 4 6 8 11 19 -8 18
12 Valencia 18 5 3 10 18 29 -11 18
13 Las Palmas 18 4 3 11 13 27 -14 15
14 Celta 18 3 5 10 23 33 -10 14
15 Getafe 19 2 8 9 22 32 -10 14
16 Alaves 18 3 5 10 12 26 -14 14
17 Mallorca 18 1 8 9 14 27 -13 11
18 Almeria 18 2 3 13 19 37 -18 9
19 Cadiz 18 1 6 11 9 30 -21 9
20 Granada 18 0 3 15 14 40 -26 3

Villarreal   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Villarreal 36 12 24 1.7 1.7 14 9 13 60 60 51
2 20 Almeria 36 13 23 1.0 2.0 2 11 23 35 72 17
3 3 Girona 36 14 22 2.1 1.2 23 6 7 75 45 75
4 4 Ath Madrid 36 14 22 1.9 1.1 23 4 9 67 39 73
5 2 Barcelona 36 15 21 2.1 1.2 24 7 5 74 43 79
6 1 Real Madrid 36 16 20 2.3 0.6 29 6 1 83 22 93
7 16 Celta 36 17 19 1.2 1.5 9 10 17 42 54 37
8 12 Sevilla 36 18 18 1.3 1.4 10 11 15 47 50 41
9 5 Ath Bilbao 36 20 16 1.6 1.0 17 11 8 58 37 62
10 19 Granada 36 20 16 1.0 1.9 4 9 23 37 70 21
11 6 Sociedad 36 21 15 1.4 1.0 15 12 9 49 37 57
12 7 Betis 36 21 15 1.3 1.2 14 14 8 48 43 56
13 11 Getafe 37 22 15 1.1 1.4 10 13 14 41 52 43
14 13 Osasuna 36 21 15 1.1 1.5 11 8 17 40 54 41
15 9 Valencia 36 22 14 1.0 1.1 13 9 14 37 40 48
16 15 Vallecano 36 23 13 0.8 1.2 8 14 14 29 44 38
17 10 Alaves 37 26 11 0.9 1.2 12 9 16 35 45 45
18 14 Las Palmas 36 25 11 0.9 1.3 10 8 18 32 46 38
19 17 Mallorca 36 27 9 0.8 1.1 7 15 14 29 41 36
20 18 Cadiz 36 27 9 0.7 1.4 6 14 16 25 49 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Ath Madrid 18 4 14 2.3 1.0 16 1 1 41 18 49
2 8 Villarreal 18 5 13 1.8 1.6 7 4 7 32 28 25
3 3 Girona 18 6 12 2.6 1.1 14 2 2 46 20 44
4 20 Almeria 18 6 12 0.9 1.9 0 8 10 16 35 8
5 1 Real Madrid 18 7 11 2.7 0.5 16 2 0 48 9 50
6 5 Ath Bilbao 18 7 11 2.2 1.0 11 6 1 40 18 39
7 2 Barcelona 18 8 10 2.2 1.2 14 1 3 40 21 43
8 12 Sevilla 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 6 5 7 26 25 23
9 19 Granada 18 10 8 1.3 1.7 4 6 8 23 30 18
10 7 Betis 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 9 7 2 27 17 34
11 15 Vallecano 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 4 8 6 18 25 20
12 16 Celta 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 6 5 7 19 21 23
13 6 Sociedad 18 12 6 1.4 1.0 8 6 4 26 18 30
14 9 Valencia 18 12 6 1.1 0.6 8 6 4 19 11 30
15 14 Las Palmas 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 6 5 7 19 19 23
16 10 Alaves 19 14 5 1.2 1.0 9 4 6 23 19 31
17 11 Getafe 18 13 5 1.1 1.1 8 5 5 19 20 29
18 13 Osasuna 18 13 5 1.0 1.4 6 4 8 18 25 22
19 18 Cadiz 18 13 5 0.9 1.1 5 8 5 16 19 23
20 17 Mallorca 18 14 4 0.8 0.8 6 7 5 15 14 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Celta 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 3 5 10 23 33 14
2 2 Barcelona 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 10 6 2 34 22 36
3 8 Villarreal 18 7 11 1.6 1.8 7 5 6 28 32 26
4 20 Almeria 18 7 11 1.1 2.1 2 3 13 19 37 9
5 3 Girona 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 9 4 5 29 25 31
6 11 Getafe 19 9 10 1.2 1.7 2 8 9 22 32 14
7 13 Osasuna 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 5 4 9 22 29 19
8 1 Real Madrid 18 9 9 1.9 0.7 13 4 1 35 13 43
9 6 Sociedad 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 7 6 5 23 19 27
10 4 Ath Madrid 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 21 24
11 7 Betis 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 7 6 21 26 22
12 9 Valencia 18 10 8 1.0 1.6 5 3 10 18 29 18
13 12 Sevilla 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 4 6 8 21 25 18
14 19 Granada 18 10 8 0.8 2.2 0 3 15 14 40 3
15 10 Alaves 18 12 6 0.7 1.4 3 5 10 12 26 14
16 15 Vallecano 18 12 6 0.6 1.1 4 6 8 11 19 18
17 5 Ath Bilbao 18 13 5 1.0 1.1 6 5 7 18 19 23
18 14 Las Palmas 18 13 5 0.7 1.5 4 3 11 13 27 15
19 17 Mallorca 18 13 5 0.8 1.5 1 8 9 14 27 11
20 18 Cadiz 18 14 4 0.5 1.7 1 6 11 9 30 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06