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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 2–1 Valencia

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.30 fair 1.62
Draw 5.00 fair 4.71
Away 11.00 fair 5.93
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Valencia
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 7
13 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (153 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.97 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawValencia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.75scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:15
Valencia before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.93scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:23
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Valencia

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.93
0.94 Goals conceded 1.53
2.69 Total goals 2.47
13.13 Shots 10.67
5.63 Shots on target 2.93
10.38 Shots faced 13.07
7.13 Corners 4.87
3.38 Corners against 4.80
11.13 Fouls 12.13
1.88 Yellow cards 1.87
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

56% Wins 20%
25% Draws 40%
19% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
81% Over 1.5 goals 80%
38% Over 2.5 goals 40%
25% Over 3.5 goals 20%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
6% Over 5.5 goals 7%
56% Both teams scored 47%
38% Clean sheets 27%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 20%
69% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
69% Over 0.5 goals 60%
50% Over 1.5 goals 7%
6% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Valencia all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
2.75points / match
2.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:6
Valencia before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.57scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:16
Ath Madrid at home away Valencia

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.57
0.75 Goals conceded 2.29
3.25 Total goals 2.86
15.75 Shots 7.00
7.13 Shots on target 2.14
8.25 Shots faced 16.86
9.25 Corners 3.43
3.13 Corners against 5.71
9.75 Fouls 11.14
1.75 Yellow cards 1.57
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

88% Wins 0%
13% Draws 43%
0% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
88% Over 1.5 goals 71%
50% Over 2.5 goals 57%
38% Over 3.5 goals 43%
25% Over 4.5 goals 14%
13% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 14%
0% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 14%
75% Draws 14%
0% Losses 71%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
63% Over 1.5 goals 14%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Valencia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Ath Madrid 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
02.12.25 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 3–1 (1–1) 1.734.204.10 1.40 3.00
29.11.25 Ath Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (2–0) 1.206.2517.00 1.67 2.20
23.11.25 Getafe – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.501.73 2.63 1.50
08.11.25 Ath Madrid – Levante 3–1 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
01.11.25 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 3–0 (0–0) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
27.10.25 Betis – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
18.10.25 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Celta – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 1.83 2.03
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Valencia – Sevilla 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.73
01.12.25 Vallecano – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
21.11.25 Valencia – Levante 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.70 1.85 2.00
09.11.25 Valencia – Betis 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.36 3.20
25.10.25 Valencia – Villarreal 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Girona – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 1.98 1.88
30.09.25 Valencia – Oviedo 1–2 (1–0) 1.703.505.50 2.10 1.73
23.09.25 Espanol – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Ath Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (2–0) 1.206.2517.00 1.67 2.20
08.11.25 Ath Madrid – Levante 3–1 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
01.11.25 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 3–0 (0–0) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
18.10.25 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.88 1.98
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20
24.09.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Ath Madrid – Elche 1–1 (1–1) 1.255.2515.00 1.80 2.00
18.05.25 Ath Madrid – Betis 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 4–0 (4–0) 1.673.705.00 2.08 1.82

Valencia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.25 Vallecano – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.36 3.20
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Girona – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 1.98 1.88
23.09.25 Espanol – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
14.09.25 Barcelona – Valencia 6–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Osasuna – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.38 1.57
23.05.25 Betis – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.62 2.30
14.05.25 Alaves – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.70 2.38 1.57
03.05.25 Las Palmas – Valencia 2–3 (1–1) 2.633.302.70 2.07 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsValencia wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25SP1 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.203.401.91 2.20 1.67
15.09.24SP1 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 1.334.5011.00 1.92 1.98
28.01.24SP1 Ath Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.337.00 1.85 2.05
16.09.23SP1 Valencia – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 3.803.302.05 2.20 1.67
18.03.23SP1 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 2.10 1.73
29.08.22SP1 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.302.00 2.20 1.66
22.01.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–2 (0–2) 1.444.208.50 2.01 1.89
07.11.21SP1 Valencia – Ath Madrid 3–3 (0–1) 4.503.201.95 2.20 1.66

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 +27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 +17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 +18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 +13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 +3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 +6 24
7 Ath Bilbao 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
18 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 8 0 0 26 5 +21 24
2 Villarreal 8 7 1 0 20 4 +16 22
3 Ath Madrid 8 7 1 0 20 6 +14 22
4 Espanol 9 6 1 2 13 10 +3 19
5 Real Madrid 7 6 0 1 14 5 +9 18
6 Elche 8 4 4 0 12 5 +7 16
7 Ath Bilbao 9 5 1 3 9 9 0 16
8 Alaves 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
9 Betis 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
10 Osasuna 7 4 1 2 11 8 +3 13
11 Valencia 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
12 Getafe 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
13 Sociedad 8 3 1 4 12 13 -1 10
14 Mallorca 7 2 4 1 7 8 -1 10
15 Girona 8 2 3 3 8 14 -6 9
16 Vallecano 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 7
17 Sevilla 7 2 1 4 10 12 -2 7
18 Oviedo 8 1 3 4 2 10 -8 6
19 Celta 8 0 5 3 7 12 -5 5
20 Levante 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 9 5 3 1 18 10 +8 18
2 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 21 15 +6 16
3 Celta 7 4 2 1 11 7 +4 14
4 Villarreal 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Betis 7 2 5 0 11 8 +3 11
6 Sevilla 8 3 1 4 10 12 -2 10
7 Vallecano 9 3 1 5 9 12 -3 10
8 Ath Madrid 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
9 Getafe 8 3 0 5 6 12 -6 9
10 Espanol 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
11 Levante 9 2 2 5 10 12 -2 8
12 Ath Bilbao 7 2 1 4 6 11 -5 7
13 Sociedad 8 1 3 4 8 11 -3 6
14 Girona 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
15 Alaves 7 1 1 5 3 8 -5 4
16 Mallorca 8 1 1 6 8 14 -6 4
17 Oviedo 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
18 Elche 7 0 3 4 6 12 -6 3
19 Valencia 7 0 3 4 4 16 -12 3
20 Osasuna 8 0 2 6 3 10 -7 2

Ath Madrid   Valencia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 16 1 15 2.9 1.2 13 1 2 47 20 40
2 2 Real Madrid 16 6 10 2.0 0.9 11 3 2 32 15 36
3 13 Sevilla 15 5 10 1.3 1.6 5 2 8 20 24 17
4 14 Sociedad 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 4 4 8 20 24 16
5 17 Girona 16 7 9 0.9 1.9 3 6 7 15 30 15
6 3 Villarreal 15 7 8 2.1 0.9 11 2 2 31 13 35
7 18 Mallorca 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 5 7 15 22 14
8 20 Levante 15 7 8 1.1 1.9 2 3 10 16 28 9
9 5 Espanol 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 8 3 4 19 16 27
10 6 Betis 15 8 7 1.7 1.3 6 6 3 25 19 24
11 4 Ath Madrid 16 10 6 1.8 0.9 9 4 3 28 15 31
12 7 Ath Bilbao 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 7 2 7 15 20 23
13 9 Elche 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19
14 16 Valencia 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 3 6 6 14 23 15
15 8 Getafe 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 6 2 7 13 17 20
16 11 Alaves 15 10 5 0.9 1.0 5 3 7 13 15 18
17 15 Osasuna 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 3 8 14 18 15
18 10 Celta 15 11 4 1.2 1.3 4 7 4 18 19 19
19 12 Vallecano 15 11 4 0.9 1.1 4 5 6 13 16 17
20 19 Oviedo 15 11 4 0.5 1.5 2 4 9 7 22 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 8 0 8 3.2 0.6 8 0 0 26 5 24
2 14 Sociedad 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 1 4 12 13 10
3 3 Villarreal 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 7 1 0 20 4 22
4 5 Espanol 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 6 1 2 13 10 19
5 13 Sevilla 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 2 1 4 10 12 7
6 20 Levante 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
7 2 Real Madrid 7 3 4 2.0 0.7 6 0 1 14 5 18
8 4 Ath Madrid 8 4 4 2.5 0.8 7 1 0 20 6 22
9 6 Betis 8 4 4 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
10 11 Alaves 8 4 4 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
11 17 Girona 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 2 3 3 8 14 9
12 7 Ath Bilbao 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 5 1 3 9 9 16
13 9 Elche 8 5 3 1.5 0.6 4 4 0 12 5 16
14 15 Osasuna 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 4 1 2 11 8 13
15 16 Valencia 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
16 18 Mallorca 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 2 4 1 7 8 10
17 19 Oviedo 8 6 2 0.2 1.2 1 3 4 2 10 6
18 8 Getafe 7 6 1 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
19 10 Celta 8 7 1 0.9 1.5 0 5 3 7 12 5
20 12 Vallecano 6 6 0 0.7 0.7 1 4 1 4 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 8 1 7 2.6 1.9 5 1 2 21 15 16
2 2 Real Madrid 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 5 3 1 18 10 18
3 18 Mallorca 8 2 6 1.0 1.8 1 1 6 8 14 4
4 13 Sevilla 8 3 5 1.2 1.5 3 1 4 10 12 10
5 17 Girona 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
6 8 Getafe 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 3 0 5 6 12 9
7 12 Vallecano 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 5 9 12 10
8 16 Valencia 7 3 4 0.6 2.3 0 3 4 4 16 3
9 3 Villarreal 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
10 6 Betis 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 2 5 0 11 8 11
11 7 Ath Bilbao 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 2 1 4 6 11 7
12 9 Elche 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 0 3 4 6 12 3
13 10 Celta 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 4 2 1 11 7 14
14 14 Sociedad 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 3 4 8 11 6
15 20 Levante 9 6 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 5 10 12 8
16 4 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
17 5 Espanol 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
18 15 Osasuna 8 6 2 0.4 1.2 0 2 6 3 10 2
19 19 Oviedo 7 5 2 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
20 11 Alaves 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 1 1 5 3 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51