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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.70
Draw 8.00 fair 4.58
Away 15.00 fair 5.18
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Valencia
21 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 1
14 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (104 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawValencia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.70points / match
2.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 22:10
Valencia before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:16
Real Madrid all matches all matches Valencia

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.60
3.20 Total goals 2.60
19.50 Shots 10.40
7.20 Shots on target 3.10
10.30 Shots faced 13.50
5.80 Corners 5.10
3.40 Corners against 5.10
10.10 Fouls 12.50
2.00 Yellow cards 1.60
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

90% Wins 20%
0% Draws 30%
10% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
70% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 30%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 30%
40% Draws 30%
0% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
30% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Valencia all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:3
Valencia before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.60scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:11
Real Madrid at home away Valencia

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.60
0.60 Goals conceded 2.20
2.60 Total goals 2.80
20.00 Shots 7.00
6.80 Shots on target 2.40
8.60 Shots faced 15.60
6.40 Corners 3.60
2.40 Corners against 4.60
10.60 Fouls 12.40
2.40 Yellow cards 1.80
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 40%
0% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 0%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Valencia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Real Madrid – Barcelona 2–1 (2–1) 1.954.103.30 1.30 3.50
19.10.25 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.331.42 1.95 1.90
04.10.25 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20
23.09.25 Levante – Real Madrid 1–4 (0–2) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
13.09.25 Sociedad – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 5.004.331.60 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.187.0015.00 1.57 2.38
24.08.25 Oviedo – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 9.505.501.30 1.73 2.10
19.08.25 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.2513.00 1.50 2.63

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Valencia – Villarreal 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Girona – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 1.98 1.88
30.09.25 Valencia – Oviedo 1–2 (1–0) 1.703.505.50 2.10 1.73
23.09.25 Espanol – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Valencia – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.002.55 2.50 1.53
14.09.25 Barcelona – Valencia 6–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
29.08.25 Valencia – Getafe 3–0 (1–0) 2.302.903.60 3.00 1.40
24.08.25 Osasuna – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Valencia – Sociedad 1–1 (0–0) 2.602.903.10 2.75 1.44

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Real Madrid – Barcelona 2–1 (2–1) 1.954.103.30 1.30 3.50
04.10.25 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
20.09.25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
30.08.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.187.0015.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.25 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.2513.00 1.50 2.63
24.05.25 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.75
14.05.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.257.00 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Real Madrid – Celta 3–2 (2–0) 1.335.757.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.25 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 1.305.758.50 1.53 2.50

Valencia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.25 Alaves – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Girona – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 1.98 1.88
23.09.25 Espanol – Valencia 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
14.09.25 Barcelona – Valencia 6–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Osasuna – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.38 1.57
23.05.25 Betis – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.62 2.30
14.05.25 Alaves – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.70 2.38 1.57
03.05.25 Las Palmas – Valencia 2–3 (1–1) 2.633.302.70 2.07 1.83
19.04.25 Vallecano – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.003.40 2.38 1.57
05.04.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 1.305.758.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsValencia wins
8matches
3.38goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 1.305.758.50 1.53 2.50
03.01.25SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 7.004.501.42 1.67 2.20
02.03.24SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 2–2 (2–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.88
11.11.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 5–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
21.05.23SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10
02.02.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.01.22SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 1.375.008.00 1.57 2.37
19.09.21SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.801.90 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 10 9 0 1 22 10 +12 27
2 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 22 10 +12 23
3 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 25 12 +13 22
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 21 10 +11 22
5 Espanol 10 5 3 2 14 11 +3 18
6 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
7 Betis 10 4 4 2 15 12 +3 16
8 Elche 10 3 5 2 11 10 +1 14
9 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
10 Ath Bilbao 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 17 19 -2 13
12 Alaves 10 3 3 4 9 9 0 12
13 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
14 Celta 10 1 7 2 11 13 -2 10
15 Osasuna 10 3 1 6 9 12 -3 10
16 Levante 10 2 3 5 14 18 -4 9
17 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
18 Valencia 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9
19 Oviedo 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Villarreal 6 5 1 0 16 3 +13 16
2 Ath Madrid 6 5 1 0 15 5 +10 16
3 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 10 3 +7 15
4 Espanol 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13
5 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 13 2 +11 12
6 Elche 5 3 2 0 6 2 +4 11
7 Osasuna 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
8 Sociedad 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
9 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
10 Betis 5 3 0 2 7 5 +2 9
11 Alaves 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
12 Getafe 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
13 Valencia 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
14 Mallorca 5 1 3 1 4 6 -2 6
15 Vallecano 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
16 Celta 6 0 5 1 5 7 -2 5
17 Girona 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
18 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 9 10 -1 4
19 Oviedo 5 1 0 4 2 10 -8 3
20 Levante 4 0 1 3 5 12 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 12 7 +5 12
2 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 12 10 +2 10
3 Sevilla 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
4 Vallecano 7 3 0 4 9 11 -2 9
5 Getafe 6 3 0 3 6 9 -3 9
6 Levante 6 2 2 2 9 6 +3 8
7 Betis 5 1 4 0 8 7 +1 7
8 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
9 Ath Madrid 5 1 3 1 6 5 +1 6
10 Celta 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Espanol 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Alaves 5 1 1 3 2 4 -2 4
13 Ath Bilbao 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
14 Oviedo 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
15 Mallorca 5 1 0 4 7 9 -2 3
16 Elche 5 0 3 2 5 8 -3 3
17 Sociedad 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2
18 Girona 5 0 2 3 4 11 -7 2
19 Valencia 5 0 2 3 3 11 -8 2
20 Osasuna 5 0 0 5 1 7 -6 0

Real Madrid   Valencia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Barcelona 10 1 9 2.5 1.2 7 1 2 25 12 22
2 11 Sevilla 11 2 9 1.5 1.7 4 1 6 17 19 13
3 1 Real Madrid 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 9 0 1 22 10 27
4 20 Girona 11 4 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 6 10 24 7
5 2 Villarreal 11 5 6 2.0 0.9 7 2 2 22 10 23
6 13 Sociedad 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
7 16 Levante 10 4 6 1.4 1.8 2 3 5 14 18 9
8 5 Espanol 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 3 2 14 11 18
9 6 Getafe 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 5 2 4 12 13 17
10 7 Betis 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 4 4 2 15 12 16
11 17 Mallorca 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 3 5 11 15 9
12 18 Valencia 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 5 10 16 9
13 4 Ath Madrid 11 7 4 1.9 0.9 6 4 1 21 10 22
14 9 Vallecano 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
15 10 Ath Bilbao 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
16 19 Oviedo 10 6 4 0.7 1.9 2 1 7 7 19 7
17 8 Elche 10 7 3 1.1 1.0 3 5 2 11 10 14
18 12 Alaves 10 7 3 0.9 0.9 3 3 4 9 9 12
19 15 Osasuna 10 7 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 6 9 12 10
20 14 Celta 10 8 2 1.1 1.3 1 7 2 11 13 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Sevilla 5 0 5 1.8 2.0 1 1 3 9 10 4
2 2 Villarreal 6 2 4 2.7 0.5 5 1 0 16 3 16
3 3 Barcelona 4 0 4 3.2 0.5 4 0 0 13 2 12
4 5 Espanol 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13
5 13 Sociedad 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
6 16 Levante 4 0 4 1.2 3.0 0 1 3 5 12 1
7 20 Girona 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
8 1 Real Madrid 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 5 0 0 10 3 15
9 4 Ath Madrid 6 3 3 2.5 0.8 5 1 0 15 5 16
10 12 Alaves 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
11 7 Betis 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 0 2 7 5 9
12 10 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
13 15 Osasuna 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
14 18 Valencia 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
15 19 Oviedo 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 1 0 4 2 10 3
16 6 Getafe 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
17 8 Elche 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 2 0 6 2 11
18 17 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 1 4 6 6
19 9 Vallecano 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
20 14 Celta 6 6 0 0.8 1.2 0 5 1 5 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Barcelona 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 3 1 2 12 10 10
2 1 Real Madrid 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 0 1 12 7 12
3 6 Getafe 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 3 0 3 6 9 9
4 9 Vallecano 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 0 4 9 11 9
5 11 Sevilla 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
6 17 Mallorca 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 1 0 4 7 9 3
7 7 Betis 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 1 4 0 8 7 7
8 18 Valencia 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 2 3 3 11 2
9 20 Girona 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 2 3 4 11 2
10 2 Villarreal 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
11 8 Elche 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 0 3 2 5 8 3
12 10 Ath Bilbao 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
13 13 Sociedad 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2
14 14 Celta 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
15 16 Levante 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 2 2 2 9 6 8
16 19 Oviedo 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
17 4 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 1 6 5 6
18 5 Espanol 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
19 15 Osasuna 5 4 1 0.2 1.4 0 0 5 1 7 0
20 12 Alaves 5 5 0 0.4 0.8 1 1 3 2 4 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40