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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.00 fair 2.25
Draw 4.10 fair 4.32
Away ✓ 3.25 fair 3.08
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Barcelona
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
10 Corners 3
15 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (104 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.10scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:7
Barcelona before this match, all matches
2.70points / match
3.30scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 33:10
Real Madrid all matches all matches Barcelona

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 3.30
0.70 Goals conceded 1.00
2.80 Total goals 4.30
16.50 Shots 17.60
6.30 Shots on target 7.30
10.70 Shots faced 8.60
5.30 Corners 6.10
4.80 Corners against 5.00
9.10 Fouls 7.80
1.60 Yellow cards 1.70
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.60
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

70% Wins 90%
30% Draws 0%
0% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 90%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
20% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 40%
60% Both teams scored 70%
40% Clean sheets 30%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 60%
50% Draws 20%
10% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
10% Over 1.5 goals 80%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Barcelona all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.80scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 14:3
Barcelona before this match, away
2.50points / match
3.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 18:8
Real Madrid at home away Barcelona

Per match

2.80 Goals scored 3.00
0.60 Goals conceded 1.33
3.40 Total goals 4.33
17.80 Shots 17.17
7.40 Shots on target 7.50
10.40 Shots faced 9.67
5.40 Corners 5.67
4.20 Corners against 5.50
7.80 Fouls 8.50
2.20 Yellow cards 1.83
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

100% Wins 83%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 100%
40% Over 3.5 goals 50%
40% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
40% Both teams scored 83%
60% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 50%
60% Draws 17%
0% Losses 33%
40% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 83%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Barcelona away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.62 2.30
05.10.24 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
24.09.24 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–2 (2–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Real Madrid – Espanol 4–1 (0–0) 1.177.0019.00 1.40 3.00
14.09.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.67 2.00 1.90
01.09.24 Real Madrid – Betis 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.50
29.08.24 Las Palmas – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 8.005.001.38 1.57 2.38
25.08.24 Real Madrid – Valladolid 3–0 (0–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.40 3.00
18.08.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 8.004.201.45 1.95 1.95

Barcelona all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Barcelona – Sevilla 5–1 (3–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
06.10.24 Alaves – Barcelona 0–3 (0–3) 5.254.501.57 1.62 2.30
28.09.24 Osasuna – Barcelona 4–2 (2–0) 7.004.501.45 1.53 2.50
25.09.24 Barcelona – Getafe 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.2510.00 1.57 2.38
22.09.24 Villarreal – Barcelona 1–5 (1–2) 3.903.901.85 1.40 3.00
15.09.24 Girona – Barcelona 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Barcelona – Valladolid 7–0 (3–0) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.75
27.08.24 Vallecano – Barcelona 1–2 (1–0) 5.253.801.62 1.91 1.99
24.08.24 Barcelona – Ath Bilbao 2–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
17.08.24 Valencia – Barcelona 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40
24.09.24 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–2 (2–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Real Madrid – Espanol 4–1 (0–0) 1.177.0019.00 1.40 3.00
01.09.24 Real Madrid – Betis 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.50
25.08.24 Real Madrid – Valladolid 3–0 (0–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.40 3.00
25.05.24 Real Madrid – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20
14.05.24 Real Madrid – Alaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.05.24 Real Madrid – Cadiz 3–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.67 2.20
21.04.24 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.804.00 1.53 2.50
31.03.24 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.336.00 1.75 2.05

Barcelona away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Alaves – Barcelona 0–3 (0–3) 5.254.501.57 1.62 2.30
28.09.24 Osasuna – Barcelona 4–2 (2–0) 7.004.501.45 1.53 2.50
22.09.24 Villarreal – Barcelona 1–5 (1–2) 3.903.901.85 1.40 3.00
15.09.24 Girona – Barcelona 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.53 2.50
27.08.24 Vallecano – Barcelona 1–2 (1–0) 5.253.801.62 1.91 1.99
17.08.24 Valencia – Barcelona 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
26.05.24 Sevilla – Barcelona 1–2 (1–1) 4.004.001.80 1.50 2.63
16.05.24 Almeria – Barcelona 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.001.44 1.36 3.20
04.05.24 Girona – Barcelona 4–2 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.44 2.75
21.04.24 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.804.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsBarcelona wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.24SP1 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.804.00 1.53 2.50
28.10.23SP1 Barcelona – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.57 2.35
19.03.23SP1 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.25 1.88 2.02
16.10.22SP1 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.57 2.37
20.03.22SP1 Real Madrid – Barcelona 0–4 (0–2) 2.153.603.25 1.66 2.20
24.10.21SP1 Barcelona – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.45 1.66 2.20

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 33 10 +23 27
2 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 21 7 +14 24
3 Villarreal 11 6 3 2 20 19 +1 21
4 Ath Madrid 10 5 5 0 16 6 +10 20
5 Ath Bilbao 10 5 2 3 17 11 +6 17
6 Mallorca 10 5 2 3 10 8 +2 17
7 Vallecano 11 4 4 3 12 10 +2 16
8 Betis 10 4 3 3 10 9 +1 15
9 Osasuna 10 4 3 3 14 16 -2 15
10 Sevilla 11 4 3 4 12 15 -3 15
11 Celta 10 4 1 5 17 17 0 13
12 Sociedad 10 3 3 4 8 8 0 12
13 Girona 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
14 Alaves 11 3 1 7 13 19 -6 10
15 Espanol 11 3 1 7 10 19 -9 10
16 Getafe 10 1 6 3 7 8 -1 9
17 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 13 19 -6 9
18 Leganes 10 1 5 4 6 12 -6 8
19 Valladolid 11 2 2 7 9 23 -14 8
20 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 14 3 +11 15
2 Osasuna 6 4 1 1 12 8 +4 13
3 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 15 2 +13 12
4 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 10 2 +8 11
5 Ath Bilbao 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
6 Celta 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
7 Betis 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Sevilla 5 3 0 2 5 5 0 9
9 Espanol 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
10 Vallecano 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
11 Mallorca 5 2 2 1 4 3 +1 8
12 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 11 12 -1 8
13 Getafe 5 1 4 0 4 2 +2 7
14 Girona 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
15 Alaves 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
16 Las Palmas 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
17 Valencia 5 1 2 2 6 6 0 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5
19 Sociedad 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
20 Leganes 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 18 8 +10 15
2 Villarreal 6 4 1 1 9 7 +2 13
3 Real Madrid 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Ath Madrid 5 2 3 0 6 4 +2 9
5 Mallorca 5 3 0 2 6 5 +1 9
6 Sociedad 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
7 Vallecano 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
8 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
9 Sevilla 6 1 3 2 7 10 -3 6
10 Betis 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
11 Girona 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
12 Leganes 6 0 4 2 4 8 -4 4
13 Celta 4 1 0 3 7 10 -3 3
14 Alaves 6 1 0 5 7 12 -5 3
15 Las Palmas 5 1 0 4 6 11 -5 3
16 Valladolid 5 1 0 4 5 17 -12 3
17 Getafe 5 0 2 3 3 6 -3 2
18 Osasuna 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
19 Espanol 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 1 10 -9 1

Real Madrid   Barcelona

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 10 1 9 3.3 1.0 9 0 1 33 10 27
2 3 Villarreal 11 3 8 1.8 1.7 6 3 2 20 19 21
3 19 Valladolid 11 3 8 0.8 2.1 2 2 7 9 23 8
4 11 Celta 10 3 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 5 17 17 13
5 14 Alaves 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 7 13 19 10
6 9 Osasuna 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 3 14 16 15
7 15 Espanol 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 3 1 7 10 19 10
8 17 Las Palmas 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 2 3 6 13 19 9
9 5 Ath Bilbao 10 5 5 1.7 1.1 5 2 3 17 11 17
10 7 Vallecano 11 6 5 1.1 0.9 4 4 3 12 10 16
11 10 Sevilla 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 3 4 12 15 15
12 20 Valencia 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 1 3 6 7 16 6
13 2 Real Madrid 10 6 4 2.1 0.7 7 3 0 21 7 24
14 4 Ath Madrid 10 6 4 1.6 0.6 5 5 0 16 6 20
15 6 Mallorca 10 6 4 1.0 0.8 5 2 3 10 8 17
16 13 Girona 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 3 3 5 11 14 12
17 8 Betis 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 3 10 9 15
18 12 Sociedad 10 7 3 0.8 0.8 3 3 4 8 8 12
19 18 Leganes 10 8 2 0.6 1.2 1 5 4 6 12 8
20 16 Getafe 10 9 1 0.7 0.8 1 6 3 7 8 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Villarreal 5 1 4 2.2 2.4 2 2 1 11 12 8
2 9 Osasuna 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 4 1 1 12 8 13
3 11 Celta 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
4 15 Espanol 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
5 1 Barcelona 4 1 3 3.8 0.5 4 0 0 15 2 12
6 2 Real Madrid 5 2 3 2.8 0.6 5 0 0 14 3 15
7 4 Ath Madrid 5 2 3 2.0 0.4 3 2 0 10 2 11
8 12 Sociedad 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
9 13 Girona 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
10 14 Alaves 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
11 19 Valladolid 6 3 3 0.7 1.0 1 2 3 4 6 5
12 5 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
13 7 Vallecano 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
14 8 Betis 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
15 10 Sevilla 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 2 5 5 9
16 17 Las Palmas 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
17 20 Valencia 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 2 6 6 5
18 6 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 2 1 4 3 8
19 18 Leganes 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
20 16 Getafe 5 5 0 0.8 0.4 1 4 0 4 2 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 6 0 6 3.0 1.3 5 0 1 18 8 15
2 19 Valladolid 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 1 0 4 5 17 3
3 3 Villarreal 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 4 1 1 9 7 13
4 14 Alaves 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 1 0 5 7 12 3
5 17 Las Palmas 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 0 4 6 11 3
6 5 Ath Bilbao 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
7 6 Mallorca 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 0 2 6 5 9
8 7 Vallecano 6 3 3 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
9 10 Sevilla 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 3 2 7 10 6
10 11 Celta 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 0 3 7 10 3
11 20 Valencia 5 2 3 0.2 2.0 0 1 4 1 10 1
12 9 Osasuna 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
13 15 Espanol 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1
14 2 Real Madrid 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
15 4 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 3 0 6 4 9
16 8 Betis 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
17 13 Girona 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
18 16 Getafe 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 0 2 3 3 6 2
19 18 Leganes 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 0 4 2 4 8 4
20 12 Sociedad 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44